Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - January 30, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(2/5)-(3/8/4/2/9) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
MVR-2   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/5)-(3/8/4/2/9) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(3/8/4/2/9)-(7/6/1) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
MVR-3   WIN (3/8/4/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/4/2/9)-(3/8/4/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/4/2/9)-(3/8/4/2/9)-(3/8/4/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/8/4/2/9)-(7/6/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/8/4/2/9)-(7/6/1)-(7/1/6/9/10) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
MVR-4   WIN (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/1)-(7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/1)-(7/1/6/9/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/6/1)-(7/1/6/9/10)-(4/1/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-5   WIN (7/1/6/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/6/9/10)-(7/1/6/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/6/9/10)-(7/1/6/9/10)-(7/1/6/9/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/1/6/9/10)-(4/1/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/1/6/9/10)-(4/1/3/8)-(9/8/3/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-6   WIN (4/1/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/8)-(4/1/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/8)-(4/1/3/8)-(4/1/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/3/8)-(9/8/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3/8)-(9/8/3/5)-(6/1/3/4/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-7   WIN (9/8/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/3/5)-(9/8/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/3/5)-(9/8/3/5)-(9/8/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/8/3/5)-(6/1/3/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
MVR-8   WIN (6/1/3/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/4/9)-(6/1/3/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/3/4/9)-(6/1/3/4/9)-(6/1/3/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAST TALKIN MAN Dec21 Dec01       (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 3.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of FANCY DIAMOND by EASTERN ECHO)
2  REASON TO BELIEVE Dec12 Oct30 Oct08 Sep30 Aug09 (urieta johanna)PEREZ E 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of ALBEIT by MINESHAFT)
3  RUFUS Jan13 Dec12 Nov25 Nov11   (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 122 4.00    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of KEY VISTA by REDATTORE (BRZ))
4  BLUSTERING BREEZE Nov08         (skerrett)MARTINEZ A 122 2.00 67% 0.50    
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of CALL ME GI GI by FACTUM)
5  MR. FREDERICKSON Jan13 Dec14       (acevedo israe)CEDILLO MAURO 122 3.50 8% 11.80    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SENTIENT by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
6  NERO RAY Jan13 Dec28       (acevedo israe)BRACHO A 122 8.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
MVR-2   01/30/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRONCLAD ALIBI Dec27 Nov21 Nov06 Oct11 Aug19 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 3.50    
2  REIGNING DREAM Dec27 Nov25 Nov11 Oct26 Oct09 (zielinski ri)AYALA J 124 1.60 36% 1.80    
3  SHAKE THE FROST Dec27 Nov21 Oct26 Oct09 Sep19 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 124 4.00    
4  ORFANO Dec27 Oct23 Oct03 Dec30 Nov27 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 124 2.00 ★    
5  COLOR BEARER Dec09 Nov06 Oct08 Sep16 Aug26 (skerrett je)NUNEZ Y 124 8.00 18% 4.60    
 
MVR-3   01/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAY'S EMPIRE Jan07 Dec12 Nov26 Nov12 Oct29 (szczepanski em)DIAZ I 126 4.50    
2  RADIO SILENT Dec03 Nov07 Oct21 Sep26 Sep04 (hamm timothy)DIAZ R 124 8.00 10% 9.30    
3  SOCIAL HISTORY Dec10 Nov11 Jul15 Jun26 May21 (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 124 3.00 38% 1.60    
4  ROLLIN MY WAY Jan13 Dec23 Nov26 Nov12 Oct21 (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 124 5.00 10% 9.00    
5  LOTSA MATCHA Jan13 Dec23 Dec03 Nov06 Oct21 (g)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 124 20.00    
6  PRESSLEY RIDGE Dec27 May30 Apr24 Mar18 Feb29 (pappada a)STOKES J 124 20.00    
7  PARTY POOPER Dec12 Nov26 Nov02 Oct05 Aug22 (hamm timoth)BLANCHE RISHAWN 119 4.00    
8  CAVALETTO Jan13 Dec03 Jul04 Jun18 May15 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 16% 5.10    
9  SHOWTIME BOY Jan13 Dec19 Dec03 Nov07 Oct03 (galloway k)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  ONE STEP ASIDE Jan13 Dec23 Dec03 Nov07 Oct23 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00    
 
MVR-4   01/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESSOFTHENORTH Jan08 Dec26 Dec09 Nov01 Oct06 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  THE MIRACLE KIUT Jan07 Dec11 Nov18 Oct29 Oct01 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00    
3  TATTERED HEART Jun24 Jun03 May13 Apr01 Mar18 (juarez-mendo)HALDAR J 124 20.00    
SCR  ASHLEE'S RING Jan09 Dec07 Aug28 Aug02 Jul10 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50    
5  CAUSE OF LOVE Jan09 Dec16 Dec03 Nov12 Oct26 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 8.00    
6  KERLO'S CAUSE Jan15 Nov07 Oct19 Oct04 Sep20 (short thomas)STOKES J 124 15.00 27% 2.70    
7  SILENT RULE Dec17 Nov25 Sep02 Aug10   (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 0.80 41% 1.40    
 
MVR-5   01/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOBBY G Dec26 Dec10 Oct23 Oct07 Jun05 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 126 4.50 21% 3.70    
2  THE DRAKE Jan09 Sep16 Aug06 Nov20 Oct06 (flores christian)AVILES YAN 126 15.00    
3  FISHING FOR FUN Jan09 Dec12 Nov27 Nov12 Oct29 (ibarra marco)HALDAR J 126 20.00    
4  RY'S REVENGE Jan15 Nov17 Oct06 Jul24 Jun30 (flores chris)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 20.00    
5  PERFECT WAGER Jan15 Dec28 Dec08 Nov12 Oct20 (norris stephani)PAUCAR E 126 12.00    
6  FEELTHEBEAT Dec06 Nov15 Oct21 Oct15 Oct08 (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50 20% 3.90    
7  LAND MARK DEAL Dec28 Dec02 Nov11 Nov04 Oct13 (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 126 3.00 22% 3.50    
8  UNCLEJACKOMO Jan15 Dec28 Dec12 Nov12 Nov04 (faulkner r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 126 20.00    
9  TROPIC STORM Dec31 Dec04 Nov26 Nov06 Oct08 (clouston edward)PEREZ E 126 5.00 5% 19.00    
10  CANDY CRUSHEM Jul29 Jul09 Jun30 Jun08 May18 (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  THE LAST FACT Jan15 Dec28 Dec10 Nov27 Nov02 (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 126 8.00    
 
MVR-6   01/30/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REAL NAUGHTY Dec30 Nov16 Sep24 Sep03 Jul23 (cline robert )BRACHO A 124 2.00 16% 5.20    
2  DOUBLE THUNDER Dec13 Oct03 Sep01 Aug04 Jul07 (young r)REYES FRANK 124 4.50    
3  SAILOR'S CHANCE Jan07 Dec23 Nov11 Nov05 Oct23 (hurley)RODRIGUEZ A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  SOUPER FORTUNE Jan13 Dec17 Dec03 Nov11 Oct24 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 61% 0.60    
5  PEPPER PIKE Dec12 Nov26 Nov14 Oct30 Sep18 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 6.00    
6  MILLARD'S SMILE Jan13 Dec12 Nov26 Nov02 Oct13 (calderon iva)HALDAR J 124 10.00    
7  OILER Jan13 Dec09 Nov26 Nov06 Oct21 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 126 8.00    
8  NOTORIOUS SIXOHTWO Jan07 Dec12 Nov21 Oct30 Oct19 (crumley jev)BLANCHE RISHAWN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-7   01/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CALL IT A NIGHT Dec28 Dec11 Nov14 Oct01 Sep09 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 2.50    
SCR  ALL MY LIFE Dec12         (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 116 10.00    
3  ASYMMETRIC (IRE) Dec28 Apr12 Mar16 Mar02 Feb09 (jansen kenny)STOKES J 124 12.00 11% 7.70    
4  CLASSIC RICHIE Dec28 Nov20 Jul09 Jun14   (tumbli)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
5  TAP VALLEY Dec28 Dec09 Oct22 Oct07 Sep16 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 124 12.00 9% 10.50    
6  LIBERTANGO Dec28 Nov21 Oct22 Oct07 Sep16 (skerrett jef)ROSARIO L 124 8.00    
7  STREETS OF WAR Dec11 Nov22 Oct23 Oct07 Sep20 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 116 4.00    
8  PLAIN AND SIMPLE Dec28 Dec09 Nov21 Oct22 Sep30 (skerrett)MARTINEZ A 124 6.00 14% 6.10    
9  TIMESATAPPIN Dec09 Nov04 Oct22 May06 Apr23 (loudin-smith )TOLEDO S 124 3.50 34% 1.90    
 
MVR-8   01/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRILL EM Jan15 Dec28 Dec12 Nov27 Nov13 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
  (by DRILL out of EM N EMMY by SKY MESA)
2  OH LOVER BOY         (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 122 15.00    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of LOVE FIRST SIGHT by ALKE)
3  R C IRONSIDE Jan15 Dec28 Dec02 Oct28 Oct04 (donjua)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 3.50 10% 9.10    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of MERRIE GOGO by MUSIC CITY)
4  SILVER IS A GIFT Jan15 Dec28 Dec12 Nov27 Nov13 (andrade )FERNANDEZ R 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of SILVER COIN LADY by OLD FASHIONED)
5  REMIX FROM PHOENIX Dec28 Dec12 Nov27 Oct09   (langley j)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 122 20.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of HEATHERFROMPHOENIX by SAN PABLO)
6  BE AN EDDIE Jan15 Dec28 Nov27     (rone penny)AVILES YAN 122 2.00 47% 1.10    
  (by BIONDETTI out of FLUFFY ONTHEINSIDE by NORTHERN AFLEET)
7  DUO Jan15 Dec28 Nov27 Nov13 Oct28 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
  (by DRILL out of DOTTHEI by HAYNESFIELD)
8  SEE YA ALLIGATOR         (flores christi)DIAZ I 122 20.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of UNLIMITED UPSIDE by SHACKLEFORD)
9  FLARING SONG Jan15 Dec16 Nov13     (bird danny)WEATHERLY BAILEY 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of FLARING STAR by TAP DAY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.