Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - March 23, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(3/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(3/4/2)-(5/2/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(5/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(5/2/3)-(2/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-3   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(2/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(2/1/4)-(7/4/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(7/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(7/4/1/5)-(4/6/1/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-5   WIN (7/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/5)-(7/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/5)-(7/4/1/5)-(7/4/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/1/5)-(4/6/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1/5)-(4/6/1/8)-(6/1/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-6   WIN (4/6/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/1/8)-(4/6/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/1/8)-(4/6/1/8)-(4/6/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/1/8)-(6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1/8)-(6/1/4)-(3/7/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-7   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(3/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(3/7/2)-(7/2/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-8   WIN (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/2)-(3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/2)-(7/2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-9   WIN (7/2/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/3)-(7/2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/4/3)-(7/2/4/3)-(7/2/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   03/23/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLARE QUILTY Jan26 Mar08 Feb09     (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 126 2.50 38% 1.70    
2  ATROCIOUS Feb27 Feb10 Dec02 Nov12 Oct28 (linder louis )OCASIO M 126 4.00    
3  ALWAYS BE SMART Feb10 Dec13 Nov07 Jul31 Jul11 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 126 3.00 20% 4.00    
4  TIMING DIFFERENCE Jan26 Feb18 Dec31 Nov15   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 126 1.40    
5  PARTY WITH SMARTY Jan01 Nov08 Oct18 Oct05 Sep19 (gutierrez james)DIAZ J 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-2   03/23/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PAM PAM Mar15 Feb27 Jan23 Jan12 Dec01 (dutrow)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 12.00    
2  SCARBOROUGH FAIR Mar09 Feb13 Dec27 Sep07 Aug11 (rice linda)SILVERA RUBEN 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  PATTY VAN TWINKLE Feb15 Jan24 Dec27 Nov30 Oct27 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.20 33% 2.00    
4  YO LEVEN Mar07 Feb13 Jan10 Dec11 Nov06 (abreu f)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 6.00 33% 2.10    
5  THE BIG CALHOUNA Feb15 Nov29 Nov06 Oct26 Oct16 (dutrow richard)LEZCANO JOSE 121 1.80    
6  BE INSPIRED Feb09 Jan17 Dec07 Oct25 Sep15 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 121 12.00    
 
AQU-3   03/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEER WILL Feb08 Jun14       (rice linda)SILVERA RUBEN 118 6.00    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of UNDERESTIMATE by BROKEN VOW)
2  TIARELLA Feb17 Jan14       (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 125 2.00 17% 4.80    
  (by NYQUIST out of ELUSIVE CHECKERS by QUALITY ROAD)
3  WAKE UP LAUREN Jan26 Dec07 Oct23 Oct10 Jun23 (reynold)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of WEB O' GOLD by HARD SPUN)
4  SECURITY DETAIL Jan23 Nov24       (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00    
  (by MAXIMUM SECURITY out of NIGHT OWL by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
5  CONSUMER SENTIMENT         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.60 54% 0.80    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of ANGEL NUMBER by LEMON DROP KID)
6  SHIRL'S DELIGHT Feb21 Jan31 May09 Apr04 Feb23 (martin carlos )LEZCANO JOSE 125 3.00    
  (by TONALIST out of DECRYPT by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
AQU-4   03/23/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($76K) 3 ALL PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VEKINDA Mar01 Feb08 Jan11 Dec08 Oct27 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 30% 2.30    
2  SUPER SWIFT Feb23 Jan12 Nov16 Nov01 Sep29 (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.20 46% 1.20    
3  SCHEDULING DUDE Jan25 Dec15 Oct27 Sep14 Aug21 (dutrow richard )CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00    
4  JUST CLARITY Feb23 Jan31 Nov23 Oct19 Sep22 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CELTIC PRINCE Feb14 Jan17       (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 120 12.00    
6  BUTTAH Feb23 Jan02 Dec14 Oct21 Sep22 (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 120 6.00    
 
AQU-5   03/23/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS UPROAR Feb27 Jan16 Dec29 Nov17 Oct12 (abreu f)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 4.50 6% 14.70    
2  READY TO ROMANCE Dec13         (goberdhan chan)CHANDRA PREM 115 20.00    
3  SUNSET PARK Jan24 Oct15       (levine bruce)DAVIS KATIE 125 12.00    
4  HOOKIN' UP         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 3.50 22% 3.50    
5  SHE'S A NATURAL Feb27 Feb07 Jan12 Dec01 Nov16 (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  DANNEEL Feb28 Feb13 Nov25 Nov12 Jun30 (schaue)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 1.60    
7  GOOD MISSION Feb27 Feb07 Jan10 Dec13 Nov17 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 125 2.50 45% 1.20    
 
AQU-6   03/23/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3 F PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SABBY SUNSET Feb28 Jan24 Jan10 Nov30   (terranova )RIVERA R 120 5.00 9% 10.00    
2  INSTANT VISION Mar08 Feb07 Dec06     (bhigroo)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 15.00    
3  DIVORCED OF COURSE Feb14 Jan19 Nov19 Nov06 Oct07 (martin f)DAVIS KATIE 120 30.00    
4  ROYAL BOBBIE Jan10         (abreu r)CANCEL ERIC 120 0.80 42% 1.40    
5  EDDIE MARIE Feb15         (duggan p)CEDENO CAROL 120 6.00    
6  MARY IN THE IRONS Feb28 Feb13       (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00 19% 4.20    
7  IMMIGRATION LAW Oct17 Sep20       (levine bruce)LUZZI J 120 6.00    
8  BROKEN ZIPPER Feb28 Feb01       (giddin)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-7   03/23/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($54K) 3 ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WESTERN WOLF Jan31 Dec15 Nov22 Oct24 Sep28 (friedman mitch)LUZZI J 122 6.00 ★    
1A  BRAVE BEAR Feb14 Jan17 Jan03 Dec06 Nov07 (friedman mitc)SILVERA RUBEN 122 6.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  ONE VISION Feb08 Jan17 Dec28 Nov29 Sep29 (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 20.00    
3  SOBIESKI Feb28 Jan31 Jan03 Dec07 Nov18 (dixon )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 15.00    
4  KING PHOENIX Feb23 Jan17 Nov23     (dutrow richard )DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  TAPWRITS TEMPER Feb28 Jan31 Jan17 Jan03 Nov14 (potts wayne)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50    
6  THREE B'S Feb23 Nov16 Oct06 Sep02 Jul19 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.20 39% 1.50    
SCR  VAMONOS VAMONOS Jan31 Jan18 Dec28 Nov14 Aug01 (toscano t)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50    
 
AQU-8   03/23/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($76K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SAIL WITH THE WIND Dec15 Mar28 Feb11 Nov19 Oct19 (englehart jerem)DAVIS KATIE 121 12.00    
2  PURPOSE Feb28 Oct25 Jul15 Apr21   (bond harold )CASTELLANO J 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  GRACE REFORMED Feb06 Nov19 Oct23 Oct09 Sep05 (guerrer)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 2.00 38% 1.60    
4  EMBRACEABLE GAL Mar01 Jan24 Jan04 Dec07 Nov05 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50    
5  MOMMASGOTTAGUN Jan24 Jun09 May16 Apr13   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.00    
6  BROOKLYN DANTZ Feb06 Jan24 Jan12 Dec15 Nov14 (arenas mar)RIVERA R 121 12.00    
7  WALK WITH ME Feb08 May10 Apr07 Feb18 Dec16 (duggan)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 3.00 21% 3.80    
 
AQU-9   03/23/2025 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($74K) 3 ALL PT- 5:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISMEHOLDMETHRLME Mar02 Feb21 Feb08     (arriaga anton)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of MOOLAH SCHMOOLAH by UNION RAGS)
2  LUCKY DRAGON Feb22 Jan25 Nov23     (miceli michae)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 22% 3.60    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of HUNDRED ACRE WOOD by TEUFLESBERG)
3  FIRST PITCH Feb21 Jan11       (jimenez l)CEDENO CAROL 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of GIANT BLOSSOM by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
4  ROMEO VOID Mar02 Jan26 Dec28 Nov15 Nov03 (green a)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 3.00 19% 4.40    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of TAPITINSILVER by TAPIT)
5  ASSET MANAGEMENT Feb22 Feb01 Dec15 Nov17 Nov02 (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of INDEMAND by SAARLAND)
6  DIO ROMANO Mar01 Jan18 Dec08 Nov03   (giddin)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 5.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of ROMAN CERES by ROMAN RULER)
7  MAGNI Feb22 Jan04 Nov17 Oct18 Sep22 (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.50 26% 2.80    
  (by AUDIBLE out of CARAMEAWAY by LAWYER RON)
8  HAVE A CIGAR Feb21 Jan04 Nov03 Sep21   (maker michael )LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of RIVIERA CHIC by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.