Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Monday - September 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/9/6) 9 $2.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/9/6)-(2/3/9/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(3/9/2/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-2   WIN (3/9/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/2/6)-(3/9/2/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/9/2/6)-(3/9/2/6)-(3/9/2/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/9/2/6)-(2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/9/2/6)-(2/4/3)-(9/7/8) 36 $2.00 $72.00 
MNR-3   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(9/7/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-4   WIN (9/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/7/8)-(9/7/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/8)-(9/7/8)-(9/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (9/7/8)-(6/9/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MNR-5   WIN (6/9/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/9/7)-(6/9/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/7)-(6/9/7)-(6/9/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (6/8/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/3/2)-(6/8/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/8/3/2)-(6/8/3/2)-(6/8/3/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/8/3/2)-(2/8/1)-(4/1/8/2) 48 $2.00 $96.00 
MNR-7   WIN (2/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/1)-(2/8/1) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/8/1)-(2/8/1)-(2/8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/8/1)-(4/1/8/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-8   WIN (4/1/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/8/2)-(4/1/8/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/1/8/2)-(4/1/8/2)-(4/1/8/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BALLOT BOX Aug23 Jun19 May07 Dec07 Oct09 (pizzurro jess)CEDILLO MAURO 123 30.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of SECRET BALLOT by COURAGEOUS CAT)
2  WICKED REVIEW Sep17 Sep03 Aug23 Aug04 Aug26 (larue steve)PAUCAR E 118 4.50 39% 1.50    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of RAVE REVIEWS by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
3  SPICE CITY Aug23         (godsey )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 2.50 37% 1.70    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of JAZZ IN THE CITY by TEMPLE CITY)
4  MS. LADY T         (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 30.00    
  (by BANDBOX out of YSABELL T. by GATORS N BEARS)
5  MALPRACTICE MEUSER (GB)         (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 8.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SNEAKY FAIR by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
6  OFF TO THE RACES Aug23 Jun17 May21 Mar12 Mar04 (montano wil)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of SWEET REVEILLE by SUAVE)
SCR  MR MAYHEM Sep05 Aug28 Aug13 Aug02 Jul23 (inirio carlos)TOLEDO S 123 6.00    
  (by TWO STEP SALSA out of MOUNTAIN FIRE by FIRE SLAM)
8  SAN ANDRES Jun11 May27 Apr19 Apr02 Mar01 (poole a)AVILES YAN 123 10.00    
  (by HANDSOME MIKE out of TIZNOW'S INFO by TIZNOW)
9  ARCH EGO Sep01 Jul24 Jun17     (bright derri)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 3.00 ★    
  (by BLAME out of ONE FAST FROG by FIRST SAMURAI)
10  STUNNING HERO Aug23 Aug13 Dec07 Nov27 Nov01 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 20.00    
  (by HERO OF ORDER out of SID'S KID by SMART STRIKE)
 
MNR-2   09/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3 F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEAPIN LEVA Aug30 Jul25       (delong)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 8.00    
  (by LEA out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  COME ON LADY         (delong )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 8.00 21% 3.70    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of SHE'S A FINE LADY by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
3  STOP THE CAP         (smith g)AVILES YAN 118 8.00 22% 3.60    
  (by DONE TALKING out of SWEET TEA PLEASE by KOKAND)
SCR  STELLAR LEGACY Jun20 May15 Apr29 Apr15 Mar30 (gerich frank)HOUGHTON D 118 6.00 10% 9.40    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of LOVE IN PARIS by NOT FOR LOVE)
5  HIGHWAY ROBBERY Sep13 Sep04 Jun05     (sipp k)BRAVO MISAEL 108 30.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of JAY AT NINE by STORM CAT)
6  THIS ONE CAN RUN Sep13 Jul20 Jul01     (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 113 4.00 5% 18.20    
  (by KANTHAROS out of ICE CREAM SOCIAL by DEVIL ON ICE)
7  LUCKY GIRL COCO May26         (cordero-l)HERNANDEZ H 118 15.00    
  (by GLOBAL RESPONSE out of LUCKYSTRIKEDELCOCO by PLEASANT STRIKE)
8  FIRELANE Sep09 Aug26       (lusk r)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 6.00    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of FLORESTA by FOREST CAMP)
9  LOVE MY CANDY Sep04 Aug09 Jul21 Apr29 Mar11 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 2.00 22% 3.60    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of MARIA'S CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
10  WOMP Sep13 Aug30 May22 Nov20   (pease harry)LEON A 118 30.00    
  (by VERRAZANO out of JASMINE JEWEL by MR. GREELEY)
 
MNR-3   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEL MAR FLASH Sep06 Aug16 Aug08 Jul25 Jul02 (hebert kitty)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 4.00    
2  COWGIRL KIMMIE Sep05 Aug23 Jul12 Jul02 May02 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.00 58% 0.70    
3  LUCKY TO HAVE ME Aug28 Jul23 Jul10 Jun20 May22 (hernandez ric)CEDILLO MAURO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  ONE NIGHT STAND Sep18 Aug22 Aug10 Jun28 Jun03 (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 4.50 9% 9.80    
5  GIRO KATE Sep03 Aug23 Jul11 Jun06 May09 (langley c)YARANGA Y 123 3.50    
6  AUBURN Sep08 Aug24 Mar19 Feb12 Feb03 (lusk r)BRAVO MISAEL 113 12.00    
SCR  WAY TO FIRE Jun20 Jun05 May23 Feb18 Feb09 (hebert a)RAMGEET R 123 5.00    
 
MNR-4   09/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZERO FOR CONDUCT Sep12 Aug20 Jul26 Jul12 Jul03 (witherow sand)CEDILLO MAURO 115 30.00    
2  YDOUHAVETOBESOMEAN Aug31 Aug04 Jul13 Jun01 Apr06 (gray christo)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 30.00    
SCR  DRUNK TEXT Aug13 Jul06 Jun16 May26 May06 (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 118 20.00    
SCR  DEVIL'S CANYON Aug18 Jul06 Jun15 Apr20 Mar10 (meyers shane)DIAZ I 120 10.00    
5  BURR HILL BULLET Aug13 Nov17 Oct19 Sep30 Sep09 (carlisle jo)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 4.00    
SCR  MACHEN IT RAIN Aug21 Oct17 Jul10     (baird michael)PAUCAR E 120 8.00    
7  MAC DADDY Aug07         (shuler)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 4.50 23% 3.40    
8  XCELLENT START Sep01 Aug05 Jul15 Feb01 Jan07 (runco j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 2.50 19% 4.40    
9  TWILIGHT YEARS Aug13 Jul03 Feb09 Dec14 Nov23 (shuler john)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 3.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  XTRAORDINARYMOTION Aug29 Jul30 Jul12 Jun13 May21 (minnock wayne )HOUGHTON D 115 15.00    
 
MNR-5   09/25/2023 1320ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STRADARI Sep12 Aug23 Aug07 Jul24 Jun18 (mcdonald wil)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 20.00    
2  RED ROCKET GIRL Aug30 Aug20 Jul11 Jun13 Apr30 (dixon geoff)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 10.00    
3  TREASURED NIKKY Aug30 Aug15 Aug01 Jul24 Jul11 (larue s)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 30.00    
4  NINJA KITTEN May31 May09 Mar07 Jan31 Jan12 (londono odin )CEDILLO MAURO 118 30.00    
SCR  MS HEADLEY Sep12 Aug20 Aug01 Jul11 Jun18 (cuttino mario)SIMPSON JASON 123 6.00    
6  GOLDEN NOLE Sep12 Jul11 Apr25 Aug25 Aug02 (londono od)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 133 1.00 54% 0.80    
7  PROMINENT HENNY Sep12 Aug30 Aug20 Jul11 Jun13 (baird michael)PAUCAR E 129 5.00 9% 10.30    
8  LOST ANCHOR Sep12 Sep07 Aug19 Jul04 Nov30 (collins tim)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 8.00    
9  CAN SHE SCOOT Sep12 Aug30 Aug20 Jul11 Jun13 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 129 5.00 13% 6.80    
 
MNR-6   09/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KITTEN BY THE SEA Sep04 Aug20 Aug09 Aug01 Jul09 (viands )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 20.00    
2  HUMMIN' THE FUNK Sep10 Aug15 Aug01 Jul09 Jun25 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 8.00 7% 12.80    
3  PETTIGO GIRL Sep10 Aug27 Aug13 Jul19 Jul05 (norris stephani)PAUCAR E 123 3.50 14% 6.00    
4  AYY LADIES Sep07 Aug19 Apr30 Apr11 Mar23 (west m)AVILES YAN 118 12.00    
5  TIZ PROMISING RVF Aug30 Aug16 Jul31 Jul19 Jun27 (valdez moises)HOUGHTON D 120 8.00    
6  VINTAGE SPARKLE Sep10 Aug27 Jul19 Jul05 Jun26 (hebert a)RAMGEET R 123 4.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  CARLIE Q BLUE Aug27 Jul26 Nov02 Sep28 Aug16 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 3.00    
8  LILAC LACE Sep10 Aug21 Jul27 Jun26 May24 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 120 4.50 25% 3.00    
9  GRAY FASHION Aug07 Jul19 Jul02 Dec06 Oct18 (viands gregor)SIMPSON JASON 120 12.00    
 
MNR-7   09/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POSEIDON'S SON Sep10 Aug08 Jun30 Jun03 May05 (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 4.00 12% 7.60    
2  AMICUS BRIEF Sep10 Aug23 Jul26 Jul11 Jun21 (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 120 1.80 49% 1.10    
3  HROTHGAR Sep02 Aug11 Jul12 May27 Apr15 (morzan javi)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 12.00    
4  ROAD SLEW Sep07 Aug17 Aug04 Sep17 Aug26 (perez ernesto)LARROSA G 120 8.00    
5  VILLAGE PREACHER Sep07 Aug17 Jul20 Jun30 May20 (lusk r)BRAVO MISAEL 110 8.00    
SCR  GOLDEN TONE Sep13 Sep03 Aug13 Jul31 Jul18 (rivera xavier)TOLEDO S 120 4.50    
7  MAKE YOUR DESTINY May20 May06 Apr22 Mar10 Feb22 (devill)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 15.00    
8  HIGH YIELD KITTEN May28 Apr22 Apr08 Mar25 Feb24 (poole a)AVILES YAN 120 5.00 14% 6.30    
 
MNR-8   09/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNION STATION Sep10 Jun23 May27 Apr13 Mar18 (barker)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00 21% 3.80    
2  DYNAFORM Sep10 Sep04 Aug22 Jul25 Jul18 (lopez e)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  BRIAR JUMPER Aug27 Aug02 Jul18 Jul10 Jun26 (bernardini jay )LEON A 123 4.50    
4  FULL OF LUCK (CHI) Sep05 Aug02 Jul10 May30 Jan25 (godsey marshall)YARANGA Y 123 2.50 47% 1.10    
SCR  GRAND SIR Sep13 Jun10 Jan13 Dec14 Nov26 (montano wilfr)TOLEDO S 123 20.00    
SCR  HONKY TONK HERO Sep10 Jul23 Jun26 Jun19 Jun09 (wolfe greg)CCAMAQUE M 123 8.00    
7  ATTORNEY TIM Sep18 Sep01 Jul30 Sep01 Jul16 (fletcher wes)CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.50    
8  BIG FALCON ROCKET Sep12 Aug30 Aug15 Aug02 Dec14 (spiess shan)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 8.00 5% 17.80    
9  FIND YOUR BOAZ Sep12 Aug21 Aug07 Jul14 Jun15 (geris s)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 10.00    
10  TWO GOLD SPOTS Jul19 Jul10 Jun26 May21 May07 (witherow sand)SIMPSON JASON 123 30.00    
11  LIL MR MATT Sep14 Nov24 Oct18 Sep27 Jul14 (collins tim)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.