Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Thursday - October 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (9/10/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/10/1/2)-(9/10/1/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/10/1/2)-(9/10/1/7/2)-(9/10/1/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/10/1/2)-(12/10/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/10/1/2)-(12/10/8/6)-(8/10/6/2/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-2   WIN (12/10/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (12/10/8/6)-(12/10/8/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (12/10/8/6)-(12/10/8/1/6)-(12/10/8/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (12/10/8/6)-(8/10/6/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (12/10/8/6)-(8/10/6/2/7)-(9/3/7/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-3   WIN (8/10/6/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/10/6/2/7)-(8/10/6/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/10/6/2/7)-(8/10/6/2/7)-(8/10/6/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/10/6/2/7)-(9/3/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/10/6/2/7)-(9/3/7/4)-(5/2/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-4   WIN (9/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/7/4)-(9/3/7/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/3/7/4)-(9/3/7/8/4)-(9/3/7/8/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/3/7/4)-(5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/3/7/4)-(5/2/3)-(5/7/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-5   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(5/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(5/7/4/3)-(2/7/10/12) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-6   WIN (5/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/3)-(5/7/4/10/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/3)-(5/7/4/10/3)-(5/7/4/10/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/7/4/3)-(2/7/10/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4/3)-(2/7/10/12)-(2/9/3/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-7   WIN (2/7/10/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/10/12)-(2/7/10/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/10/12)-(2/7/10/12)-(2/7/10/12) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/10/12)-(2/9/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/10/12)-(2/9/3/8)-(9/8/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-8   WIN (2/9/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/3/8)-(2/9/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/3/8)-(2/9/3/8)-(2/9/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/9/3/8)-(9/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
DED-9   WIN (9/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/8/2)-(9/8/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/8/2)-(9/8/6/2)-(9/8/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   10/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAYMAN QUEEN Sep22 Aug13 Jul14 Jun25 May03 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 3.50 5% 19.00    
2  OUR CLOVER GAL Aug10 Jul29 Jun17 Feb28 Jan19 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  SARATOGA KAREN Jul20 Jul01 May20 Apr12 Feb22 (arey anthon)MELANCON JANSEN 123 20.00    
4  SLIDE Jul01 Nov16 Oct15 Aug12 Jul21 (daigle walt)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 15.00    
5  OCEAN FLEET Sep05 Aug20 Jul29 Jul04 Jun02 (avant ke)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 20.00    
6  BYE BYE BIG BABY Aug10 Jun24 May20 Feb22 Feb02 (west henry)STOKES A 117 15.00    
7  RETRO RITA Sep04 Aug21 Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 123 8.00 ★    
8  SUM CHARM Aug29 Jul29 Jul20 Jun29 Jun09 (ney john)BARRERA J 115 6.00    
9  VIEWING TRAIL Jul07 Jun10 May29 Feb25 Dec10 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 2.00 65% 0.50    
10  SHE'SMYSMOKESHOW Aug28 Jul17 Jul03 Jun19 Jun01 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 5.00 7% 12.80    
SCR  LAYLA'S SONG Aug20 Aug07 Jul08 May14 Mar09 (antwine)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 4.50    
SCR  JUST A WIN Sep05 Aug11 Jul28 Jul06 May27 (landry ray)STOKES J 120 4.00    
 
DED-2   10/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZERO POINT ZERO Jul21 May12 Apr07 Feb17 Feb10 (morrell cynthia)MCMAHON J 117 8.00 ★    
2  KAPPA HILL Aug20 Jul06 May11 Apr20 Jul28 (journet albe)MAGNON H 114 20.00    
3  VALLEJO Aug28 Jul01 Feb23 Jan06 Dec07 (nelson r)LOZADA CARLOS 117 8.00    
4  MISS DARLENE Aug27 Jul10 Jul10 Feb23 Jan22 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 117 10.00    
5  MYLIES STAR Aug14 Jul20 Jul02 Jun12 May26 (dussette a)ALBERT S 112 15.00    
6  PREACH IT GIRL Sep09 Aug28 Aug14 Jul30 Jul10 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  ELI'S GIRL Sep22 Sep02 Aug13 Jun25 Jun11 (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 123 6.00    
8  K V SQUARED Jun29 Jan25 Nov26 Oct22 Aug25 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 3.00 10% 8.90    
SCR  A RUNNIN AFLEET Aug26 Jul20 May26 Mar15 Feb04 (schwandt emile)THORNTON G 111 5.00    
10  SERAPE Jul27 Jul15 May25 Apr22 Feb11 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 114 3.50 20% 3.90    
SCR  SENSE OF FLURRY Aug13 Jul26 Jul01 Jun07 Sep14 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 120 10.00    
12  CANT ATTACK ARCH Aug11 Jul08 Jun24 Aug07   (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 2.50 45% 1.20    
 
DED-3   10/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A FOOL FOR CARLOS Jun02         (broussard v)LEDET THEODRICK 123 20.00    
2  THE LAST CAT         (delahoussa)ALBERT S 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  I'M A NIGHT TRAIN Jul15         (noel dane)ROSIER R 120 6.00    
4  SERRANO'S WARRIOR Aug05 Jul01 Oct22 May24   (johnson henry )MUNOZ SERGIO 115 8.00    
5  CHARLIE'S PARADE Sep09 Aug05 Jun30 Jun08   (thomas lee)POMPELL L 120 3.50    
6  IRON N STEEL Jul21 Jun29 Apr21 Mar26 Feb24 (brinkman )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 123 4.00 6% 15.40    
7  PAL'S ALARM Jun24         (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  ZOEY'S HIPPIE Nov04 Oct12 Aug12 Jun25 Jun04 (segura kearney)STOKES J 123 6.00 49% 1.00    
9  FLASH OF RAIN Jul28 Jul07 Apr08 Oct26 Aug12 (charles jon)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 12.00    
10  CATALINA DAY         (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 120 5.00 16% 5.40    
 
DED-4   10/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EASY ACT Jul07 Jun08 May20 May11 Apr07 (segura kearney)STOKES J 120 10.00    
2  GOTTEMINABIND Aug20 Jul28 Jul01 May30 May14 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 118 6.00    
3  GEAUX VOTE Aug04 Jul21 May29 May12 Jan21 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 3.00 7% 13.30    
4  REINA ACES Aug20 Jul30 Jun23 May11 Apr19 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  MO SMOKING Sep13 Aug30 Aug09 Jul08 Jun25 (scherer gary)THORNTON G 120 4.00    
SCR  CAT B CAUSE Aug10 Jul21 Jul03 Jun19 May27 (alberto ant)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 8.00    
7  JULIO CHOICE Aug20 Jul20 Jun23 May27 May11 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  MOR KISSES Aug20 Jul06 May29 May11 Apr22 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 120 6.00 ★    
9  MUCHMORETHANREADY Sep03 Aug12 Jul22 Jun03 May10 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 120 4.50 63% 0.60    
10  ARCTIC GUITAR Jul20 Jan04 Dec16 Dec01 Nov09 (bernard john)STOKES A 123 20.00    
 
DED-5   10/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($27K) 2 ALL PT- 8:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLAMORDINI         (landry ray)STOKES J 117 3.00    
2  CLEARING CUSTOMS Aug29         (knudsen kent)MCMAHON J 120 4.00 18% 4.50    
3  RITE ON SAM Jul28         (noel dane)VARGAS P 120 8.00 13% 6.80    
4  YES JACK Sep12 Aug29 Aug12     (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00    
5  MAKE IT SPEND IT Aug29 Aug12       (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 1.40 37% 1.70    
6  FRUIT CUP Aug29 Aug19       (garza joaqu)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 8.00    
 
DED-6   10/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHERE'S AUNT J Aug20 Jul24 Jun12 Feb23 Feb04 (bruno )GUERRERO ANDRES 114 15.00    
2  MADISON'S SCREEN Aug28 Jul14 Jun29 May25 Apr21 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 114 12.00    
3  CHARGED TEMP May04 Apr08 Feb22 Feb03 Dec22 (broberg k)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  DOLLY'S GUITAR Aug12 Jul20 Jun29 Jun17 Apr20 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 117 8.00 10% 9.00    
5  TWO JET Aug11 Jul20 Jul08 Jun01 May10 (delhomme jerry)THORNTON G 114 3.50 48% 1.10    
6  BUILDING HOME Jul20 Jun17 Jun01 May10 Apr14 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 117 20.00    
7  MISS TARGET Sep09 Aug26 Jun12 Apr14 Dec17 (de beauville )LOZADA CARLOS 117 5.00 17% 5.00    
8  AFLEET CHARLENE Jul10 Jun24 May28 May07 Mar05 (beene linda)MUNOZ SERGIO 112 20.00    
9  SHEZA SALTY GAL Jul22 Jun12 May22 Apr14 Feb22 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 2.50    
10  FOR REAL ALICE Aug12 Jul15 Jun01 Apr21 Feb20 (pitzer floy)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 4.50 ★    
SCR  COMMERCIAL FLASH Jul01 May20 Mar23 Mar04 Jan16 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 8.00    
 
DED-7   10/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  B W P SPECIAL Aug04 Jun30 Jun10 Apr29 Apr15 (mojica edith )LOZADA CARLOS 117 12.00    
2  JAZZY JUSTIN Apr26 Feb15 Jan26 Jan11 Dec21 (toups brent)POMPELL L 117 3.50 66% 0.50    
3  ANDIAMO GIACOMO Jul28 Jun16 May06 Apr15 Mar18 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 114 10.00    
4  MUFFIN NUTS Aug04 Jul21 Jul01 Jun23 May20 (fuselier jonah)ROSIER R 117 12.00    
SCR  SAILOR CHOW Sep18 Aug07 Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 (guillory he)MELANCON JANSEN 117 20.00    
SCR  LIKEN IT Aug19 Aug04 Jul13 Jun30 Jun10 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 117 2.50 ★    
7  CARBON STRYKER Aug26 Jul16 Jun17 May21 Apr27 (bryant)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 5.00 7% 14.20    
8  FAR BEYOND Aug28 Jun17 May22 May07 Apr29 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 117 6.00    
9  SAVAGE (BRZ) Sep04 Jul24 Jul09 Jun04 May27 (arnett g)BIRZER E 120 8.00    
10  CHAPEL BARN Jun30 Jun19 Jun05 May27 May04 (altamirano eleu)TORRES HUGO 112 15.00 5% 18.20    
SCR  AUTOPILOT Aug27 Aug12 Jul10 May13 Apr29 (arnett g)BIRZER E 120 6.00    
12  SCHNELL Sep02 Aug03 Jun30 May12 Apr21 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-8   10/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KELA'S TURN Sep03 Aug11 Jul21 Jun23 May22 (guillory he)MELANCON JANSEN 117 12.00    
2  SWEET TEMPERAMENT Jun24 May11 Apr12 Feb24 Jan06 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 3.00 27% 2.70    
3  IMA DISCREET LADY Aug19 Jul01 Jun03 Apr13 Mar25 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 3.50 16% 5.30    
4  SUMMER LIGHTNING Jul21 Jun11 May21 Apr29 Apr02 (rangel raul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 8.00    
SCR  FIRST I'VE SEEN Aug05 Jun03 May05 Mar26 Feb24 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 114 8.00    
6  SPLENDA GAIL Oct05 Aug10 Jul22 Jul01 Jun16 (briley lonni)TAYLOR BETHANY 117 20.00    
7  BLAZE AWAY N HIDE Sep10 Jul23 Jul07 Jun23 May22 (arnett g)BIRZER E 117 15.00    
8  FLASHY MEG Aug12 Jun03 May05 Feb24 Feb01 (segura kearney)STOKES J 114 4.50 16% 5.30    
9  FREE DROP MADDY Mar25 Feb25 Feb04 Dec10 Nov18 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 117 6.00 18% 4.40    
10  TAKE CHARGE WOMAN Sep10 Mar25 Feb04 Jan16 Nov30 (duhon paul)BOREL H 117 15.00    
 
DED-9   10/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3 F PT- 9:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABBEY CAKES Aug20 Aug07 Jul24 Apr15 Feb24 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 120 10.00    
2  BODI ODI Sep03 Aug13 Jul24 Jul01 Jun10 (northrop debra)POMPELL L 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MAJESTIC CINEMA Sep16 Aug30       (espinoza )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 120 20.00    
4  CLEARANCE SALE Jun24 Jun04 May14 Feb02   (dunn ray)MUNOZ SERGIO 112 15.00    
5  BOLD EXAGGERATION Sep03 Aug13 Jul24 May29 May12 (tillis e)ROSIER R 120 10.00    
6  LO PROFILE Sep03 Aug13 Jun11 May21 Apr29 (rossi j)BOREL H 120 5.00 ★    
7  ROLL GYPSY ROLL Sep16 Aug30 Jul29 Jul03 Jun10 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.00    
8  MISS ARKANSAS Sep03 Aug20 Jul30 Jul03 May27 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00 10% 9.40    
9  TWISTED BRADE Aug29 Aug13 Jul24 Jan27 Aug15 (turner patti)LOZADA CARLOS 120 3.00 67% 0.50    
10  REINE LE FER Aug11         (castille carrol)MCMAHON J 117 6.00    
SCR  PAYTON'S INDIAN Aug05 Jun30 Jun08 May03 Apr12 (breaux samuel)STOKES J 117 2.50    
SCR  LIL PARTY CRASHER Sep10 Aug26 Aug12 Jul24 Jul01 (garza joaquin)VARGAS P 120 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.