Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Grants Pass
Sunday - October 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GRP-1   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GRP-2   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
GRP-4   WIN (9/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/8/2)-(9/8/2/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GRP-5   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GRP-6   WIN (5/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/8)-(5/2/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GRP-7   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GRP-9   WIN (7/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/4)-(7/2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GRP-10   WIN (5/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/3)-(5/8/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GRP-11   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GRP-1   10/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($8K) 2 ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LIL BIT OF HEAVEN Oct01         (marquez-ca)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO 125 15.00    
  (by AL FAATIK out of BELLA FABIELA by PARKER'S STORM CAT)
ROJO PEQUENO Oct01 Aug10       (guerrero em)GUERRERO C 125 1.60 53% 0.90    
  (by COLLECTED out of HONEST PURSUIT by STORM CAT)
SHOT OF BRANDY Oct01         (harshman loe)SMITH E 122 3.00 10% 8.90    
  (by GIACOMO out of GO TO THE ALTER by LUCKY PULPIT)
SHILSHOLE BAY Sep18 Sep10 Aug26 Aug11 Jul23 (lawrence hea)CONTRERAS CRUZ 122 4.00 10% 8.80    
  (by MR. RANCHO VISTA out of CARRICK BAY by LEMON DROP KID)
RALLIFIED Sep02 Aug18       (van debb)ENRIQUEZ D 125 8.00    
  (by RALLYING CRY out of ROARIFIED by ROAR)
TREASURE MESA         (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E 125 10.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of SKYMYNX by SKY MESA)
SODA SPRINGS (CHI) Sep18 Sep10 Aug11 Jul08   (rosales jorge)ANAYA V 122 6.00    
  (by DOMINEAU out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
GRP-2   10/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Josephine County Juvenile Purse ($12K) 2 ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WHERE YOU GONNA GO Aug27         (van debb)ENRIQUEZ D 125 4.50    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of MARGARET'S MIRACLE by SLEWDLEDO)
PRIME TIME PORTA Jul08         (guerrero em)GUERRERO C 125 2.50    
  (by PAYNTER out of ROMANTIC INTENTION by SUAVE)
MONTUCKY Sep02 Aug27       (butterfield kr)VIRGEN JESUS 125 3.00 17% 4.80    
  (by PROTONICO out of ROCKHARD LADY by ROCK HARD TEN)
MONARCA DE ORO Sep18 Sep10       (rodriguez sau)LOPEZ E 122 4.00    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of OUT TO SEA by SEA SALUTE)
BEER BEGONE Aug27 Aug06 Jul09 Jun25   (magallanes h)SMITH E 125 2.00 52% 0.90    
  (by PONTIFF out of COPY BEGONE by DEMON WARLOCK)
 
GRP-4   10/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOREVER GOLD Sep25 Sep10 Jun25 May28 May13 (hof d)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 15.00    
BRONY BOY Sep17 Sep02 Jun18 May29 Sep11 (nunnally jen)NUNNALLY BLAKE 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DARK AND DANDY Sep24 Sep04 Aug12 Jun25 Jun10 (rosales jorge)ANAYA V 126 4.50    
TUMAC MOUNTAIN Oct02 Aug06 Jul16 Mar08 Jan30 (nunnally j)CRUZ DIAZ 126 10.00    
MR BOTANICALS Oct02 Sep10 Aug26 Aug18 Jul23 (abraha)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 10.00    
SECRET LIFE STYLE Sep24 Sep09 Aug19 Jul28 Jul14 (roberson don)SMITH E 126 15.00    
MILEYS BLUECAT Aug25 Aug13 Jul16 Jul01 Jun18 (rosales)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 8.00    
WHATWASITHINKING Sep18 Sep03 Aug25 Aug12 Jul23 (thompson el)GUERRERO C 126 3.00 5% 19.00    
FAMOUS ROCK STAR Sep24 Sep17 Sep02 Aug25 Aug05 (baze rob)MURO ISIDRO 126 4.00 73% 0.40    
10  MYSTIC WOOD FORCE Sep18 Sep04 Aug11 Jun17 Jun09 (rodriguez sau)LOPEZ E 126 6.00    
 
GRP-5   10/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASH'S CAT Sep09 Aug19 Jul28 Jul07 Jun24 (silva-martinez)ENRIQUEZ D 124 2.50    
OUR HY ROLLER Sep17 Sep04 Aug19 Aug06 Jul15 (baze robert)ANAYA V 126 2.00 41% 1.50    
MR MAKUNOUCHI Sep17 Jul09 Jun03 Apr16 Apr01 (mccracken r)GUERRERO C 124 15.00    
POCO DIABLO ROJO Oct02 Sep16 Sep03 Aug19 Aug11 (baze rob)MURO ISIDRO 124 6.00    
SAINT HELEN Oct01 Sep18 Sep11 Aug26 Aug18 (beckner teri)SMITH E 121 10.00 12% 7.10    
COLTON'S TIGER Sep17 Aug25 Jun18 May21   (stillwell tuc)LOPEZ E 126 3.00 15% 5.60    
NEATAPAR Sep17 Sep04 Aug10 Jul02 Sep17 (cantrel)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 8.00    
 
GRP-6   10/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARNING SOUND Sep25 Sep17 Aug26 Aug18 Aug09 (hurley denn)GUERRERO C 126 8.00    
FANTASTIC SECRET Sep17 Aug26 Aug20 Jul28 Jul02 (kowals)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 3.00 33% 2.00    
ANTECEDENCE Sep25 Aug25 Jul29 Jun25 Jun17 (rosales)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 6.00    
SWEET MEG Sep17 Aug27 Aug20 Jul01 Jun17 (bumgardner ji)LOPEZ E 126 20.00    
SMILING SALSA Sep18 Sep04 Aug10 Jun25 May28 (harshman loe)SMITH E 126 4.00 43% 1.30    
V BUCKS Aug27 Aug20 Mar14 Feb16 Jan12 (rosales jorge)ANAYA V 126 2.00    
SPANISH CHANNEL Sep25 Aug18 Jul21 Jul07 May28 (beckner )MURO ISIDRO 126 10.00    
FIRE DIAMONDS Sep25 Jan11 Nov21 Oct16 Sep10 (thompson e)CRUZ DIAZ 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
GRP-7   10/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Grants Pass Distaff Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETHEL RIDGE Sep17 Sep03 Aug26 Aug19 Jul04 (williams gab)SMITH E 126 6.00 22% 3.60    
  (by COAST GUARD out of BEARLEE NAKED by OLD TRIESTE)
IN THE VAULT Sep17 Sep10 Aug18 Jul30 Jul09 (velasque)MURO ISIDRO 126 2.50 26% 2.80    
  (by GALLANT SON out of BE FAITHFUL by VICAR)
REIGN OF FIRE Sep10 Aug18 Aug04 Jul02 Jun23 (velasquez rigo)ENRIQUEZ D 126 2.00    
  (by VRONSKY out of RED HOT RENEE by ROAR)
RED NOON RISING Oct02 Sep03 Aug19 Aug11 Mar19 (rosales jorge)ANAYA V 126 4.50 24% 3.20    
  (by YES IT'S TRUE out of NOON AT NIGHT by TENPINS)
FIRE ESCAPE Oct02 Sep11 Aug27 Aug20 Jun23 (rosales)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 8.00    
  (by STRAIGHT FIRE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
CONFIDENCE BUILDER Oct02 Sep25 Aug11 Jul21 Jul02 (silva-)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 10.00    
  (by STANFORD out of BLUES AND SILVERS by EUROSILVER)
SCR  ROPERS N WRANGLERS Sep09 Nov26 Nov09 Oct15 Sep05 (rennie ric)CRUZ DIAZ 126 15.00    
  (by FREUD out of STARSHIP KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
RED NOVA Sep17 Aug25 Aug11 Jul03 Jun10 (morris michae)LOPEZ E 126 12.00    
  (by LEA out of CARSON'S STAR by CARSON CITY)
 
GRP-9   10/08/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPITAL EXPENSE Jun11 May20 Apr04 Mar18 Feb19 (baze robert)ANAYA V 126 6.00    
SIR LAUGHALOT Oct01 Sep11 Aug26 Aug19 Aug11 (abraha)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 4.00 24% 3.10    
TIZ INDY Sep25 Sep04 Aug25 Aug20 Aug11 (rhodes dixie )LOPEZ E 126 15.00    
SKEESIX Oct01 Sep10 Aug25 Aug10 Jun25 (hof d)GUERRERO C 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
BOB'S SNIPER Sep17 Sep10 Sep04 Aug25 Aug18 (guerrero d)CRUZ DIAZ 126 4.50 19% 4.40    
SPEEDY TOM Sep25 Sep11 Aug25 Aug18 Jul29 (guerrero emi)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 10.00    
XTRAFINE XTINA Oct01 Sep03 Aug26 Aug19 Jul04 (beckner teri)SMITH E 123 2.00 34% 1.90    
DIAMOND WILLOW Apr25 Apr04 Mar25 Mar08 Feb20 (silva-ma)MURO ISIDRO 126 10.00    
 
GRP-10   10/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE THIRD RING Aug25 Aug13 Aug04 Jul22 Jul14 (chattong vichi)ANAYA V 126 4.00    
SCR  LUCKY CODE Aug27 Aug04 Jul02 Jun11   (freeman scot)SMITH E 124 2.50    
ANTICIPATED Sep18 Aug26 Aug11 Jul13 Jun18 (pollard eli)LOPEZ E 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
MOLAF Oct01 Sep11 Aug12 Aug10 Jul04 (moreno-alcal)GARCIA G 126 20.00    
HAKUNUI Oct01 Sep18 Sep11 Sep03 Aug20 (lyons k)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 10.00 64% 0.60    
PACKRAT BRANT Sep11 Sep03 Aug12 Aug09 Jul12 (stewart larr)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 15.00    
SCR  NIGHT TO REMEMBER Aug20 Aug12 Jul16 Jul03 Jun16 (velasquez rigo)ENRIQUEZ D 126 4.50    
FOYT Sep17 Aug25 Aug19 Jul28 Jul09 (beckner )MURO ISIDRO 126 6.00 12% 7.30    
SCRATCH ME Sep18 Sep03 Jul02 Apr05 Mar19 (bumgar)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 20.00    
10  MIDNIGHT DADDY Sep10 Aug10 Apr10 Mar19 Feb18 (stillwell )CRUZ DIAZ 126 12.00    
 
GRP-11   10/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT-11:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAPAWASAROLLNSTONE Oct02 Aug05 Jul22 Jul03 Jun09 (kowalsk)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
KOA CAT Oct01 Sep04 Aug19 Jul15 Jul01 (marile)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 10.00    
CONTINUE ON VICTOR Oct01 Sep10 Aug11 Jul13 Jul03 (lawrence hea)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 6.00    
HADLEES HONOR Sep25 Sep03 Aug19 Jul30 Jul08 (cantrell)MURO ISIDRO 124 4.50    
MR MEMPHIS Sep25 Sep03 Aug26 Aug11 Jul13 (hurley denn)GUERRERO C 126 4.00 5% 17.80    
MATTAWA N THAT Sep25 Sep11 Aug12 Jul04 Jun24 (boyle mary)LOPEZ E 126 3.00 71% 0.40    
SCR  PICK YOUR BID Sep10 Aug20 Aug06 Jul30 Jul09 (chattong vic)SMITH E 126 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.