Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Thursday - July 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/2)-(5/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/2)-(5/7/2)-(5/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/2)-(4/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2)-(4/5/2)-(6/8/1/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-2   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(6/8/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(6/8/1/9)-(2/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-3   WIN (6/8/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/1/9)-(6/8/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/1/9)-(6/8/1/9)-(6/8/1/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/1/9)-(2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/8/1/9)-(2/6/3)-(5/9/12/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
IND-4   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(5/9/12/6/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(5/9/12/6/10)-(11/6/1/7/8) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
IND-5   WIN (5/9/12/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/12/6/10)-(5/9/12/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/12/6/10)-(5/9/12/6/10)-(5/9/12/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/9/12/6/10)-(11/6/1/7/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/9/12/6/10)-(11/6/1/7/8)-(8/1/7/2/10) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
IND-6   WIN (11/6/1/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/6/1/7/8)-(11/6/1/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/6/1/7/8)-(11/6/1/7/8)-(11/6/1/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/6/1/7/8)-(8/1/7/2/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (11/6/1/7/8)-(8/1/7/2/10)-(5/2/4/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
IND-7   WIN (8/1/7/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/2/10)-(8/1/7/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/2/10)-(8/1/7/2/10)-(8/1/7/2/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/1/7/2/10)-(5/2/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
IND-8   WIN (5/2/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/4/8)-(5/2/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/4/8)-(5/2/4/8)-(5/2/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   07/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLOW SUM SMOKE Jun14 May24 Apr28 Mar19 Feb20 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 6.00    
JOAN'S WAY Jun14 Jun06 May18 May02 Feb24 (silva h)PRESCOTT R 122 10.00 10% 9.00    
SOUTHERN SMILE Jan27 Jan06 Dec17 Oct03 Aug24 (granitz)DE CRUZ 119 8.00    
SCR  SMOOTH LIKE ICE Jun14 Apr26 Mar24 Feb01 Jan05 (contreras cipr)SANJUR SANTO 118 3.50    
MONTGOMERY PARK Jun14 Jun11 Apr30 Apr09 Mar25 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 2.50 49% 1.00    
Z ZS RED Jun14 May29 May18 Apr26 Nov15 (haran john)MORALES JOSHUA 119 4.50    
WILD TAPIT Jun06 Apr27 Feb15 Jan26 Dec11 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 122 4.00 16% 5.20    
 
IND-2   07/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMALL SAILOR Jun22 May17 May06 Apr19 Dec09 (garcia gen)ANDERSON MCKENNA 113 2.50    
GJALLARHORN Jun14 May17 Apr07 Mar12 Feb19 (love alan)BAYS BROOKE 114 20.00 13% 6.90    
SCR  LUCIOS ZORAN Jun22 Jun01 Apr27     (rechy ramon)PEREZ E 120 10.00    
OFFSHORE TITHE Jun22 Jun07 May05 Apr23 Mar25 (silva)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 1.00 46% 1.20    
PEDRO O'TOOLE         (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 3.50 14% 6.00    
SUPER LIAISON Jun14 May25 Apr08 Mar19 Feb20 (love alan)RAMOS D 124 10.00    
 
IND-3   07/06/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONG BLACK VEIL Jun16 May31 Mar30 Mar09 Feb09 (jarvis kathy)RAMOS D 118 12.00 9% 10.20    
HAPPY SAILS Jun20 May31 May23 May02 Apr19 (silva carl)ANDERSON MCKENNA 115 8.00    
SCR  OH POLLYANNA Jun17 Feb16 Feb02 Dec31 Nov10 (patrick g)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 4.50    
SCR  CINDERELLA STORY Jun20 May16 Apr26 Mar30 Mar15 (paquett)DE CRUZ 118 15.00    
SPLIT DECISION Jun08 Mar02 Jan06 Dec03 Nov08 (ewing a)HEARD TYLER 122 6.00    
LIGEIA Jun20 May16 Apr26 Mar15 Feb24 (granitz a)BERMUDEZ E 122 4.00 21% 3.80    
RIBALDRY (IRE) Jun08 May09 Feb22 Jan12 Oct30 (van thom)CANNON DECLAN 122 5.00    
PERTINACIOUS TIZ Sep09 Aug16 Jul12 Jun30 Jun09 (mullins scot)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 12.00 21% 3.80    
MORNING ANGEL Jun20 May23 May09 Apr19 Feb01 (richardvi)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 10.00 6% 15.70    
10  HARDLY MISCHIEVOUS May20 Mar24 Feb19 Jan28 Nov26 (simms mar)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 6.00    
SCR  PUGLIA May27 May18 Apr27 Feb25 Feb01 (howard d)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00    
 
IND-4   07/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED ECSTASY Jun06 Jan03 Dec21 Nov16 Oct25 (medina to)BERMUDEZ E 122 15.00    
VOW May29 May04 Mar03 Jan14 Nov24 (asmussen ste)RAMOS D 122 0.80 41% 1.40    
PHILOGYNY STREET Apr07 Mar26 Mar04 Aug30   (love alan)SANJUR SANTO 118 6.00 16% 5.10    
SEACHROME Jun08 Apr25 Jan23 May11 Apr10 (sanchez emma)MORALES JOSHUA 118 12.00    
KALL KAT Jun24 May26 Apr19 Mar18   (contreras )ANDERSON MCKENNA 111 10.00    
ALL THAT May20 Apr27 Mar31     (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 2.00 21% 3.70    
 
IND-5   07/06/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS GOODBAR Jun06 May23 May09 Mar18 Feb16 (davis d)SANJUR SANTO 113 10.00    
SCR  CURRENT May15 May03 Feb04 Dec11 Nov18 (vanden b)RODRIGUEZ A 117 3.50    
BRIT'S WIT Jun10 May11 Mar18 Feb18 Jan02 (ortiz j)DE CRUZ 122 8.00    
BIG PAPER May11 Jan21 Dec28 Nov16 Nov03 (richardville)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 6.00    
RIVER REDEMPTION Jan27 Jan06 Dec11 Oct05 Aug23 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 4.50 30% 2.30    
BARRISTER TOM Jun17 Sep14 Sep01 Jun19 Jun05 (ewing michael)CANNON DECLAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
CELERITY May20 Apr13 Mar31 Mar17 Mar03 (asmussen ste)RAMOS D 122 6.00    
COUNT FROST Jun09 May25 Dec16 Dec03 Nov02 (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 122 30.00    
GRACEFUL KITTEN Jun07 May15 Apr01 Mar11 Feb23 (broberg k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 4.00 29% 2.40    
10  PADDY'S HOUSE Jun17 Jun01 May03 Jan07 Dec11 (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  REMEMBER THE MAINE Jun15 May28 Mar16 Feb17 Feb02 (campbell joel)SANJUR SANTO 122 20.00    
12  EVIL EYE Jun24 Jun07 May25 May03 Oct12 (cunningha)BERMUDEZ E 122 5.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  CLEARING WAIVERS Jun24 Jun01 May24 May11 Mar24 (hammond ki)ANDERSON MCKENNA 112 10.00    
SCR  SUMMER ASSAULT Jun01 Jan28 Dec15 Nov20 Sep14 (maker m)DE CRUZ 122 2.50    
 
IND-6   07/06/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38.5K) 2 F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAFAELLA         (elliott m)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPRIZE out of CROSSED by ANTHONY'S CROSS)
PRIMROSE GIRL         (fosdick steve)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 8.00    
  (by BARYSHNIKOV out of CIERRA GRACE by PLEASANT TAP)
ROSAS FOR LUZ Jun10         (davis j)DE CRUZ 120 6.00    
  (by SKYLORD out of VIENNA ROSE by DISCREET CAT)
CASHMERE JUSTICE         (haran john)PEREZ E 120 12.00    
  (by HARRY'S HOLIDAY out of YOU BE READY by MORE THAN READY)
RUSHIN LUCY Jun10         (gorostieta c)MORALES JOSHUA 120 10.00    
  (by PASS RUSH out of LUCY by AMERICAN LION)
THE KID PATAKY         (cunningha)BERMUDEZ E 120 3.00 28% 2.60    
  (by PATAKY KID out of ZAPPITA by GHOSTZAPPER)
PEEKABOOST         (haran john)ANDERSON MCKENNA 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TURBO COMPRESSOR out of YOUNOSEME by SANGAREE)
MARTZ ROSEY         (medina tomas)MOJICA O 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SLOPE out of VICARY ROSE by VICAR)
LUNA DIVA         (duran antonio)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00    
  (by SANTIVA out of THEMOONANDTHESTARS by MALIBU MOON)
10  EURCOOL Jun10 May10       (livers charl)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 30.00    
  (by EUROPE out of COOL CORREDOR by EL CORREDOR)
11  J'S NAUGHTY KITTEN Jun10         (davis d)PRESCOTT R 120 3.50 45% 1.20    
  (by CHARMING KITTEN out of MISS MAREN by COUNTRY DAY)
 
IND-7   07/06/2023 4950ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIGITAL SOFTWARE Mar15 Feb19 Jan04 Oct07 Aug07 (caramori caio)MCENTEE GRACE 122 4.00 30% 2.30    
AKAMAI Jun21 May24 Nov17 Oct04 Aug24 (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
GUNOE May08 Mar17 Jul31 Jan22   (lobo pau)RODRIGUEZ A 117 8.00    
FASTBYTE May22 Mar04 Dec02 Oct29 Aug18 (hester haley)SANJUR SANTO 118 30.00    
BUCKTOWN May04 Mar17 Feb11 Dec28 Dec02 (west ethan )FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 20.00    
BOCO May15 Apr21 Mar24 Feb10 Jan11 (hamilton tr)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 30.00    
TOPF ROAD RULES May31 May06 Apr02 Mar23 Feb26 (hammond)DE CRUZ 122 12.00 8% 11.00    
CLASSIC CUT May06 Mar11       (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 1.40 38% 1.60    
NICHOLAS JONES May12 Apr29 Apr12 Mar25 Mar04 (brownfield c)RAMOS D 122 6.00    
10  FEVER TEMPLE May24 Jun27 May18 Apr20   (paye jose)MORALES JOSHUA 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
IND-8   07/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSOLITO May21 Apr14 Mar17 Mar04 Jan26 (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 122 5.00    
BEST OF GREELEY Jun18 May19 Apr22 Mar17 Feb04 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 15.00 19% 4.20    
NOBLE REALITY (FR) Jun20 May06 Mar25     (mcpeek kenneth )ACHARD ALEX 120 3.50    
A FEW TOO MANY Jun22 May29 May06 Apr18 Dec16 (elliott michel)SANJUR SANTO 119 10.00 5% 18.80    
ONE FOR RICHIE Jun01 May04 Apr07 Mar09 Jan28 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 0.80 52% 0.90    
SCR  FIRST CROWNED Jun15 May29 May08 Jan17 Nov30 (sanchez emma)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 30.00    
SCR  PLATINUM GHOST Jun01 Apr27 Mar15     (hansen scott)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00    
EL ROSILLO May30 May22 Apr27 Apr18 Mar07 (elliott)DE CRUZ 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
OVERLY D'ORO Dec28 Nov20 Oct11 Sep28 Sep07 (bahena ismae)MORALES JOSHUA 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.