Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - November 06, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   11/06/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($54K) 2 F PT-11:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIGHTSABER (GB) Oct08 Sep22       (trites lan)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 15.00    
2  HERE WE GO AGAIN Oct08 Sep15 Aug10     (o'connor matthew )LUZZI J 119 20.00    
SCR  HOOCHIE COO         (sciacca gary)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00 ★    
SCR  BERNT AGAIN Oct08 Sep15 Aug18 Aug03   (schettino domi)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00    
5  WELCOMETOMYWORLD Sep15         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
6  TALL GIRL Oct12 Sep11 Aug13     (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 119 1.80 37% 1.70    
7  WORDS OF PRAISE Oct16 Sep13       (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 20% 3.90    
8  ADDRESSABLE MARKET (IRE) Aug13         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 22% 3.60    
9  COOKIE CRUMBS Oct15 Aug21       (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 ★    
 
AQU-2   11/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MERCANTE         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 2.00 25% 3.00    
2  KOOL KATHMANDU         (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.50 ★    
3  SIXWILLBERICH         (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 4.50 ★    
4  LOGIN REQUIRED Aug22         (camejo m)CANCEL ERIC 119 2.50 46% 1.20    
5  DISTURBED Oct28         (ryerson james )ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
6  YOUBETTERBEJOKING         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 ★    
7  GOLDEN BIRD FOREST Oct13         (gober)HERNANDEZ OMAR 112 30.00    
 
AQU-3   11/06/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 2 F PT-12:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRYPTO MAMA Oct14 Sep15 Aug17 Jul24   (breen kelly)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 17% 4.80    
2  BINSKY Sep18 Jul21       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
3  FOGGY NIGHT Oct19 Sep24 Aug23     (reid robert )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.00 21% 3.70    
4  GOOD SAM Oct02         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 0.80 31% 2.30    
5  LA VITA SOFIA Oct01 Aug28       (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 ★    
6  ROSIE'S ALIBI Sep24 Aug21       (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50 ★    
 
AQU-4   11/06/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLY RIGHT Oct02 Sep03       (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 ★    
SCR  CONFRONTED Sep25         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 3.00 38% 1.60    
3  PALACE GATE         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 ★    
4  MULLINGAR Sep24 Aug06 Jul23     (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
5  SCRAMBLE Oct16 Sep03       (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.50 32% 2.10    
6  FIRE BARON Oct16 Sep10 Aug13     (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00    
7  MOONFLYER Aug06         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 12.00    
8  DON'T LET ME DOWN Oct13 Aug14       (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  ARI GOLD Oct02 Sep03       (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50    
10  SORPRESO Aug10 Jul17       (rohena rafa)WOLFSONT ANDREW 119 50.00    
 
AQU-5   11/06/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SALS DREAM GIRL Aug31 Jul16 May12     (gargan da)VARGAS A 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  ROSEMARY POTATOES Sep22 Sep01 Aug19 Jul29 Jun30 (arenas marcelo)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00    
3  PRINCESS BLAKELY Jul16 Apr09 Jan09     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 19% 4.20    
4  SMOKIN' HOT KITTY Aug28 Aug12 Jun26 May30 Apr14 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  WRITE THIS DOWN Aug15 Jun17 Apr29 Feb18 Jan23 (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 30.00    
SCR  SIMPLE SUGAR Sep16 Jul04 Jun17 May29 May13 (giglio gina)SAMUEL L 121 50.00    
7  TEMPERMENTAL Sep26 Aug24 Aug12 Jul08 Jun12 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 20.00    
8  DIVA READY Aug19 Jul16 Jul03 May25 Apr27 (klesaris rob)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 49% 1.10    
9  HOPE FOR THE BEST Jul04         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
10  MANDY GREEN Sep25 Aug24 Aug04 Jul08 May14 (hennig mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00    
11  UNION DOLLY Oct07 Sep05 Jul30 Jun04 Apr09 (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00    
SCR  COMMAND POINT Sep01 Aug05       (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 8.00    
13  SYNONYMOUS Oct20 Sep25 Sep10 Aug17 Jul16 (pregman john )CASTILLO AMIN 121 20.00    
14  CAPITAL GAL Oct20 Sep24 Aug11 Jun24 May08 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00    
SCR  ICE COLD GOLD Oct30 Oct20 Jul04 May01 Mar12 (jacobson dav)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 15.00    
SCR  ANOINT Oct10         (brion keri)CARMOUCHE K 121 15.00 ★    
 
AQU-6   11/06/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAUGHING BOY Oct14 Aug28 Jul01 Jun05 May07 (goodman gedalia)CANCEL ERIC 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  WILL SING FOR WINE Oct02         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 121 10.00    
3  WAR STOPPER Oct02 Sep05 Jul17 Apr15 Mar13 (englehart ch)CASTELLANO J 123 3.50 7% 14.40    
4  TRUCULENT Sep30 Aug11 Jun04 May08 Apr22 (rodriguez gust)ROSARIO JOEL 121 6.00    
5  FOUNDER Sep16 Aug21 Aug06     (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 4.50 17% 4.80    
6  NABOKOV Sep17 Aug18 Jul02 May15 Apr14 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 ★    
7  MARKET ALERT Oct07 Aug12 Jul10 May28 Apr30 (ryerson james )ORTIZ L 123 8.00    
8  KINETIC SKY Oct14 Sep24 Aug10     (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.00 48% 1.10    
 
AQU-7   11/06/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OHANA HONOR Sep18 Aug13       (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 119 1.80 68% 0.50    
1A  BIG WICKS Sep18         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 119 1.80 ★    
2  GAME CHANGE Aug20         (mcgaughey claud)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
3  BATTUTA D'ORO Oct18 Sep24 Sep09     (rohena rafa)WOLFSONT ANDREW 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  CASCAIS Oct01         (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 ★    
5  SUMMER CAUSE         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
6  MAGIADORO Oct01         (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00    
7  MCCULLOUGH         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 ★    
8  TAPIT TRICE         (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-8   11/06/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPPLE CIDER Oct08 Sep01 Aug12 Jul17   (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 121 12.00    
2  JUST OK IS NOT OK Oct08 Sep05 Jul17     (de h)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00    
3  WATERVILLE Sep05 Aug12 Apr10     (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 1.80 22% 3.60    
4  FIST FULL OF DICE Sep25 Sep05 Aug12 Jul17   (combs be)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 8.00    
5  SILKEN DOLLAR Oct23 Sep23 Aug17 Jul29 Jun19 (schosberg ric)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 ★    
6  SARATOGA CHROME Oct08 Aug11 Jul16 Jun04 Apr28 (nevin michelle)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00 6% 17.10    
7  NEW GINYA Oct08 Sep05 Jul17 Jun25 May30 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 49% 1.00    
8  STEAL MY HEART Oct03 May11 Apr23 Feb27   (clarke dylan)ALPANDER B 121 30.00 ★    
9  LEMON TAFFY Oct07 Sep05 Aug17 Jul16 Jun17 (winney melvi)SAMUEL L 121 50.00    
 
AQU-9   11/06/2022 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULL MOON MADNESS Oct01 Sep03 Jul23     (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00 26% 2.90    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of BY THE MOON by INDIAN CHARLIE)
2  TORRONE Oct02 Sep17 Aug12     (breen kelly)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00 ★    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of WINTER PALACE by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  SIGNATOR Oct14 Sep16       (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 118 1.20 33% 2.00    
  (by TAPIT out of PENSION by SEEKING THE GOLD)
4  CHAMPIONS DREAM Oct01 Sep03       (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 ★    
  (by JUSTIFY out of DANCINGINHERDREAMS by TAPIT)
5  PROVE RIGHT Oct08 Sep16 Aug26 Aug19 Jul16 (chapman james )ORTIZ L 118 15.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of JOE'SGOLDENHOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
6  AMERICAN SPEED Aug31 Aug06       (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 17% 5.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of TOP QUALITY by QUALITY ROAD)
 
AQU-10   11/06/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMPIRE ATTRACTION         (gargan danny)CASTELLANO J 124 12.00    
SCR  LOGAN'S RUNNER Sep17         (levine bruce)CANCEL ERIC 121 12.00    
SCR  LEFTY'S WAR Oct06 Aug04 Jul10 May15 Mar19 (lee j)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 50.00    
SCR  MORE THAN WORK Feb19 Jan22       (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 33% 2.10    
4  FIERCE DEBATE Oct09         (begg bent)DAVIS DYLAN 121 20.00    
5  WHAT A DUDE Sep10 Jul24       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 2.00 38% 1.60    
6  A LISTER Oct07 Sep24 May06 Apr22 Mar19 (pringle edmu)HARKIE K 121 50.00    
7  MOST WANTED MAN Sep02 Aug10 Jun24 Feb11   (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.00 5% 19.00    
8  UNION LIGHTS Sep29 Mar20 Feb03 Jan02   (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 20.00    
9  LABARDE Sep17 Jan13       (de hora)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 15.00    
10  MISTICAL CURLIN Oct03 Aug04 Jul16 Jun26 Jan29 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 121 15.00    
11  ON PALM SUNDAY Oct09 Aug11 Jul29 Jun23 May13 (donk david)CARMOUCHE K 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
12  LOOKIN GRAND Aug18 Jul09 May30     (baker )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 20.00    
13  MAD MAGIC Oct09 Aug24 Jul29 Jul03   (baker ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 15.00    
14  MEDIA SENSATION Oct09 Sep02 Jul29 Jul10 Jun19 (donk davi)VARGAS A 121 15.00    
SCR  NORTH POLE Oct06 Sep30 Aug19 Jul16 Jul01 (begg bent)DAVIS DYLAN 124 2.50 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.