Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Friday - October 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/2)-(7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/2)-(11/4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2)-(11/4/3/6)-(1/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-2   WIN (11/4/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/4/3/6)-(11/4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/4/3/6)-(11/4/3/6)-(11/4/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (11/4/3/6)-(1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (11/4/3/6)-(1/7/6)-(7/10/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-3   WIN (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/6)-(1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/6)-(7/10/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6)-(7/10/6/2)-(1/8/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-4   WIN (7/10/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/10/6/2)-(7/10/6/11/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/10/6/2)-(7/10/6/11/2)-(7/10/6/11/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/10/6/2)-(1/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/10/6/2)-(1/8/9)-(8/1/2/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-5   WIN (1/8/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/9)-(1/8/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/9)-(1/8/9)-(1/8/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/8/9)-(8/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/9)-(8/1/2/7)-(9/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-6   WIN (8/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/2/7)-(8/1/2/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/1/2/7)-(8/1/2/4/7)-(8/1/2/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/1/2/7)-(9/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/2/7)-(9/5/4)-(7/3/5/10/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-7   WIN (9/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/5/4)-(9/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/5/4)-(9/5/4)-(9/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/5/4)-(7/3/5/10/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/5/4)-(7/3/5/10/11)-(1/7/8) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LRL-8   WIN (7/3/5/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/10/11)-(7/3/5/10/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/10/11)-(7/3/5/10/11)-(7/3/5/10/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/3/5/10/11)-(1/7/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
LRL-9   WIN (1/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/8)-(1/7/6/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/8)-(1/7/6/9/8)-(1/7/6/9/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   10/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRESSING CONCERN Sep09 Sep02 Jul07 Jun01 May18 (mohan r)ALVELO C 119 30.00    
2  NOTION TO TAPIT Oct06 Sep20 Sep04 Aug23 Aug03 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 119 8.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  KING OF CHAOS Sep22 Aug19 Jul30 Jul08 Jun16 (rodriguez rud)OLVER MADISON 116 2.00    
4  ISLAND D'LITE Sep09 Jul29 Jul09 May27 May07 (magee kieron)ROJAS MARTINA 114 12.00    
5  RASCALLY REBEL Oct06 Sep03 Aug20 Aug13 Jul23 (serey mario)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 116 12.00    
6  SHACKINTHEBOX Oct05 Sep03 Jul29 Apr15 Apr02 (sillaman richa)BOYCE FOREST 120 6.00 19% 4.40    
7  PUDGE BOY PALACE Oct05 Sep04 Aug11 Jul04 May20 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 1.80 40% 1.50    
8  CAPTAIN CARDO Oct06 Sep22 Sep09 Aug27 Jul06 (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 119 6.00    
 
LRL-2   10/20/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 F PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VICTORY BADGE Sep08 Aug20 Jul20     (trombetta mich)BOYCE FOREST 122 4.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of VICTORY TO VICTORY by EXCHANGE RATE)
2  TWIRL THE FLAG Sep08         (motion g)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 15.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of WAVE THE FLAG by EMPIRE MAKER)
3  ELUSIVE EMPRESS Oct03 Sep14       (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 15.00 9% 9.60    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of EVER ELUSIVE by FORESTRY)
4  FANTASY PERFORMER         (brown c)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 3.50 27% 2.60    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of FANTASY OF FLIGHT by TIZNOW)
5  FUNZALO Oct08         (bracciale v)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 30.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of MISS UNBRIDLED CAT by BROKEN VOW)
6  VIENNESE WALTZ Sep29 Aug11 Jul22     (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of TANCA by POLISH NUMBERS)
7  FONDRE Sep08 Aug11       (delacour ar)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 6.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of MELTING POINT by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
SCR  PRINCESS ANISA Sep02         (gonzalez )HERNANDEZ F 122 30.00    
  (by SUPER NINETY NINE out of TWO STARS by INHERENT KAL)
9  STARCRY Sep07         (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 5.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of CRY HALLELUJAH by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCR  VOTER REGISTRATION (FR)         (brown chad )RUSSELL SHELDON 122 2.50    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
11  SURPRENANT COCCA Sep10 Aug12       (motion graham)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 4.00 38% 1.60    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of GREY STARK by TAPIT)
SCR  VICTORIA'S DANCER Oct07 Sep02 Aug05 Jul02   (avila carl)OLIVERO A 122 6.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of ARTISANAL by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  SWEET DISTRACTION Jul29         (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 30.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ESCULTURA by PULPIT)
 
LRL-3   10/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIS NAME IS SUE Oct01 Sep24 Aug25 Aug10 Jul15 (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 126 2.50 38% 1.70    
2  SPITBALL Oct01 Sep22 Jul14 Jul06 Oct16 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 123 8.00    
SCR  ONE MORE FACTOR Sep22 Aug25 Aug06 Jul16 Apr27 (maldonado jonath)ACOSTA D 123 20.00    
4  DR. DOYLE Sep04 Aug27 Jul16 Jun16 May21 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 123 15.00    
5  SAVOY Oct01 Sep24 Sep03 Aug12 Aug03 (mohan david)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 4.00    
6  LOADED SNIPER Sep30 Jul27 Jun22 May26 May06 (frock )LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 20.00 5% 18.90    
7  NOTTOWAY Oct04 Sep14 Sep06 Aug04 Jul03 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.60 32% 2.10    
8  CRIMSON ROCKET Mar26 Feb24 Feb12 Jan21 Dec29 (magee kieron)ROJAS MARTINA 118 8.00    
 
LRL-4   10/20/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARIANA VALENTINA Sep22 Sep08 Aug18 Aug04 Jul21 (aguayo ramon)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 20.00    
1A  NOTHINGMAKESENSE Oct06 Sep06 Jun17 May27 Nov02 (aguayo)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 20.00    
2  NOW YUS CANT LEAVE Oct01 Aug13 Jul13 Jun03 May13 (rubley kell)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  MORE THAN GLORY Aug28 Jul15 Jun08 May03 Apr01 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 8.00    
4  GETAWAY PALACE Sep19 Aug21 Jul12 Jun10 May31 (perez ruperto )CORREA JULIO 119 20.00    
5  LOUISE BROOKS Sep22 Sep01 Aug04 Jul12 Jun14 (ashby lynn)ACOSTA D 116 15.00    
6  SMOKIN' HOT KITTY Aug20 Jul13 Jun17 Apr28 Apr08 (de ho)CARRASCO R 123 3.50 6% 14.50    
7  DIVA READY Oct01 Aug12 Jul13 Nov24 Nov06 (klesaris robe)KARAMANOS A 123 6.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  ROWSIE EXPRESS Sep21 Sep01 Jul29 Jul01 May05 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 1.60    
9  CHARMED WAY Sep29 Aug30 Jul15 May24 Jan25 (cibelli jane)BOYCE FOREST 123 6.00    
10  CORINNA Oct01 Aug17 Aug02 Jun22 Oct30 (matz michael)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 5.00 22% 3.50    
11  OLKOVSKHA (FR) Aug31 Jul04       (motion graham)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 2.50 ★    
 
LRL-5   10/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SHANE'S JEWEL Oct04 Sep26 Sep13 Aug23 Aug02 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 1.80 47% 1.10    
SCR  SEICHE Oct03 Sep20 Aug04 Jul06 May27 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 1.80    
SCR  LOKOYA ROAD Sep29 Aug11 Jul27 Jun23 Jun09 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 123 30.00    
SCR  UNEQUIVOCAL Oct06 Sep03 Aug20 Jul14 Jun18 (aguirre a)HERNANDEZ F 123 6.00    
4  SPACE ODESSEY Sep10 Aug18 Jun09 May27 Apr14 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 123 10.00    
5  HONOR THE FLEET Sep04 Aug11 Jul28 Jun19 May29 (pickett cryst)ROJAS MARTINA 118 15.00    
SCR  SOUPER ROYAL MOON Sep10 Aug25 Aug18 Jul28 Apr21 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 126 8.00    
7  VIRGINIA FULLA Oct12 Sep24 Sep03 Aug20 Feb10 (mckenzie danie)BOYCE FOREST 123 30.00    
8  GALATIANS Sep08 Aug12 Jul21 Jun04 May18 (eppler e)KARAMANOS A 123 2.50 13% 6.60    
9  UP AGAINST IT Aug26 Aug20 Jul21 May12 Apr14 (mohan r)ALVELO C 123 5.00 13% 6.70    
 
LRL-6   10/20/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR FINEST HOUR (FR)         (brown c)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 2.50 23% 3.30    
  (by CHURCHILL out of JUST SHERRY by INTENSE FOCUS)
2  MARTYNAS' JOY         (motion g)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 3.50 7% 14.40    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of AVENA by FRANKEL)
3  LISA'S PALACE Sep29 Aug25 Jul19     (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 122 20.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of LISA LIMON by SCAT DADDY)
4  PARISH LANE         (matz michael)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 4.00 ★    
  (by JUSTIFY out of SILK AND SCARLET by SADLER'S WELLS)
5  MISCHIEVOUS MISS Sep28 Aug20       (de ho)CARRASCO R 122 20.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of PORT OF INDY by CONGRATS)
6  ACTIVE Sep21         (motion graham)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 6.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of IN THE NAVY NOW by MIDSHIPMAN)
7  STEAM KNOT Oct03 Sep07       (cooney susan )ROJAS MARTINA 117 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of CHERRY POINT by POINT GIVEN)
8  WATCHTOWER (IRE) Sep02         (brown c)BOYCE FOREST 122 3.00 48% 1.10    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of ZLOTY by POLISH NUMBERS)
9  WILMA FLINTSHIRE Aug31 Aug19 Jul22     (bailes rober)ARAUJO DENIS 122 30.00    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of WEATHER GIRL by ARTIE SCHILLER)
10  FORTY MINER Sep03         (farrior ant)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 30.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of NORMANDY'S NELL by MT. LIVERMORE)
SCR  WAY TO BE MARIE Sep16         (atras rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 6.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of WOMAN OF THE WORLD by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
SCR  LANDOFHOPEANDREAMS Sep07 Aug11       (crook-demasi )KARAMANOS A 122 12.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MAJESTIC GALE by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
SCR  SUMMER FLOWER Sep16 Aug27       (dini mike)NO RIDER 122 15.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of PHALEONOPSIS by SIPHON (BRZ))
 
LRL-7   10/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SYNTHESIS Sep15 Aug26 Jul29 Jul01 Jun10 (jacobson dav)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 2.00    
SCR  STAGE LEFT Sep16 Sep03 Jul19 May29 May13 (jacobson dav)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 2.00    
2  CLASSIER Sep30 Aug25 Aug03 Jul08 May25 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 10.00    
SCR  BACKNTHEWOODS Sep09 Aug27 Jul02 Jun09 Apr29 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 123 30.00    
4  FACTOR IT IN Apr15 Mar19 Feb18 Jan21 Dec30 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 123 4.00 15% 5.60    
5  SIR ALFRED JAMES Sep30 Sep16 Sep05 Aug25 May06 (ginter j)ACOSTA D 126 6.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  BLESSED ARION Oct04 Aug17 Aug05 Sep29 Sep06 (rawlings amanda)MONTERREY R 123 50.00    
SCR  SUPER CHOW Aug05 Jul16 Jun24 May20 Mar18 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 113 12.00    
8  SIR WELLINGTON Jul29 Jul01 May25 May06 Apr15 (robertson mclea)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 8.00    
9  WONDRWHERECRAIGIS Sep16 Jul29 May20 Apr13 Sep18 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 2.50 32% 2.20    
 
LRL-8   10/20/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UPSIDEDOWN MAN Sep08 Aug03 Jun16 Jun02 May04 (bailes rober)PEREZ XAVIER 120 12.00    
2  HELDISH Aug25 Aug05 Jun17 May19 Apr15 (trombetta)CARRASCO R 123 8.00    
3  GOODAFTERNOONOSCAR Sep08 Aug27 Aug05 Jul21 Jun10 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 120 5.00 15% 5.70    
4  ENERGY EFFICIENT Sep30 Sep09 Aug18 Jul23 Jul08 (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 8.00    
5  TALL ORDER Oct01 Sep08 Aug18 Jun09 Oct13 (perri )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00 12% 7.10    
6  ARDEN'SLUCKYTOBE Sep29 Sep08 Aug04 Mar18 Feb20 (mcclure diana)ROJAS MARTINA 118 50.00    
7  CALMING STORM Oct01 Aug24 Aug04 Jul21 May25 (bailes )ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 2.00 44% 1.30    
8  SMITTEN ENOUGH Sep15 Aug20 Jun24 May28 May11 (elamri hass)BELTRAN M 123 6.00    
9  ONE TRUTH Oct01 Sep09 Jul28 Jul12 Jun14 (dimitriou harry )ACOSTA D 120 15.00    
10  HEMP Jan16 Dec18 Nov20 Oct29 Sep11 (mcfarlane bra)LYNCH FEARGAL 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  FRIAR TUCK Sep29 May20 Oct29 Sep24 Aug14 (cibelli jane)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-9   10/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 35 ALL PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER BOURBON         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 2.50 42% 1.40    
2  KNOWWHATIMEAN         (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 123 30.00    
3  MARGIE'S FUN SON Sep30 Aug19 Jul16 Jun03 May13 (cox m)CRUZ ANGEL 123 6.00    
4  INFINITE SERIES Sep30 Sep09 Aug19 Jul16 Jun16 (mcmulle)BRICENO GREGOR 123 15.00    
5  LORD OF MISCHIEF Sep30 Sep08 Aug19 Aug04   (parram derr)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 30.00    
6  MONEY ROOM Sep30 Aug11 Jul16 May13 May06 (hohlbein kerr)ROJAS MARTINA 117 8.00 ★    
7  KASIMBA Oct01 Sep04 Aug10 Jul09 Jun18 (farrior ant)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 5.00 34% 1.90    
8  IMSTILLHERE         (milosevic mil)ALVELO C 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  CALIBRACHOAMATTERS Aug25 Jul14       (camejo jose )BARBOSA JEIRON 119 2.00 ★    
10  CATCHING STARS Sep30 Sep09 Jul21 Jun03 May18 (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 123 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.