Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Saturday - May 03, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (6/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/4)-(6/7/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/4)-(6/7/1/4)-(6/7/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/7/4)-(4/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4)-(4/3/1)-(4/2/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-2   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(4/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(4/2/3)-(6/5/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-3   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(6/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(6/5/7)-(5/6/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-4   WIN (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/7)-(6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/7)-(5/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-5   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(5/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(5/6/1)-(8/5/7/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-6   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/4/1)-(5/6/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(8/5/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(8/5/7/4)-(2/3/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-7   WIN (8/5/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/7/4)-(8/5/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/7/4)-(8/5/7/4)-(8/5/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/7/4)-(2/3/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/5/7/4)-(2/3/1/5)-(3/6/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-8   WIN (2/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/5)-(2/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/5)-(2/3/1/5)-(2/3/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/1/5)-(3/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-9   WIN (3/6/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/9)-(3/6/7/12/8/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    TRI (3/6/9)-(3/6/7/12/8/9)-(3/6/7/12/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   05/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCE STEP Oct19 Oct02 Sep03 Aug07 Jul01 (calder)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50 ★    
SCR  THEODOROPOULOS Apr23 Oct21 Sep19 Aug29 Aug10 (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 123 6.00    
3  BLAZING ZENNA Mar31 Mar12 Feb12 Feb03 Jan15 (mahan jo)FERNANDEZ R 123 20.00    
4  SABELLE Mar26 Mar18 Feb28 Feb12 Dec26 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  H. T. XENA Mar30 Mar07 Jan31 Jun03 May13 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.00    
6  HALF BIRTHDAY Apr02 Mar19 Feb26 Jan28 Jan08 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 3.50 68% 0.50    
7  JEN'S BATTLE Mar12 Feb12 Feb03 Jan15 Nov20 (casalinova t)TAVARES JAVIER 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  ROWDY DAISY Apr23 Jan08 Dec18 Nov27 Sep09 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 123 5.00    
 
TDN-2   05/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG POPPER Apr11 Mar26 Mar01 Jan29 Dec28 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  TRULY LEGIT Mar22 Feb26 Feb02 Sep23 Aug31 (davis christo)BARBARAN ERIK 117 3.00    
3  HIDDEN ACCESS Apr07 Dec03 Nov12 May27 Apr30 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 5.00 32% 2.20    
4  ATKINS Mar26 Mar05 Jan27 Jan08 Dec05 (vecchio ca)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  MISSION CONTROL Oct08 Sep21 Aug30 Aug09 Jul11 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 119 1.80    
6  SILENCE Mar13 Jan23 Dec03 Oct26 Sep10 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 119 6.00    
 
TDN-3   05/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KOSCIUSZKO Apr12 Mar31 Mar17 Nov19 Nov02 (brown glenroy)SIMPSON JASON 119 15.00    
2  DR SCHUSTER Apr22 Apr11 Mar26 Mar17 Mar06 (schuster r)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 2.00 16% 5.20    
3  T MONEY Mar10 Feb06 Jan24 Dec05 Nov11 (johnson gary)TAVARES JAVIER 119 8.00 9% 9.80    
4  HUB Apr10 Mar27 Mar13 Feb08 Jan15 (bailey ricar)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 3.50 41% 1.40    
5  STEALTHTHIRTYFOUR Mar30 Mar17 Feb27 Aug12 Jul30 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 121 1.60    
6  MSHINDI Apr10 Mar13 Feb13 Jan28 Jan13 (faulkner rodney)FELICIANO R 119 6.00    
 
TDN-4   05/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RED CHILI PEPPER Jan16 Dec02 Nov14 Oct01 Sep12 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50    
2  MOMMA K'S BOY Oct01 Sep16 Aug19 Jul31 Jul19 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 3.00    
3  MAY MAYHEM Sep26 Aug30 Jul19 Jun22 May18 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.50    
4  ROLL ON BIG O Apr03 Mar11 Feb10 Jan27 Dec17 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00    
5  PLAYING FOR KEEPS Apr09 Mar18 Dec27 Dec09 Nov06 (ruberto v)FELICIANO R 121 2.50 17% 4.90    
6  RUN RED RUN Apr09 Mar25 Feb27 Jan16 Sep28 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 4.00 43% 1.30    
7  WATCHOUTFORWEAVER Apr02 Mar06 Feb03 Dec05 Jul27 (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 119 20.00 11% 8.50    
 
TDN-5   05/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXTRA CRAFTY Feb27 Jan29 Dec16 Dec02 Nov20 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 119 3.00    
2  LADY FORTUNE Mar24 Mar10 Jan29 Dec16 Nov18 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  NATIONAL DIAMOND Apr22 Apr03 Mar24 Mar05 Feb10 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 119 2.50    
4  STICK AROUND Mar27 Feb26 Dec27 Nov21 Sep23 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00    
5  WONDER WORLD Apr12 Mar20 Feb27 Oct26 Oct09 (gorham m)RIVERA R 115 1.80 60% 0.70    
6  TALE OF THE LYON Mar24 Mar10 Feb05 Jan13 Dec18 (poole m)BRACHO A 119 10.00 12% 7.20    
 
TDN-6   05/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAVALETTO Apr03 Mar11 Feb08 Jan13 Dec03 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  HOTROD BOBBY Apr03 Mar22 Mar12 Jan23 Jan08 (morales sa)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 6.00    
3  GIFT OF OAK Apr03 Mar19 Mar11 Feb27 Jan27 (norris stephan)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00    
4  COUNTRY RUCKUS Feb12 Dec17 Dec03 Oct17 Oct08 (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 4.00 ★    
5  INTO GOLD Mar31 Mar19 Feb27 Feb03 Jan16 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.00 63% 0.60    
6  PARTY POOPER Apr08 Mar24 Mar04 Feb08 Dec12 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.50 7% 13.00    
7  STONE COLD CAT Apr10 Mar25 Mar12 Feb12 Dec19 (calder)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00    
 
TDN-7   05/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACTION MAN Apr22 Apr05 Mar22 Feb28 Dec11 (dacosta jason)PEREZ A 115 20.00    
SCR  CALL IT A NIGHT Mar24 Mar05 Feb08 Dec28 Dec11 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00    
3  CANT BE DOIN THAT Nov21 Oct15 Jan10 Dec08 Nov17 (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 119 15.00    
4  STREETS OF WAR Apr05 Mar22 Mar14 Feb28 Feb08 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  DIVINE EMPIRE Apr09 Mar20 Mar01 Jan26 Oct04 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 2.50 23% 3.40    
6  EXTRADITION Feb15 Jan17 Dec13 Nov02 Sep27 (dacosta jason)BOWEN ROCCO 115 2.00    
7  BLAKE JAMES Apr22 Mar19 Nov01 Oct17 Sep20 (meyers sha)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 5.00 7% 13.90    
8  BRICK AMBUSH Apr05 Jan17 Dec01 Oct04 Jun06 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 4.00 42% 1.40    
 
TDN-8   05/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SACRED CONNECTION Apr22 Apr09 Mar30 Mar10 Mar01 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 3.50 12% 7.50    
2  DIVINE FASHION Apr08 Mar05 Feb03 Jan03 Nov29 (rivera r)RIVERA R 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
3  WICCA WISDOM Apr22 Mar24 Feb28 Feb12 Jan27 (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 22% 3.60    
4  MAGIC PALACE Apr01 Feb04 Dec23 Aug15 Jul16 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00    
5  TIZ INDEPENDENCE Mar27 Mar13 Feb26 Jan28 Jan15 (skerrett j)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MALICED Apr22 Mar26 Mar05 Feb26 Feb04 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 119 6.00    
7  MIRANDA'S ROCKY Apr05 Mar19 Feb05 Nov08 Oct07 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 123 2.00    
 
TDN-9   05/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Michael Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C V DYNAMIC Apr02 Mar11 Jun19 Jun07 May10 (gonzalez )SALAZAR MAGDALENO 121 20.00    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of VICTORY POOL by VICTORY GALLOP)
2  DR. ZARNETT Mar31 Feb10 Jan23 Oct26 Oct11 (meyers shane)BRACHO A 117 20.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of ENGLATERRA by JOHANNESBURG)
3  EAGLE NEST Mar19 Jan23 Dec05 Oct08 Sep18 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 6.00 68% 0.50    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of WITHOUT A SOUND by THUNDER GULCH)
4  COUNTEVERYBLESSING Mar19 Feb27 Feb04 Jan24 Jan09 (vazquez )FERNANDEZ R 121 30.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of SHARI'S QUEEN B by MOBIL)
5  LITTLE TOY GUNS Apr09 Mar19 Jan27 Dec17 Aug30 (poole m)NUNEZ Y 121 20.00    
  (by AWESOME PATRIOT out of FORMAL PLAN by FORMAL GOLD)
6  LUST FOR LIFE Jan16 Dec09 Nov06 Sep04 Dec21 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 121 12.00 7% 12.70    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of LOVE SPUN by HARD SPUN)
7  SHADOWY Apr12 Jun22 Jun07 May09 Apr13 (hamm timothy)BARBARAN ERIK 121 3.50 ★    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of FEELING ETHEREAL by UNION RAGS)
8  VILLIAN Dec17 Nov25 Sep26 Aug30 Aug12 (hamm timothy)RIVERA R 121 5.00 ★    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of CALLISTO by MALIBU MOON)
9  SAMMY AND SHORTY Apr01 Mar11 Feb10 Jan24 Jan09 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOBIL out of SURVIVING NEW YORK by SURVIVALIST)
SCR  REIGNING DREAM Apr23 Apr02 Mar18 Mar03 Jan30 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 15.00    
  (by DREAMLINER out of REIGNING GAL by FIRST DUDE)
11  RED HEAD KID Mar30 Mar03 Feb10 Jan09 Dec23 (br)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 30.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of COMPLIMENT TREE by FLATTER)
12  GOLDEN FLAG Oct30 Oct03 Sep14 Aug20 Aug01 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.00 ★    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of SPUN FROM GOLD by HARD SPUN)
SCR  EXCITEMENT Jan09 Dec23 Dec04 Nov14 Oct26 (hamm timothy)STOKES J 119 8.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of ELATED by BLUSHING JOHN)
14  MISTER MOBIL Apr07 Mar31 Aug20 Aug10 Jul29 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 117 20.00    
  (by MOBIL out of APPLE ANNIE by LEMON DROP KID)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.