Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Wednesday - March 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (8/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/5)-(8/5/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (8/5)-(8/5/6)-(8/5/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (8/5)-(7/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/5)-(7/1/2)-(4/7/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-2   WIN (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/2)-(7/1/5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/2)-(7/1/5/2/4)-(7/1/5/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/1/2)-(4/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2)-(4/7/1)-(7/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-3   WIN (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/1)-(4/7/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/1)-(4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/1)-(7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1)-(7/5)-(3/7/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/5)-(7/5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5)-(7/5/2/3)-(7/5/2/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/5)-(3/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/5)-(3/7/6)-(7/8/3/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-5   WIN (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/6)-(3/7/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/6)-(3/7/6/4/2)-(3/7/6/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/7/6)-(7/8/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6)-(7/8/3/5)-(5/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (7/8/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/3/5)-(7/8/3/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/8/3/5)-(7/8/3/5/1)-(7/8/3/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/8/3/5)-(5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/8/3/5)-(5/2/4)-(5/3/6/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4/3/6)-(5/2/4/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(5/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (5/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   03/01/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN APPEAL Feb11 Jan18 Dec14 Nov24 Nov03 (craig e)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00    
2  SHANGHAI CANDY Feb11 Jan25 Jan07 Dec14 Nov16 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00    
SCR  POSITIVE PHIL Feb01 Jan19 Jan05 Dec09 Nov12 (farrior an)RIVERA R 115 4.00 9% 9.70    
4  CANTAKEITANYMORE Feb01 Dec02 Nov10 Oct20 Sep29 (keller christo)ARAUJO DENIS 122 15.00    
5  RAISE A SPEIGHTS Feb18 Feb01 Jan11 Dec11 Nov21 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 126 3.00 31% 2.20    
6  JAMMIN JIMTOWN Feb11 Jan18 Dec09 Oct29 Oct06 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  IMPROBABLE STORY Feb11 Jan25 Jan18 Nov30 Nov12 (king l)LEWIS M 119 3.50 ★    
8  JAYJAYDEE Feb08 Jan27 Dec16 Nov25 Aug20 (kreiser t)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
 
CT-2   03/01/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPTAP Nov24 Nov03 Oct06 Sep22 Aug19 (pyke joseph)LOPEZ DERECK 113 8.00 8% 11.40    
  (by TAPITURE out of STEAL THE APPEAL by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
2  SHY BELLA Jan18         (rideout ant)RAMGEET R 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by REAL ESTATE out of WASHINGTONIAN by DOMESTIC DISPUTE)
3  LAURA'S GRAND Feb22 Feb02 Jan11 Dec09 Nov18 (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 123 20.00    
  (by SUPER NINETY NINE out of GRAND NAJMAH by GRAND REWARD)
4  KNOBIESMAGICSONDE Jan11 Nov03 Oct06 Sep22   (scott a)NUNEZ MAURICIO 123 10.00 ★    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of KNOBIE by RACE ON GREEN)
5  FAR MORE Jan18 Nov24 Nov03     (groves janice)RIOS-CONDE A 123 4.50 ★    
  (by LANGFUHR out of ANNAPOLIS HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
6  IT'S A REAL HONOR Jul30 Jun30 Jun09 May19 Apr29 (perez ernesto)PELTROCHE F 123 12.00    
  (by REAL ESTATE out of TO HONOR AND LOVE by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
7  LAS VEGAS BLVD Jan18 Dec15       (walters david )ARAUJO DENIS 123 0.60 63% 0.60    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of RIDDEN OUT by MAKIN)
SCR  LADY GANGSTER Jan18 Jan01 Dec15 Dec04 Nov24 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 123 15.00    
  (by GANDHI out of STERLINGS AMERICA by SILVER TRAIN)
 
CT-3   03/01/2023 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER WILDCAT Jan28 Jan05 Dec16 Dec02 Nov24 (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00 8% 11.50    
SCR  TODO SOLA Dec14 Nov15 Oct06 Sep07 Aug19 (beattie cody)LEWIS M 113 3.50 9% 9.80    
3  ALWAYS SOMETHING Jan28 Dec08 Oct29 Oct13 Sep23 (patterson kevi)ARAUJO DENIS 120 4.00    
4  TIZ THE REASON Jan21 Jan05 Nov10 Oct12 Oct01 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 39% 1.60    
5  MANAROLA Jan28 Dec09 Oct08 Sep16 Aug26 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 4.00    
6  THUNDER PUNCH Jan21 Dec08 Nov24 Sep23 Sep03 (pennella m)BAEZ M 113 15.00 ★    
7  MY LOVELY GIRL Feb02 Jan12 Dec16 Nov26 Nov15 (larrosa)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 2.50 18% 4.70    
 
CT-4   03/01/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ADARA Feb18 Jan28 Jan07     (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 126 1.20 37% 1.70    
2  LIGHT WORK Feb01 Jan17 Jan09 Dec14 Nov29 (tobin e)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 15.00 ★    
3  POSITRACTION Jan25 Dec31 Dec10     (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 126 4.50 ★    
4  D'LUCCI BOY Jan09 Dec09 Nov09 Sep27   (dunham g)CULLUM W 126 8.00    
5  GANDHI'S ORION Feb09 Jan19 Dec17 Dec07 Nov03 (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 124 5.00 15% 5.90    
6  FLAT BUSTED Feb16 Feb01 Jan13 Dec09 Nov25 (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 126 8.00    
7  WICKOSITY Feb15 Nov22 Oct17 Sep27 Aug22 (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 126 6.00 19% 4.20    
8  OBOY Feb09 Dec31 Dec10 Nov27 Nov20 (demario charles )ACOSTA D 126 20.00    
 
CT-5   03/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEAL THE CASH Dec09 Nov18 Oct07 Aug26 Aug16 (covello andrea )RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00    
2  BUBBA G Feb02 Aug05 Jun29 Jun01 May09 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 8.00 ★    
3  MIMS HAT TRICK Nov25         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00 55% 0.80    
4  MOSLEY NATURAL Dec16 Jul20 Jun19 May27   (kolb chris)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00 ★    
5  ROCKIN THE PALACE Jan19 Dec13 Oct26 Aug25 Jul28 (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 120 4.50    
6  SEAN THE HAMMER Feb15 Jan25 Dec17 Dec09 Nov10 (runco c)LEWIS M 113 3.50 10% 9.10    
7  OVERLY CRITICAL May21 Apr09 Mar17 Feb23 Jan22 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 1.80 11% 8.10    
 
CT-6   03/01/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($21.2K) 3 F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER MONEY Feb10 Jan15       (schoenthal phil)ACOSTA D 118 3.00 ★    
2  PARISIAN SUMMER Jan27 Jan18 Oct03 Sep15 Aug30 (keller christop)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00    
3  LILY MOR         (mcmahon h)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.00 15% 5.80    
4  BLUE AGAVE Feb18 Jan18 Dec03 Nov16 Oct06 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00    
5  LADY IN WAITING         (collins)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 12.00 13% 6.70    
6  SHAKE IT GIRL Jan18 Dec08 Oct26 Oct07 Sep15 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 4.50    
7  SUPER SWEETIE         (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
8  GOT MORE         (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
 
CT-7   03/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAR FOURTEEN Jan27 Dec28 Dec10 Nov18 Oct10 (sells rachel)ARAUJO DENIS 120 12.00    
2  KOZY'S WILDCAT Feb17 Jan26 Dec31 Dec17 Nov12 (cash norman )LEWIS M 115 3.50 29% 2.50    
3  JACKIE A Jan16 Dec18 Nov14 Nov03 Sep25 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.50 ★    
4  PIONEER SPIRIT Jan17 Dec08 Nov12 Oct21 Oct15 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00 11% 7.70    
5  DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN Jan26 Dec09 Nov15 Oct25 Aug24 (kreiser t)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 36% 1.80    
6  FLATTER ME PLEASE Dec22 Nov29 Aug02 Jul13 Jun22 (hayes lela)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 15.00 ★    
SCR  IT'S SIZZLING TIME Feb11 Jan28 Jan03 Nov15 Nov02 (smith valrie)BATISTA A 120 6.00    
SCR  MAXIMUM IMPACT Jan20 Jan14 Jan05 Dec20 Nov25 (cash l)ACOSTA D 122 8.00    
 
CT-8   03/01/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AT THE HALF Jan21 Nov30 Nov23 Nov02 Oct13 (davis russell )MONTANO JOSE 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  LADY LICIOUS Jan11 Nov26 Nov03 Oct14 Sep24 (adorno jea)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  UNLOCK Feb11 Jan28 Jan05 Nov23 Nov05 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 124 3.50 15% 5.70    
4  FEAR THE DIVA Jan25 Oct13 Sep09 Jul30   (covello andre)SIMPSON JASON 124 10.00    
5  GRANDIOSELY Feb15 Feb04 Jan25 Nov04 Sep23 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
6  SHANIA SEA Feb01 Dec20 Nov09 Oct24 Aug18 (mcclellan e)RAMGEET R 122 4.50 10% 9.30    
7  LECTRIC ROD Feb22 Oct22 Oct06     (mcgill sylvest)RIOS-CONDE A 118 20.00    
8  DIAMONDS N DENIM Feb04 Dec08 Oct24 Oct04 Sep22 (reynolds joa)LEWIS M 117 4.00    
9  DISTORTED SPLENDOR Jan21 Nov23 Nov03 Sep21 Aug19 (stehr j)NUNEZ ANAHI 126 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.