Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Sunday - August 03, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SAR-1   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(3/4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(3/4/2/1)-(3/4/6/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SAR-2   WIN (3/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/1)-(3/4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/1)-(3/4/2/1)-(3/4/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/2/1)-(3/4/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2/1)-(3/4/6/8)-(1/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SAR-3   WIN (3/4/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/6/8)-(3/4/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/6/8)-(3/4/6/8)-(3/4/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/6/8)-(1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6/8)-(1/4/3)-(3/4/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SAR-4   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(3/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(3/4/7)-(6/3/7/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SAR-5   WIN (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/7)-(3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/7)-(6/3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7)-(6/3/7/5)-(1/8/4/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SAR-6   WIN (6/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/7/5)-(1/8/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7/5)-(1/8/4/9)-(3/7/2/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
SAR-7   WIN (1/8/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/4/9)-(1/8/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/4/9)-(1/8/4/9)-(1/8/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/4/9)-(3/7/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/8/4/9)-(3/7/2/6)-(1/9/7/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
SAR-8   WIN (3/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/2/6)-(3/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/2/6)-(3/7/2/6)-(3/7/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/2/6)-(1/9/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2/6)-(1/9/7/5)-(7/10/6/9/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
SAR-9   WIN (1/9/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/7/5)-(1/9/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/7/5)-(1/9/7/5)-(1/9/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/9/7/5)-(7/10/6/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
SAR-10   WIN (7/10/6/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/10/6/9/1)-(7/10/6/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/10/6/9/1)-(7/10/6/9/1)-(7/10/6/9/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   08/03/2025 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STJAMES Jul11 Jun16 Jun03 May19 May06 (sells rachel)DAVIS KATIE 125 15.00 7% 13.80    
2  SIX KINGS Jun12 May24 May17 May03 Apr05 (falcone )SANTANA JR 125 3.00    
3  READY TO REIGN Jun29 Jun08 May16 Apr13 Mar12 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 125 20.00 5% 17.50    
SCR  BARON OF SEALAND Jun14 Feb15 Jan05 Dec01   (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 125 0.80    
5  MASTERWORK Jul17 Jun21 May24 May15 Apr19 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 125 30.00    
6  B D SAINTS Jul11 Jun14 Mar21 Feb23 Jan25 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 125 5.00 58% 0.70    
7  SOLO EMPIRE Jul11 Jun19 May18 Apr27 Apr06 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 5.00    
 
SAR-2   08/03/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUMBLYOUNGMANRUMBL         (contessa ga)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of NOTHINGBUTASMILE by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
1A  ESSENTIALLY FAST Jul04         (contes)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 10.00    
  (by ESSENTIAL QUALITY out of STORM CROSSING by TIZNOW)
2  RARE ECLIPSE         (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 8% 12.30    
  (by YAUPON out of BLUE VENUS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  ESCAPE HALL         (weaver george)RIDER TBA 119 4.00    
  (by INDEPENDENCE HALL out of SEASCAPE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  JOHNNY'S RED STORM         (weaver george)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.50 37% 1.70    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of ESTORIL by INTO MISCHIEF)
4  NATURAL SHOOTER Jul06         (gidding)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 5.00 20% 3.90    
  (by MUNNINGS out of BOLD STRIKE by TAPIT)
5  B RAGING ON Jul04         (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 10.00    
  (by RAGING BULL out of CHANEL'S PRIDE by ALPHABET SOUP)
6  TWO DUCKS         (martin carlos)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of STREET SHOW by STREET BOSS)
7  CAPANAPARO         (dutrow richard)ORTIZ L 119 5.00    
  (by CARACARO out of VICTOIRE by APOLLO)
8  KNOCKING LUCK         (sano antonio)JARAMILLO E 119 12.00    
  (by SILVER STATE out of ANGEL DE CORA by TONALIST)
 
SAR-3   08/03/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CELESTIAL GLAZE Mar07 Feb06 Jan18 Dec29 Nov24 (dutrow richard)ORTIZ L 124 4.00    
SCR  NOTAH Jun28 Oct30 Oct04 Aug23 Jul27 (terranova jo)CASTELLANO J 124 4.00    
2  RIYADH MOON Jun15 May31 Dec21 Apr27 Mar30 (ryan s)LEZCANO JOSE 124 6.00    
3  TEN CENT TOWN Jul24 Jun08 May10 Apr12 Mar14 (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 124 2.50 26% 2.80    
4  CALL ME FAST Jul05 Feb16 Dec26 Dec01 Oct20 (kantarmaci ilk)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 8.00 19% 4.20    
5  CONFABULATION Jan23 Dec28 Nov29 Nov07 Oct17 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.50    
6  RITHM NIC Jul06 Aug15 Jul13 Jun22 May24 (johnston)SANTANA JR 124 6.00 17% 4.90    
7  JACK'S PROMISE May25 May03 Apr06 Feb28 Feb15 (romans dale)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00    
8  HERO'S MEDAL Jul05 Jun26 May10 Mar22 May04 (kantarmaci ilka)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-4   08/03/2025 4290ft DIRT RC12 FAST Adirondack Purse ($175K) 2 F PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYTHICAL Jun05 Apr17       (delgado jorge)JARAMILLO E 122 0.80 58% 0.70    
  (by ST PATRICK'S DAY out of LAILONI by BRETHREN)
2  SPA PROSPECTOR Jul12 Jun06       (amoss m)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of PRAY FOR LESLIE by BERNARDINI)
3  ANGEL GIFT Jun08         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALLEN'S PROSPECT out of WHISKEY'S GIFT (AUS) by WHISKEY ROAD)
4  TIZ IN SIGHT Jun25         (casse mark)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 17% 5.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of HINDSIGHT by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
5  MERINGUE Jun19         (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00    
  (by SMOKE GLACKEN out of CATBRIER by STREET SENSE)
SCR  IRON ORCHARD Jul03         (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 120 2.50    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of ONEBRETHATATIME by BRETHREN)
 
SAR-5   08/03/2025 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHANNEL CHECK (GB) May25 Mar08       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
  (by NIGHT OF THUNDER out of GUMRIYAH by SHAMARDAL)
SCR  TIME STONE Jun05 May10 Feb22 Nov02 Sep15 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 124 3.50    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of WEEKDAY by DANSILI)
3  BINT AL DANDY (IRE) Jul03 Sep01       (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 36% 1.70    
  (by DANDY MAN out of SUMMARISE by SHAMARDAL)
4  AMERICAN DEBUTANTE (IRE) Jul05         (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 31% 2.20    
  (by STARSPANGLEDBANNER out of HEIGHT OF ELEGANCE by GALILEO)
5  ALL THE FEELS Sep01         (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 118 15.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of POSITIVE SPIRIT by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
6  CLIFFS Jul03 May17       (devaux cherie)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of PERFECT VIEW by ARCH)
7  HELLO BEAUTY Jun14 May01 Feb28 Jan02 Dec08 (sisterson)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of MAXIMOVA by DANEHILL DANCER (IRE))
 
SAR-6   08/03/2025 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLLABORATION May25 Nov14 Oct27 Oct13 Sep02 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00    
SCR  LETSTALKABOUTME Sep20 Jul29 Jun15 May18 Apr07 (green a)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 12.00    
3  LOUISE PROCTER (FR) Jun06         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.00 20% 4.00    
4  CAN'T FOOL ME Jul19 Jun04 Nov07 Sep26 Aug22 (de horacio)ROSARIO JOEL 123 15.00    
5  ANY PORT Jul04 Jul19 May04 Apr13 Feb25 (lerman s)LEZCANO JOSE 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  VINO ROUGE Jul04 May25 Mar22 Nov07 Sep20 (dutrow anthony)ORTIZ L 123 2.50 46% 1.20    
7  WAR SIREN (FR) Feb28 Jan25 Dec28 Mar23   (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 9% 10.70    
8  CELTIC CHARM Jul19 Dec13 Oct27     (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 4.50    
SCR  FAST AND FRISKY Jun26 Apr05 Feb27 Jan17 Dec15 (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 125 3.50    
SCR  MEURSAULT Jun15 May15 Apr11 Feb14   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.60    
SCR  LOW KEY Jul11 Mar15 Feb23 Aug26 Aug03 (amoss m)RIDER TBA 120 6.00    
 
SAR-7   08/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDLAND MONEY Jun14         (baffert bob)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 30% 2.40    
2  KEEWAYDIN Jun21 May10 Dec07 Oct12 Aug24 (walden willia)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00    
3  VETTRIANO (IRE) Dec28 Oct18 Aug24 Jun29 May18 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 2.50    
4  G T FIVE HUNDRED Apr29 Apr04 Mar09 Feb02 Jan17 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 122 8.00 8% 11.40    
SCR  DOROTEO Jul01 Feb23 Jan18 Dec21   (camejo jose)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00    
6  NORTHERN CHILL Jun25 May16 Apr26 Mar21 Mar07 (shirer a)ROSARIO JOEL 124 10.00    
7  EXECUTIVE ORDER Jun08 Apr26 Dec07 Oct05 Aug31 (bartkowski lis)LEZCANO JOSE 120 20.00    
8  AGGELOS THE GREAT Jul06 Jun07 May11 Feb14 Jan16 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00 28% 2.60    
9  PRIVATE DESIRE Jul02 Feb23 Feb02 Jan03 Dec02 (sacco gregor)CASTELLANO J 124 15.00 5% 17.50    
 
SAR-8   08/03/2025 3630ft TURF RC13 FIRM Troy Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DETERMINED KINGDOM Jun21 May17 Apr19 Oct25 Oct05 (trombett)SANTANA JR 122 15.00    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of FILIA by FOREVER SPARKLE)
2  TWENTY SIX BLACK Jun28 May03 Nov09 Sep21 Aug24 (de horacio)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 10.00 6% 16.30    
  (by WAR DANCER out of BRAZO DE ORO by FIRST DUDE)
3  BRING THEBAND HOME Jul04 May01 Apr05 Oct05 Aug24 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 124 0.60 38% 1.70    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TIZATUDE by STREET CRY (IRE))
4  ALOGON Jun08 May03 Nov09 Oct05 Aug24 (allard edward)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of SCAMPER by SCAT DADDY)
5  LET MY PEOPLE GO Jun27 Jun04 Mar15 Feb23 Dec20 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 122 10.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of TABOO by FORESTRY)
6  SENBEI Jun28 May03 Dec14 Nov09 Oct05 (clement migue)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of SWEET ALOHA by WESTERN CAT)
7  OUR SHOT Jul04 Jun08 Apr08 Feb22 Oct05 (terranova john)ROSARIO JOEL 126 12.00 30% 2.40    
  (by KANTHAROS out of FLEETHEART by NORTHERN AFLEET)
SCR  FULL MOON MADNESS Jun14 May10 Apr05 Mar01 Feb01 (nevin michelle)RIDER TBA 126 1.40    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of BY THE MOON by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
SAR-9   08/03/2025 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAMILTON'S WAY Jul24 Jun22 Apr24 Mar22 Nov03 (potts wa)SANTANA JR 125 2.00    
1A  IRON MAX Jun27 May25 May04 Nov17 Aug30 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.00 25% 3.00    
2  FAYETTE SPIRIT Jun28 Jun08 May08 Mar05 Feb05 (medina robert)DAVIS DYLAN 125 15.00    
3  GENE AND JUDE Jun28 Jan11 Dec08 Aug30   (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 120 12.00    
4  SKY MASTERSON Jul06 Jun15 May28 May18 Apr09 (contessa ga)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 20.00    
5  JHIRSCH Jul06 Oct11 Sep14 Aug02 Jun29 (george laird)LEZCANO JOSE 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  BACK IN THE SADDLE Jun07 Apr25 Mar28 Feb15 Jan17 (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00    
7  WILLINTORISKITALL Jul06 Jun15 May17 Apr27 Mar08 (dutrow richard)ORTIZ L 125 5.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  PATRICK'S PROMISE Jun28 Jun15 May09 Apr11 Feb02 (trombetta micha)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
9  DESPERATE PROPOSAL Jul06 May17 Apr23 Feb08 Jan24 (green amelia )FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  SENEGAL Jun26 May19 Apr19 Mar08 Feb15 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 125 4.00    
 
SAR-10   08/03/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUMBERLAND BLUES May24 May10 Apr19 Apr05 Feb15 (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  SIN NOMBRE Jun21 May24 Apr19 Apr11 Mar21 (romero jesus)CHANDRA PREM 112 30.00    
SCR  FORWARD MOVE (IRE) Jun29 Jun08 Apr26 Mar14 Feb14 (kantarm)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 124 15.00    
4  JOKING WAY Jun29 May03 Oct05 Aug22 Aug11 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00    
SCR  FUNNY JOKE Jun29 Jun15 Apr19 Mar21 Feb23 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00    
6  TETSU Jul17 Jun29 Jun13 May16 Apr17 (abreu fernando)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 8% 11.00    
7  GATSBY May29 Mar09 Jan18 Dec15 Nov22 (david a)JARAMILLO E 122 1.80 51% 1.00    
8  BOLD VICTORY Jun22 Jun15 May23 Apr26 Mar14 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 122 12.00    
9  TAKESCHARGESMILING Jul06 Mar19 Jan15 Dec24 Nov20 (begg bent)DAVIS DYLAN 124 12.00 5% 18.60    
10  CAMP DAVID Mar23 Feb08 Jan24 Dec22 Mar21 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 122 5.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  ALLURE OF MONEY May03 Apr12 Apr05 Mar09 Feb15 (baker charlton)LUZZI J 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.