Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Monday - July 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (5/6/11/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/11/3)-(5/6/11/3/10) 16 $2.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/5/6/11)-(3/5/6/10/11)-(3/5/6/10/11) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (5/6/11/3)-(8/6/11/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-2   WIN (8/6/11/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/11/5)-(8/6/11/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/6/11/5)-(8/6/11/5)-(8/6/11/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (8/6/11/5)-(9/2/7/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/6/11/5)-(9/2/7/10)-(5/1) 32 $2.00 $64.00 
MNR-3   WIN (9/2/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/7/10)-(9/2/7/10) 12 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/9/10)-(2/7/9/10)-(2/7/9/10) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (9/2/7/10)-(5/1) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
MNR-4   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-5   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/4/6/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/4/6/3)-(2/4/6/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
MNR-6   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(2/4/7/6)-(1/3/8) 36 $2.00 $72.00 
MNR-7   WIN (2/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/7/6)-(2/4/7/6) 12 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/6/7)-(2/4/6/7)-(2/4/6/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/4/7/6)-(1/3/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-8   WIN (1/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/8)-(1/3/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/8)-(1/3/8)-(1/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   07/31/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLY TRUTH Jul02 Jun19 May30 May16 May07 (meeks karl)CCAMAQUE M 120 4.50    
2  MAGIC MOUNTAIN Jul09 Jun13 May09 Feb07 Dec28 (welsh r)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 10.00    
3  DEJOHN Jul18 Jul02 May21 May02 Apr01 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KNOWN Jul17 Jun19 May22 May08 May02 (crago ter)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 4.00    
5  FLOWERS FOR LISA Jul17 Jul03 May28 May07 Feb10 (jansen kenny)VEGA L 123 5.00 56% 0.80    
6  RULING FRONT Jul18 Jul11 Jun27 Jun15 May03 (montano wilfri)DIAZ I 120 3.00 20% 3.90    
7  RY'S REVENGE Jul09 May30 May09 Dec14 Dec04 (depasquale )WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 20.00    
8  WHISKEY SUNRISE Jul18 Jul10 Jun26 Jun18 May29 (vickers richa)SIMPSON JASON 120 30.00    
9  SOURNOIS Jun26 Jun03 May18 Apr26 Apr14 (barker jame)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 8.00    
10  NOT A GAME Jul02 Jun19 May23 Apr04 Mar27 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 120 6.00 ★    
11  VOLTE FACE Jul24 Jun19 Jun06 May16 Nov30 (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BOOMIN GOOSE Jul18 Jun27 Jun14 May29 May15 (hayes )BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00    
 
MNR-2   07/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KANTPAYTHETOLL Jul10 Jun11 May22 May04 Mar09 (boyd l)DIAZ I 120 10.00    
2  VIOLIN MAKER Jul02 May28 Apr22 Mar11 Feb17 (morey willi)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 1.00    
SCR  KITCHI Jul23 Jul11 Jul02 Jun19 Jun04 (gomez alejandro)YARANGA Y 120 8.00    
4  ENJOY BASEBALL Jul18 Jul05 Jun11 May29 Apr15 (vickers richard )WHITACRE B 120 30.00    
5  SCORSESE Jul10 Jun21 May22 May02 Apr13 (trierweiler )GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  PICKFORD Jun25 Nov10 Oct11 Aug17 Jul24 (conto kevin)JURADO EDDIE 120 10.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  PAPA HONOR Jul23 Jun06 Oct20 Oct09 Sep18 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 120 8.00    
8  SMASH Jul18 May23 Apr13 Mar09 Feb21 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 12.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  KNOCKHOLT         (morris )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 6.00    
10  PONT DU GARD Jun19 May30 May08 Jan17 Dec07 (mcdonald )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 30.00    
11  SEE SPOT RUN Jul18 Jun20 May30 May16 Feb19 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 120 8.00 6% 14.90    
 
MNR-3   07/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SULEMAN Jul05 May18 Mar25 Mar04 Feb10 (laguna homero)ACOSTA D 120 20.00    
2  RIP THORN Jul03 Jun11 Oct22 Oct13 Sep27 (collins tim)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 4.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  CLEAR FOR ACTION May27 Mar15 Mar04 Dec03 Oct12 (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00    
4  FEVOLA Jun13 May30 May02 Dec07 Nov14 (mcdonald wil)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 30.00    
5  THE HAPPY GIANT Jul14 May19 Sep07 Aug16 Jul27 (fulmer )NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 2.50    
6  E. P. MILTON Jul15 Jun06 May28 Apr20 Sep25 (cooney )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 5.00    
7  TAMANRASSETT Jul16 Jul05 Jun19 Jun11 Jun04 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  VOLIERO Jun22 Jun02 May21 May05 Apr13 (hillegass alexandr)PAUCAR E 120 15.00    
9  HARD COUNT Jul05 Jun07 May16 Mar12 Feb02 (bernardini jay )VEGA L 120 5.00 49% 1.10    
10  LIGHTNING JACK Jul21 Jun20 May14 Dec14 Nov22 (kocijan mar)STEINEMAN JAMES 113 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-4   07/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST LIKE INDY Jun24 Jun07 May25 May03 Apr15 (lawrence da)STEINEMAN JAMES 110 6.00 19% 4.20    
2  MY PINK BABY BIRD May29 Apr30 Apr15 Mar29 Mar15 (vickers richard)VEGA L 120 15.00    
SCR  CHALDEA Jul05 Jun25 Dec11 Nov28 Nov08 (robilla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 20.00    
SCR  TIME FOR CUPID Jul20 Jul03 Jun10 May23 May10 (rivera nestor)TOLEDO S 120 0.50    
5  SHARP JUSTICE Jul05 Jun14 May18 May11 Apr26 (donjua)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 2.50 51% 1.00    
6  WACKER'S GIRL Jun25 Jun18 Oct25 Oct06 Sep27 (logston chri)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00    
 
MNR-5   07/31/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRANK THE BULL Jul18 Jul02 Jun21 Jun02 May12 (bernardini jay )VEGA L 116 4.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of OVER YOU by OVERANALYZE)
2  SWORD OF DAMOCLES         (baird mic)WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 3.00 64% 0.60    
  (by MACHEN out of NATALIE'S WONDER by TIZ WONDERFUL)
3  WHY WINCHILL WHY Jul18 Jul10 Jun25 Jun04 May21 (meeks karl)CCAMAQUE M 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WINCHILL out of WHYPRINCESSWHY by WHYWHYWHY)
4  WATCHING SNOW FLY Mar11 Jan26 Jul08 Jun02 May11 (delong)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50 ★    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of SNOW FROLIC by ARTAX)
5  CLASSY REY DE ORO Jun25 Jun06 May21 May07 Dec06 (flores christi)DIAZ I 123 5.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of OROLUCE by NORTH LIGHT (IRE))
6  BIT OF BLESSINGS Jul22         (collins tim)STEINEMAN JAMES 111 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of BIT BUSTIN by BUSTIN STONES)
7  JUST JUBA Jul22 Jul01       (meehan )NUNEZ MAURICIO 116 2.50    
  (by JUBA out of JUSTLOOKATMENOW by OLD FASHIONED)
 
MNR-6   07/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BORN FOR VICTORY Jul23 Jul10 Jun20 May30 Mar24 (cordero-lope)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 12.00 9% 9.80    
2  BENNY BOO BOO Jul12 May29 May09 Jan05 Dec12 (godsey marshall)PAUCAR E 120 8.00    
3  KAZTHAROS Jul12 Jun28 May10 Mar24 Feb09 (inman rober)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 8.00    
4  CHOPPED Jul23 Jul10 Jun04 May21 May09 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 4.50    
5  SOUTHERN SENSE Jun27 Jun13 Jun05 May22 May09 (davido)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 1.00 39% 1.60    
6  PAPA CHARLES Jul19 Jun27 Jun04 May23 May07 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 4.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  GET ALONG Jul04 Jun19 May29 May20 May07 (meals lois)STEINEMAN JAMES 120 12.00    
 
MNR-7   07/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUBJECT TO CHANGE Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 May12 Apr27 (sprigg)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 6.00    
2  HIGH ROLLING DUDE Jul18 Jun25 Jun04 May22 Sep04 (reed r)VIGIL NOEL 123 4.00 31% 2.20    
3  GOLDEN TONE Jul18 Jul11 Jun14 May27 May05 (montano wilfri)DIAZ I 120 8.00    
4  FREEDOM RIDER Jun10 May18 Apr29 Apr08 Mar11 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
5  CAPE LOOKOUT Jun21 May14 Apr27 Mar10 Nov02 (schottroffe edwa)WHITACRE B 120 6.00    
6  INDIAN EMPIRE Jul05 Jun25 Jun06 May23 Dec06 (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 120 5.00 9% 9.60    
7  LUCKY ANDY Jul12 Jun27 May03 Nov29 Oct24 (shanyfelt doug)GONZALEZ A 120 6.00 13% 7.00    
8  LAUTREC Jul16 Jun21 Feb08 Jan26 Jan03 (walker a)AVILES YAN 120 8.00    
 
MNR-8   07/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAMALONA Jul02 Jun19 May21 May15 Apr18 (soto antonio)NELSON TYRONE 120 2.00 34% 1.90    
2  OUT OF ROMANCE Jul11 Jun25 May29 Sep27 Sep13 (howard m)WHITACRE B 120 30.00    
3  CANELITA Jul11 Jun27 May28 Nov08 Oct03 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 120 8.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  DON'T TELL GRANDMA Jun27 May27 May06 Apr15 Feb22 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 6.00    
SCR  WEDDING CHAPEL Nov14 Oct31 Oct11 Sep25 Sep07 (silva pab)JURADO EDDIE 120 3.00    
6  LITTLE LUCERITO Jun21 Jun01 Nov28 Nov15 Nov06 (fernandez a)DIAZ R 120 5.00    
7  RUN AWAY FEVER May29 May14 Apr15 Mar28 Mar14 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 15.00    
8  CELESTIAL ORB Jun21 Jun07 May24 Apr30 Apr14 (lawrence da)STEINEMAN JAMES 110 4.50 8% 11.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.