Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Sunday - February 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-1   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(6/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(6/1/3)-(5/3/8/4/9) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
HOU-2   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(5/3/8/4/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(5/3/8/4/9)-(7/1/6/5/3) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
HOU-3   WIN (5/3/8/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/8/4/9)-(5/3/8/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/8/4/9)-(5/3/8/4/9)-(5/3/8/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/3/8/4/9)-(7/1/6/5/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/3/8/4/9)-(7/1/6/5/3)-(7/6/4) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
HOU-4   WIN (7/1/6/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/6/5/3)-(7/1/6/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/6/5/3)-(7/1/6/5/3)-(7/1/6/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/1/6/5/3)-(7/6/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/1/6/5/3)-(7/6/4)-(8/7/2/3/6) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
HOU-5   WIN (7/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/4)-(7/6/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/4)-(7/6/1/4)-(7/6/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/6/4)-(8/7/2/3/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/6/4)-(8/7/2/3/6)-(7/1/3/5/2) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
HOU-6   WIN (8/7/2/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/7/2/3/6)-(8/7/2/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/7/2/3/6)-(8/7/2/3/6)-(8/7/2/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/7/2/3/6)-(7/1/3/5/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/7/2/3/6)-(7/1/3/5/2)-(3/7/6/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
HOU-7   WIN (7/1/3/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/3/5/2)-(7/1/3/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/3/5/2)-(7/1/3/5/2)-(7/1/3/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/1/3/5/2)-(3/7/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3/5/2)-(3/7/6/2)-(3/6/7/10/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
HOU-8   WIN (3/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/2)-(3/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/6/2)-(3/7/6/2)-(3/7/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/6/2)-(3/6/7/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
HOU-9   WIN (3/6/7/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/10/8)-(3/6/7/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/10/8)-(3/6/7/10/8)-(3/6/7/10/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   02/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YVONNE'S MISS Jan13 Dec09 Nov24 Nov10 Sep22 (davidson n)BRACHO A 121 1.20 51% 1.00    
2  BETCHA Jan19 Nov20 Oct28 Oct10 Sep06 (dupuy all)TRIANA JR 119 6.00 16% 5.20    
3  LA MORENA Jan06 Nov30 Nov13 Nov02 Oct20 (cravens ii)DIAZ RENE 123 3.00    
4  EAGLE EXPRESS Jan06 Sep13 Aug29 Aug01 Jul02 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 10.00    
5  SUMMER LIGHTNING Jan06 Dec02 Oct12 Jul21 Jun11 (rangel raul)WADE LYNDIE 119 12.00    
6  CANADA CANDY Jan06 Nov11 Nov02 Oct20 Aug16 (cravens ii)DIEGO V 119 4.50 8% 10.80    
 
HOU-2   02/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EUROROCKSTAR Jan20 May27 Mar17 Mar03 Feb11 (hurley tina )SALAZAR TERESA 116 4.00 8% 12.00    
2  TI CAILLOU Jan26 Jan05 Nov24 Oct26 Sep14 (willis mindy)WADE LYNDIE 121 8.00    
3  PICKINGUPSTRANGERS Jan21 Jan12 Sep18 Aug22 Aug02 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  ALLIGATOR CRAWL Nov18 Sep12 Aug27 Jul28 Jun18 (gomez david)WETHEY JR 121 3.50    
5  TEXAS PRADO Nov03 Oct26 Oct12 Sep30 Sep16 (pish dann)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 121 4.50    
6  MR B QUIET Jan21 Jan04 Dec14 Nov29 Nov01 (b)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 1.80 63% 0.60    
 
HOU-3   02/04/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUMPUS Jan21 Sep27 Sep06 Aug11 Jul21 (govea cesar)ALVAREZ L 121 20.00    
2  STAN'S GOLDEN PATH Jan13 Dec01 Nov20 Nov01 Oct11 (chacaltana domi)BENAVIDES D 121 15.00    
3  CAMARADERIE Jan13 Nov18 Nov01 Oct04 Aug26 (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 10.00 24% 3.20    
4  PRETTY IN PINK Jan05 Nov30 Oct18 Sep30 Mar17 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 4.50 6% 15.30    
5  LET FREEDOM BLING Jan13 Nov01 Sep30 Aug25 Jun18 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 3.00 27% 2.80    
6  SWANAGE Jan19 Nov01 Oct25 Sep30 Sep13 (scholl kevi)WETHEY JR 121 3.50    
7  MY BABYS GONE Jan13 Dec15 Nov20 Sep30 Sep08 (davidson sar)GILES EMMANUEL 116 8.00    
8  TAY TAY'S BABY Jan26 Jan13 Nov01 Oct18 Sep30 (cravens ii)DIEGO V 121 6.00 13% 6.80    
9  ESSENTIAL BELLA Dec18 Dec08 Oct26 Sep13 Sep02 (richard chris)WADE LYNDIE 121 10.00 6% 15.80    
10  THINKITASADONATION Jan13 Oct04 Sep15 Aug26 Aug06 (govea c)GONCALVES R 121 15.00    
 
HOU-4   02/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12K) 3 F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRESSONS LIL CHARM Jan05 Sep30 Sep13 Aug26 Aug12 (silva miguel)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 4.00 15% 5.50    
2  DULCE AMANECER YG Jan21 Jan07 Sep16 Sep02 Aug14 (m)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 122 3.00    
3  TAPITSGOTAPISTOL Jun16 May28       (davidson b)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  CREAM PUFF REAPER Jan07 Oct13 Sep13 Jul02 Jun16 (silva mig)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 30.00    
5  TOUCH WITT CLASS         (davidson sar)GILES EMMANUEL 117 10.00 13% 6.50    
6  CHARMINGLY WITT         (davidson n)BRACHO A 122 15.00 14% 6.30    
7  PRESS ON BABY Jan27         (govea c)GONCALVES R 122 2.00 29% 2.40    
8  EARLY SPRING Jan07 Jul02 Jun03     (dupuy all)TRIANA JR 122 20.00    
9  HIGH CALIBER CATCH Jan05 Dec19 Nov28 Nov06 Jun03 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 6.00    
 
HOU-5   02/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($36.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONNORS OUTLAW Dec14 Nov10 Oct20 Oct07 Sep14 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 123 3.50 ★    
2  FLYING HOUDINI Dec06 Sep20 Sep07 Aug11 Jul26 (west henry)BARANDELA SOFIA 121 30.00    
3  GO WEST Jan19 Nov26 Nov17 Jul22 May29 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 4.50    
4  PRAYFORPEACE Nov03 Oct14 Aug29 Aug22 Aug07 (davidson n)BRACHO A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  AIR COMBAT Jan06 Dec02 Nov22 Jan08 Dec11 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 6.00    
6  WILDATLANTICSTORM Dec20 Nov28 Sep30 Dec17 Oct28 (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 4.00 23% 3.30    
7  EMPIRE OF GOLD Jan05 Nov04 Oct13 Sep24 Aug24 (eoff terry)JARA FERNANDO 121 1.80 50% 1.00    
 
HOU-6   02/04/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROSSIMO         (young bob)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 8.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of RUN ROSIE by CHEROKEE RUN)
2  PRONUNCIATION Nov10 Oct21       (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 3.00 8% 12.10    
  (by QURBAAN out of SARAAMA by BAHRI)
3  ATHENA D'ORO Jun17         (willis mi)TRIANA JR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ATREIDES out of FALLEN ARCHES by ARCH)
4  FEND OFF Oct12 Sep01 Jul02     (davidson sar)GILES EMMANUEL 117 30.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of WICKED PERFECTION by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
SCR  HALCYON DAYS Jan18 Jan03       (s)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 122 20.00    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of BOUNDLESS JOY by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  STRIKE THE BELL         (eoff terry)BARANDELA SOFIA 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of STRIKING BELLA by SMART STRIKE)
7  MIZ RITHYM         (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 4.50 20% 4.00    
  (by ALGORITHMS out of MIZOES READY by MORE THAN READY)
8  GET READY GAL Dec29 Nov14 Nov01 Sep22 Aug13 (jacks e)DIEGO V 122 6.00 42% 1.40    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of READY'S GAL by MORE THAN READY)
9  UNRIVALED TREASURE Nov09         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 10.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
10  KENTUCKY ANGEL Nov10 Jul04       (young bob)MORA GERARDO 122 15.00    
  (by KLIMT out of NOCHE DE VERSOS by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
11  SOTONA Dec17 Oct19 Sep09 Aug01   (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 4.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of DIANA'S THRILL by ARTIE SCHILLER)
 
HOU-7   02/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHIEF BRADY Dec14 Nov06 Sep23 Jul01 Jun03 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 121 6.00 24% 3.10    
2  GOZILLA Dec20 Nov06 Sep23 Sep09 Jun09 (caldwell r)JARA FERNANDO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  JACKMAN'S RIDE Dec04 Oct13 Sep23 Aug24 Jun22 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 12.00 13% 6.60    
SCR  MY GOLDEN M Jul16 Jul01 Jun16 May27 May05 (sayre ronal)BARANDELA SOFIA 121 20.00    
5  RITHM NIC Jan13 Dec21 Nov04 Feb24 Dec31 (richard chris)WADE LYNDIE 121 10.00 11% 8.20    
6  BLUE LIGHT Dec16 Nov23 Oct13 Sep20 Aug13 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 6.00    
7  ALTO ROAD Oct13 Aug24 May28 Apr29 Apr08 (cravens ronn)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 3.00 26% 2.90    
8  TODDCHERO Aug25 Jul20 May28 Mar26 Feb25 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 121 4.50    
9  REBEL EMPIRE Dec27 Oct21 Sep28 Sep13 Aug17 (werneth a)DIEGO V 121 12.00    
10  LAMUTANAATTY Dec09 Nov03 Sep29 Jun23 Jun10 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 4.00    
 
HOU-8   02/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($36.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANO DURA Jan05 Nov14 Oct28 Sep19 Aug26 (davidson n)BRACHO A 121 20.00    
2  DRIVEHAPPY Nov29 Nov08 Oct13 Sep23 Aug19 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  PALUXY Nov28 Oct28 Sep24 Aug18 Jul08 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 2.50 29% 2.40    
4  TIZ LIFE Dec07 Oct26 Sep23 Sep02 Jun04 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 121 3.00    
5  DON'TCROSSTHEDEVIL Nov14 Sep24 Aug14 Jul17 Jun10 (c)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 8.00    
6  IT MAKES SENSE Nov24 Sep24 Aug24 Jul04 Jun11 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 121 4.00 16% 5.20    
7  CROOKED FELLOW Nov25 Oct26 Sep13 Aug24 May28 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 121 3.50 20% 4.00    
 
HOU-9   02/04/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PAYNT         (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 12.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of CANADIAN SUNSET by CONGRATS)
2  PHILANTHROPER Jan07 Dec14 Oct20     (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 4.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of SENSEU'VBEENGONE by STREET SENSE)
3  DINERO DE LA CASA Jan13         (gustafson aus)JARA FERNANDO 122 3.50 34% 2.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of LAST PLAY by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  OVER MY LIMIT Jan25 Jan04 Dec14     (s)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 122 12.00    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of FOLLOW BOURBON by NOT BOURBON)
5  COASTAL BRINK Jan01 Nov19 Oct28 Sep13 Aug27 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 4.50    
  (by WEST COAST out of BRINKLEY by BELONG TO ME)
6  KENTUCKY DAWN Jan07 Sep28 Aug31     (eoff )MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 6.00 27% 2.70    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of EARNINGS RELEASE by EL PRADO (IRE))
7  ISOMARSHALL         (keithan rachael)GLASS DERBE 117 20.00 13% 6.90    
  (by FROSTED out of LISVERNANE by ARCH)
8  COPPER SKY Nov24 Nov03       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COPPER BULLET out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
9  SEND OFF Dec15 Nov30       (davidson sar)GILES EMMANUEL 117 30.00    
  (by SATURDAY LAUNCH out of SERAFINA SONG by LANGFUHR)
10  SKI CAT Jan07 Nov04 Oct21     (cravens ii)DIAZ RENE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of KITTY FOYLE by TAPIT)
11  WRINKLE ROAD Dec07 Nov18       (davidson brent)BRACHO A 122 15.00    
  (by SATURDAY LAUNCH out of ZELNA J by ROY)
12  HOLD MY BEER BRO Nov10 Oct24 Sep15     (dupuy all)TRIANA JR 122 20.00    
  (by AIROFORCE out of QUALITY SILVER by EUROSILVER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.