Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Parx Racing
Wednesday - October 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRX-1   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(3/4)-(1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRX-2   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/4)-(1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(1/3)-(3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRX-3   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(3/5/4)-(3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRX-4   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(3/8)-(7/1/8/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-5   WIN (3/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/8)-(3/6/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/8)-(3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/8)-(7/1/8/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/8)-(7/1/8/3)-(6/9/4/7) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PRX-6   WIN (7/1/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/8/3)-(7/1/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/8/3)-(7/1/8/3)-(7/1/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/8/3)-(6/9/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/8/3)-(6/9/4/7)-(1/7/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-7   WIN (6/9/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/4/7)-(6/9/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/4/7)-(6/9/4/7)-(6/9/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/9/4/7)-(1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/9/4/7)-(1/7/3)-(1/5/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-8   WIN (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/3)-(1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/3)-(1/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/3)-(1/5/7)-(4/1/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-9   WIN (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/7)-(1/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/7)-(1/5/7)-(1/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/7)-(4/1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRX-10   WIN (4/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/2/5)-(4/1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/2/5)-(4/1/2/5)-(4/1/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRX-1   10/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUEY Sep26 Aug23 Jul26 Jul05 Jun18 (pino m)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 4.00 27% 2.70    
2  BOYS AND BULLETS Sep18 Aug23 Apr05 Feb27 Apr26 (perez ruper)RAMOS C 118 15.00    
3  JACKIE'S PRIDE Sep25 May01 Apr05 Mar17 Jan31 (linder louis )OCASIO M 122 2.00 34% 1.90    
4  ALMOND CIDER Sep06 Aug18 Jul20 Jul09 Jun29 (perez ruper)PAREDES JHOVANY 115 4.50    
5  LUCKILY LEYTON Sep29 Sep06 Aug04 Jul15 Jun22 (castillo m)RIVERA R 113 15.00    
6  CARPE ALL DAY Sep26 May10 Apr10 Dec05 Oct22 (vega richard)RUIZ ELISEO 117 10.00 16% 5.40    
7  CADDY MAN Oct02 Sep05 Aug19 Jun27 Apr06 (lake a)PENNINGTON F 121 3.00    
 
PRX-2   10/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WISHING ONA PRAYER Sep27 Aug29 Jul18 May15 Apr19 (diaz jorge)NUNEZ Y 121 10.00    
SCR  RUNNIN REDBIRD Oct11 Sep20 Aug21 Jul26 Jul11 (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 122 2.50 14% 6.40    
3  SUPER DUPER FLY Sep22 Sep14 Sep04 Jul22 Jun03 (flores-coba feli)CASTILLO A 122 4.00 40% 1.50    
4  OLD HEAD Oct03 Aug29 Jul11 May31 Mar13 (diaz jorge)SILVERA RUBEN 121 4.50 22% 3.50    
5  JOLENE JOLENE Sep12 Aug11 Aug03 Jun15 Dec08 (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 3.50    
6  SIRENETTA Oct11 Sep25 Sep04 Aug09 Jul26 (gallimore tre)TORRES WESLEY 118 10.00    
7  AKNA Sep20 Sep04 May25 May03 Mar21 (soto c)CORREA JULIO 122 10.00    
 
PRX-3   10/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOKINATLIGHTENING Aug19 Aug11 Jul24 Jul12 Jun27 (pino micha)SANCHEZ J 118 5.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  GOLDIENESS Sep22 Aug19 Jul05 Jun05 Apr29 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 118 2.00    
3  TOTAL DISCRETION Oct02 Aug29 Jul24 Jun26 May29 (guerre)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 120 5.00 28% 2.50    
4  TITANIC ROSE Aug30 Aug09 Jul26 Jul05 Jun19 (padilla-preciado)CASTILLO A 122 3.00    
5  HEART LIGHT Sep12 Aug29 Aug19 Jul12 Jun14 (flores-coba )LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 3.50    
6  SHEA ON A MISSION Sep25 Aug18 Jul09 Jun09 May20 (maymo ale)VARGAS A 122 12.00    
SCR  IYIYI Sep25 Sep04 Jul12 Jul04 Jun27 (crowell )GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 8.00    
 
PRX-4   10/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IN SPADES Sep20 Aug29 Jul04 Jun10 May01 (dunn john)RUIZ ELISEO 113 12.00    
2  ROMAN EMPIRE Oct04 Jul15 Apr30 Mar26 Feb13 (guerre)GONZALEZ JR 122 6.00    
3  DIXIE'S TWO STENTS Sep20 Sep06 Aug11 Jul04 May02 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 122 3.50 56% 0.80    
4  CATCH THE SMOKE Sep26 Sep03 Aug19 Aug04 Jul21 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 122 5.00 7% 12.80    
5  SHPILKES Oct04 Sep11 Jun10 May22 Apr03 (preciado g)SANCHEZ J 125 4.00 13% 6.80    
6  BROTHER BRAD Sep16 Aug03 May31 Jul10 May21 (alvarado diane)CENTENO E 122 3.00    
7  BATTER UP BUD Aug28 Jul19 Jun14 May24 Apr17 (tzortzakis e)CASTILLO A 122 6.00    
 
PRX-5   10/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOBBY'S CANDY Sep06 Jul04 Jun03 May05 Mar29 (soto c)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 6.00    
2  JEWELS IN THE BAY Sep18 Sep06 Aug29 Jul24 Jun18 (brown r)MOYA F 122 6.00    
3  BRONX TALE Sep27 Sep05 Aug22     (hawthorn)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 4.00 60% 0.70    
4  SARATOGA BANKER Sep17 Feb20 Jan15 Dec17 Nov17 (dini mike)SANCHEZ J 118 3.50    
5  SPIRIT'S HERO Sep25 Sep05 Aug23 Jun27 Jun06 (curry dee)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 6.00    
6  IF WE GET LUCKY Sep25 Sep07 Jul13 Jun14 May19 (ramirez r)RODRIGUEZ R 118 4.50 ★    
7  MIDNIGHT CAT Oct03 Sep06 Aug26 Aug03 Jun27 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 118 3.00 ★    
8  HOT LOVE Sep25 Sep05 Aug22 Aug13 Aug02 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRX-6   10/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'S GAME TIME Sep27 Sep11 Aug29 Jul25 Feb22 (lake a)SILVERA RUBEN 122 5.00 27% 2.70    
2  HEY PORTER Sep20 Aug23 Jul03 May29 Apr22 (flores-co)VARGAS L 125 6.00    
3  KINGSVILLE Oct04 Sep12 Aug23 Jun28 Sep21 (padilla-)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  RON DON SCORESE Sep20 Aug23 Jul26 Jul17 May24 (rosado rober)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 6.00    
5  AWESOME LAUNCH Aug29 Aug16 Jun26 May30 May20 (gue)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 6.00    
6  YES SIR COLONEL Sep26 Sep05 Jul25 Jul10 Jul03 (caban carlo)VASQUEZ WILFRED 125 6.00    
7  DIVINE MIRACLE Sep27 Aug30 Oct05 Sep12 Aug22 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 122 2.00 33% 2.00    
8  FAST BREAKIN CASH Sep08 Aug05 Jul17 Jul03 Jun10 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 3.00 14% 6.00    
 
PRX-7   10/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT WONDER Sep03         (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 10.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of LELA by WILLIAMSTOWN)
2  SPATIAL REALITY Aug18 Jun30 Jun01 Apr06 Mar12 (huston k)MOYA F 120 15.00    
  (by DESTIN out of SHE'S OFFLEE GOOD by OFFLEE WILD)
3  NANCY SPAIN Aug31 Dec31 Nov18     (lynch cathal)SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.50    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of BELLA DORATO by GOLDMINERS GOLD)
4  WILD GIRL Jul07         (caiazzo c)CARRASCO R 120 10.00 5% 18.70    
  (by JUMP START out of WISENBOSSY by WISEMAN'S FERRY)
5  CAST YOUR NET Sep20 Aug26 Aug05 Jul21   (kin)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of LAUR NET by STRONG HOPE)
6  CONFIRMED STAR Sep01         (reid e)PENNINGTON F 120 3.50 49% 1.10    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of ITS MY TOWN by COWTOWN CAT)
7  FLIRTING Feb06         (mosco robert)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of HARD ON THE HEART by FAIRBANKS)
8  EXPECTATIONS MET Aug31 Aug17 Jul09 Jun04 May06 (duarte j)RENDON JAIRO 120 5.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of MS. CORNSTALK by INDIAN CHARLIE)
9  COCOA'S VIVIAN         (reid rober)SANCHEZ J 120 4.00 23% 3.40    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of DRESS UP by WAKI WARRIOR)
 
PRX-8   10/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR UPTOWN GIRL Sep23 Aug03 Jul10 Jun12 May15 (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 122 6.00 23% 3.40    
2  MOONBOOTS Sep19 Jun10 May25 Apr10 Mar21 (morgan carla)SILVERA RUBEN 122 6.00    
3  GOLDEN MOONLIGHT Sep19 Aug21 Jul31 Jul17 Jun21 (acquila)NAVARRO J 116 3.00 15% 5.80    
4  MORE RANSOM Oct09 Sep15 Jun09 May24 May10 (diaz jorge)CORREA JULIO 122 15.00    
5  SHETALKSTOMUCH Oct11 Sep20 Aug21 Jul19 Jul10 (guerrero g)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 8.00    
SCR  FLIGHT Aug29 May31 Apr24 Mar13 Feb07 (velazque)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 5.00    
7  BOSS LIKE BETH Oct09 Sep23 Sep04 Aug23 Aug11 (polachek jan)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 4.00 22% 3.50    
8  JEZEBEL JADE Sep19 Aug21 Aug03 Jul10 Jun07 (padilla-preci)RIVERA D 122 8.00    
 
PRX-9   10/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AIN'T WASTING TIME Oct04 Aug16 Jul15 Jun09 May27 (alvarado diane)CENTENO E 122 2.50 50% 1.00    
2  TIME TO CRUISE Sep04 Aug04 Jun26 May14 Apr15 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 118 3.50    
3  CIVIL WAR Sep23 Sep04 Jul26 Oct11 Sep05 (linder louis )OCASIO M 122 4.00    
4  SUPREME BEING Sep24 Sep05 Jul26 Jun27 Jun18 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 15.00    
5  AHSAD Oct04 Sep27 Sep16 Sep01 Aug10 (kirby jo)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 125 5.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  LEMON CREEK LOUIE Sep04 Aug27 Jul23 Jul16 May29 (moore michael )RENDON JAIRO 122 5.00    
7  TRAFFIC MASTER Sep25 Nov26 Oct12 Sep15 Aug12 (velazquez dani)CORREA JULIO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRX-10   10/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEA TRIDENT Sep26 Aug11 Jul22 Jun24 Jun09 (gonzalez c)ROWLAND MADELINE 122 4.00 21% 3.80    
2  FAST BOB Sep18 Jul25 Jul04 May15 Apr04 (vega richard)RANGEL JOEZER 122 6.00 15% 5.50    
3  GEEBERT Oct02 Sep19 Sep04 Jun14 May29 (mos)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 5.00    
4  EBBEN Sep04 Jul26 Jul05 Jun13 May22 (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 122 2.00 32% 2.10    
5  DARK TIMBER Aug27 Aug03 Jul13 Jun15 May04 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 122 8.00 8% 11.20    
6  ZIP IT SCOTTY Aug26 Aug09 Jul19 Jul05 Jun14 (linder louis )OCASIO M 122 10.00    
7  GET SET Sep20 Aug28 Jul05 May29 Apr24 (klesaris s)SANCHEZ J 122 8.00    
SCR  TRIBAL NOTION May31 May18 Dec28 Nov23 Nov04 (arnold pamela)BEATO INOEL 122 10.00    
9  HONORARY DEGREE Oct02 Jul05 May02 Apr04 Jan18 (guerrero ca)RIVERA D 122 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.