Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - April 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (2/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/7)-(2/6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/7)-(2/6/4/7)-(2/6/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/4/7)-(7/6/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4/7)-(7/6/1/5)-(4/6/5/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-4   WIN (7/6/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/1/5)-(7/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/1/5)-(7/6/1/5)-(7/6/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/1/5)-(4/6/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/1/5)-(4/6/5/1)-(1/2/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-5   WIN (4/6/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/5/1)-(4/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/5/1)-(4/6/5/1)-(4/6/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/5/1)-(1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5/1)-(1/2/7)-(2/6/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-6   WIN (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/7)-(1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/7)-(2/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/7)-(2/6/7/4)-(2/7/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-7   WIN (2/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/7/4)-(2/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/7/4)-(2/6/7/4)-(2/6/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/7/4)-(2/7/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7/4)-(2/7/6/4)-(6/4/7/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-8   WIN (2/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/4)-(2/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/4)-(2/7/6/4)-(2/7/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/6/4)-(6/4/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6/4)-(6/4/7/3)-(9/11/8/12/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-9   WIN (6/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/3)-(6/4/7/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/4/7/3)-(6/4/7/3/9)-(6/4/7/3/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/4/7/3)-(9/11/8/12/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TUP-10   WIN (9/11/8/12/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/11/8/12/4)-(9/11/8/12/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/11/8/12/4)-(9/11/8/12/4)-(9/11/8/12/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   04/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WESTERN CAPE Mar16 Mar08 Dec09 Oct23 Oct06 (perez s)PENA BRYAN 122 12.00    
2  SHOT OF A LIFETIME Mar22 Feb09 Jan13 Dec09 Nov19 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 2.50 35% 1.90    
3  TOP OF MY GAME Mar21 Feb15 Jan29 Jan13 Dec08 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 4.50    
4  SURPRSINGLYPERFECT Mar21 Jan18 Dec18 Nov21 Oct29 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 8.00 14% 6.40    
5  DISCRETIONARY DAY Mar21 Mar12 Feb15 Jan14 Dec09 (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00    
6  TENTH STREET DON Mar11 Feb27 Jan26 Dec30 Nov26 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
7  HEAT N REHEAT Jan26 Jan13 Dec10 Nov12 Oct23 (tamayo isid)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 5.00 8% 12.20    
8  LAST MARTINI Feb22 Oct25 Aug30 Jul23 Jul09 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 8.00    
 
TUP-4   04/09/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEE YOU AT THE TOP Mar20 Mar05 Feb15 Feb05 Jan12 (torres-casa)MORALES ROBERTO 122 10.00 12% 7.40    
2  BONITA DIXIE Mar18 Feb26 Feb07 Sep09 Aug21 (barrio sergio)CRUZ M 124 4.00    
3  CHOCOLATE FRECKLES Mar11 Feb21 Feb06 Jan12 Dec18 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.50    
4  MICKEY DOBBS Mar20 Feb26 Mar28 Mar05 Jan17 (martinez )VALENZUELA A 122 3.00    
5  ROSES FOR SUZZETT Mar11 Feb21 Feb05 Jan12 Nov13 (torres-ca)IRONEYES R 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  TRICAR MISS Feb26 Jun23 Mar26 Feb26 Dec20 (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
7  TOBY'S CANDY Mar20 Jun11 May29 Apr17 Mar19 (silva-mart)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 6.00 26% 2.90    
 
TUP-5   04/09/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($15K) 3 ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RENNIEGADE BROS Dec01 Sep03       (rennie rich)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  SEEKET SAUCE Mar27 Mar18 Feb23 Feb10 Jan12 (dennis c)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 8.00    
3  HUSTO Mar26 Mar18 Feb29 Feb12 Apr15 (hernandez m)MORALES ROBERTO 121 2.50    
4  SIR LOOKING GLASS Mar27 Mar19 Dec09 Nov05 Sep24 (lawrence heath)PENA BRYAN 121 2.00 32% 2.10    
5  WEDNESDAY AT SHADY Mar19 Dec28       (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 121 4.00 11% 7.80    
6  MO MAMBO         (schnell d)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 5.00 25% 3.00    
7  ROGUE FORCE Mar27 Jan05       (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 12.00    
 
TUP-6   04/09/2024 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIPLOMATICA Mar26 Mar05 Oct11 Aug24 Aug05 (martinez )VALENZUELA A 122 2.50 43% 1.30    
2  TWELVE STARS Mar20 Mar05 Feb01 Dec19 Dec05 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.00 25% 3.10    
3  WON SASSY RIDE Feb05 Dec19 Dec04 Oct28 Oct08 (homer jas)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 10.00    
4  FINNLEY'S KITTEN Mar25 Jan20 Jan01 Nov12 Oct22 (kereluk)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00    
SCR  SILENT GUROO Mar11 Dec16 Dec02 Nov09 Oct19 (evans justin)REYES R 122 4.50    
6  GYPSY WIFE Mar06 Feb07 Nov14 Sep03 Aug11 (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 122 6.00    
7  GOLDEN GOPHER Mar14 Feb19 Nov18 Nov02 Sep03 (silva gabri)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 5.00 10% 9.10    
 
TUP-7   04/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARTYOFSIXTEEN Mar18 Mar05 Feb14 Jan29 Dec18 (barraza ra)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 12.00    
2  EAST RAND Mar18 Feb22 Feb07 Jan31 Nov21 (cappellucci dic)NEGRON LUIS 124 1.60 46% 1.20    
3  BEL RAGAZZO Mar25 Mar04 Feb14 Jan13 Jan05 (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00    
4  MAD LUTHER Mar13 Jan31 Oct28 Oct07 Sep01 (matt l)RADKE K 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  MOON TIME Mar19 Feb28 Feb15 Jan18 Dec16 (person kenneth )CRUZ M 124 8.00    
6  KIRBY DERBY Mar26 Feb28 Feb20 Feb05 Jan11 (tubbs scott)PENA BRYAN 124 5.00 18% 4.70    
7  FRISCO KID Mar26 Mar18 Feb20 Jan29 Dec05 (villamar candel)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 7% 13.20    
8  BROOKYS TAPIT Mar26 Mar18 Feb14 Dec09 Oct22 (chambers mike)MAWING A 124 4.00    
 
TUP-8   04/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAY QUIET Mar11 Feb26 Aug06 Jun09 May20 (schnell don)RADKE K 118 8.00    
2  BOHEMIAN JIGGLES Feb22 Jan28 Jul07 Jun03   (silva jr)NEGRON LUIS 118 4.00 50% 1.00    
3  SMOKEMONTHECLIFF Mar12 Aug19 Jul09 Mar09 Feb05 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 6.00    
4  ACES OVER DEUCES Mar19 Feb05 Nov28 Sep10 Jul08 (villamar candel)LOPEZ KARLO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  MINEDANDREFINED Feb15 Feb05 Oct08 Aug17 Jul22 (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00    
6  WHATWASTHENISNOW Sep11 Aug26 Aug05 Jul07 Jun09 (barraza ra)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 5.00 5% 18.00    
7  AMARETTO DI AMORE Mar11 Feb26 Feb05 Jan07 Dec30 (lund valori)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 5.00 12% 7.30    
8  COPPER BO TEN Feb20 Dec31 Nov25 Nov05 Sep10 (homer jaso)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 8.00    
 
TUP-9   04/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSS NINE Mar21 Feb20 Feb03 Jan12 Dec01 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00    
2  HIJO GALANTE Mar21 Feb13 Dec26 Aug27 Aug05 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 12.00    
3  CHUCK NAZTY Sep10 Sep02 Aug19 Aug06 Jul10 (martinez o )MORALES ROBERTO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  LITTLE CASINO Mar21 Mar13 Feb21 Feb12 Jan21 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 26% 2.80    
5  SOUTH SEA Mar06 Feb21 Feb06 Oct16 Sep26 (brown jared)RADKE K 124 8.00    
6  GRAVES MILL ROAD Mar27 Feb27 Dec16 Nov29 Nov10 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.00 39% 1.60    
7  PRIME EXAMPLE Sep02 Aug13 Jul01 Jun03 May27 (toye joe)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 12.00 7% 13.20    
8  BEDROCK (GB) Mar21 Mar13 Feb12 Nov14 Oct21 (christian)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 5.00    
9  PERFORMATIVE Mar11 Dec10 Oct15 Oct08 Sep09 (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 10.00 ★    
 
TUP-10   04/09/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BENNY BUCKETS Mar27 Mar12 Feb26     (silva-martinez )CRUZ M 118 15.00    
SCR  CHIEFS BLANKET Mar27 Feb29 Feb19 Feb05 Dec15 (ybarra rudy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.50    
3  ARIZONA SUMMER Mar18 Feb15       (alvarez sergi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 118 20.00    
4  GOTHAM'S FINALE Jan29 Nov18 Nov05 Oct09 Oct02 (lawrence h)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  HOT ROD JIMMY Feb27 Feb19 Jan21 Jan13 Dec26 (dennis c)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 20.00    
6  OUTOFQUEMADO Mar26 Mar12 Sep25 Sep17 Aug27 (rollins mi)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 15.00    
7  SPORT COAT May05 Mar19 Sep12 Sep03 Aug15 (fearon john)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
8  FED GRANT Mar18 Feb19 Sep17 Sep09 Aug20 (birdwel)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 18% 4.60    
9  RANGER JOE Mar18 Mar04 Feb13 Jan26 Nov24 (belvoir van)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 2.50 30% 2.40    
10  SEA BREEZE BOY Mar19 Feb29 Feb05 Dec30 Nov19 (chambers mike)RADKE K 124 6.00    
11  LT. NORM Mar15 Feb28 Feb12 Feb02 Jan05 (cappellucci dic)NEGRON LUIS 118 3.50 20% 4.10    
12  CHARLIE'S MAN Mar18 Feb19 Nov14 Sep15 Aug04 (alvarez sergio)PENA BRYAN 124 8.00 8% 11.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.