Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - March 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(5/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(5/6/4)-(6/3/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-2   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(6/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(6/3/2/4)-(7/4/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-3   WIN (6/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/4)-(6/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/4)-(6/3/2/4)-(6/3/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/2/4)-(7/4/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2/4)-(7/4/5/3)-(1/6/5/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-4   WIN (7/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/3)-(7/4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/3)-(7/4/5/3)-(7/4/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/5/3)-(1/6/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5/3)-(1/6/5/4)-(6/1/7/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-5   WIN (1/6/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/4)-(1/6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/4)-(1/6/5/4)-(1/6/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/5/4)-(6/1/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5/4)-(6/1/7/4)-(7/3/8/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-6   WIN (6/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/7/4)-(6/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/7/4)-(6/1/7/4)-(6/1/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/7/4)-(7/3/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/1/7/4)-(7/3/8/4)-(4/10/2/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
AQU-7   WIN (7/3/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/8/4)-(7/3/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/8/4)-(7/3/8/4)-(7/3/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/8/4)-(4/10/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-8   WIN (4/10/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/10/2/8)-(4/10/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/10/2/8)-(4/10/2/8)-(4/10/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   03/21/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($48K) 3 ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAW SAMAA Jan26 Jan03 Dec06 Oct24   (kantarmaci i)HARKIE K 120 15.00    
2  HONOR THE BULL Jan08         (sacco gregory)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50    
3  SOCIAL HOUR Jan11 Nov07 Oct13 Aug17 Jul20 (toscano john )SILVERA RUBEN 120 1.40 61% 0.60    
4  BOBBY BOB Jan24 Dec27 Nov22     (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  JOKER ON FIRE Jan11 Dec08 Nov17 Oct26 Sep29 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  STORMIN SAMMY Mar13 Mar01 Jan24 Dec08 Nov18 (sells rachel)DAVIS KATIE 120 3.50    
 
AQU-2   03/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STREET VIEW Feb22 Jan31 Dec29 Dec08 Nov16 (atras rob)OLVER MADISON 123 2.00    
2  MAGIC EIGHT BALL Jan31 Dec27 Nov10 Oct24 Sep20 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00    
SCR  BARONESS BOURBON Feb06 Jan12 Dec15 Nov29 Oct18 (giangiu)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 10.00    
4  DOLCE SERA Feb06 Jan23 Jan05 Dec12 Nov17 (delaur)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  ROMAN GODDESS Feb15 Dec29 Nov14 Oct20 Sep28 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 39% 1.50    
6  THE SHOE LADY Jan17 Dec12 Oct20 Sep13 Jun09 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00 19% 4.10    
 
AQU-3   03/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ME WISE MAGIC Jan17 Oct31 Jun30     (bond ja)COA J 126 15.00    
2  STORMY'S DREAMING Feb15 Jan17 Jan02 Dec01 Nov02 (baker charlto)FRANCO MANUEL 126 2.00 16% 5.50    
3  ALLOFASUDDENLEE Feb28 Feb02 Dec12 Nov22 Nov07 (falcone)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 121 3.50 27% 2.70    
4  PREMIER CRU Feb23 Dec27 Nov30 Nov22 Nov04 (sanchez-pin)GONZALEZ MELVIS 111 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  E Z BOURBON Feb14 Jan11       (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 118 10.00    
6  BIG EGO Feb28 Feb02 Dec15 Nov22 Nov02 (rodriguez gus)SILVERA RUBEN 126 3.00 33% 2.00    
7  FAST AMENDMENT Feb02 Jan05 Nov26     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 126 4.00    
 
AQU-4   03/21/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($76K) 3 F PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STUNNING SUGAR Dec14 Nov18 Oct28     (barrow )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 20.00    
2  SASSY SHENANIGANS Feb22 Jun23       (maker michael )LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00    
3  APRIL STORM Mar02 Nov11 Oct28     (donk david)DAVIS KATIE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  BAM'S BLISS KISS Mar02 Dec14 Nov17 Oct05 Aug25 (duggan dav)RIVERA R 122 2.50 17% 4.90    
5  CARMEN'S CANDY JAR Jan17 Dec07 Oct27 Sep22 Aug25 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 17% 4.90    
6  CARA'S DREAMWEAVER Mar02 Feb01 Jan10 Dec01 Nov03 (friedman mitc)SILVERA RUBEN 122 15.00    
7  MISS AMERICAN PIE Feb08 Dec28       (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 40% 1.50    
 
AQU-5   03/21/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ DONEGAL Dec12 Oct29 Nov17 Oct26 Sep02 (englehart jef)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.50 55% 0.80    
2  AZ U CHASE ME Jan17 Jan03 Nov29 Nov11 Oct21 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50    
3  BOSS THREE O TWO Feb22 Feb15 Jan11 Apr21 Mar10 (kantarma)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 4.50    
4  BECAUSE THE NIGHT Mar07 Feb09 Feb01 Jan16 Jan02 (arenas )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  MASTERWORK Mar07 Feb14 Jan26 Jan11 Dec28 (follett norm)HARKIE K 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  NEUSCHWANSTEIN Feb13 Jan26 Jan02 Nov24 Oct25 (potts wayne)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 17% 4.70    
7  STJAMES Feb27 Jan31 Dec28 Apr06 Mar15 (sells rachel)DAVIS KATIE 123 6.00    
SCR  STEADY PROGRESS Mar14 Feb14 Jan26 Jan18 Jan01 (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 30.00    
9  SIN NOMBRE Feb09 Jan31 Jan17 Dec06 Nov24 (romero jes)RIVERA R 123 15.00    
 
AQU-6   03/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAKE B. Feb23 Jan23 Dec15 Nov16 Oct19 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 25% 3.10    
1A  COLLECTED SPECIAL Feb14 Jan11 Dec15 Nov08 Jun22 (rodriguez r)GONZALEZ MELVIS 114 3.50    
2  HOT ROD RUMBLE Aug04 Jun29 May04 Mar22 Mar14 (keithan racha)OLVER MADISON 121 6.00    
2B  PERSISTENT DANGER Mar14 Feb23 Feb09 Jan12 May07 (keithan rachae)LUZZI J 121 6.00    
3  PERFECT FLIGHT Mar07 Feb21 Jan26 Jan04 Dec14 (shivmangal loli)DAVIS KATIE 121 6.00    
4  GUN MAESTRO Mar02 Feb14 Feb02 Aug04 Jun30 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  KHAFRE Mar02 Jan19 Dec14 Nov24 Oct10 (quick patr)RIVERA R 123 6.00    
6  FUNNY JOKE Feb23 Jul12 Jun09 Mar12 Feb05 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.50 44% 1.30    
7  FLOWING RIVER Feb23 Nov20 Jul09 Jun05 Apr29 (barrow )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 10.00 6% 15.90    
8  BRONX BOMBER Feb02 Dec06 Nov14 Nov01 Oct18 (barrera oscar )COA J 123 4.00    
 
AQU-7   03/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHITTINGTON PARK Feb15 Dec28 Aug18 Jun09 May03 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.50    
1A  THE KING CHEEK Mar01 Jan13 Nov20 Oct21 Sep10 (guerrer)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 3.50    
2  AMEDEUS MUSIC Jan23 Dec06 Oct05 Feb29 Feb02 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 5.00    
3  MY LAST MISSION Feb10 Dec06 Oct30 Oct09 Sep15 (ness jamie)GONZALEZ MELVIS 116 8.00 16% 5.20    
4  NEURAL NETWORK Mar01 Jan16 Sep28 Aug30 Jul21 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  ROCK THE WEEKEND Mar01 Jan23 Dec28 Nov23 Oct13 (shivmangal loli)DAVIS KATIE 123 10.00    
6  DR. KRAFT Feb27 Jan23 Dec14 Nov23 Aug25 (englehart chri)LUZZI J 121 6.00    
7  MIGHTY ATLAS Mar01 Jan23 Dec14 Nov22 Sep28 (miceli michael)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00 49% 1.00    
8  B D SAINTS Feb23 Jan25 Jan16 Dec14 Nov23 (maker mich)RIVERA R 123 5.00 9% 9.60    
SCR  DOLLY'S BANK Mar01 Jan26 Dec15 Dec01 Oct18 (henry)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 30.00    
 
AQU-8   03/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($29K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING FREUD Feb22 Feb07 Jan11 Oct05 Sep21 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 20.00    
2  B FIFTY TWO Jul04 May09 Mar21 Jan21 Dec14 (duggan p)CEDENO CAROL 123 3.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  MACKVILLE Mar09 Feb07 Jun16 Jun02 Apr21 (potts wayne)GONZALEZ MELVIS 116 12.00    
4  IRON MAN IRA Feb28 Jan26 Dec01 Nov02 Jul27 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  WAJDA Feb15 Jan05 Nov07 Oct03 Sep01 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00    
6  SOLO'S FURY Feb07 Oct12 Sep16 Aug18 Jun28 (englehart )RIVERA R 123 8.00    
SCR  IRISH NITRO Feb22 Jan08 Dec27     (raven ker)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 30.00    
8  CONNIVING Feb07 Jan11 Dec28 Nov30 Nov17 (figueroa carlo)LUZZI J 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  MAJESTIC ARC Mar09 Jan11 Dec28 Dec01 Nov10 (shivman)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 30.00    
10  FREEDSDALE Jun16 Apr14 Apr04     (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 22% 3.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.