Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Tuesday - July 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (1/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/5/4)-(1/2/5/4) 12 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/5)-(1/2/4/5)-(1/2/4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/2/5/4)-(4/1/9/8/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
MNR-2   WIN (4/1/9/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/9/8/3)-(4/1/9/8/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (4/1/9/8/3)-(4/1/9/8/3)-(4/1/9/8/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (4/1/9/8/3)-(2/4/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/1/9/8/3)-(2/4/1/7)-(1/2/8/3) 80 $2.00 $160 
MNR-3   WIN (2/4/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/7)-(2/4/1/7) 12 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/4/1/7)-(1/2/8/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-4   WIN (1/2/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/8/3)-(1/2/8/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/2/8/3)-(1/2/8/3)-(1/2/8/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/2/8/3)-(2/4/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MNR-5   WIN (2/4/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/8/5)-(2/4/8/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/4/8/5)-(2/4/8/5)-(2/4/8/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
MNR-6   WIN (1/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/6/4)-(1/2/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/2/6/4)-(1/2/6/4)-(1/2/6/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6/4)-(3/2/5/4)-(4/2/8/1/3) 80 $2.00 $160 
MNR-7   WIN (3/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/5/4)-(3/2/5/4) 12 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/2/5/4)-(4/2/8/1/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
MNR-8   WIN (4/2/8/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/8/1/3)-(4/2/8/1/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (4/2/8/1/3)-(4/2/8/1/3)-(4/2/8/1/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   07/11/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIKELY CHOICE May04 Mar18 Feb10 Nov12 Oct27 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00 63% 0.60    
2  RED ROCKET GIRL Jun13 Apr30 Dec12 Nov30 Nov11 (norris stephani)PAUCAR E 120 6.00 11% 7.80    
3  CURIOSITY KILLS Jun13 Jun05 May16 May02 Apr05 (bernardini p)RIVERA R 120 6.00    
4  MOMMY BERTA Oct31 Oct12 Sep11 Aug22 May23 (crago terry)WHITACRE B 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  TEAM HOT LINE Jun13 Oct31 Oct12 Sep29 Sep07 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FIRST IMPRESSION Jun13 May16 May02 Feb18 Jan31 (eidschu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 6.00    
7  ALITTLESLICEOF PIE Jun26 Oct29 Oct07 Sep23 Sep02 (johnso)ENRIQUEZ JR 120 10.00    
8  TRIPLET Apr07 Aug28 Jul01 May12 Mar23 (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 3.50    
SCR  OFFTHEROADAGAIN Jun26 Jun05 Mar14 Jan26 Dec06 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 15.00    
10  MARLEESBEEBEE Jun13 May18 Apr07 Mar18 Jan18 (bowman el)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 50.00    
SCR  BIG TREAT Jul02 Nov04 Sep09 Aug07   (si)DA FAUSTO 123 2.00    
SCR  OUT ONA LIMB Dec13 Nov23 Oct24 Oct05 Sep15 (hay r)DIAZ I 120 10.00    
 
MNR-2   07/11/2023 4950ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($23.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMICUS BRIEF Jun21 May28 Dec14 Nov22 Oct30 (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 120 4.50 26% 2.90    
2  WAR NOVEL May30 May23 May08 Apr15 Mar28 (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 6.00    
3  EL SOLITARIO Feb24 Sep25 Sep07 Aug23 Jul06 (cascallares n)LUGO D 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  WOODCHUCK May29 Oct25 Oct10 Aug23 Jul26 (rogers michael)RIVERA R 120 5.00 32% 2.10    
5  A LATE ONE Jun25 May21 Apr27 Feb07 Jan12 (eidschun grego)DIAZ I 120 8.00    
6  WELLMAN May23 May08 Apr15 Feb21 Jan17 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 3.00    
7  BLUEBANK Jun20 Jun06 May30 May08 Apr11 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 12.00    
8  GOLDEN TONE Jun14 May27 May05 Apr16 Mar19 (mo)DA FAUSTO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  FOREVER POE Jul05 Jun06       (sipp burton )GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 5.00 16% 5.30    
10  WHISKYFORBREAKFAST Jun20 Dec14 Nov16 Nov08 Oct04 (ramgeet tina)WHITACRE B 120 8.00    
SCR  COYOTE ROAD Jun22 May05 Apr11 Mar08 Aug25 (hernan)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00    
SCR  FLAWLESS BOURBON Jun21 Nov23 Oct25 Oct11 Sep29 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 120 6.00    
 
MNR-3   07/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARTY SWAGGER Feb24 Oct04       (cascallares n)LUGO D 123 10.00 11% 8.10    
2  YESTERDAYSPLAN Jun18 May01 Oct12 Oct02 Aug07 (logston christo)VEGA L 123 2.50 37% 1.70    
3  CHECK SIX Jun25 May21 Dec20 Dec05 Nov22 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 123 12.00    
4  HERE COMES JIGS May09 Sep06 Aug15 Jul21 Jul07 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 2.00 30% 2.40    
5  MI ENLACE Jun10 May26 Sep20 Sep06 Aug19 (thompson da)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 3.50    
6  BACKSTRETCHBEAUTY Jun06 Jun01 May24 May05 Mar09 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 4.00    
7  OUT OF ROMANCE Jun25 May29 Sep27 Sep13 Aug07 (howard m)WHITACRE B 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-4   07/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS NUCKOLS May16 Apr30 Jan27 Jan05 Nov28 (godsey)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00 35% 1.80    
2  PREMIER WISH Jun19 Apr30 Nov23 Nov08 Oct12 (godsey mar)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 8.00 19% 4.30    
3  COACH MACHEN Jun19 May28 Apr30 Dec04 Sep27 (ewell s)SIMPSON JASON 120 12.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  DON'T LOSE HOPE Feb12 Sep28 Sep06     (cascallares n)LUGO D 120 3.50    
SCR  ALL WORKED UP Jun15 Apr20 Mar30 Mar04 Feb04 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 120 4.00    
6  BOUJEE KITTEN Jun26 Jan31 Jan05 Dec12 Nov15 (welsh r)DIAZ I 120 30.00    
7  GOLD PASS Jun05 May23 Dec07 Nov29 Nov23 (langley c)YARANGA Y 120 20.00    
8  SWEET VALERIA Jun19 May08 Apr30 Mar14 Feb27 (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 20.00 11% 8.20    
9  SHISH KABOB Jul02 Jun21 Jun06 May30 May01 (silva juan )STEINEMAN JAMES 113 2.50    
 
MNR-5   07/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRET AFFIRMATION Jun18 May05 Apr14 Mar23 Feb09 (eidschun grego)DIAZ I 120 15.00    
2  BEND THE KNEE May01 Mar29 Mar13 Feb27 Feb01 (cain crysta)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 3.00 20% 4.10    
3  CYBERBURG Jun27 May30 May15 May01 Feb27 (robillard j)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 20.00    
4  GIRO KATE Jun06 May09 Dec12 Nov30 Oct25 (langley c)YARANGA Y 120 4.50 17% 5.00    
5  CAPTAIN ANNE Jun18 May14 Nov08 Oct16 Sep20 (cox g)WHITACRE B 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  MS HEADLEY Jun18 Jun04 May05 Apr14 Mar23 (cuttino m)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 6.00    
7  LEADING INDICATOR Jun27 Jun18 Mar13 Feb27 Feb07 (welsh r)PAUCAR E 120 8.00    
8  CANELITA Jun27 May28 Nov08 Oct03 Sep11 (bernardini p)RIVERA R 120 8.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  LADY VALENTINA Jun18 Jun06 May23 Apr30 Nov30 (treharn)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 2.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  CATLIKE Jun27 Jun18 May01 Jan19 Jan03 (spiess shane)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 30.00    
SCR  LADY MARVEL Jun19 May29 May16 Nov02 Oct17 (skawin)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 4.00    
 
MNR-6   07/11/2023 1320ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE MISS CAT Jun13 May28 Apr30 Oct12 Sep21 (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.00 36% 1.80    
2  TEL AVIV Dec14 Oct26 Sep26 Aug14 Aug02 (crago terry)WHITACRE B 129 3.50 19% 4.30    
3  COASTAL RUN Jun18 Apr30 Mar04 Feb19 Feb07 (silva juan )BARRIOS RICARDO 123 6.00    
4  GOLDEN NOLE Apr25 Aug25 Aug02 Jul19 Jun29 (londono o)BRICENO M 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  CAN SHE SCOOT Jun13 May29 May14 Dec14 Nov21 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 127 4.00    
6  PROMINENT HENNY Jun13 May14 Jan18 Dec14 Nov21 (baird michael)PAUCAR E 127 2.50 14% 6.10    
7  TREASURED NIKKY Jun27 Jun13 Nov01 Oct16 Oct11 (larue steve)WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 30.00    
 
MNR-7   07/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MADY ROSE Jun25 Jun04 Apr14 Mar23 Nov12 (baird j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 2.50    
2  MYRA FLEENER Jun20 Dec06 Nov13 Oct26 Oct05 (montano wilf)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  LIGHTNIN RUNNER Jun03 Apr29 Oct29 Sep17 Jul02 (rodriguez ang)CARDOSO DAVID 116 1.60 75% 0.30    
4  MISS SHADY         (si)DA FAUSTO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  OOPSIE DOOPSIE May07 Apr02 Mar10 Feb24 Feb10 (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  THE ISABEL ASTRAY Apr19 Sep05       (cascallares n)LUGO D 120 3.50    
7  TORIANNE Dec04 Nov13 Oct26 Sep27 Sep12 (tucker jim)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 30.00    
 
MNR-8   07/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONOR LIFE Jun05 May22 Feb09 Dec12 Dec06 (cain crystal)WHITACRE B 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  I'M A COOL MAN Jun19 May30 May02 Jan18 Dec05 (cain crysta)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 3.50 24% 3.20    
3  HIDING THE BRICK Jun11 May28 May01 Mar30 Feb23 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  JOSHY JAK Jun19 Jun05 Mar02 Jan18 Dec28 (bayley randy)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 2.50 36% 1.80    
5  RULING FRONT Jun27 Jun15 May03 Oct14 Sep25 (mo)DA FAUSTO 123 15.00    
6  OUT FOR JUSTICE Jun18 May16 Apr30 Mar09 Feb07 (logston chr)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 50.00    
7  ARAZI LIKE MOVE Jun04 May01 Feb22 Feb01 Jan16 (langley c)YARANGA Y 123 5.00    
8  SWITHER'S SHORTCUT Aug01 Jul18 Jun21     (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 13% 7.00    
9  SUDDENLY SEDUCTIVE Jun27 May30 May15 Nov14 Nov02 (spiess m)DIAZ I 123 6.00    
10  KITCHI Jul02 Jun19 Jun04 May14 May08 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 10.00    
SCR  REUX (GB) May30 May16 May07 Feb03 Jan27 (eidschun gregor)VEGA L 123 8.00    
SCR  COMPLEX JUSTICE Jun01 May09 Nov22 Oct31 Oct13 (west aa)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.50    
SCR  BOLD PROPHET Nov27 Nov14 Oct19 Oct05 Sep26 (van d)STEINEMAN JAMES 113 20.00    
SCR  BLAME BISHOP May03 Apr19 Mar29 Mar12 Sep15 (cascallares n)LUGO D 123 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.