Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Thursday - June 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(6/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(6/2/4)-(4/1/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-2   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(4/1/3)-(5/2/1/7/9) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
BTP-3   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(5/2/1/7/9)-(6/4/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
BTP-4   WIN (5/2/1/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/1/7/9)-(5/2/1/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/1/7/9)-(5/2/1/7/9)-(5/2/1/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1/7/9)-(6/4/5/3)-(7/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
BTP-5   WIN (6/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/3)-(6/4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/3)-(6/4/5/3)-(6/4/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5/3)-(7/1/3)-(5/4/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-6   WIN (7/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/3)-(7/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/3)-(7/1/3)-(7/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3)-(5/4/6/7)-(1/8/2/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
BTP-7   WIN (5/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/7)-(5/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/7)-(5/4/6/7)-(5/4/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/6/7)-(1/8/2/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
BTP-8   WIN (1/8/2/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/2/6/7)-(1/8/2/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/2/6/7)-(1/8/2/6/7)-(1/8/2/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   06/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.7K) 2 F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREE AS A BREEZE         (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 119 1.80 41% 1.50    
  (by KANTHAROS out of MY FAST FRIEND by FRIENDS LAKE)
2  BRIEF ENCOUNTER         (hamm timo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 4.50 8% 11.10    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of GRAND MERE by BOB AND JOHN)
3  TWISTED JUSTICE         (smith larry)OUZTS W 119 3.50    
  (by BIONDETTI out of TOUR FOR LOVE by EXPRESS TOUR)
4  IT'S E Z Jun03         (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 3.00 15% 5.60    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of HULA SKIRT by DIXIE UNION)
5  FAREWELL KISS         (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 119 4.00    
  (by TOURIST out of OCEAN PRINCESS by INDIAN OCEAN)
 
BTP-2   06/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILDERZAR Jun06 Mar12 Mar04 Feb25 Feb10 (cash l)AYALA ISAIAS 119 4.00    
2  GUS GUS Jun07 May17 Mar16 Feb22 Feb08 (helmbrech)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 3.00 22% 3.50    
3  NEVER SORRY May19         (silva pabl)LEON A 119 3.50    
4  ISLAND CURRENCY May11 Dec21 Dec05 Nov22   (rhoden carlto)CANUTO THIAGO 125 15.00 15% 5.70    
5  REIGNING CHAMPION May26 Apr21 Mar08     (si)DA FAUSTO 125 8.00    
6  SPECIAL A May11 Aug30       (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 125 2.00 42% 1.40    
 
BTP-3   06/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOLFIE'S PRINCESS May25 Jan17 Dec30 Nov12 Oct10 (cline robert )JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 1.80 30% 2.40    
2  I'M LEGIT Jun07 Sep08 Jul28 Jul08 Jun22 (melancon paul)BUSH V 121 4.00    
3  BEEBLEGEE May26 Mar27 Mar16 Feb28 Feb08 (silva ferna)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  PARFAIT May12 Apr12 Oct29 Sep23 Aug26 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 121 3.00 38% 1.60    
5  LEDGENDARY KITTEN May26 Nov12 Sep23 Sep07 Aug24 (bush s)MCKEE J 121 3.50    
 
BTP-4   06/15/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIGERITO May19 Feb22 Jan05 Dec07 Sep07 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  SILVER BULL Mar04 Jan21 Dec16     (foley greg)MCKEE J 119 3.50 11% 8.00    
3  MY BABY GRAND Jun02         (roggenkamp e)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 6.00    
4  SMART DRESSER May12 Apr21 Mar17 Feb24   (hamm timo)CORREA L 119 4.50    
5  NARA Mar11 Feb01 Feb19     (howard d)REYES R 125 1.80 66% 0.50    
6  PRINCE OF PENNIES May17         (davis christo)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 8.00    
7  PEINADITO Apr15 Mar10 Feb08 Jan21 Jan08 (fernandez e)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  LIBERTY HALL Aug27 Apr28       (cook k)OUZTS W 119 20.00    
9  DISCOUNT DENNIS May19 Aug02 Jul13 Jun28   (wittek karyn)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-5   06/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROAD MINISTER May24 Apr26 Apr08 Mar17   (chain pear)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 117 5.00    
2  DEVILS RED May13 Apr26 Jan05 Oct21 Sep29 (haehn r)MCKEE J 117 4.00    
3  OXWOOD May20 Apr29 Apr12 Feb24 Dec16 (woodbury judy)AYALA ISAIAS 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  RUN RUN RAPIDASH May04 Mar10 Feb10 Jan13 May14 (kordenbrock)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 3.50 7% 12.90    
5  ALL ABOUT CROGE May18 May07 Apr23 Mar26 Feb22 (hernandez javi)REYES R 117 15.00 7% 13.90    
6  TRIPLE ELVIS May13 Mar30 Dec31 Oct29 Aug15 (blair jordan)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 2.00 58% 0.70    
7  MIDWAY MIRACLE May21 Apr29 Apr16 Feb09 Jan26 (lucas wayne)CANUTO THIAGO 123 4.50    
 
BTP-6   06/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE CHARMING May31 May06 Mar28 Jan23 Jan09 (skeens jeremy)REYES R 121 5.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  SARGEANT BARGER Apr27 Apr01 Mar16 Feb23 Feb09 (danner do)CORREA L 121 3.50    
3  UNCLE EARL May20 Mar31 Mar18 Feb15 Jan19 (nocero carmino)BUSH V 121 4.50 15% 5.60    
4  SAY IT AIN'T SO May27 Oct11 Sep30 Sep09 Aug22 (cook k)OUZTS W 121 10.00    
5  TOE TAPPIN LUKE May25 May08 Mar30 Mar11 Feb22 (hernandez d)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 4.00    
6  ORB OF THE BORO May20 Oct11 Sep14 Aug24 Aug12 (crozier jeff)CANUTO THIAGO 121 8.00    
7  CUT GLASS May27 May18 Apr27 Mar31 Feb02 (howard d)MCKEE J 121 2.50 36% 1.80    
 
BTP-7   06/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABOUNDING May11 Apr28 Mar18 Mar02 Dec30 (cook k)BAYS BROOKE 116 20.00    
2  ROSE RING May24 May02 Mar29 Feb21 Feb01 (zircher rob)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 5.00    
3  WHISKEY SIS May31 May17 Mar23 Feb25 Jan25 (nocero carmino)BUSH V 121 8.00    
4  AMAAZA May23 Apr30 Apr11 Mar04 Feb09 (si)DA FAUSTO 123 4.50 15% 5.80    
5  LATER DAYS Jun05 May23 May14 May08 Apr12 (silva pabl)LEON A 123 2.00 49% 1.00    
6  NANA'S GRAY May31 May17 Apr28 Apr11 Mar18 (baez sergio)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 2.50 14% 6.10    
7  GENERAL GINNY Jun03 May24 Apr28 Jan20 Jan09 (dillion jimm)TAPARA BRANDON 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-8   06/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLICKSNEAKYANDFAST Apr12 Mar07 Oct31 Sep20 Aug03 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 121 3.50 26% 2.90    
2  LUMINIST May16 Apr16 Mar30 Mar18 Mar02 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 6.00 13% 6.50    
3  WILDCAT DREAM May31 Apr12 Mar23 Mar07 Feb07 (salcedo ramo)TAPARA BRANDON 121 15.00    
4  HONEYBELL May31 May19 Apr28 Apr03 Feb18 (donjuan sergi)CANUTO THIAGO 115 15.00    
5  GOSHEN Jun06 May25 May12 Apr27 Apr12 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 115 20.00    
6  ALMADRINA (GB) May25 May06 Mar09 Feb16 Jan20 (west w)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 5.00 12% 7.50    
7  PASSO A FRENTE May06 Mar15 Dec06 Oct18 Aug28 (lobo paul)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 4.50 7% 12.40    
8  MAMBO KITTEN May27 May06 Apr11 Mar23 Mar04 (andrade h)CORREA L 121 2.50 20% 4.10    
9  CONNECTTHECAUSEWAY May31 May06 Mar24 Feb25 Feb04 (helmbrecht wi)LEBRON VICTOR 121 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.