Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Wednesday - March 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (2/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/6/1)-(2/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/1)-(2/3/6/1)-(2/3/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/6/1)-(4/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6/1)-(4/6)-(2/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-2   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/2/5/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/2/5/1)-(4/6/2/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(2/4/3)-(3/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
FG-3   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3/6/1)-(2/4/3/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(3/2)-(2/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-4   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/2/5/7)-(3/2/5/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/2)-(2/4/5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(2/4/5/6)-(6/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-5   WIN (2/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/5/6)-(6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5/6)-(6/2/3)-(3/1/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-6   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3/1/5)-(6/2/3/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/2/3)-(3/1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3)-(3/1/5/6)-(10/6/11) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-7   WIN (3/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6/7)-(3/1/5/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/1/5/6)-(10/6/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FG-8   WIN (10/6/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/6/11)-(10/6/11/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/6/11)-(10/6/11/2/3)-(10/6/11/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   03/01/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE GRAY BLUR Feb16 Jan26 Jan05 Dec15 Dec02 (hirdes jo)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  SERMONONTHEMOUNT Jan26 Jan05 Dec15 Nov24 Sep12 (margolis ste)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 0.80 28% 2.60    
3  COLOR FAST Feb16 Jan26 Sep20 Sep03 Aug01 (balderas alfonso)RIQUELME J 124 4.00 24% 3.20    
4  TIO BLAS Feb16 Jan05 Nov18 Oct15 Sep08 (broberg k)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00    
SCR  ONE TIME GEM Feb11 Jan15 Aug19 Jul09 May19 (bourgeois k)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 6.00 ★    
6  LANDOFTHEPHARAOHS Oct14 Sep10 Jul30 Jul10 Jun28 (delany sarah)PARKER L 121 6.00 23% 3.30    
 
FG-2   03/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD MERRITT Dec01 Nov05 Jul22 Jun30 Apr20 (wilson shane)PARKER L 121 8.00 ★    
2  BINDING AGREEMENT Feb16 Jan26 Jan05 Dec15 Nov17 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 121 4.50 ★    
3  ZION Jan13 Dec15 Nov24 Feb28 Feb06 (hatcher nat)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 5.00    
4  HALF AGAIN Feb04 Dec15 Nov19 Oct21 Aug04 (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.50 53% 0.90    
5  COACH KENNY Feb04 Jan13 Dec15 Sep12 Aug14 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 3.00 ★    
6  FLASHY BREW Feb04 Dec23 Nov18 Mar24 Mar04 (camejo m)LANERIE J 119 4.50 18% 4.40    
7  MUCHO MARVIN Feb04 Jan20 Dec27 Nov16 Oct19 (courville)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00    
 
FG-3   03/01/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLUCKSTADT Feb10 Jan07 Dec11 Oct28   (alonzo howa)GUTIERREZ REYLU 117 5.00 ★    
2  MADISON LUVS DUKE Jan29 Nov23 Nov02 May30 May03 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 1.80 35% 1.90    
3  LITTLE ROCKY Jan21 Dec20 Nov25 Sep27   (tracy greg)NIEVES EMANUEL 114 4.50 14% 5.90    
4  AFTERNOON ANEJO Feb02 Oct01 Sep09 Jul22 Jul04 (alberto a)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00 23% 3.30    
5  PATH TO SUCCESS Feb03 Jan13 Dec22 Nov27 Nov04 (rodriguez e)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 5.00    
6  KLIMTOMANIAC Jan13 Dec19 Dec11 Nov16 Oct22 (claire alexis)LANERIE J 114 3.50 ★    
7  SUMMER LOVER Feb20 Jan29 Dec04 Nov19   (govea cesar)PARKER L 125 6.00    
 
FG-4   03/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NOT ON HERB Dec10 Nov19 Oct07     (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 114 4.00 35% 1.90    
2  IRON IN THE FIRE Feb10 Jan20 Dec29 Nov17 Oct19 (landry ray)STOKES J 122 4.00 11% 8.40    
3  GEORGE ALLEN Feb02 Jan07 Dec15 Nov24 Oct26 (brinkman b)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.50 25% 3.00    
4  HOLIDAY DIAMOND Feb11 Jan20 Jan05 Dec08 Nov25 (zenon shelton)MELANCON G 122 6.00    
5  HELAIRE Jan28 Jan07 Dec15 Dec01 Sep18 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 5.00 ★    
6  TWO B Feb11 Jan08 Dec22 Dec01 Aug09 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 3.00    
7  DREWMAZING Feb10 Jan19 Dec21 Nov16 Aug03 (briley lonnie)LANERIE J 122 6.00 ★    
 
FG-5   03/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($52K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOLDEN SMILES Jan19 Dec01 Oct28 Sep13 Aug13 (magnon rylee)FUSILIER C 120 10.00    
2  GIGABLAST Jan12 Jul13 May26 Mar27 Mar09 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  GALAXY THIRTYSIX Jan27 Jan06 Dec10 Nov18 Aug19 (ney john)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00 ★    
4  G'S SQUEEZE Jan16 Dec01 Aug06 Jun16 Apr21 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00 16% 5.40    
5  WUPKAR Feb04 Jan12 Dec18 Nov27 Oct20 (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50 10% 8.80    
6  LAKE MARIE Jan16 Nov18 Sep18 Jul08 Jun24 (hargrave ken)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.50 5% 19.00    
7  SEE SASSY RUN Feb04 Dec27 Dec10 Nov11 Oct20 (courville ricky)MELANCON G 120 15.00    
8  SUMITUP Feb04 Jan12 Dec18 Nov18 Jun04 (dandridge cou)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00    
9  LA FEME JOLIE Feb05 Dec22 Sep25 Aug16 Jul11 (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00    
10  SERIOUSLY SAM Jan29 Jan15 Dec17 Jan28 Jan08 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 10.00    
 
FG-6   03/01/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONJID Jan22 Nov30 Oct22 Oct08 Sep03 (mckeever andrew)GRAHAM J 125 4.50 ★    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of SUMAYYA by OASIS DREAM (GB))
2  ESCAPOLOGIST Jan28 Jan14 Nov26 Oct20 Oct01 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 117 4.00 26% 2.90    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of REVEALING MOMENT by CISCO ROAD)
3  SOLOMON VANDY Oct15 Sep16 Aug27 Jul30   (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 117 4.50 22% 3.50    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of WICHITA by NAEVUS)
4  ICE AXE Jan13 Jan01 Dec19 Dec09   (dorochenko gen)CHAVEZ ORIEL 125 12.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of YOU GO WEST GIRL by MR. GREELEY)
5  CAROOM Jan22 Dec17 Nov30 Oct22   (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 6.00 ★    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of ELLE BELLE by EL PRADO (IRE))
6  MCGOLDEN May13 Mar26 Mar03     (stall m)PARKER L 125 3.50 28% 2.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MCTAPIT by TAPIT)
7  CIVILRIGHTSLEGEND         (roussel )LOPEZ CARLOS 125 8.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of GO AND WANDER by STREET CRY)
8  MO TIME AT ALL Jan22         (pessin neil )BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 6.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of OLD TIME CHICAGO by STREET SENSE)
 
FG-7   03/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  L J'S EMMA Jan21         (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 120 5.00 24% 3.10    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of REALLY AND TRULY by PULPIT)
2  MUCHO MACHO GIRL         (stewart dall)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of TACIT APPROVAL by STOP THE MUSIC)
3  ARMY KITTEN Feb03 Dec11       (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 4.00 39% 1.60    
  (by ARMY MULE out of METRY KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
4  THE PRINCESS SAYS         (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of NAKED EMPRESS by FREUD)
5  GENEROUS LOVER         (foley greg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00 8% 12.10    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of HULA SKIRT by DIXIE UNION)
6  SANDRA D         (margolis s)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 8% 12.10    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of USUALLY SUPER by UNUSUAL HEAT)
7  ART DECO (ARG)         (stall m)CULP BRIANNE 115 12.00 ★    
  (by JUSTIFY out of GLAMORISTA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
8  CURLIN SERENADE Jan21         (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 120 8.00    
  (by CURLIN out of CONQUEST SERENADE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
9  GOING THE DISTANCE         (shirer a)PARKER L 120 8.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of SHEISINITTOWINIT by STUDENT COUNCIL)
10  MISS ARLINGTON         (williamson brian)RIQUELME J 120 8.00    
  (by MARK VALESKI out of LUVNOTIONUMBERNINE by NOTIONAL)
 
FG-8   03/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TSURIS Oct02 Sep03 Aug18     (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 6.00    
2  INFINITESIMAL Feb09 Jan01 Dec11     (david b)MELANCON G 125 2.00 ★    
3  LIT A SHUCK Feb03 Jan16 Dec23 Sep26 Sep10 (hatcher nathan)GREEN AUBRIE 125 15.00 ★    
4  ST PIERRE Feb11 Jan26 Dec20 Nov10 Oct20 (duhon joseph )MORALES EDGAR 117 20.00    
5  ASTROLOGY WONOWON Feb18 Jan26 Nov25     (granger ran)BARANDELA SOFIA 112 20.00    
6  MINE YOUR BIZ Feb09 Jan16 Dec16 Nov27 Aug26 (peterson j)ALBERT S 120 6.00 27% 2.70    
7  TUCKER THE GRUMP Dec31 Dec08 Nov19 Aug27 Aug19 (williams kev)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 8.00    
8  ELIEZER Feb09 Apr20 Mar04     (hirdes john)VARGAS P 125 20.00    
SCR  BROTHER JEFF Feb09 Jan07 Dec16 Nov27 Apr15 (arndt the)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 8.00    
10  RONALDS GATSBY Feb09 Jan07 Dec08 Nov26 Nov02 (wilson shan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 4.50 40% 1.50    
11  HENNY'S TURN Jan15 Sep17 Sep03 Aug13   (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 15.00 8% 12.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.