Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Saturday - February 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-1   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5/1/6)-(2/4/5/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(4/6)-(6/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TUP-2   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/5/2)-(4/6/5/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/6)-(6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(6/4)-(6/1/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TUP-3   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/4)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/4)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(6/1/5)-(5/2/4/6/3) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
TUP-4   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5/3/7)-(6/1/5/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(5/2/4/6/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(5/2/4/6/3)-(1/3/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TUP-5   WIN (5/2/4/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/4/6/3)-(5/2/4/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/4/6/3)-(5/2/4/6/3)-(5/2/4/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/4/6/3)-(1/3/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4/6/3)-(1/3/2)-(3) 15 $0.50 $7.50 
TUP-6   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2/5)-(1/3/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(3)-(1/7/4) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
TUP-7   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/7/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (3)-(3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (3)-(1/7/4) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
TUP-8   WIN (1/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/4)-(1/7/4/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/4)-(1/7/4/6/8)-(1/7/4/6/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   02/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEGAL MISCHIEF Jan17 Dec22 Sep17     (campo stacy)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 5.00 ★    
2  GOLDEN HALO Jan23 Dec09 Nov11 Oct21 Sep11 (brinkerhoff)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 67% 0.50    
3  SENSUOUS KITTY Jan09         (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 6.00    
4  BELLE MY BELLE Jan09 Dec14 Nov15 Sep17 Aug29 (story chad)CORBETT W 124 3.00 7% 13.50    
5  SHE SAID MY WAY Dec22 Nov09 Sep10 Aug28 Jul31 (salinas lin)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 2.00 6% 16.50    
6  MAMALONA Jan25 Dec03 Nov13     (soto antoni)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 8.00 ★    
 
TUP-2   02/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY Jan19 Jan02 Dec22 Nov25 Sep05 (alvarez sergi)VALDES ALEXIS 120 10.00 ★    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of JACKSONVILLE by BENTON CREEK)
2  GIVE EM HECK BECK Jan24 Sep14 Aug25 Aug03 Jul13 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 6.00 ★    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of NOBLE GREY by FORESTRY)
SCR  PHOENICIAN GHOST Mar11 Jan28       (campo stacy)CONNING CRYSTAL 120 5.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of SMILINGSUNDAE by SIGHTSEEING)
4  TONY'S TAPIT Jan23 Dec21 Nov04 Sep17 Aug27 (silva jr)GARCIA F 124 2.00 49% 1.10    
  (by TONALIST out of AUTUMN WEDDING by RUNAWAY GROOM)
5  BRAZEN NOW Dec21 Oct04 Sep19 Aug20 Apr21 (eikleberry )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 ★    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of SAINT'S CROWN by TIZNOW)
6  ANNIE'S BOY Apr21 Mar11 Feb04 Jan19   (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 124 1.60 26% 2.80    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of AWESOME EFFORT by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
TUP-3   02/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GO GO SADIE Dec14 Aug27 Aug08 Jul11 May07 (guerra ja)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00 ★    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of BONUS SPIN by HARD SPUN)
SCR  ARIZONA SUN Jan12 Dec21 Nov05 Jun17 May28 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of CAVE SPRINGS by IN EXCESS (IRE))
3  J T'S LA NENA Dec14 Nov26 Nov04 Sep17 Sep03 (torres-casas al)CRUZ M 120 12.00 ★    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of SMOKY CREEK by BENTON CREEK)
4  HINDU MISS CHEF Jan25 Dec20 Nov23 Sep10 Aug20 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 122 4.00 15% 5.90    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of AWESOME EFFORT by AWESOME AGAIN)
5  MY FIRST PEARL Dec21 Nov05 Oct04 Jul24 Jun10 (eikleberry )HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of PEARLY BLUE by EMPIRE MAKER)
6  ALBERTA SUN Nov15 Aug03 Jun25 Jun09 Apr16 (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 120 1.40 23% 3.30    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of DRIFA by TABASCO CAT)
 
TUP-4   02/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLESSED JOURNEY Jan12 Dec26 Dec10 Nov21 Nov07 (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 31% 2.20    
2  THEMANBEHINDTHEMAN Jan17 Jan05 Dec22 Dec10 Sep18 (vitali j)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50    
3  KNOWN Aug27 Aug05 Jul23 Jun25 Jun05 (silva rodr)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 3.00 ★    
4  STRAUS'S PLACE Jan25 Jan14 Jan03 Dec10 Oct29 (sa)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00    
5  REALLY SLOW Jan05 Dec26 Dec08 Nov21 Oct28 (brown jared)MAWING A 124 8.00 6% 16.80    
6  BLUE AZUL Jan23 Jan12 Nov29 Nov05 Feb28 (evans justi)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 3.50 35% 1.80    
7  DON'TTEASETHETIGER Jan10 Dec20 Nov23 Sep17 Sep05 (oberholtzer ke)ENRIQUEZ D 124 6.00 ★    
 
TUP-5   02/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUSALUT Dec20 Sep11 Aug28 Aug07 Jul15 (garcia valenti)ANAYA V 122 12.00    
2  J T'S A. T. M. Jan26 Jan07 Dec13 Nov21 Nov04 (evans justin)CRUZ M 122 2.50 18% 4.60    
3  GOT EVEN SMARTER Jan12 Dec01 Sep10 Aug29 Aug15 (fulmer drew)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 15.00 11% 8.10    
4  AWHITESPORTSCOAT Jan07 Dec01 Aug13 Jul18 Jul02 (nunnally jennife)MAWING A 122 5.00 15% 5.70    
5  CANNONBALL COMIN Jan07 Dec20 Nov23 Nov05 Sep07 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.50 22% 3.60    
6  YOLA Sep20 Sep05 Aug24 Aug01 Jul20 (schnell don)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 12% 7.20    
7  FOREVER GOLD Jan24 Jan05 Dec15 Nov08 Sep02 (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 6.00    
8  REDACTION Sep17 Aug29 Aug22 Aug08 Apr18 (ortiz fra)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00    
 
TUP-6   02/04/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE JEFF Jan07 Nov15 Oct21 Oct08 Sep11 (cerin vladi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 1.80 55% 0.80    
2  FABSTRACTION Jan19 Jan02 Nov19 Nov08 Sep17 (hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 122 8.00 7% 13.80    
3  IN THE MIDST Jan14 Dec21 Dec01 Nov15 Aug27 (person kenneth )CRUZ M 122 4.00 12% 7.30    
4  TODAY MATTERS Dec30 Dec16 Nov05 Sep24 Aug19 (ruiz lorenzo)LEON A 122 4.50    
5  MONGOL ALTAI Jan14 Dec21 Nov28 Sep17 Aug24 (asprino alfr)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 3.50 ★    
SCR  BROTHERLY LOVE Jan14 Dec13 Nov23 Nov15 Oct05 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 ★    
7  CHROME KING Jan14 Jan03 Dec21 Dec10 Dec01 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00    
 
TUP-7   02/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3 F PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOLDEN RACHEL Jan17 Dec26       (belvoir van)DISDIER NICOLLE 121 8.00    
SCR  TECATE GOLD Jan23         (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 10.00    
3  PHOENICIAN MAGIC Jan03 Dec20 Nov25 Nov07 Oct24 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 4.00 75% 0.30    
SCR  TIZ THE PROSPECT Jan23 Dec20       (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 121 3.00 ★    
5  SHES A KILLA QUEEN Dec14 Oct15       (howey quinn)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 8.00    
6  LILY PAD LAKE Jan16 Dec09 Nov18 Oct28 Sep25 (van debbie)ZUNINO L 121 6.00 ★    
7  MISS CONTINENTAL Jan03 Dec05 Nov11 Oct13 Sep04 (dennison dan)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 10.00 ★    
SCR  THE COMRIE RULE Dec26 Nov30 Sep25 Sep05 Aug12 (silva rodr)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 5.00 ★    
9  AUTISM EXCELLENCE Dec26 Dec09 Nov18 Oct21 Sep25 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 6.00    
 
TUP-8   02/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME SATURDAY Jan09 Oct28 Oct15 Oct01 Sep09 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 36% 1.80    
2  VICTORY BOULEVARD Oct26 Oct07 Sep22 Sep08 Aug26 (gleason m)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 6.00    
3  UNLEASH THE BEAST Jan25 Dec13 Nov26 Nov07 Aug21 (silva j)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 8.00    
4  UPPER ROOM Dec27 Nov28 Nov14 Sep17 Sep02 (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 6.00 13% 6.50    
5  WEAR THE CROWN Dec20 Dec08 Nov16 Sep10 Aug14 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 12.00    
6  FAMOUS ROCK STAR Jan23 Jan07 Dec26 Dec01 Nov05 (hernandez migue)CORBETT W 124 6.00 ★    
7  UNBROKEN STAR Jan03 Dec19 Dec10 Nov07 Jul28 (evans justi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 26% 2.90    
8  BLUE SKYE JADE Jan19 Jan02 Dec22 Dec10 Nov19 (william)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 12.00 ★    
9  MARK YE WELL Jan23 Jan07 Dec20 Nov28 Sep28 (brown jared)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.