Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hawthorne
Saturday - March 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HAW-1   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/4)-(2/5/3/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(2/5/3/1)-(3/1/7/4) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
HAW-2   WIN (2/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/3/1)-(2/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/3/1)-(2/5/3/1)-(2/5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/3/1)-(3/1/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3/1)-(3/1/7/4)-(2/4/1/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
HAW-3   WIN (3/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/4)-(3/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/4)-(3/1/7/4)-(3/1/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/7/4)-(2/4/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/7/4)-(2/4/1/6)-(3/8/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-4   WIN (2/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/6)-(2/4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/6)-(2/4/1/6)-(2/4/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/1/6)-(3/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1/6)-(3/8/1)-(1/5/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-5   WIN (3/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/1)-(3/8/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/8/1)-(3/8/1/5)-(3/8/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/8/1)-(1/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/8/1)-(1/5/7/6)-(2/3/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-6   WIN (1/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/7/6)-(2/3/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7/6)-(2/3/7/4)-(7/4/12/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
HAW-7   WIN (2/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/4)-(2/3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/4)-(2/3/7/4)-(2/3/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/7/4)-(7/4/12/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HAW-8   WIN (7/4/12/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/12/3)-(7/4/12/3/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/4/12/3)-(7/4/12/3/11)-(7/4/12/3/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HAW-1   03/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VIOLA Jan06 Nov30 Sep20 Aug31 Aug13 (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.50    
KAELY'S SISTER Sep25 Aug06 Jul09 Jun11 Apr20 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50 64% 0.60    
SCR  KEEPMEINTHE MOMENT Mar17 Nov14 Apr22 Mar24 Jan12 (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 15.00    
MALLOY Feb14 Dec09 Oct08 Aug25 Jul13 (catalano m)MOJICA O 122 1.80 8% 11.70    
SCR  SHEZ STUCK UP Nov18 Oct17 Sep02 Aug19 May30 (mcdonnell be)GILES EMMANUEL 122 5.00    
BALI DREAMIN Feb16 Jan26 Dec22 Aug03 Jul13 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 6.00    
INDICIA Feb17 Jan14 Dec02 Oct05 Sep03 (irion heat)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00    
 
HAW-2   03/30/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOU'RE A DANDY Dec03 Nov05 Oct23 Oct05 Sep21 (ramos francisco)REYES FRANK 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
RIBALDRY (IRE) Feb08 Jan06 Dec08 Nov15 Oct26 (van t)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
HALLIE'S RAINBOW Nov18 Oct31 Oct10 Sep05 Aug29 (mosier haro)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 6.00 12% 7.50    
LUNARCHY Nov18 Oct31 Sep08 Aug03 Jul16 (meraz anto)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 10.00    
SWEET NELLIE Feb25 Jan01 Aug31 Aug13 Jul20 (rosin coty)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 1.80 18% 4.70    
ZENCHUA SKY Nov18 Oct31 Oct10 Sep26 Sep16 (castro isid)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 6.00    
NIFF Nov18 Nov04 Oct10 Aug24 Aug10 (zawitz jo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
 
HAW-3   03/30/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STALLONE Jul19 Jul04 Jun13 Apr13 Mar16 (retana gabe)ORM CORY 122 3.50 12% 7.20    
FASTNFURIOUS Nov14 Oct31 Oct21 Sep12 Jul22 (butler ge)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
STRANGE ARRANGE Mar06 Feb01 Sep12 Aug09 Jul17 (watkins m)EMIGH A 122 2.50 52% 0.90    
FLYING SAMURAI Sep28 Sep11 Aug30 Jul19 Jun22 (ryan chris )BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
CINDY'S STORM Dec07 Nov19 Nov08 Sep28 Sep14 (ramos francisco)REYES FRANK 122 15.00    
PINBALLER Sep04 Aug16 Aug02 Jul19 Jul06 (poulos dee)MOJICA O 122 5.00    
MALIGATOR Feb15 Dec21 Dec08 Oct30 Jul16 (reid r)COLON H 122 6.00 5% 18.00    
LUCKY SHOT Sep25 Aug30 Aug10 Jul26 Jul12 (poulos dee)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00    
 
HAW-4   03/30/2024 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMISKEY PARK Dec31 Oct21 Aug01 Jul08 Jun14 (hernandez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00 12% 7.10    
GOLDEN HORNET Mar03 Apr06 Mar12 Feb25 Jan06 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 1.40 42% 1.40    
SHACKLEFORD STRONG Feb16 Dec15 Oct11 Aug23 Aug02 (divito james )HERNANDEZ K 122 10.00    
TILTED TOWERS Dec02 Nov09 Sep27 Sep13 Jul21 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 3.50 16% 5.20    
CORTESE Dec03 Aug30 Aug09 Jul20 Nov02 (hernandez armando)FELIX E 122 4.50    
LOOKIN FOR BALA Jul20 Jun25 May30 May07 Dec10 (essenpreis e)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
FEVER NATION Nov11 Oct03 Sep12 Aug29 Aug09 (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 12.00    
 
HAW-5   03/30/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FUTURE VISION Nov04 Oct24 Oct10 Sep26 Aug26 (zawitz joel)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
MARY'S BOY Nov18 Nov04 Oct14 Sep30 Aug19 (retana gabe)ORM CORY 122 10.00    
ROBUST Mar23 Feb16 Dec15 Nov04 Sep25 (arnett g)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 2.50 41% 1.40    
MODAZZLE Feb23 Sep12 Sep02 Aug19 Jul15 (watkins ja)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 3.50    
SWISS GUARD Nov18 Oct28 Oct09 Sep13 Aug16 (plasters lo)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 12.00    
SCR  I'M YOUR CAPTAIN Mar24 Nov07 Oct24 Oct07 Sep19 (zawitz joel)NAVAS YOEL 115 15.00    
I'M YOUR VALENTINE Oct31 Oct14 Sep30 Aug26 Aug15 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
WEST ISLAND Jan27 Dec13 Sep09 Aug12 Jul15 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.00 33% 2.10    
 
HAW-6   03/30/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNIFIED WEEKEND Jan28 Dec30 Oct27 Sep16 Jul02 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 1.60 41% 1.50    
SON OF GRACE Mar23 Nov04 Oct24 Oct04 Aug30 (hughes earl )GILES EMMANUEL 122 20.00    
STORM BORN Nov18 Nov04 Oct24 Oct14 Sep30 (castro isid)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 12.00    
PERFECT WAGER Feb14 Jan30 Jan15 Dec13 Dec04 (zawitz joel)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00    
RIGHT ON RICHIE Nov18 Oct17 Sep16 Aug26 Jul29 (butler ge)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 3.00 22% 3.50    
MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE Oct18 Sep20 Sep02 Aug09 Jul11 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
NOBLE PURSUIT Jan28 Dec29 Nov23 Oct04 Sep21 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 122 6.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  TONALTALITARIAN Oct29 Oct11 Sep28 Sep07 Aug22 (ramos francisco)REYES FRANK 122 5.00    
 
HAW-7   03/30/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE LAST THRILL Nov07 Oct17       (lopez elias)COLON H 124 20.00    
  (by INCLUDE out of APT TO THRILL by APTITUDE)
BEEHIVE Nov07 Oct12 Aug31 Aug10   (boyce michel)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 0.80 54% 0.90    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of BEEWAY by CHAMPALI)
CHERYL'S APPEAL         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.50 14% 5.90    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of TRY TO APPEAL by SKIP TRIAL)
I DID THE MATH Dec02 Nov07 Oct24     (rednour j)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NOTIONAL out of KARAH'S CHANNEL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
DEVIL Dec14 Nov07 Oct11 Aug31 Aug10 (boyce michele)HERNANDEZ K 118 5.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of SPEED DEVIL by BRILLIANT SPEED)
SILVER EYES Nov14 Oct17 Oct03 Sep19 Sep05 (pompell robe)GILES EMMANUEL 124 20.00    
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of DAKOTA LILL by LIL E. TEE)
TU ROYAL Aug27 Jul25 Jul11 Jun25 Jun11 (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 8.00 9% 10.40    
  (by TU BRUTUS out of ROYAL POSH by POSH)
COLLIE WRAYS KITTY Nov14 Oct24       (rednour joh)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 30.00    
  (by BIG BLUE KITTEN out of MALLORY'S CHANNEL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
 
HAW-8   03/30/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUMBRANDT Nov07 Oct12 Aug16 Jul09   (boyce michele)COLON H 116 10.00    
SCR  MISS TENA MARIE Nov10 Oct24 Oct03 Sep16 Jun27 (burdes)BAILON JADHIR 116 30.00    
HAPPY WORLD Feb21 Jan10 Dec15 Sep30   (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
SHE'S INTHEARMYNOW Feb07 Oct02 Aug17 Jul29 May19 (catalano m)MOJICA O 122 3.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  RAINY MOUNTAIN Jun14 Jun01 May14 Apr23 Mar30 (kirby j)EMIGH A 122 8.00    
SALLY'S SUPRISE Feb16 Jan26 Jan06 Dec08 Oct14 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 122 10.00    
BROKEN HEARTS BAY Mar03 Feb17 Dec19 Jul08 Jun24 (arnett jon)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 4.00 48% 1.10    
ANGEL EXPRESS Sep21 Sep04 Aug13 Jul19 Jun11 (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 10.00    
WILD BOUT HILARY Oct11 Aug25 Jul21     (tracy tann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 116 30.00    
10  BLAZE BEAUTY Nov18 Oct31 Oct14 Sep19 Aug02 (essenpreis e)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 20.00    
11  BE MY BESTIE Nov07 Oct24 Oct03 Sep19 Aug15 (butler ge)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
12  SECRET OPERATION Feb24 Jan27 Dec27 Nov29 Nov09 (slager mike)ORM CORY 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
13  TALKTOMEJUSTICE Nov15 Nov01 Oct02 Aug30 Aug03 (martinez a)FELIX E 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.