Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Sunday - June 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (6/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/7)-(6/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/7)-(6/3/4/7)-(6/3/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/4/7)-(3/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4/7)-(3/2)-(6/8/5/9/1) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
LAD-2   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/2)-(6/8/5/9/1) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(6/8/5/9/1)-(9/1/3/6/5) 50 $0.50 $25.00 
LAD-3   WIN (6/8/5/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/5/9/1)-(6/8/5/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/5/9/1)-(6/8/5/9/1)-(6/8/5/9/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/8/5/9/1)-(9/1/3/6/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (6/8/5/9/1)-(9/1/3/6/5)-(7/9) 50 $0.50 $25.00 
LAD-4   WIN (9/1/3/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/3/6/5)-(9/1/3/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/3/6/5)-(9/1/3/6/5)-(9/1/3/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/1/3/6/5)-(7/9) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (9/1/3/6/5)-(7/9)-(4/1/8/6/9) 50 $0.50 $25.00 
LAD-5   WIN (7/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/9)-(7/9) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/9)-(4/1/8/6/9) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (7/9)-(4/1/8/6/9)-(5/4/3/7/8) 50 $0.50 $25.00 
LAD-6   WIN (4/1/8/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/8/6/9)-(4/1/8/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/8/6/9)-(4/1/8/6/9)-(4/1/8/6/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/1/8/6/9)-(5/4/3/7/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/1/8/6/9)-(5/4/3/7/8)-(9/4/3/10) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LAD-7   WIN (5/4/3/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/7/8)-(5/4/3/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/7/8)-(5/4/3/7/8)-(5/4/3/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/4/3/7/8)-(9/4/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
LAD-8   WIN (9/4/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/3/10)-(9/4/3/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/4/3/10)-(9/4/3/10)-(9/4/3/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   06/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY HEAVY SON May21 Mar16 Feb21 Dec17 Nov26 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 12.00    
2  HALF A BUCK May26 Apr20 Feb18 Jan27 Dec27 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00    
3  SILKY'S DANCE May29 May07 Feb23 Feb10 Jan27 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 2.00 25% 3.00    
4  HEREWECOMETOGETYOU May29 May21 Mar02 Feb03 Jan06 (schmidt denise)MELANCON G 122 6.00 10% 9.40    
5  OSCAR CHOICE Oct29 Sep17 Aug20 Jul17 Jun13 (ramirez ros)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 15.00    
6  CARLOS PUNCH May29 May14 Apr08 Feb15 Nov02 (broussard jer)LOZADA CARLOS 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
7  ONE TOUGH CHARLIE May21 Apr29 Apr14 Mar26 Oct15 (husak j)MEDELLIN ERICK 117 12.00 6% 15.70    
8  DOUBLE PRIORITY May22 Feb16 Jan27 Jan06 Dec19 (beavin judy)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 4.00    
 
LAD-2   06/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NATE'S WAY Jun04 May22 May05 Apr23 Mar11 (deatherage co)LOZADA CARLOS 122 10.00    
2  ANALYZER Feb03 Jan15 Jan06 Dec09 Nov18 (villafranco mar)TORRES HUGO 117 12.00 29% 2.50    
3  MEANT FOR ME May22 Mar31 Feb28 Feb16 Jan12 (johnson b)MELANCON G 122 6.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  ATTA PARTY Jun03 May05 Apr23 Mar19 Feb11 (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 3.50    
SCR  SPECTROLITE May26 Mar05 Feb05 Sep20 Aug27 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.50    
SCR  MORRICONE May30 May08 Mar12 Feb19 Feb04 (morris rowdy)BARRERA J 114 4.00    
SCR  CHIMNEY ROCK May26 Mar15 Jan27 Jan04 Nov23 (ducoing stur)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 12.00    
8  HEZA PRIORITY Jul20 Jun29 Jun15 May19 May07 (husak j)GREEN AUBRIE 119 8.00    
SCR  JAKE THE BAND MAN May30 Feb02 Jan14 Dec28 Dec17 (felks joseph )VARGAS P 119 15.00    
 
LAD-3   06/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALLIGATOR CRAWL May15 May06 Dec22 Nov05 Oct15 (gomez a)TORRES HUGO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  EL MONGO Apr29 Apr07 Feb20 Feb04 Jan20 (broberg karl)VARGAS P 119 4.50    
3  DEPART Jun04 Apr16 Mar17 Mar02 Jan21 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 10.00    
4  LIFEASWEKNOWIT May27 Mar23 Mar08 Feb17 Dec17 (mouton patrick)SUAREZ ANGEL 116 2.50    
5  MR. BUTCH WOMBLE May07 Apr22 Feb18 Dec15 Oct29 (bruno j)GREEN AUBRIE 116 15.00 12% 7.70    
6  MESABI Jun04 May06 Feb16 Jan07 Dec02 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50 46% 1.20    
7  BUTWAITTHERE'SMORE May28 May14 May06 Feb18 Dec08 (savoie sherman)BURNINGHAM J 124 8.00    
8  SHAKEDOWN STREET Jan27 Jan06 Dec09 Nov13 Oct12 (gibson jona)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 6.00 18% 4.50    
9  BRADSTREET Jun02 May12 Apr23 Apr01 Mar24 (gonzalez isa)BARRERA J 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-4   06/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS CHARGE IT         (gomez a)TORRES HUGO 114 15.00 11% 8.20    
  (by DOMINUS out of STATIC CHARGE by GHOSTZAPPER)
2  JERSEY DOLL Apr29         (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 5.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of SONIC CYSTER by TIZNOW)
3  MY OCHO         (broussard jerv)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 12.00 11% 8.20    
  (by MCCRAKEN out of QUEEN LAILA by THE FACTOR)
4  BELLE ELENA Apr22 Mar26 Feb09 Dec30 Nov10 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 2.50    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of BELLE OF PERINTOWN by DEHERE)
5  MONTASTICAL May21 Feb11       (asmussen stev)LOZADA CARLOS 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of BIRDY NUM by TAPIT)
6  RONA VISION         (nixon thomas)NIEVES EMANUEL 116 8.00 11% 8.20    
  (by COURT VISION out of ETBAUER'S CHOICE by ETBAUER)
7  MALLY'S MONSOON May10 Mar18 Feb09 Jan13 Nov23 (cormier)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 4.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of COWGIRL MALLY by GONE WEST)
8  JENNYSBIGBABY May28         (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 116 4.50    
  (by HALF OURS out of FLAWLESS GOLD by GOLD TRIBUTE)
9  JANIS         (brinkm)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.50 42% 1.40    
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of PREACHER JOPLIN by SONGANDAPRAYER)
 
LAD-5   06/18/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LOVIN LIVIN Mar05 Feb03 Dec26 Nov27 Oct28 (lorefice mat)BARRERA J 115 15.00    
2  QUINN MURPHY Jun05 Mar08 Feb20 Jan29 Jan06 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 2.50    
SCR  COLD NIGHT AIR May28 Apr21 Mar26 Feb20 Jan27 (broberg karl)VARGAS P 122 3.00    
SCR  GREAT IN RED Dec11 Jun25 Jun13 Jun04 May12 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 6.00    
SCR  MOONLIGHT RAIN Jun05 May14 Apr16 Mar11 Feb23 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.00    
SCR  FETCHING Mar12 Jun25 Jun11 May12 May01 (duhon paul)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 10.00    
7  TOTAL MALICE May07 Apr15 Apr01 Mar23 Mar08 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00 31% 2.30    
SCR  TOP TEN DUCHESS May04 Apr13 Mar05 Feb20 Sep25 (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 117 8.00    
9  HURRICANE TIZWAY May29 Feb17 Jan26 Jan13 Dec30 (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00 17% 5.00    
 
LAD-6   06/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIAL IN FOR LUTE Apr30 Apr23 Jan20 Jan08 Nov07 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 4.00 18% 4.60    
2  CAYMANS COBRA May22 Apr15 Apr01 Mar19 Jan22 (duhon paul)GREEN AUBRIE 124 12.00    
3  HALFMOON REEF Apr29 Apr15 Feb09 Aug16 Jul02 (goins garl)ALBERT S 116 15.00    
4  GLENN'S JUMPER May28 May14 Apr15 Dec31 Dec02 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
5  SHARK HARBOR Jun03 May22 Apr02 Mar18 Mar11 (lorefice)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 3.50    
6  TRIPPER JOHN May28 May06 Jan20 Dec27 Nov16 (broussard jer)LOZADA CARLOS 121 12.00 10% 9.30    
7  TWO DOT May27 Mar16 Mar03 Feb10 Jan20 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 6.00    
8  WONDER RUN May14 Feb25 Feb02 Jan04 Nov22 (turner patti)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 8.00 10% 8.50    
9  BIBLEMAN Apr15 Feb04 Jan19 Dec27 Dec10 (broberg karl)VARGAS P 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-7   06/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GO BROTHER GO May15 Mar26 Feb24 Dec11 Nov24 (mouton patrick)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 10.00    
2  SALUTE NOW May07 Mar26 Feb28 Feb03 Dec08 (cascio andrew)LOZADA CARLOS 122 12.00    
3  ALIGNED INTEREST Jun08 May03 Apr07 Feb18 Jan07 (broberg karl)VARGAS P 122 4.50 7% 13.90    
4  GOOD OLD CHARLIE Feb02 Dec19 Sep12 Aug30 Jul31 (pish danny)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.00 24% 3.10    
5  I DON'T VENMO May15 Mar25 Jan28 Jan12 Dec22 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 3.50 44% 1.30    
6  BOULDERING May03 Apr07 Feb24 Feb10 Jan05 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00    
7  OAK HILL SOLUTION May29 Mar18 Feb20 Jan26 Jan08 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  STIFF DRINK May15 Mar26 Feb25 Jan14 Dec31 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  NORTHERNREFLECTION May19 May03 Mar26 Mar08 Feb24 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 122 15.00    
10  DUDE DROP KID May28 May07 Mar24 Mar02 Feb10 (foster m)BOREL H 122 6.00    
 
LAD-8   06/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AMARDINE Jun01 Mar18 Apr02 Feb19 Jan29 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 122 3.50    
2  LIGHTNING HART May15 May01 Apr03 Mar14 Feb17 (dixon tim)MEDELLIN ERICK 117 15.00    
3  SENSEOFEXCELLENCE Apr30 Apr08 Mar18 Feb19 Jan20 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 5.00 11% 8.30    
4  MS CARROLL COUNTY Apr30 Apr08 Mar10 Feb19 Jan28 (dixon tim)VARGAS P 117 8.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  TELLING THYME Jun02 Apr30 Mar18 Aug26 Jul10 (gustafson aus)LOZADA CARLOS 122 8.00    
6  TWIRLING TIGRESS May05 Mar25 Feb19 Jan27 Jan07 (cates al)GREEN AUBRIE 117 12.00    
7  ATOMIC ROSE Jan21 Jan06 Dec14 Dec02 Oct22 (lorefice)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
8  IRONIT May29 May07 Mar18 Feb26 Jan16 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 3.00    
9  RUMPUS Apr30 Apr08 Mar26 Nov25 Oct22 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.50 41% 1.40    
10  ROYAL O'HAIGAIN May05 Mar26 Mar11 Dec18 Dec01 (terre d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 30.00 10% 8.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.