Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Saturday - April 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (3/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/7)-(3/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/7)-(3/2/6/7)-(3/2/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/6/7)-(3/7/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6/7)-(3/7/4/5)-(3/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-2   WIN (3/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/5)-(3/7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/5)-(3/7/4/5)-(3/7/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/4/5)-(3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4/5)-(3/5/1)-(4/6/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-3   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(4/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(4/6/2/3)-(1/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-4   WIN (4/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/2/3)-(4/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/2/3)-(4/6/2/3)-(4/6/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/2/3)-(1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2/3)-(1/3/4)-(1/2/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-5   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4/2)-(1/3/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(1/2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(1/2/3/4)-(4/1/8/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-6   WIN (1/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/3/4)-(1/2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/4)-(1/2/3/4)-(1/2/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/3/4)-(4/1/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3/4)-(4/1/8/5)-(6/3/7/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
HAW-7   WIN (4/1/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/8/5)-(4/1/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/8/5)-(4/1/8/5)-(4/1/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/8/5)-(6/3/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HAW-8   WIN (6/3/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/7/8)-(6/3/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/7/8)-(6/3/7/8)-(6/3/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   04/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESERT HIGHWAY Mar31 Mar23 Dec12 Nov08 Oct06 (ramos francisc)COLON H 122 4.00    
2  ON K P Sep04 Aug03 Jul09 Jun15 May19 (rednour jo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.50 27% 2.80    
3  COALMINER'S KITTEN Mar24 Aug27 Aug06 Jul16 Apr20 (arnett g)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 1.60 39% 1.50    
4  SLAVA UKRAINI Mar24 Oct14 Aug30 Aug13 Jul30 (zawitz joe)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 8.00    
5  JIM'S RIVER RUNNER Dec14 Nov22 Nov08 Oct24 Oct06 (ramos fran)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 10.00    
6  COUNTRY GUY Mar16 Feb15 Feb02 Jan04 Nov30 (rodriguez eduard)NAVAS YOEL 111 6.00 10% 8.70    
7  OVER CALENDARED Jan12 Dec21 Nov24 Sep22 Aug23 (spagnola id)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-2   04/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGGIE E Apr06 Mar23 Jan27 Jan05 Dec26 (quinonez ma)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 8.00    
2  IMAGE OF CURLIN Feb01 Dec29 Nov25     (irion heathe)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 5.00    
3  BOYCE'S BANDITA Apr07 Jun13       (vanden br)COLON H 124 4.50 46% 1.20    
4  TRIBEST (ARG) Apr07 Feb23 Feb04 Jan25 Jan06 (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 124 2.50 8% 11.30    
5  PEGGY'S WAY Oct27 Sep27 Aug23 Aug08 Jul11 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 118 6.00 7% 13.40    
6  TU ROYAL Mar30 Aug27 Jul25 Jul11 Jun25 (manley ste)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 8.00    
7  GRACEFUL SCARLETT Jun09 May20 Apr29     (manley ste)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.00 13% 6.80    
 
HAW-3   04/20/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOCELYN Mar23 Feb16 Jan26 Jan11 Dec21 (lopez elias)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 4.00 16% 5.30    
2  HOLY STAR Apr06 Mar23 Aug27 Aug09 Jul23 (weir george )GILES EMMANUEL 124 10.00    
3  ANNA AFTER MIDNITE Mar23 Jan31 Dec09 Nov07 Oct25 (vanden britt)FELIX E 118 1.40 41% 1.40    
SCR  LIGHTNING MELODY Feb16 Feb03 Jan07 Oct19 Sep01 (lopez elias)COLON H 124 10.00    
5  MULSANNE (IRE) Apr07 Nov30 Nov11 Oct23 Oct12 (horvath k)NAVAS YOEL 119 4.50 20% 3.90    
6  ALTAR GIRL Mar15 Feb23 Feb09 Oct21 Sep30 (litfin veronica)MOJICA O 124 8.00    
7  GOOD MAGIC WOMAN Mar24 Feb18 Jan19 Nov17 Oct14 (winebaugh )GALLARDO EDUARDO 118 6.00    
 
HAW-4   04/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOYZELLA Mar31 Aug27 Aug10 Aug03 Jul16 (spagnola id)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 5.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of TIZ TERESA by TIZNOW)
2  MISS HIGH N MIGHTY Nov07 Oct17 Sep21 Sep03 Aug24 (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 124 8.00 6% 15.80    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of OAK MARSH by FIRST SAMURAI)
3  THE LAST THRILL Mar30 Nov07 Oct17     (lopez elias)COLON H 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INCLUDE out of APT TO THRILL by APTITUDE)
4  DEVIL Mar30 Dec14 Nov07 Oct11 Aug31 (boyce michele)HERNANDEZ K 118 1.40 62% 0.60    
  (by FAST ANNA out of SPEED DEVIL by BRILLIANT SPEED)
5  COLLIE WRAYS KITTY Mar30 Nov14 Oct24     (rednour jr)NAVAS YOEL 119 20.00    
  (by BIG BLUE KITTEN out of MALLORY'S CHANNEL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
6  CHERYL'S APPEAL Mar30         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00 7% 12.80    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of TRY TO APPEAL by SKIP TRIAL)
7  LIONS LAW Nov17         (young terr)GALLARDO EDUARDO 118 12.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SHE IS A LIONESS by LION HEART)
8  I DID THE MATH Mar30 Dec02 Nov07 Oct24   (rednour jr)MOJICA O 124 6.00    
  (by NOTIONAL out of KARAH'S CHANNEL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
 
HAW-5   04/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO TAPPIN OUT Mar13 Feb23 Nov29 Oct18 Sep28 (morey e)FELIX E 122 2.00 27% 2.80    
2  FAST N HAPPY Mar31 Jan06 Dec22 Nov26 Sep24 (young r)COLON H 124 4.50 ★    
3  LIL CHILLY Mar14 Feb22 Jan18 Jan01   (scherer gary)NAVAS YOEL 111 6.00 22% 3.60    
4  FIRST LOVE Mar21 Mar01 Feb03 Jan11 Dec14 (tracy tann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 3.50 21% 3.80    
5  BROKEN HEARTS BAY Mar30 Mar03 Feb17 Dec19 Jul08 (arnett g)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00    
6  HIGHWOOD Jul02         (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 116 8.00    
7  BLAZE BEAUTY Mar30 Nov18 Oct31 Oct14 Sep19 (essenpreis )BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 12.00    
 
HAW-6   04/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MODAZZLE Mar30 Feb23 Sep12 Sep02 Aug19 (watkins ja)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 4.50 27% 2.70    
2  NEW DICE Feb17 Dec21 Nov15 Oct27 Aug13 (litfin veronica)MOJICA O 122 8.00 25% 3.00    
3  I'M YOUR CAPTAIN Mar24 Nov07 Oct24 Oct07 Sep19 (zawitz joel)NAVAS YOEL 117 6.00 15% 5.50    
4  READY MADE Mar24 Nov04 Jul04 Jun17 May30 (lynch harry )GILES EMMANUEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  U S HONOUR NAP Apr07 Nov18 Oct24 Sep09 Aug26 (zawitz joel)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00    
6  SOVIET STANDARD Mar24 Aug09 Jun18 May28 May14 (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 5.00    
SCR  WEST ISLAND Mar30 Jan27 Dec13 Sep09 Aug12 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 1.40    
8  TEQUILA FLATS Dec14 Nov20 Nov08 Oct21 Sep08 (ramos francisc)COLON H 122 20.00    
 
HAW-7   04/20/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAWAIIAN HIDE AWAY Apr06 Jan25 Dec28 Nov17 Oct31 (young r)FELIX E 124 3.50 18% 4.50    
2  PALHACO Mar31 Mar02 Feb10 Jan18 Dec20 (meraz antonio)COLON H 116 8.00    
3  MINNESOTA MOON Apr06 Mar23 Jan11 Nov18 Nov02 (quinonez max)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 12.00    
4  IZEONDEC Mar31 Mar08 Jan26 Dec17 Nov30 (rodriguez eduard)NAVAS YOEL 117 1.60 29% 2.50    
5  JUST BECAUSE Mar15 Mar02 Feb10 Dec29 Dec13 (litfin veronica)MOJICA O 122 6.00 9% 10.20    
6  MASQUERADE BALL Apr06 Sep29 Aug31 Jul27 Jul06 (rosas rigo)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 15.00    
7  ARMAVIR Sep12 Aug30 Aug10 Jul19 Jul12 (perez manny)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00    
8  PERFUMER Mar31 Jan11 Nov29 Apr27 Apr13 (quinonez )ULLOA JOAN 122 5.00 10% 9.30    
 
HAW-8   04/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEZA HOOT Mar31 Oct03 Sep16 Aug23 Aug12 (perez manny)LOPEZ A 122 20.00    
2  LADY ATLANTIC Apr07 Mar23 Mar23 Oct29 Oct15 (ryan a)NAVAS YOEL 117 20.00    
3  ESSENTIAL BELLA Feb04 Dec18 Dec08 Oct26 Sep13 (berndt jo)ULLOA JOAN 122 4.50 24% 3.20    
4  AUNT STELLA Mar31 Mar23 Nov14 Oct31 Sep26 (castro isidr)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 3.00    
5  TAP N TWINE Apr14 Mar31 Aug16 Jul27 Jul06 (ryan chris)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 20.00    
6  SUMMER AT THE SPA Feb07 Dec08 Nov10 Oct25 Sep26 (reavis mich)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 2.50 26% 2.80    
7  PLAY TWENTY Apr07 Mar23 Aug29 Aug13 Jul26 (watkins m)FELIX E 122 3.50 18% 4.40    
8  STACK SHACK Apr13 Mar31 Jan04 Dec10 Nov18 (castro isidr)GILES EMMANUEL 122 8.00 9% 10.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.