Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Tuesday - December 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   12/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORT'N ASONG Nov29 Nov04 Oct21 Aug05 Jul22 (johnston rob)CORA D 124 1.80 45% 1.20    
2  BOYS OF QUEENS Oct26 Oct05 Sep09 Jul27 Jun30 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 120 3.50 ★    
3  SPIN CYCLE Nov30 Nov08 Oct19 Sep23 Sep01 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 21% 3.80    
4  GEM JUAN Nov30 Nov15 Sep22 Aug31 Aug18 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 20.00    
5  PIGGYBANK Nov23 Nov01 Oct17 Sep26 May30 (santaella-caldero)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 ★    
SCR  RESIDENT LIBERAL Dec11 Nov18 Nov07 Oct16 Sep30 (walters john)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 4.00 6% 16.30    
7  MASTER OF WAR Nov29 Nov09 Oct20 Oct11 Sep20 (castil)GONZALEZ JR 120 15.00    
 
PEN-2   12/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOTSKI May08 Apr09 Mar12 Feb19 Jan01 (lucas bon)VARGAS L 120 2.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  CAERUS Nov25 Nov08 Oct06 Aug27 Aug07 (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 ★    
3  FIRE DOWN BELOW Nov23 Oct25 Aug27 Jul16 May26 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00    
4  SAMEDI NIGHT Nov30 Jul07 Jun15     (stites will)INIRIO J 120 20.00 9% 10.10    
5  PICTOR Aug04 Jul02 Jun17 May28 Apr29 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 14% 6.10    
6  GRAB THE GOLD Nov25 Oct18 Sep16 Aug05 Jul21 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00    
7  LITERALLY         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 28% 2.60    
 
PEN-3   12/13/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LINGFIELD PARK Nov22 Oct19 Aug24 Jul13 Jun24 (schoenthal phi)CONNER TYLER 119 8.00    
2  ZILLION Nov22 Nov01 Oct07 Sep14 Sep02 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 28% 2.50    
3  CRISPER Nov04 Oct16 Sep24 Aug04 Jul13 (woolley tim)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 3.00 38% 1.60    
4  FOLE'S NOTION Oct20 Oct01 Sep02 Aug07 Jul22 (pickett c)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 4.00 ★    
5  NAZARENO Nov23 Oct26 Oct04 Apr29 Apr06 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 119 12.00    
6  TUCKERTON BAY Nov22 Nov01 Sep14 Aug24 Jun24 (ippolito mark)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00 ★    
7  FIFTY SHEAS OFGREY Nov22 Nov08 Oct28 Oct21 Oct07 (salinas jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 20.00    
8  SIR REX Nov15 Oct18 Sep16     (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 119 5.00 12% 7.00    
9  UNCLE YUDI Nov22 Oct28 Oct11 Sep22 Sep02 (kravets bruc)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 10.00    
10  LONG TOM Nov22 Nov15 Jun01 May20 May13 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 50.00    
 
PEN-4   12/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPECIAL FREEDOM Nov05 Sep30 Sep02 Aug07 Jul16 (allen ferr)BATISTA A 122 3.50 ★    
SCR  WHO U GONNA CALL Nov02 Sep02       (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 122 4.00 12% 7.30    
3  PEACHES AND SPICE Nov08 Oct17 Sep15 Mar06 Jan27 (iorio jr)WHITNEY G 120 15.00    
4  LAUGH IT OFF Nov08 Oct05 Sep14 Aug10 Jul15 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 ★    
5  FOLK HERO Nov29 Nov16 Oct26 Sep23 Aug14 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 119 2.50 17% 5.00    
6  RAISETONEW HEIGHTS Oct28 Sep15 Aug24 Aug05 Jun15 (fields kevin)CORA D 120 5.00    
7  SERENE WARRIOR Oct24 Oct10 Sep22 Sep08 Aug22 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50 48% 1.10    
 
PEN-5   12/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEEPIN HARD Nov04 Oct07 Sep22 Aug17 Jun22 (jacklin theo)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 6.00    
2  MR. AGRO Nov27 Nov11 Oct27 Sep18 Aug13 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 119 3.00 40% 1.50    
3  JACK GAVE BACK Nov21 Nov02 Sep23 Aug20 Jul22 (bentley fennek)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 ★    
4  OVER AND THUNDER Nov02 Oct12       (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.50 21% 3.80    
SCR  BOX OF JOE Nov20 Oct27 Oct01 Jun17 May21 (falcone robert)ADORNO ABNER 119 3.50 ★    
6  STUD PUPPY Nov29 Nov14 Oct26 Oct10 Sep01 (iorio jr)CORA D 124 8.00    
7  PRATT Nov22 Nov01 Sep22 Jun22 May24 (stites will)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 8.00 9% 10.40    
 
PEN-6   12/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 2 ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TONE OF GENIUS Nov23         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 12.00    
2  SPELLED WELL Nov23 Oct07 Sep22     (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00    
3  SIR SMOAK Dec02 Nov09 Oct18 Sep22   (lingenfe)DAVIS A 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
4  CHARLIES MEDAL Nov23 Nov07 Oct19 Oct04   (sells rac)HERNANDEZ A 122 10.00    
5  Z'S SO GOOD Nov23 Nov04 Oct20 Sep10   (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 14% 6.00    
6  BOOK RUNNER Nov30 Nov09       (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 122 3.50 15% 5.50    
7  OVER THE BORDER Nov27 Oct28 Oct15 Sep30 Aug29 (allen ferr)BATISTA A 122 5.00 ★    
SCR  RENEWING VOWS Oct28 Oct06       (bennett juanit)CEDENO CAROL 122 10.00 ★    
 
PEN-7   12/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  T C GREELEY Nov15 Jul27 Apr22     (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 3.50    
2  LIONESQUE Oct23 Oct13 Sep22 Sep05 Aug19 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 123 2.50 24% 3.10    
3  VELOCITO Nov26 Nov06 Oct14 Oct01   (mileni nick)CHIAPPE R 123 15.00    
4  ASK THE UMPIRE Nov25 Nov09 Oct25 Oct07 Apr08 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 4.00 24% 3.10    
5  JEALOUS RED         (cifarelli f)INIRIO J 124 15.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  JACK SLYE Oct23 Sep30       (beattie sandee )WHITNEY G 123 3.00 ★    
7  COMMANDING Nov09         (rodriguez f)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 10.00    
8  TIKI TOO         (sarson al)VARGAS L 123 10.00 11% 8.50    
 
PEN-8   12/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DROSSELMOON Nov15 Oct19 Aug31 Jul22 Jun29 (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00    
2  AGAINST THE ODDS Nov15 Oct19 Sep23 Aug31 Aug11 (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 ★    
3  SCREEN STAR Nov23 Nov08 Jun29 Jun17 May25 (houghton thomas)CORA D 124 6.00    
SCR  HERE WEGO Nov15 Oct28 Oct12 Sep15 Aug19 (mcmahon deme)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 2.50 67% 0.50    
5  CRYPT Nov08 Oct28 Oct07 Sep07 Aug12 (beattie m)AGUILAR M 122 10.00    
6  NOBLE ENDEAVOR Nov14 Oct25 Oct11 Aug08 Jul11 (sells rache)INIRIO J 122 6.00 ★    
7  HOORAY FOR HARVEY Nov04 Oct11 Sep23 Sep08 Aug17 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00 ★    
8  DAYTIME LOVER Nov22 Oct17 Aug26 Jul22 Jul12 (farro patric)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 4.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.