Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Thursday - September 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/4)-(5/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(5/7/3)-(6/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-2   WIN (5/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/3)-(5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-3   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(6/4/2)-(11/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-4   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(11/6)-(4/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-5   WIN (11/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (11/6)-(11/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (11/6)-(4/2/6)-(1/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-6   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(1/5/7)-(4/6/10) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-7   WIN (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/7)-(1/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/7)-(1/5/7)-(1/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/7)-(4/6/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-8   WIN (4/6/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/10)-(4/6/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/10)-(4/6/10)-(4/6/10) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   09/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SOME R BLESSED Sep02 Aug17 Aug02 Jul21 Mar23 (corrigan )CORREA L 122 4.50    
SCR  FEUILLETON Aug17 Aug03 Jun23 Jun07 Apr30 (chain pearl)BUSH V 122 8.00    
3  SILVESTRE Sep02 Jul14 Jun14 May11 Apr16 (cambray ignac)LEBRON VICTOR 122 10.00    
4  KING OF TRUTH Sep06 Jul29 Jul01 Sep05 Aug08 (adams l)HESS SARA 117 12.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  GUNLEATHER AL Sep13 Aug16 Oct18     (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 119 2.50    
6  DESERT HIGHWAY Sep13 Aug31 Aug12 Aug05 Jul14 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 6.00 49% 1.10    
SCR  CONNECT ME Sep13 Aug24 Jul12 Jun19 May25 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 119 5.00    
8  MORE CHANCES Sep20 Sep02 Aug03 Apr22 Apr06 (roque elis)MOJICA JR 122 20.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT CHANNEL Sep10 Aug18 Jul07 Jun22 May17 (meah m)MCENTEE GRACE 122 8.00    
10  BIG HELLO Sep02 Aug03 Jul19 Jun09 Dec07 (meah m)HEARD TYLER 122 3.50    
 
BTP-2   09/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LIBERTY HALL Jun15 Aug27 Apr28     (cook k)CANUTO THIAGO 121 12.00    
2  LIGHTNING CASHES Sep14 Aug15 Aug04 Jul20 Jul06 (salcedo ram)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 5.00    
3  WILDERZAR Sep14 Aug30 Aug17 Jul31 Jun15 (wilson david )LEBRON VICTOR 121 3.50 14% 6.20    
4  ALY STONE Sep14 Aug30 Aug15 Aug02 Jul13 (holton a)MURGIA A 124 8.00    
5  LIDIA'S PRAYER Sep16 Aug31 Aug05 Jun16 May20 (ramos rafael)PANAIJO JORGE 121 2.50 28% 2.50    
6  BENITO Sep14 Jul14 Jun23 Jun08 May27 (dailey ronald)BUSH V 121 6.00    
7  PAPA D L Sep14 Aug16 Aug03 May03 Mar24 (forster t)MCKEE J 121 4.50 27% 2.80    
 
BTP-3   09/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THISPOINTINTIME Aug31 Aug19 Aug03 Jul20 Jul07 (morelos mateo)REYES R 120 8.00    
2  POUR ME A DOUBLE Sep09 Aug03 Jul12 Jun01 May13 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 4.50    
3  FINGERS Sep14 Jul27 Jun30 May19 Feb22 (miller darrin)JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 3.50 18% 4.60    
4  LAKE TAHOE Aug26 Aug15 Aug03 Jul12 Jun01 (davis joseph )CANUTO THIAGO 120 2.50 27% 2.80    
5  PERFECT THUNDER Aug19 Aug12 Jul22 Jun16 May11 (esquivel )CORREA L 117 5.00    
6  UNCAPTURED DREAM Sep14 Aug31 Aug13 Jul30 Jul13 (watkins m)REYES FRANK 122 4.00 31% 2.20    
7  CAPE MARCO DRIVE Sep20 Sep07 Aug26 Aug15 Jul29 (roque elis)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 10.00    
 
BTP-4   09/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH MEADOWS Sep14 Aug26 Aug12 Aug03 Jul21 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 124 8.00    
2  LUCKY LAUREN Jul12 Jun10 May19 Apr28 Feb16 (newton troy)MCKEE J 124 4.00 14% 6.20    
3  LUCKY TUESDAY Aug15 Aug02 Jul21 Nov30 Nov14 (zircher rober)LEBRON VICTOR 124 3.50    
4  ROSE RING Sep14 Aug16 Jun15 May24 May02 (zircher robert)BUSH V 124 5.00 31% 2.30    
5  MOON PARTY Sep13 Aug12 Aug03 Jul05 Jun10 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 6.00    
6  DESTINY'S DARLING Sep19 Aug29 Jul29 Jun24 Jun09 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
7  EIDA'S STORM Sep14 Aug26 Aug10 Jul21 Jul08 (aguirre j)CORREA L 124 10.00    
 
BTP-5   09/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WIMOWEH Aug17 Aug02 Feb18 Jan28 Jan07 (gorostieta ci)CANUTO THIAGO 120 10.00    
SCR  LOUISIANIMAL Aug12 Jul14 May21 Mar31 Nov03 (foley greg)JIMENEZ ALBIN 117 4.50    
SCR  PANORAMA TRUCK Aug23 Aug08 Jul26 Jun27 Jun06 (acevedo i)CORREA L 120 15.00    
SCR  DIGITAL SOFTWARE Sep15 Sep05 Aug23 Jul20 Jul06 (caramori caio)MURGIA A 120 12.00    
SCR  ELIZA'S HONOR Sep02 Jul22 Jun16 May13 Mar17 (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 114 2.50    
6  STORM'S REFLECTION Sep07 Aug27 Aug13 Jul19 Jul05 (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 120 12.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  EDEN PARADISE Aug23 Aug15 Jul27 Jul16 Jun23 (james gerald)REYES R 120 6.00    
8  MIDNIGHT TEQUILA Aug23 Aug01 Jul01 Jun16 May19 (chain pearl)BUSH V 120 30.00    
9  CINDY'S STORM Sep14 Aug23 Aug01 Jul12 Jul01 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 12.00    
10  FASTBYTE Jul23 Jul06 May22 Mar04 Dec02 (esquivel jesus)COLON H 117 3.50    
11  FUTURE VICTORY Sep09 Aug23 Aug01 Jul06 Jun16 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 120 5.00 63% 0.60    
 
BTP-6   09/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 2 ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JET FLIGHT Sep03 Aug27       (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 120 5.00    
  (by ACHIKULAK out of KALUGA by UNCLE MO)
2  MEXITEXAFORNIA Sep05 Aug11 Jul12 Jun08   (crumley jevon)OUZTS W 120 3.50 16% 5.40    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of COURT SURPRISE by COURT VISION)
3  MATRIX CODE Sep03         (perez manny)REYES FRANK 120 15.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of AWESTRUCK by TAPIT)
4  BRILLIANT MAN Sep09         (reed r)MCKEE J 120 2.50 52% 0.90    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of RUBYWOOD by WOODMAN)
5  MANSION PARTY Sep11 Aug26 Jul12 Jun23 Jun03 (short thomas)CANUTO THIAGO 120 8.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of LAZULITE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
6  ENDOW         (thornbury jef)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 4.50 12% 7.70    
  (by FED BIZ out of RUSTICANA by PIONEERING)
7  HEARTFELT KARTER Sep05 Aug18 Jul12     (short thoma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 10.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of HEARTFELT by CONGRATS)
 
BTP-7   09/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPUTER WHIZ Sep13 Aug09 Jul19 Jul05 Jun09 (brafford mich)CANUTO THIAGO 119 4.50 29% 2.40    
2  GIMME CLEARANCE Sep01 Aug10 Aug03 Jun22 Jun07 (silva ferna)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 12.00    
3  SHAKA'S LYRIC Sep13 Aug30 Aug03 Jul19 Jul05 (jackson jacqu)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 8.00    
4  SWEETER THAN HONEY Sep22 Sep01 Aug23 Aug03 Jul20 (roque elis)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 12.00    
5  MISS ELIANA Sep13 Aug29 Aug09 Jul27 Jun30 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
6  EMERALD EYES Sep06 Aug16 Jul19 Jun30 Jun09 (salcedo r)CORREA L 119 3.50    
7  SAVESOMEFORME Sep13 Jul24 Jul04 Mar23 Feb23 (bates l)LEBRON VICTOR 119 6.00 15% 5.50    
 
BTP-8   09/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLE OF ST. JOHN Sep02 Aug15 Jul21 Jul01 Jun16 (andrade h)CORREA L 121 6.00    
2  AUNT RUTH Sep02 Aug10 Jul27 Jul08 Jun10 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 121 15.00    
3  LOOKIN ROYAL Sep06 Aug05 Jul26 Jul07 Jun14 (huffman pat)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 8.00    
4  FAIRY CAKES (GB) Sep18 Sep09 Aug15 Jul12 Jun13 (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 121 5.00 38% 1.60    
5  ELUSIVE JUSTICE Sep18 Aug30 Aug15 Aug05 Jul21 (davis joseph )CANUTO THIAGO 121 12.00    
6  APRIL'S GEM Sep18 Sep03 Aug23 Jul30 Jul12 (rosas rigo)COLON H 123 3.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  KICK OUT THE JAMS Aug18 Aug05 Jul15 Jun10 May19 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 2.00    
SCR  BOURBON BUNS Aug02 Jul19 Jul03 May31 May02 (zielinski r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 10.00    
SCR  MERRY OF SOUL Sep14 Aug29 Aug10 Mar09 Feb16 (thomas mark)MCKEE J 121 6.00    
10  STACK SHACK Sep03 Aug23 Dec04 Nov25 Nov13 (rivelli larry)REYES FRANK 121 4.50 15% 5.80    
SCR  MIZZEN ASH Sep03 Aug23 Jul27 Jun21 Jun06 (granitz antho)LEBRON VICTOR 121 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.