Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fonner Park
Saturday - February 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FON-1   WIN (6/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/3)-(6/2/5/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/3)-(6/2/5/3/4)-(6/2/5/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/2/5/3)-(1/4) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
FON-2   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4/6/2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/4/6/2/3)-(1/4/6/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(4/2)-(3/5/2/6) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
FON-3   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/2/1/5)-(4/2/1/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
FON-4   WIN (3/5/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/2/6)-(3/5/2/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/5/2/6)-(3/5/2/1/6)-(3/5/2/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FON-5   WIN (5/2/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/7/4)-(5/2/7/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/2/7/4)-(5/2/7/4/3)-(5/2/7/4/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7/4)-(2/4/1/6)-(4/6/2/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FON-6   WIN (2/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/6)-(2/4/1/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/6)-(2/4/1/6/3)-(2/4/1/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FON-7   WIN (4/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/2/3)-(4/6/2/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/6/2/3)-(4/6/2/5/3)-(4/6/2/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FON-8   WIN (6/3/5/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/5/4/1)-(6/3/5/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/5/4/1)-(6/3/5/4/1)-(6/3/5/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5/4/1)-(2/1/7/8/3)-(6/9/5/7/8) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
FON-9   WIN (2/1/7/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/8/3)-(2/1/7/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/8/3)-(2/1/7/8/3)-(2/1/7/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/1/7/8/3)-(6/9/5/7/8) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
FON-10   WIN (6/9/5/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/9/5/7/8)-(6/9/5/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/5/7/8)-(6/9/5/7/8)-(6/9/5/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FON-1   02/25/2023 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRESLEY'S ARTWORK Feb11 Sep23 Aug12 Jul01 Jun11 (lemburg m)MEDINA ANGEL 125 1.80    
DOLLY DIMPLE Feb11 Jun09 May06 Mar27 Jan30 (bliss dean)HAAR NATHAN 125 6.00 27% 2.70    
SERENGETI SIX Feb16 Feb02 Jan07 Dec19 Dec08 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 8.00 8% 11.00    
WUMPMUG Feb11 Sep19 Aug12 Jul10 Jun13 (condon schuyler)ROMAN KEVIN 125 8.00    
VIRTUALLY Sep16 Aug10 Jun24     (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 125 4.00 14% 6.30    
FABULOSITY Dec19 Nov18 Nov06 Oct01 Sep01 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 121 2.00 28% 2.50    
 
FON-2   02/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALWAYS A TIZ Feb11 Nov15 Oct04 Sep25 Sep04 (ibanez alberto)RAMOS B 125 2.50 39% 1.60    
BOLD LEGEND Sep19 Aug08 Jul18 Jun26 Jun17 (arceo salvado)CARDOSO DAVID 125 6.00    
REMARKABLE CHARM Oct01 Sep19 Sep06 Aug21 Jul25 (roberts m)HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00    
STAYTHIRSTYMYAMIGO Dec15 Dec07 Nov18 Sep29 Sep09 (mitzner r)MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.50 31% 2.20    
AUNT IRENE Feb10 Dec30 Sep26 Sep08 Jul28 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.00    
BREW CASA Sep29 Sep16 Aug15 Jul16 Jul02 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 4.00    
 
FON-3   02/25/2023 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($4.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLOOPY HANG ON Feb19 Jan11 Dec21 Nov25 Nov09 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.80    
RABBIT TWENTY TWO Jun12 May28 Apr29 Apr08 Mar25 (rivera gregor)CARDOSO DAVID 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
POPS GIRL ALEXA Feb19 Feb11 Sep26 Sep12 Aug15 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 12.00    
WANDAS CAFE Feb11 Feb20       (lemburg m)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 71% 0.40    
PIZZA GIRL Feb11 Sep24       (musquiz j)HAAR NATHAN 121 10.00    
A C'S OLIVIA ROSE Sep25 Sep13 Aug21 Aug07   (hibdon n)RAMOS B 121 15.00    
SANDPLUM CREEK Feb11 Dec16 Nov18 Oct28 Oct13 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 8.00    
SCR  DIXIE TRIXIE Feb11 Sep24 Sep12 Sep05 May28 (dieter dalton)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00    
 
FON-4   02/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THREE BALL Oct01 Sep19 Sep05 Aug28 Jul25 (roberts m)ROMAN KEVIN 125 6.00    
DRINK Feb11 Dec28 Dec14 Oct11 Sep30 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.00 12% 7.60    
LOVETHATCAUSE Jan26 Jan05 Dec21 Nov30 Nov03 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 6.00 36% 1.80    
OLD TRAFFORD Feb11 Dec16 Dec09 Nov25 Nov08 (wise jason)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00    
LARCH Feb11 Dec16 Nov22 Nov03 Oct20 (mitzner r)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.50 14% 6.30    
TOMBI Oct02 Sep19 Aug29 Aug02 Jul17 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 125 8.00 7% 12.80    
 
FON-5   02/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT CAVIAR Feb10 Sep19 Sep09 Aug29 Aug06 (lemburg mark)MARTINEZ A 125 2.00    
SUE HAPPY Feb15 Jan28 Jan04 Dec21 Nov25 (arceo salvado)CARDOSO DAVID 125 8.00 26% 2.90    
GUAPA CHICA Feb18 Sep14 Aug27 Jul19 Jun27 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50    
ZIPPORAH Sep11 Jul26 Jul11 Apr16 Apr01 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 125 10.00 7% 13.50    
LEMONS IS GONE Feb10 Oct14 Sep23 Sep07 Jul19 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 33% 2.00    
CHERISH THE DAY Feb10 Sep23 Sep07 Jul18 Jun28 (dunlap shon)MORALES ROBERTO 125 12.00    
DONNA'S HOPE Aug19 Aug05 Jul16 Jun26 Jun12 (condon)FLETCHER D 125 8.00 9% 9.70    
 
FON-6   02/25/2023 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLHE LOVE         (hemmer terrell)MARTINEZ A 121 8.00 7% 13.50    
  (by SHADOW HAWK out of LOVESABLUMIN by BLUMIN AFFAIR)
TOO MANY CAPTAINS May14 Apr24 Apr03 Mar20   (bliss dean)FACKLER CHRIS 125 3.50 48% 1.10    
  (by WAR CORRESPONDENT out of QUARTER ANGEL by ROCK HARD TEN)
TIZ BRIGHTER Jun17 Jun04 May28     (rivera gregor)CARDOSO DAVID 125 6.00    
  (by TIZNOW MY WAY out of BRIGHT FLAME by NIGHT ABOVE)
QUEEN OF GOLD Feb10         (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 120 3.00 13% 6.50    
  (by PETITION FOR GOLD out of KAT QUEEN COLE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
LUCKWOULDHAVEIT Feb11 Jun17       (thomsen paula)HAAR NATHAN 125 6.00    
  (by GOLD FOR CASH out of ALEXIS INSPIRES by AFLEET ALEX)
SHIPS LOG         (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 121 10.00 7% 13.50    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of TIZ MAKIN MEMORIES by TIZDEJAVU)
CRAZY STEELE Feb11         (krause)FLETCHER D 125 15.00    
  (by MONHOCRACY out of MERRY MARINO by MARINO MARINI)
LUCKY LIQUOR SHOT Feb11 Jun17 Jun04 May28 May14 (lemburg mark)RAMOS B 125 15.00    
  (by LIQUOR CABINET out of GAMBLING LADY LUCK by POPULAR (SAF))
BER MIS BOY Feb11 May01 Apr16 Mar27 Mar13 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 5.00    
  (by COUGAR CAT out of GOHAR by FOREST DANGER)
SCR  THUNDERSTORMACOMIN Feb11 Jun17 Jun04 Feb20   (becker stev)MORALES ROBERTO 125 15.00    
  (by BLUE LION out of STORMIN COUSINS by FLASHY BULL)
 
FON-7   02/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADMIRAL'S GARNET Feb11 Dec11 Nov22 Nov01 Oct20 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.50    
1A  JAVISTHA Sep23 Sep04 Aug15 Aug05 Jul10 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.50    
WILDWOOD MAGGIE Jan13 Dec30 Dec19 Nov23 Nov09 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 6.00 12% 7.60    
GOODNIGHTSUGAR Feb11 Sep18 Sep10 Sep05 Aug28 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
SABER QUEEN Feb11 Nov16 Oct28 Aug29 Aug01 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 29% 2.40    
SWEET TATUM Sep27 Sep13 Jul25 Jul11 May21 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00    
SHEZA SAVAGE Dec31 Dec17 Dec09 Nov18 Apr23 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 1.80 27% 2.70    
 
FON-8   02/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RECORDER Sep24 Jul23 Jun27 Jun13 May30 (lembur)FLETCHER D 125 12.00 8% 11.70    
JUST RIGHT MIKE Feb11 Dec30 Dec17 Dec03 Nov18 (anderson da)MORALES ROBERTO 125 10.00    
THREE TIME CHARMER Feb11 Nov04 Oct02 Sep04 Jul25 (thompson grady)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 6.00 14% 6.40    
AWESOME FAMILY Feb11 Jan08 Dec16 Nov04 Oct16 (donlin d)RAMOS B 125 3.00 11% 8.30    
BRAVO KOLT Sep23 Sep03 Aug12 Jul16 Jun27 (roberts m)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.50 12% 7.00    
PARLAY PETE Feb11 Jan05 Dec21 Nov05 Oct13 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 6.00 31% 2.30    
HE'S PRETTY LUCKY Feb11 Nov14 Oct28 Sep08 Aug26 (bliss dean)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00    
PARALISSFRMANALYSS Jan06 Oct14 Sep11 Aug27 Jul29 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 4.00    
GRAND DESIGN Dec19 Sep30 Sep18 Aug14 Jun27 (condon sc)MEDINA ANGEL 125 10.00    
 
FON-9   02/25/2023 2640ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOTS OF GOLD Feb17 Jan14 Oct29 Oct13 Sep09 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 4.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of GOLD CLUB by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
1A  RED RED WINE (ARG) Feb17 Jul02 May27 Apr22 Apr01 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 4.50 15% 5.50    
  (by HALF OURS out of REBIRTH by MALAGRA)
GURL YOU FINE Nov30 Oct19 Sep22     (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of CONKATE by EXCHANGE RATE)
SUCH GREAT HEIGHTS May21 May01 Apr16 Apr02 Mar05 (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 122 15.00 6% 15.60    
  (by AWESOME AGAIN out of STARSHIP UNIVERSE by MINESHAFT)
SCR  MAYZEE Feb12 Jun19 May07 Apr22 Mar04 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 120 6.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of RARE CRYSTAL by BRIGHT LAUNCH)
CHIVE UP Feb17 Dec14 Dec02 Oct07 Jul16 (wise jason)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 8.00    
  (by UPSTART out of MAJESTIC CHIVETTE by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
D'WILD MUFFIN Feb04 Jan14 Dec28 Dec01 Oct20 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 122 4.00    
  (by D'WILDCAT out of MUFFIN by SMART STRIKE)
ROME'S BURNING Sep11 Aug21 Jul30 Jul09 Jun18 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 122 3.00 13% 6.60    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of HOT STONES by BUSTIN STONES)
STUNTING Sep20 Aug30 Jul31 Jul19 Apr16 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 122 12.00 8% 11.90    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of DIVINE GIFT by STANFORD)
OLIVIAN Feb03 Jan19 Jan06 Dec07 Sep14 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 120 15.00    
  (by MO FOR THE MONEY out of MATTIEJOE by PORTOBELLO ROAD)
 
FON-10   02/25/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTHERN MOJO Feb11 Sep19 Aug29 Aug09 Jun19 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 15.00    
PAPA BRO Oct29 Aug27 Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.00    
GRAYDAR'S DREAM Oct03 Sep19 Sep05 Aug02 Jul19 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 125 8.00    
FLY FIRST CLASS Feb11 Sep04 Jul25 Jul15 Jun27 (arceo )FLETCHER D 125 10.00    
NORTH SIDE Feb11 Jan29 Jan06 Dec16 Jul17 (condon sc)MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00 9% 10.20    
GIANT GAMBLE Feb11 Sep07 Aug11 Jul14 Jun16 (donlin d)MARTINEZ A 125 2.50 40% 1.50    
COWORKER May23 May13 Apr09 Mar26 Mar12 (dieter dalton)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 12.00 6% 15.20    
CHERUBIM Oct04 Oct01 Aug29 Aug23 Aug09 (radford raymo)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
LION HEART LEGEND Jan18 Dec28 Nov30 Nov10 Oct29 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.50 14% 6.00    
10  DRYSPELL Nov03 Oct01 Sep19 Sep13 Aug02 (revels geary)BETHKE A 125 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.