Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Friday - January 24, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(4/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(4/2/5)-(9/1/4/2/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-2   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(9/1/4/2/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(9/1/4/2/7)-(2/5/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-3   WIN (9/1/4/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/4/2/7)-(9/1/4/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/4/2/7)-(9/1/4/2/7)-(9/1/4/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/1/4/2/7)-(2/5/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/1/4/2/7)-(2/5/4/1)-(4/3/2/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-4   WIN (2/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/1)-(2/5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/1)-(2/5/4/1)-(2/5/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/4/1)-(4/3/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4/1)-(4/3/2/8)-(1/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-5   WIN (4/3/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/8)-(4/3/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/8)-(4/3/2/8)-(4/3/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/2/8)-(1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2/8)-(1/7/2)-(1/4/2/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-6   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/2)-(1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/2)-(1/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2)-(1/4/2/7)-(3/5/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-7   WIN (1/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/2/7)-(1/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2/7)-(1/4/2/7)-(1/4/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/2/7)-(3/5/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MVR-8   WIN (3/5/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/2/6)-(3/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/2/6)-(3/5/2/6)-(3/5/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUDY'S COMET Dec16 Dec02 Nov14 Oct29 Oct10 (zielinski richard)STOKES J 122 2.00 55% 0.80    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of MASTERFUL MISS by MIZZEN MAST)
SCR  SMOKE N MOONSHINE Dec02 Oct29       (bernardini jay )TAPARA LUIS 122 15.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of DOWN ON COPPERLINE by MUTAKDDIM)
3  MY BABY BULLET Jan09 Dec16 Dec02 Oct29 Jul23 (langley jo)WEATHERLY BAILEY 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COPPER BULLET out of LUCY NATION by TAPITURE)
4  A THOUSAND PRAYERS Dec27 Dec10 Nov26 Nov13   (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 8.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of PRAY BABY PRAY by VIOLENCE)
5  BUCKEYE TAKEOVER         (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 122 1.60 23% 3.30    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TAKE CHARGE GIRL by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
6  DREAMING OF WAR Oct09 Sep09       (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 117 3.50    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of RUSH TO WAR by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
 
MVR-2   01/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE HOT MESS Dec06 Nov08 Oct02 Sep13 Aug29 (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.60    
2  ISLANDINTHESTREAM Nov14 Oct24 Oct09 Sep24 Aug04 (pappada ju)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 6.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  WINE AND WAVES Dec23 Dec03 Oct22 Oct10 Sep23 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00    
4  SICILIAN STYLE TWO Jul09 Jun13 May21 Apr25 Jan04 (urieta johanna)STOKES J 124 2.50 41% 1.40    
5  FRAC AMOUR Dec23 Dec08 Nov17 Oct26 Sep23 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00 7% 13.30    
6  GRACIE DANCE Dec23 Nov27 Nov05 Oct21 Sep11 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 124 15.00    
 
MVR-3   01/24/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARMY KITTEN Jan06 Nov14 Nov04 Jul06 Jun15 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 124 4.00 28% 2.60    
2  I FEEL THE NEED Jan06 Dec10 Sep09 Jul23 Jun22 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  SACRED CONNECTION Jan09 Oct04 Sep28 Sep13 Aug07 (bailey ric)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 5.00    
4  BIG JAVA Dec16 May27 Apr23 Apr09 Jan31 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 6.00 10% 9.40    
5  LUBU Dec27 Nov27 Nov12 Oct30 Oct05 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 2.50    
6  Q BOND Dec02 Nov19 Nov06 Sep20 Sep12 (short w)STOKES J 124 20.00    
7  WILDCAT DREAM Dec18 Dec04 Nov14 Oct21 May30 (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  PEARLINTHEROUGH Dec03 Oct19 Sep19 Sep04 Aug14 (tumbli)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00    
9  BATTLE TESTED Jan06 Dec04 Nov14 Oct30 Oct02 (tumblin andre)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
 
MVR-4   01/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARAH JANE Dec18 Nov18 Oct29 Oct03 Sep14 (bates l)BRACHO A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  TRULY INCLUSIVE Dec18 Nov18 Sep09 Jul04 Jun03 (rone penny)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
3  COWCHI Sep02 Aug07 Jul17 Jun10 Apr29 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00    
4  DANZA MAGIC Dec18 Dec03 Nov12 Oct26 Oct11 (faulkner c)STOKES J 124 6.00 8% 11.10    
5  EXACTITUDE Dec28 Nov18 Oct29 Sep30 Aug28 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 1.60 26% 2.80    
6  POWER BANKER Dec18 Nov18 Jul25 Jul17 May30 (cline rob)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 2.00    
7  SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS Dec28 Dec11 Nov13 Oct28 Aug26 (skerre)RODRIGUEZ A 119 4.00    
 
MVR-5   01/24/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND DEAL Jan07 Dec19 Nov07 Oct22 Oct01 (juarez-mendo)HALDAR J 124 20.00    
2  PUNCTUALITY Dec10 Nov27 Nov17 Nov04 Oct20 (cordero-lopez ale)PEREZ E 124 12.00 13% 6.60    
3  MITOLE'S WISH Jan06 Dec19 Dec04 Nov20 Nov05 (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 6.00 17% 4.80    
4  CHAPS KNIGHT Jan06 Dec19 Dec09 Nov18 Oct24 (pappada a)STOKES J 124 1.80 36% 1.80    
5  STOLICH Jan06 Dec10 Dec03 Nov19 Oct26 (norris stephan)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
6  CAPTURETHELAUGHTER Jan06 Dec10 Nov19 Oct23 Oct16 (gotera juan )AYALA J 124 3.00    
7  JIMMY JUNGA Jan06 Dec19 Dec04 Nov18 Oct22 (faulkner r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 20.00    
8  FOOD FOODIE Jan06 Dec19 Dec04 Nov18 Nov02 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LEAVENWORTH Jan06 Dec19 Nov04 Oct01 Sep10 (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 126 3.50    
 
MVR-6   01/24/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRIKE APPEAL Dec17 Nov13 Sep18 Aug27 Jul09 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 124 1.60 66% 0.50    
2  ICE BLAST Dec17 Nov26 Aug05 Jul15 Jun24 (rivera ne)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  WINNING DRIVE Dec04 Nov11 Oct14 Sep17 Aug27 (galloway khadeem)PEREZ E 124 2.50    
4  NOBLE BEHAVIOR Dec26 Dec10 Oct29 Oct11 Aug15 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 30.00    
5  T MONEY Dec05 Nov11 Oct19 Sep16 Aug11 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.00    
SCR  STAR ENTERTAINER Dec19 Oct23 Oct08 Sep04 Aug06 (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 124 20.00    
7  EXALTED JOY Dec23 Dec12 Nov20 Nov06 Oct22 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50 7% 13.50    
 
MVR-7   01/24/2025 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAMMY AND SHORTY Jan09 Dec16 Nov25 Sep18 Sep09 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 124 4.50 32% 2.20    
2  SOUTH STREET Dec28 Dec04 Nov17 Aug18 Jul28 (meyers shane)STOKES J 124 8.00 12% 7.60    
3  PATIENT CAPITAL Dec29 Dec08 Nov10 Oct20 Sep21 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00    
4  TIER ONE Jan09 Dec17 Dec02 Nov12 Oct08 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00 20% 4.00    
5  BERNIN HOT Dec28 Dec01 Oct30 Oct04 Sep12 (davis christop)DIAZ I 124 3.00    
6  DR JACK FLYER Jan06 Dec19 Nov08 Sep27 Aug17 (urieta joh)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 6.00    
7  COUNTEVERYBLESSING Jan09 Dec17 Nov14 Oct11 Sep26 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  MAGICAL MONARCH Jan09 Dec18 Dec02 Nov13 Nov01 (rivera ne)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 15.00    
 
MVR-8   01/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEMITEBEAPORCHE Dec18         (bird danny)NUNEZ Y 126 20.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of TIDALOVE by TIDAL VOLUME)
2  RAVEN'S HONOR Jan06 Dec18 Nov24 Nov17 Nov03 (holton reb)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of REBECCA'S RAVEN by GRINDSTONE)
3  MYSTICAL MOBIL Jan06 Dec18 Nov20     (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 2.00 38% 1.70    
  (by MOBIL out of QUEEN OF SPRING by SPRING AT LAST)
SCR  RIVERS RUN RED Jan08 Dec17 Nov20 Oct30 Oct01 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 126 15.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of PERFECTON PRINCESS by ECTON PARK)
5  GOGO NEV'S Oct05 Sep25 Sep11 Aug21 Jul31 (campos paulo)TAPARA BRANDON 126 3.00 32% 2.10    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of VAN GOGO GIRL by VAN NISTELROOY)
6  RIVER HUSTLER Feb05 Jan11 Dec28     (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of I'M READY by MORE THAN READY)
7  MISS SIX Jan06 Dec18 Aug26 Aug07 Apr08 (urieta joh)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 3.50    
  (by TEAM SIX out of HOPE IS JUST AHEAD by LINE OF DAVID)
SCR  SHESTHEPERFECTSONG Jan06 Dec18 Nov20     (bird danny)WEATHERLY BAILEY 126 20.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of MOONLIGHT FLITE by MINARDI)
9  MOBIL DREAM STAR Dec18 Nov06 Sep25 Sep11 Nov28 (butcher james)SIMPSON JASON 126 6.00    
  (by MOBIL out of DREAM MANAGER by BERNSTEIN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.