Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - December 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   12/20/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEWEL OF DENIAL Nov16 May14 Mar25 Mar04 Feb15 (hedge rick)MAWING A 124 8.00 ★    
2  HINDU MISS CHEF Nov23 Sep10 Aug20 Jun25 Apr21 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 124 6.00 ★    
3  HER PERFECT VISION Nov18 Aug07 Jul15 Jun10 May21 (howey quinn)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 2.00 ★    
4  CAMDEN HIGH Nov25 Nov08 Sep18 Aug20 Jun25 (birdwell ten)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 2.50 34% 2.00    
5  EYES FOR GOLD Nov25 Nov14 Oct28 May28 Apr11 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 3.00 33% 2.00    
6  LOTSA LACE Nov23 Jul11 Jun27 May07 Apr21 (cuccia susan)ENRIQUEZ D 121 5.00    
 
TUP-2   12/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($22.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULL VISION Nov09 Sep12 Aug20 Jun27 May02 (owens kory)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 43% 1.30    
2  COLOR ME LEGENDARY Nov19 Sep15 Sep04 Aug13 Jun22 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 119 8.00    
3  PAUL VINCENTS POEM Nov14 Jan07       (trela rosema)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 3.00 21% 3.90    
4  HIJO GALANTE Nov21 Nov04 Aug25 Jul28 May06 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 119 5.00 ★    
5  LESLIE'S GOLD Nov19 Nov04 Sep17 Sep03 Aug03 (lund valori)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00    
6  PRAYER OF JABEZ Nov19 Nov05 Oct07 Aug25 Aug14 (villamar candelar)CARRENO J 119 2.50 ★    
7  MACCHIATO D'ORO Sep19 Sep05 May03 Apr06 Mar17 (campo stac)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00 15% 5.50    
 
TUP-3   12/20/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR LOVE MUFFIN Nov23 Aug20 Aug15 Apr21 Mar28 (mccartney jack)LEON A 121 5.00    
2  SILVER KING BAIN Dec08 Sep18 Sep02 Aug12 Jul16 (mccartney jack)ZUNINO L 121 4.50 14% 6.10    
3  LIGHTNING STAR Nov23 Sep18 Aug05 Jul15 Jul02 (simpson shannon)CRUZ M 124 3.50 31% 2.30    
4  TWIST OF FATE Nov21 Oct01 Sep25 Jul09 Jun18 (villamar candelar)CARRENO J 121 8.00    
5  GODGUNSNCOUNTRY Nov23 Nov09 Sep05 Aug01 Jun27 (guerra jacque)CORBETT W 121 6.00 17% 4.90    
6  HANKY PRANKY Dec08 Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 Aug30 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 121 5.00 ★    
7  MOOGIE SON Nov23 Sep02 Aug05 Jun26 May27 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 2.50 8% 11.20    
 
TUP-4   12/20/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BESAME MUCHO Nov09 Aug18 Jun19 May29 Apr08 (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 121 2.50 36% 1.80    
2  BLUE PARADISE (GB) Nov28 Nov09 Sep30 Aug26 Aug15 (eikleberry )HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 5.00 ★    
3  BOURBON AND WATER Nov28 Nov12 Aug29 Aug06   (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.50 16% 5.20    
4  EVIL ROCKS May02 Mar18       (allred jeff)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 12.00 5% 18.00    
SCR  BUSTER BURNS Dec17 Apr23 Apr15 Feb20 Jan22 (williams om)WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 8.00    
6  SEAFARING WILDCAT Nov12         (gleason m)MAWING A 121 10.00    
7  RENEW Apr21 Apr04 Mar22     (oberholtzer kevi)ZUNINO L 121 6.00    
8  DEVIL'S OFF DUTY Jul02 Jun10       (peery debbie)LEON A 124 4.50 22% 3.60    
 
TUP-5   12/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 2 F PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DADS ESTRELLA Nov29         (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 121 3.50 16% 5.20    
2  BABY JOY         (ortiz man)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 10.00    
3  TIZ THE PROSPECT         (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 121 8.00 ★    
4  CLASSIC TASTE         (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 4.00 10% 8.90    
5  STAR FINALITY         (leaney patricia)CRUZ M 121 5.00 ★    
6  PRINCESS JAYLEEN Dec10 Nov12       (torres-casas al)LEON A 121 15.00    
7  LUTE'S DIAMOND Nov29 Jul10 Jun25     (person kenn)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 15.00    
8  DONNA'S MISCHIEF         (villamar can)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 10.00    
9  PHOENICIAN MAGIC Nov25 Nov07 Oct24     (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.00 51% 1.00    
 
TUP-6   12/20/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 2 ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY SWEET LORD Nov25 Sep24       (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00    
2  MICKEY GOLDMILL Nov25         (ortiz man)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 6.00 9% 10.40    
3  BIG SANDY Nov25 Nov08 Sep19     (bratcher rya)LUNA ELEMANIEL 116 20.00    
4  MY MAN BIGGIE Nov25 Nov08 Sep18 Sep04 Jul17 (simpson shannon)CRUZ M 121 4.00 37% 1.70    
5  KNOCKOUT GUY Nov25 Nov08 Sep04 Aug21 Jul17 (simpson shan)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 10.00    
6  WESTERBERG Dec08 Nov25 Nov08 Sep23 Aug26 (alvarez sergi)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 5.00 27% 2.70    
7  CORAZON DE LUCIA Oct07 Aug21       (howey quinn)VERGARA P 121 3.00    
8  JOHN'S KID Nov25 Sep19 Sep05 Aug20 Jul18 (rollins sco)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 6.00 ★    
9  HEY BIG SPENDER         (bratcher ryan)ANAYA V 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  IGO Nov30 Nov08 Oct10 Jun17   (rennie rich)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 20.00    
 
TUP-7   12/20/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARK YE WELL Nov28 Sep28 Sep20 Sep05 Aug24 (brown jared)CARRENO J 122 12.00 7% 13.80    
2  AUTOPILOT Nov28 Nov05 Oct04 Sep20 Sep06 (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50 16% 5.40    
3  EL MAESTRO Nov21 Nov05 Sep11 Jul30 Jul03 (baze lisa)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 6.00    
4  CANNONBALL COMIN Nov23 Nov05 Sep07 Aug17 Jul28 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.50 18% 4.70    
5  MOSQUITO FLEET Nov21 Oct08 Sep17 Sep02 Aug21 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
6  SPIRE Oct28 Oct14 Sep19 Aug16 Aug03 (rycroft rile)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 10.00    
7  SHOTGUN RIDER Nov28 Aug14 Jul02 Jun15 May28 (bullene michael)MAWING A 122 8.00    
8  DUSALUT Sep11 Aug28 Aug07 Jul15 Jun28 (garcia valenti)ANAYA V 122 12.00    
9  GRAY MAGICIAN Nov21 Nov08 Sep19 Aug20 Aug05 (ferguson curt)LEON A 122 10.00 13% 6.80    
 
TUP-8   12/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMILING THUNDER Nov25 Nov07 Sep30 Sep11 Aug21 (kereluk edward)VERGARA P 121 5.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  VALUE DANCER Dec10 Oct28 Sep17 Aug30 Aug06 (rycroft rile)SARMIENTO RIGO 119 8.00    
SCR  MACLEAN'S BELLA Aug08 Jul11 May02 Apr07 Mar21 (gutierrez q)ZUNINO L 119 12.00    
4  BOISTEROUSLY IRISH Nov08 Sep17 Aug07 Jul09 Jun25 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 3.00 30% 2.30    
5  PLUMA Nov14 Sep01 Aug14 Jul30 Jul03 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00 ★    
6  ELDORADO DREAM Nov23 Nov05 Oct11 Sep30 Sep04 (valerio ray)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 25% 3.00    
7  ALICESHOUSEOFHEART Nov15 Sep17 Jul24 Jul03 Feb07 (essex charles)CRUZ M 119 6.00    
8  JAMMINJL Nov06 Oct16 Sep24 Aug26 Jul29 (diodoro robertino)CARRENO J 122 4.00 ★    
9  BE TOUGH Nov16 Sep04 May10 Apr15 Mar10 (toye joe)ANAYA V 119 12.00    
 
TUP-9   12/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PHANTOM MAC Nov04 Oct07 Jul22 Jul02 Jun18 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 121 8.00    
2  TAPIT AT MIDNIGHT Nov26 Nov04 Sep03 Aug13 Jul23 (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 124 20.00    
3  PARLEY STREET Nov15 Nov04 Jul30 Jul18 Jul04 (ferguson cur)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 4.00 46% 1.20    
4  WEAR THE CROWN Dec08 Nov16 Sep10 Aug14 Jul09 (toye joe)LUNA ELEMANIEL 116 10.00    
5  UNCLE FLOYD Dec10 Nov19 Nov04 Sep12 Aug29 (williams de)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 20.00    
6  TALKIN MALICE Apr26 Apr18 Mar24 Feb28 Feb17 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
7  TEXAS LONG BOW Dec01 Nov14 Sep25 Aug21 Aug11 (rycroft rile)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 5.00 9% 9.60    
8  DON'TTEASETHETIGER Nov23 Sep17 Sep05 Aug22 Aug06 (barraza rafael )CRUZ M 124 3.00 ★    
9  LIL LATIGO Nov15 Nov04 Oct10 Aug14 Jul31 (lavanway days)VALDES ALEXIS 124 20.00    
10  THE PUBLIC HALO Nov30 Nov04 Sep05 Aug22 Aug08 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.50 17% 4.80    
11  SIR DEPUTY Dec01 Sep11 Aug27 Aug12 Jul30 (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-10   12/20/2022 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTHRNDANCRSGHOST         (perkinson c)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00    
2  PINTXOS Aug25 Aug13 Jul16 Jun18 May29 (woolley be)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00 14% 5.90    
3  BRIX Nov27 Nov06 Oct10 Sep11 Aug07 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.00 19% 4.40    
4  FORT LANGLEY Nov16 Oct15 Sep25 Sep10 Aug23 (leaney patricia)CRUZ M 122 4.00 39% 1.60    
5  VINTAGE KITTEN Nov29 Nov12 Aug30 Aug17 Jun27 (nunnally jennife)MAWING A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  XTREME V. I. P. Sep14 Jul31 Jul13 Jun16 Jun02 (sanderson)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00    
7  SILVER DASH Nov16 Sep15 Aug28 Aug17 Jul14 (martinez es)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00    
8  SENSEMAKER Nov08 Oct01 Sep04 Jun25 Apr27 (ortiz sr)CORBETT W 122 10.00    
9  MOVE OVER (GB) Dec08 Nov21 Sep09 Aug07 May27 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 8.00    
10  BODEMONSTER Nov28 Nov15 Sep24 Sep02 Aug20 (hedge rick)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 20.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.