Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Thursday - April 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(7/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(7/1/2/6)-(4/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-2   WIN (7/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/6)-(7/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/6)-(7/1/2/6)-(7/1/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/2/6)-(4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/6)-(4/5/1)-(3/6/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-3   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(3/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(3/6/7/2)-(2/1/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-4   WIN (3/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/7/2)-(2/1/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7/2)-(2/1/10)-(6/1/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-5   WIN (2/1/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/10)-(2/1/10/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/10)-(2/1/10/5/9)-(2/1/10/5/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/1/10)-(6/1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/10)-(6/1/2/5)-(5/10/1/3/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
HAW-6   WIN (6/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/2/5)-(6/1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/2/5)-(6/1/2/5)-(6/1/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/2/5)-(5/10/1/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2/5)-(5/10/1/3/9)-(4/6) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
HAW-7   WIN (5/10/1/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/10/1/3/9)-(5/10/1/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/10/1/3/9)-(5/10/1/3/9)-(5/10/1/3/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/10/1/3/9)-(4/6) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (5/10/1/3/9)-(4/6)-(7/9/5) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
HAW-8   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/2/6/3/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/2/6/3/5)-(4/2/6/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6)-(7/9/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
HAW-9   WIN (7/9/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/9/5)-(7/9/5/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/9/5)-(7/9/5/2/8)-(7/9/5/2/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   04/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT DAME Mar29 Feb15 Jan14 Dec31 Dec04 (hernandez jav)HERNANDEZ K 124 3.00 20% 4.10    
2  SEAWARD Mar26 Feb15 Jan14 Dec31 Dec02 (hernandez javi)COLON H 122 6.00    
3  JULIAISON Mar30 Dec10 Oct23 Sep09 Aug27 (wainwright j)GILES EMMANUEL 115 8.00    
4  A REAL HERO Feb16 Jan04 Dec17 Dec02 Oct20 (reavis l)FELIX E 122 1.80 33% 2.00    
5  RONAN Dec31 Nov25 Sep30 Sep13 Aug30 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
6  DIALED INNA Mar24 Mar09 Feb01 Dec21 Dec03 (watkins jame)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50 17% 5.00    
 
HAW-2   04/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINNESOTA MOON Feb25 Jan19 Sep30 Sep07   (block chris)CENTENO ALEXIS 117 2.50 20% 3.90    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of CHORAGUS by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  ANCIENT MAN Mar05 Feb16 Dec31     (hughes earl)ORTEGA O 124 12.00 16% 5.20    
  (by ZIVO out of BRAND ENHANCEMENT by GIROLAMO)
3  CHERRY ORCHARD Mar19         (slager mike)ORM CORY 117 15.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of STARVING ARTIST by PAYNTER)
4  STAR NATION Mar05 Jan28 Dec30 Dec09   (spagnola ida)GILES EMMANUEL 110 8.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of BEAUTY STAR by SKY MESA)
SCR  CELLULOID HERO Feb26 Feb03 Jan08 Nov19 Oct08 (robertson hugh)EMIGH A 124 1.80    
  (by PAYNTER out of FIVE MACH SPEED by E DUBAI)
6  MINING CAMP Mar19 Mar05 Dec31     (slager leonar)HERNANDEZ K 124 8.00 10% 8.80    
  (by GIO PONTI out of KALUGA by UNCLE MO)
7  GO BERTI Mar10 Feb03       (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 117 3.50 24% 3.20    
  (by ACCELERATE out of BELIEVE IN BERTIE by LANGFUHR)
 
HAW-3   04/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAME BOY BENNY Feb10 Jan13 Dec04 Nov12 Oct23 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 6.00 10% 9.40    
2  STALLONE Mar16 Dec31 Dec18 Nov18 Oct22 (retana ga)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
3  STAR OF KODIAK Mar12 Dec31 Nov26 Oct22 Oct02 (quinonez max)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00    
4  LATIN CASINO Mar16 Dec11 Nov06 Oct15 Sep25 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 1.40 54% 0.90    
5  ALEBRIJE Feb24 Feb12 Jan05 Oct27 Oct06 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 122 3.00 15% 5.60    
6  LAKE MILLS Mar16 Dec30 Dec04 Nov25 Oct30 (kirby j)EMIGH A 122 8.00    
 
HAW-4   04/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARROW STRIKE Sep06 Aug26 Aug05 Jun24 Jun11 (butler ge)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
2  TEA WITH LEMON Mar26 Mar05 Dec31 Dec11 Dec03 (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 115 6.00 13% 6.80    
3  MEMPHIS PRAYER Mar17 Jan21 Dec31 Dec07 May07 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 122 1.80 29% 2.50    
4  OVER CALENDARED Apr06 Feb04 Jan05 Dec22 Nov17 (hernandez)ULLOA JOAN 122 8.00    
5  FATHER PATRICK Apr05 Feb24 Feb11 Nov27 Nov06 (hernandez javie)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 12.00    
6  GO FOR IT Mar10 Feb17 Feb03 Jan12 Dec30 (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 115 3.50 20% 4.10    
7  IZEONDEC Feb24 Jan28 Jan13 Dec18 Nov03 (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00 13% 6.80    
 
HAW-5   04/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHERE'D THE DAY GO Mar30 Nov11 Oct15 Oct02 Aug27 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
2  DEORA STORE Mar30 Mar12 Dec30 Dec16 Dec02 (kirby j)EMIGH A 122 3.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  C V THUNDER Feb15 Jan21 Dec31 Dec11 Jul19 (hernandez javie)ORTIZ ALVIN 117 20.00    
4  POWERFUL MAN Mar26 Dec10 Nov20 Jun25 Jun04 (bahena fernan)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 10.00    
5  FLASHY RICHIE Apr02 Dec31 Dec17 Nov27 Nov12 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 5.00 ★    
6  ZARMAE Mar26 Nov12 Oct21 Oct07 Sep20 (bahena fe)ULLOA JOAN 122 8.00    
SCR  PIRATE BIRD Mar26 Mar05 Nov11 Oct15 Sep30 (cook brian)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 15.00    
8  CHOCOLATE BUNNY Mar26 Mar05 Dec10 Nov11 Jul20 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 115 12.00    
9  GENOMIC Mar18 Mar12 Feb26 Feb12 Dec10 (clay pat)HERNANDEZ K 124 15.00 ★    
10  SON OF GRACE Mar26 Jan06 Dec10 Dec02 Aug24 (hughes earl)ORTEGA O 122 6.00 14% 6.10    
 
HAW-6   04/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIELD DAISEY Mar19 Dec31 Dec10 Nov25 Oct30 (bigelow e)LOPEZ A 122 4.50 15% 5.80    
2  BERTRADA Mar17 Jan21 Dec11 Dec03 Nov01 (campbell )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 3.00 13% 6.60    
SCR  AIKEN TO BE TAKIN Dec31 Dec10 Nov27 Nov06 Oct21 (childers vanc)HERNANDEZ K 122 20.00    
4  NIFF Mar26 Mar19 Mar09 Jun10 Jun03 (hughes w)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 8.00    
5  STACY ATTACK Mar17 Dec31 Dec11 Nov25 Nov04 (watkins m)FELIX E 122 4.00 8% 11.90    
6  MY LADY SLEW Mar19 Dec18 Dec02 Oct21 Oct01 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 115 3.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  HARD LIKE HOLLY Dec31 Dec18 Dec04 Nov11 Oct23 (hughes earl)ORTEGA O 122 20.00    
8  CAIRO SUMMER Mar26 Feb23 Jan30 Dec31 Dec18 (witthauer jo)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00    
 
HAW-7   04/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRAIRIE WOLF Sep16 Aug19 Jul15 Jun04 May14 (tracy tanner)FELIX E 122 12.00 14% 5.90    
2  SUNDAY MISCHIEF Mar23 Mar05 Feb10 Dec29 Nov26 (campbell joel)COLON H 122 6.00    
3  TOM'S LAST GENERAL Mar30 Dec17 Nov25 Oct30 Oct20 (hernandez)ULLOA JOAN 122 8.00 11% 8.10    
4  CHAD'S FLASH Mar26 Mar10 Feb21 Feb05 Dec31 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 116 12.00    
5  BLACKTECA Feb04 Dec23 Nov19 Nov05 Sep30 (scherer gary)MOJICA O 116 4.50 23% 3.40    
6  TIZWOW Mar23 Mar05 Sep30 Sep06 Aug26 (retana gabe)ORTIZ ALVIN 116 15.00    
7  PERFUMER Mar23 Mar09 Dec31 Dec16   (quinonez ma)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 8.00    
8  BERNIE LOMAX Jan28 Dec31 Dec16 Jul20 Jun19 (childers )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 6.00    
9  SOVIET STANDARD Mar23 Mar09 Dec17 Dec09   (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 109 5.00 9% 10.00    
10  K C'S FIRST B M W Mar12 Dec16 Nov04 Aug11 Jul13 (tracy tanner)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00 17% 4.80    
 
HAW-8   04/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SPALDING STROLL Mar26 Dec30 Dec02 Oct29 Oct01 (campbell joe)GILES EMMANUEL 115 20.00    
2  BAKENEKO Mar24 Mar09 Feb18 Jan01 Sep30 (rodriguez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 4.00 ★    
3  EVERLOVINGHAND Mar19 Feb21 Feb10 Jan08 Dec09 (scalcione pete)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 20.00 ★    
4  EMPIRE BUILDER Jan21 Dec30 Oct27 Sep07 Jul09 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 3.50 68% 0.50    
5  MISTER CHARMING Mar19 Dec30 Dec17 Dec02 Nov20 (spagnola ida)HERNANDEZ K 122 15.00 ★    
6  PAPA'S LUCKY SEVEN Mar19 Dec30 Dec02 Nov04 Oct14 (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
7  PATH TO SUCCESS Mar18 Mar01 Feb03 Jan13 Dec22 (rodriguez eduardo)MOJICA O 122 6.00    
8  MR. SOLO Nov19 Oct14 Sep19 Sep02 Aug13 (tracy tanner)FELIX E 122 8.00    
9  BEHAVIN MYSELF Mar12 Jan24 Dec30 Dec16 Dec02 (meraz ant)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
10  BALADINE Mar16 Dec30 Dec11 Nov19 Oct28 (poulos dee)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00    
 
HAW-9   04/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GREEN GOBLIN Mar05         (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 118 20.00    
2  GUST OF WIND Mar23 Mar05 Dec31 Dec11   (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 117 6.00 ★    
3  NORMANDY ANGEL Nov25 Oct22 Oct01 Jun11   (reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 118 20.00    
4  SULLY'S BARRON Sep25 Aug27 Jul29     (tracy tanner)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 15.00    
5  ROCKET MAN ATTACK Mar23 Dec30 Dec03 Nov06 Oct09 (childers )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
6  ADDIE'S PEACHES Oct18 Oct06 Aug23     (reyes marti)ORTEGA O 118 30.00    
7  READY MADE Mar26 Mar05 Dec31 Dec03 Nov19 (lynch e)ORM CORY 124 2.50 62% 0.60    
8  SMOOTH ATTACK Mar26 Dec30 Dec16 Nov19 Nov06 (childers )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 5.00 ★    
9  FASTNFURIOUS Mar19 Feb24 Feb03 Jan08 Dec18 (tracy tanner)FELIX E 124 3.00 10% 8.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.