Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Saturday - March 01, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/5)-(4/7/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/5)-(4/7/3/5)-(4/7/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/5)-(5/2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/5)-(5/2/4/1)-(8/1/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-2   WIN (5/2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/4/1)-(5/2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/4/1)-(5/2/4/1)-(5/2/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/4/1)-(8/1/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4/1)-(8/1/7/5)-(8/6/3/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-3   WIN (8/1/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/5)-(8/1/3/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/5)-(8/1/3/7/5)-(8/1/3/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/1/7/5)-(8/6/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/1/7/5)-(8/6/3/7)-(1/6/3/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-4   WIN (8/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/3/7)-(8/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/3/7)-(8/6/3/7)-(8/6/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/3/7)-(1/6/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/6/3/7)-(1/6/3/4)-(4/1/8/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-5   WIN (1/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/3/4)-(4/1/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3/4)-(4/1/8/6)-(3/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-6   WIN (4/1/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/8/6)-(4/1/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/8/6)-(4/1/8/6)-(4/1/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/8/6)-(3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/8/6)-(3/7/2)-(2/5/3/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-7   WIN (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/2)-(3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/2)-(2/5/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (2/5/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/3/9)-(2/5/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/3/9)-(2/5/3/9)-(2/5/3/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   03/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVINE EMPIRE Jan26 Oct04 Sep13 Aug19 Jul29 (rone penny)RIVERA R 126 2.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of SUPER DIVINE by DIVINE PARK)
2  CAESAREA         (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 118 4.00    
  (by TEXAS RYANO out of TWINKLE TOES by MANILA)
3  BLUSTERING BREEZE Jan30 Nov08       (skerrett)MARTINEZ A 118 6.00 ★    
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of CALL ME GI GI by FACTUM)
4  GALPIN SUNDAY Jun21         (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 118 1.80 57% 0.80    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of MONTHLY by MALIBU MOON)
5  GREAT REVELATION Feb12 Feb03 Jan16 Dec05 Jul14 (bailey ricard)SIMPSON JASON 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VERRAZANO out of SENSATIONAL CHARGE by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
6  BEER TIME Feb03         (sh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 12.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of CHEESECAKE by NELSON (IRE))
7  RED IN FRONT Feb03 Jan16 Dec07 Nov17 Oct13 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 126 10.00 20% 4.10    
  (by SIGNATURE RED out of SWEEPING FRONT by WAR FRONT)
 
MVR-2   03/01/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARK BARON Jan23 Jan06 Jun13 Apr29 Mar20 (tumblin andr)HALDAR J 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  CAPTURETHELAUGHTER Jan24 Jan06 Dec10 Nov19 Oct23 (gotera juan )AYALA J 124 3.50 19% 4.40    
3  TORREFACTOR Feb03 Jan07 Dec19 Dec04 Nov12 (musarro joseph)HOUGHTON D 126 6.00    
4  VERBIER (IRE) Feb12 Jan23 Jan06 Dec12 Nov07 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 3.00 18% 4.60    
5  GUT INSTINCT Jan23 Jan06 Dec03 Nov07 Sep30 (skerrett)MARTINEZ A 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
6  BAYOU MAGIC Jan17 Nov06 Jul28 Jun05 Feb09 (hill j)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00    
7  SICILIAN STYLE TWO Feb10 Jan24 Jul09 Jun13 May21 (urieta johanna)STOKES J 119 4.50    
 
MVR-3   03/01/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON WISDOM Dec19 Dec02 Nov13 Sep10 Aug20 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ A 126 3.00 20% 3.90    
2  CUGINE Jan29 Jan09 Nov19 Oct22 Sep10 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 8.00    
3  MORETHANREADYEDDIE Feb03 Dec11 Nov20 Oct22 Oct07 (g)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 126 6.00 ★    
4  NAPA DUDE Jan29 Jan09 Aug20 Jul22 Jul09 (casalinova ti)SIMPSON JASON 126 20.00    
5  CREDIT RIVER Jan29 Jan09 Nov13 Oct23 Aug27 (castro a)AVILES YAN 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  BLESS THE KITTEN Jan29 Jan09 Nov06 Sep19 Aug29 (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 126 8.00    
7  ROYAL DRAGOON Jan27 Jan08 Dec19 Nov05 Oct22 (urieta johanna)PEREZ E 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  HITSVILLE Feb05 Jan23 Dec03 Nov19 Oct30 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 126 2.50 53% 0.90    
9  SEE SPOT RUN Feb06 Jan27 Dec12 Nov20 Oct15 (spiess m)GONZALEZ A 126 4.50    
 
MVR-4   03/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOCTOR WU Jan29 Jan09 Dec16 Nov26 Oct22 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 3.50    
SCR  ROAD TO STARDOM Jan30 Jan16 Dec28 Dec01 Nov19 (inirio carlo)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
3  SOUTHERN SENSE Feb05 Nov27 Nov18 Nov12 Oct22 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 12.00 15% 5.70    
4  GAME BOY BENNY Feb03 Dec16 Nov26 Nov06 Oct28 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 2.00    
5  SCRATCHOFF Feb05 Jan16 Dec02 Oct23 Sep25 (poole c)HERMAN NOEL 119 10.00    
6  OUTKISSED Jan28 Jan02 Dec05 Nov21 Oct24 (rivera r)STOKES J 124 6.00 15% 5.60    
7  OVER THE HILLS Nov20 Nov05 Oct22 Oct06 May20 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  P MONEY Dec23 Nov16 Oct05 Sep14 Aug18 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
 
MVR-5   03/01/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICE BLAST Feb06 Jan24 Dec17 Nov26 Aug05 (rivera ne)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 1.80 37% 1.70    
2  BOSS BEAR Feb06 Jan16 Dec03 Nov14 Oct30 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 124 20.00    
3  EXONERATED PREZ Jan16 Dec05 Nov05 Oct21 Aug29 (tumblin andr)HALDAR J 124 20.00 12% 7.30    
4  HAD RIGHT Feb06 Jan16 Dec26 Dec05 Nov05 (huffman can)NUNEZ Y 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  MAMBA FOREVER Feb06 Jan07 Dec16 Nov27 Aug08 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 12.00    
6  JARLIAN Feb04 Jan27 Dec26 Dec16 Dec05 (ortiz-ruiz c)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 8.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  KADESH Aug27 Aug05 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50    
8  MILLARD'S SMILE Jan13 Dec12 Nov26 Nov02 Oct13 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 4.50    
SCR  SMALL SAILOR Feb08 Jan23 Jan07 Dec09 Nov21 (s)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 124 20.00    
10  LEO AND ROYAL Feb04 Jan17 Dec07 Nov25 Oct28 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 124 6.00    
 
MVR-6   03/01/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONEY ROOM Jan29 Dec28 Dec09 Oct22 Sep27 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.00 13% 6.50    
2  DELTA RIDGE Jan29 Dec09 Nov18 Oct21 Oct08 (pappada julie)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00    
3  BIG POPPER Jan29 Dec28 Dec09 Nov02 Oct22 (r)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 124 20.00    
4  LAST COOKIE Feb05 Jan09 Dec23 Dec10 Nov25 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 126 2.50 57% 0.70    
5  TIZ SPEEDY Dec28 Dec08 Nov16 Oct24 Sep18 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00    
6  MITOLE'S WISH Feb08 Jan24 Jan06 Dec19 Dec04 (morales m)PEREZ A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  LAW OF THE JUNGLE Jan29 Dec28 Oct23 Sep27 Aug31 (poole m)BRACHO A 124 5.00    
8  PANTHERA'S FATE Feb08 Jan23 Jan07 Dec11 Nov25 (rone penny)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 6% 16.80    
 
MVR-7   03/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY GIRL KEW Feb06 Apr13 Feb01 Dec14 Nov14 (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 124 2.50    
2  KISS VALENTINA Feb06 Jan07 Dec23 Nov04 Aug22 (castro a)AVILES YAN 124 10.00 9% 10.80    
3  KISS ME QUICK Feb06 Jan07 Dec04 Aug12 Jun07 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
4  BEAUTIFUL SCORE Feb05 Dec26 Dec05 Nov05 Sep18 (winters michelle)PEREZ A 126 15.00    
SCR  OLYMPIC WINGS Feb06 Jan08 Dec17 Nov26 Nov06 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 12.00    
6  HOT PRINCESS (GB) Feb06 Jan07 Apr24 Apr10 Mar19 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00    
7  MY KINDA PARTY Nov11 Oct26 Aug10 Jul22 Jul04 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 116 1.60 19% 4.30    
 
MVR-8   03/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRINCESSOFTHENORTH Feb08 Jan08 Dec26 Dec09 Nov01 (rivera ne)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 8.00    
2  AZ WE SPEAK Jan29 Dec23 Nov19 Nov04 Oct08 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.00 24% 3.10    
3  KERLO'S CAUSE Feb08 Jan15 Nov07 Oct19 Oct04 (short thomas)STOKES J 124 30.00 20% 4.00    
4  PRINCESS IS OLIVIA Jan03 Nov13 Oct26 Sep25 Aug25 (kenneally eddie)AVILES YAN 124 1.20    
5  GO GIRL Feb08 Jan13 Dec28 Dec03 Nov18 (yoder susan)NUNEZ Y 126 12.00 23% 3.30    
6  BEATIFUL KARLA Jan30 Jan15 Dec13 Nov09 Oct19 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00    
SCR  DEVRA WARRIOR Feb04 Dec18 Nov27 Nov15 Oct11 (tumblin andrew)PEREZ A 124 30.00    
8  ASHLEE'S RING Jan09 Dec07 Aug28 Aug02 Jul10 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00    
9  SACRED CONNECTION Feb06 Jan24 Jan09 Oct04 Sep28 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EMERSON JONES Feb08 Dec18 Nov27 Oct28 Aug26 (skerrett)MARTINEZ A 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.