Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Thursday - July 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(7/2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6)-(7/2/1/4)-(2/1/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-2   WIN (7/2/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/4)-(7/2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/4)-(7/2/1/4)-(7/2/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1/4)-(2/1/5/6)-(2/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-3   WIN (2/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/6)-(1/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/6)-(1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5/6)-(2/4/6)-(5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-4   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(5/9)-(1/5/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-5   WIN (5/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/9)-(5/9) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (5/9)-(1/5/7/3)-(7/4/2/6) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
BTP-6   WIN (1/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/3)-(1/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/3)-(1/5/7/3)-(1/5/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7/3)-(7/4/2/6)-(5/11/6/9) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
BTP-7   WIN (7/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/2/6)-(7/4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/2/6)-(7/4/2/6)-(7/4/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/2/6)-(5/11/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
BTP-8   WIN (5/11/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/11/6/9)-(5/11/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/11/6/9)-(5/11/6/9)-(5/11/6/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   07/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONTOTHENEXT Jul12 Jun14 May20 May11 May04 (mcvickers lamar)HESS SARA 112 4.50    
2  BROOKLYNN'S DABOMB Jul07 Jun14 May04 Mar11 Feb22 (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 122 3.50    
3  OCEAN HONEY Jul06 Jun14 Jun03 May20 Apr16 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 117 4.00    
4  ABIGAIL G Jul06 Jun22 Jun10 Sep12 Aug24 (rodak ger)CORREA L 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  YOGA QUEEN Sep11 Feb23       (clark robert )CANUTO THIAGO 122 2.00 72% 0.40    
6  ZACHS GOLDEN OLDIE Jul08 Jun23 May18 Sep27 Sep09 (hernandez deb)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-2   07/20/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMART DRESSER Jun30 Jun15 May12 Apr21 Mar17 (hamm timo)CORREA L 120 3.50 12% 7.70    
2  TO MY TASTE         (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00 17% 4.80    
3  LIGHTNING CASHES Jul06 May21 May04 Mar23 Mar09 (salcedo ram)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 4.00    
4  FLY HOME May31 Apr28 Feb22 Oct05 Sep10 (preston rand)CALLEJA ANDRES 120 10.00 10% 9.20    
5  FORT STROOPE Jul06 Oct11 Aug24     (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 12.00    
6  JARED THE WARRIOR Jun26 Jun10 May30 Jan07 Dec03 (mcvickers la)MARCANO Y 115 4.50    
7  MISTER KITTY May02 Feb03       (engler jeff)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 120 2.00 36% 1.80    
 
BTP-3   07/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 2 F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST THE OAKS Jun18 Jun02 May11 May04   (chapman k)MCKEE J 119 2.50 18% 4.40    
  (by JUSTIFY out of SENSIBLE GAL by STREET SENSE)
1A  MACI'S WORLD May01         (chapman k)MCKEE J 119 2.50 ★    
  (by LORD NELSON out of BLUE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
2  TICKET TO FLY         (greenhill jeff)OUZTS W 119 4.00 21% 3.80    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of PAY THE TOLL by REPRICED)
3  MORNING GORDITA Jul11 Jun15       (gorostieta )LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 3.50    
  (by KLIMT out of MORNING BELLE by MORNING LINE)
4  YEHAWMEMAW Jul06         (short thomas)MARCANO Y 114 4.50    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of LUCKY SWITCH by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
5  KAYLEIGH'S KITTEN         (jackson jeffr)CANUTO THIAGO 119 6.00 18% 4.40    
  (by BIG BLUE KITTEN out of ROMACACA by RUNNING STAG)
6  CE CE CINCO         (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 12.00 16% 5.40    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of BACKSIDE BELLE by STAY THIRSTY)
7  JUDY ELAINE Jul06 Jun16       (brown h)CRUZ JUAN 119 10.00    
  (by KLIMT out of TIPPLING WAYS by SCAT DADDY)
 
BTP-4   07/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NANA ROZE Jul08 Jun23 Jun08 May25 May06 (morelos mate)MARCANO Y 117 5.00    
2  SHADY BABY Jul08 Jun23 Mar08 Feb13 Jan24 (skeens jeremy)MACHADO LUAN 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
3  SWEETER THAN HONEY Jun23 Jun07 May25 May06 Apr27 (lopez car)CORREA L 122 6.00    
4  JUST ZOEY Jul08 Jun22 Oct05 Sep22 Aug30 (lowry kathleen)MCKEE J 122 3.50 20% 3.90    
5  LATE DATE Jun22 Jun07 May25 May13 Apr27 (lopez carlos )JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 4.50    
6  RUNAWAY BELLE Jun23 Sep27 Sep09 Jul12 Jun22 (greenhill jeff)OUZTS W 122 4.00 20% 4.10    
 
BTP-5   07/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AUTHORITARIAN Jul08 Jun03 May25 Feb25 Feb04 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 120 2.50    
SCR  ENGLISH CHALLENGE Jun17 May27 May16 Apr26 Mar31 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 120 2.50    
SCR  T J MUNNINGS Jun16 Jun07 May31 Apr27 Apr16 (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 115 15.00    
SCR  DRIFTWOOD Jun09 May17 Mar31 Mar04 Jan07 (kordenbrock m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 4.50    
SCR  PERFECT PAINTING Jun24 May31 Mar25 Mar04 Feb17 (beck rowena)ACHARD ALEX 120 6.00    
5  WHAT A COUNTRY Jul02 May26 Mar31 Mar03 Feb05 (shirer a)CANUTO THIAGO 120 3.50 42% 1.40    
6  ROGUE ELEMENT Jun24 Jun02 Apr23 Apr01 Jan21 (hiles a)MCKEE J 122 4.00    
SCR  AMENDED Jun09 May18 Mar31 Mar10 Dec27 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 20.00    
SCR  KHOZAN'S SUCCESS May25 Apr23 Aug30 Aug12 Jul22 (lauer michael)MOJICA JR 120 8.00    
9  MUTAKATIF (IRE) Jul11 Jun20 May29 Apr15 Dec28 (brown h)CRUZ JUAN 120 15.00 13% 6.80    
 
BTP-6   07/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUSIN ODELL Jul01 Jun22 May21     (engler jeff)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 119 4.00 57% 0.80    
SCR  PRINCE OF ROSES Jun14 May11 Apr26 Mar23 Feb24 (esquivel )CORREA L 117 2.50    
3  THISPOINTINTIME Jul07 Jun10 Jun03 May26 May18 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  TOP HAT BLITZ Jul13 Jun24 Jun03 May27 May18 (adams nancy )MARCANO Y 117 3.50    
5  MAYAN Jul13 Jun10 May27 May07 Mar31 (crumley j)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 12.00 10% 8.90    
6  JOHNNY'S MOMENT Jun23 Jun08 May12 Apr15 Mar31 (warpool shane)MOJICA JR 119 6.00    
7  LEMONADEATTHELATCH Jun23 Jun16 Jun03 May18 May11 (salcedo ra)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 8.00 5% 18.00    
8  FRADY Jul07 Jun23 Jun03 May11 Mar16 (adams l)REYES R 117 4.50    
 
BTP-7   07/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CABARET FLEUR Jun24 Jun10 May11 Aug02 Jul12 (overholt )CORREA L 124 15.00    
  (by MIXMASTER out of SHINE A SPOTLIGHT by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
2  MISS SOLAN         (lowry kathlee)LEBRON VICTOR 124 7.00 8% 12.10    
  (by HOSTILE TAKEOVER out of MARQITA by MARQUETRY)
3  DESDEMONA KAY Jun24 Jun08 May24 Oct10 Sep21 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 119 4.50    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of LIPSTICK STAIN by ARROMANCHES)
4  BREATH OF HEAVEN Jul05 Sep12       (bush george)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 3.50 9% 9.90    
  (by CORFU out of CAMP FAIRFAX R N by FOREST CAMP)
5  SISSY'S MAY Jun24 May24 May17     (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 124 10.00    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of MRS. BOYD by PROUD CITIZEN)
6  PEARL PEARL PEARL         (butcher jame)CALLEJA ANDRES 114 8.00 8% 12.10    
  (by BIONDETTI out of CARSON'S PEARL by CARSON CITY)
7  SWEET AS MERRIE Jun09 Oct10 Sep21 Aug24   (reed r)MCKEE J 119 2.50 55% 0.80    
  (by SAME AS out of MERRIE'S PRIDE by GRINDSTONE)
SCR  HAPPYBDAYMRPREZ Jul05 Jun19 May31     (meyers shane)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 6.00    
  (by KENNEDY out of PREACHINTOTHECHOIR by UNUSUAL HEAT)
 
BTP-8   07/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOONLIT MAGIC Feb22         (vaughan edwar)MCENTEE GRACE 119 30.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of TOY MOON by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  VOTARY Jun29 Feb11 Jan21 Dec22   (peach a)OUZTS W 125 3.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of LA AFICIONADA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  FANTOOSH         (dalton mi)CORREA L 125 15.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of HYPERLINK by TOCCET)
SCR  SWIGERT May17 Mar23 Feb11 Dec22 Dec01 (caramori edua)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 8.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of NOSSA VEZ by WAR CHANT)
5  HAZANNE Jun01 Apr01 Feb27 Jan13 Dec29 (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 4.00 26% 2.80    
  (by TAPIT out of YSTERIC by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  JACKIE'S LOVE Jun29 Jun10 Mar23 Feb25 Nov17 (butcher james)AYALA ISAIAS 125 4.50 16% 5.20    
  (by JACK MILTON out of WHERE THERE'S LOVE by ALDEBARAN)
SCR  AMENSET May12 Apr13 Mar03 Jan22 Aug26 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 8.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of CRYING SHAME by STREET CRY (IRE))
8  ANCIENT RELIC May18 Mar23 Feb10 Jan27 Sep13 (hiles a)MCKEE J 119 10.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of JERSEY JULES by SCAT DADDY)
9  CROWN OF FAVOR Nov09 Oct11       (upton m)MOJICA JR 125 20.00 7% 12.80    
  (by AMERICAIN out of FOR HEAVEN'S SAKE by LUCKY PULPIT)
10  FASHION IDOL May19 Aug19 Jul22     (molloy thomas)HEARD TYLER 119 10.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SYMBOL OF FREEDOM by THATS OUR BUCK)
11  MUCHA Jun30         (drury j)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00 22% 3.60    
  (by BLAME out of EXTENT by PULPIT)
SCR  MEET IN SECRET Jun13 Apr29 Apr01 Feb18   (brafford mich)CANUTO THIAGO 119 8.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of POLA'S PLACE by OUT OF PLACE)
SCR  BLOSSOM DIVA Jul08 Jun23 Jun01 May16   (galindo-torr)MARCANO Y 114 20.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of JERRY'SHONEYCAROL by BLUEGRASS CAT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.