Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Monday - April 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (5/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/6/2)-(5/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
FL-2   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2)-(5/2/1/7)-(5/2/1/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/2)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(1/2/3)-(5/1/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FL-3   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(5/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(5/1/4)-(6/1/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-4   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4/6)-(5/1/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(6/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-5   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5/2)-(6/1/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-6   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(6/4/2)-(2/1/6/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
FL-7   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(2/1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-8   WIN (2/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/5)-(2/1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/5)-(2/1/6/5)-(2/1/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   04/24/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS CIRCULAR GAL Nov23 Nov16 Nov01 Oct11 Sep19 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 6.00    
2  ALBANY YATES Nov09 Oct24 Oct10 Aug15 Aug01 (sells rachel)COA J 124 6.00 7% 12.40    
3  SWEET SUGAR BABY Jan20 Dec12 Oct24 Aug23 Jul25 (englehart jef)DAVILA R 124 3.50 18% 4.50    
4  MIDMON Feb24 Feb11 Jan21 May23 May09 (clarke dylan)HARKIE K 124 12.00    
5  CROSSTALK Dec04 Oct29 Sep19 Sep05 Aug09 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.00 37% 1.70    
6  HOLIDAY JAZZ Mar26 Feb11 Jan20 Jan13 Nov27 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 1.80 14% 6.10    
7  RHYTHM TREE Dec03 Oct29 Oct22 Sep10 Aug20 (sparling wayne )ROHENA JR 124 12.00    
 
FL-2   04/24/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPERB SURPRISE Mar17         (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.50 ★    
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of MIZ LYNNE KELLY by LANGFUHR)
2  BUCK'S LUCK         (sells rache)CAMILO D 124 10.00 12% 7.10    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of BUCK STOPS HERE by BAYOU HEBERT)
3  TYRANNOSAURUS REX Feb26 Jan27 Jan08 Jul22 Jun21 (sells rachel)GOMEZ O 124 8.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of ROCK STAR ROYALTY by FIVE STAR DAY)
4  LIEUTENANT SAM Feb11 Jan21 Dec11 Nov17   (englehart chr)DAVILA R 119 1.60    
  (by THE LIEUTENANT out of EARTH TO MATILDA by FIRST SAMURAI)
5  STEERAGE Mar18 Feb12 Jan01 Dec03 Nov11 (torelli st)DE EMANUEL 124 4.00 60% 0.70    
  (by ASTERN out of TWEET STREET by QUALITY ROAD)
6  NOAH'S DESTINY Feb26 Feb12       (clarke d)DAVIS A 124 10.00    
  (by UNION JACKSON out of VICKI VALLENCOURT by REGAL CLASSIC)
7  BANCO MEDICI Nov25 Nov09 Oct26 Sep27 Sep14 (sparling wayne )ROHENA JR 124 6.00 ★    
  (by CUPID out of ST. MARY'S CITI by CITIDANCER (IRE))
 
FL-3   04/24/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FATHER WALSH Mar30 Mar10 Feb17 Jan25 Dec17 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 2.00 36% 1.80    
2  HORN OF PLENTY Apr04 Feb12 Jan21 Dec18 Nov24 (jac)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 1.20 26% 2.90    
3  STANHOPE Nov15 Oct07 Sep07 Aug08 Jul23 (lucas bonni)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 5.00 14% 6.10    
4  DEVIOUS MO Feb15 Jan19 Nov30 Nov16 Nov05 (shaffer ri)DE EMANUEL 122 5.00    
5  SON OF DARKNESS Mar22 Dec16 Nov09 Oct18 Oct05 (sells rachel)SONE Y 122 8.00    
6  BOWING SNOWMAN Nov09 Oct17 Oct03 Sep19 Aug30 (muller thom)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 10.00    
 
FL-4   04/24/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLIVER'S FORTUNE Nov22 Nov09 Oct31 Oct03 Sep14 (d'alessandro r)ALVARADO R 122 2.50 23% 3.30    
2  GANONDAGAN Nov02 Oct19 Oct03 Sep21 Sep12 (sells rachel)DAVILA A 122 8.00    
3  QUAD PARTY Nov21 Nov02 Oct03 Sep14 Aug31 (tebbutt )DAVIS A 122 6.00    
4  ROYAL KAZ May20 May05 Feb23 Feb08   (sells rachel)SONE Y 122 5.00 9% 10.80    
5  DROSEL DIEM Nov22 Nov14 Nov01 Oct18 Sep27 (sabine t)GOMEZ O 122 2.00 46% 1.20    
6  PRODUCTION CREDIT Nov21 Nov09 Oct03 Sep14 Aug15 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 4.00 ★    
7  RICHIE'S B L Nov21 Oct19 Sep21 Aug30 Aug03 (tasso mark)CRUZ JOEL 122 8.00    
 
FL-5   04/24/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3 ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO GET THE BAG Mar30         (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 5.00 17% 5.00    
  (by TOURIST out of MISS BONNIE by OFFICER)
2  DEE'S WISEGUY Mar11 Feb24 Feb01 Jul16   (ferraro anth)COA J 122 2.50 ★    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of DEE DEE'S COMET by DON SIX)
3  CHEF PETER JULIEN         (dixon linda )HARKIE K 122 8.00    
  (by ALPHA out of PERFECT FREUD by FREUD)
4  WHO ME Mar18 Feb25 Feb09 Jan28 Dec30 (torelli stacy)FRET STEVEN 122 8.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of YOU GO TO MY HEAD by SUPER SAVER)
5  ZUCCARACE Jan06 Dec11       (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 4.00 7% 12.40    
  (by RACE DAY out of ZUCCA by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
6  SCHIFFHAUER STRONG Sep28 Sep13 Aug23 Jul14   (lecesse )DAVIS A 122 3.00 53% 0.90    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of DRINK OF THE DAY by ARTIE SCHILLER)
7  BROTHER JOE         (d'alessandro )NAVARRO KEVIN 122 12.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of SISTER MARGARET by PULPIT)
 
FL-6   04/24/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  J D ADVANTAGE Mar11 Jan22       (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 4.00 ★    
2  JACKSON AVENUE Nov22 Nov07 Oct24     (breed ro)DAVIS A 124 6.00 30% 2.30    
3  AMORE FIRE Jul17 Jul04 May30 Apr21 Mar19 (acquilano james)PEREZ E 124 8.00    
4  CUZ UR PRETTY Aug10 Jul18       (progno christopher)GOMEZ O 119 3.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  BOO BA LA Oct11 Sep19 Aug22 Jul18 Jul06 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 12.00    
SCR  FOREVER AMY Mar24 Mar12 Jan20 Dec16 Oct30 (englehart jef)DAVILA R 119 4.50 10% 8.70    
7  LOCKBOX Mar30 Mar03 Feb17 Jan22 Dec04 (d'alessandro )DAVILA A 119 5.00    
8  INSUFFICIENTNOTICE Oct11 Sep26 Sep12 Aug22   (grusmark kar)HARKIE K 124 20.00    
SCR  FLATTERING GAL Mar26 Feb17 Feb02 Dec29 Dec08 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 8.00 ★    
 
FL-7   04/24/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOMMY THE TORCH Feb17 Jan27 Jan11 Dec17 Dec06 (tebbutt joh)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 10.00    
2  WRITER'S REGRET Apr07 Mar12 Feb17 Feb05 Jan08 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 121 4.00 10% 8.80    
3  DR BLARNEY Nov25 Nov07 Aug24 Jul25 Jul04 (grusmark)DAVIS A 121 1.60    
4  ALMENDRO Nov22 Nov07 Sep20 Aug24 Jul04 (ubbink stephen)PEREZ E 121 6.00 21% 3.70    
5  QUICKFLASH Mar25 Mar12 Feb05 Jan12 Dec07 (sells rachel)HARKIE K 121 5.00    
6  LADY'S GOLDEN GUY Nov07 Oct10 Sep06 Aug21 Jul04 (breed a)ALVARADO R 121 2.50 41% 1.40    
 
FL-8   04/24/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INVESTMENT GRADE Nov08 Oct19 Oct03 Sep14 Aug31 (gutierrez luis )ROHENA JR 122 2.50 14% 6.40    
1A  STABILIZE Nov16 Oct31 Oct04 Sep21 Sep12 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 2.50    
2  DON'T EATTHE APPLE Oct13 Sep23 Aug09 Jul27 Jun28 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 122 1.80 45% 1.20    
3  CALL ME CARMELITA Nov16 Oct19 Oct11 Sep26 Sep14 (cabrera )DAVIS A 122 8.00    
4  TRIPP ROAD Sep20 Aug31 Aug01 Jul04 May23 (sells rachel)SONE Y 122 6.00    
5  REMOANE Nov08 Oct19 Oct11 Oct03 Sep20 (lopez arcadi)HARKIE K 122 12.00 9% 10.10    
6  STARSHIP REINA Mar24 Mar08 Feb09 Jan18 Dec16 (lucas bonni)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.00 11% 8.00    
7  FUNNY PURSUIT Nov16 Oct31 Oct19 Oct03 Sep20 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.