Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Ellis Park
Sunday - July 06, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-1   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(1/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(1/6/3/2)-(5/7/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
ELP-2   WIN (1/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/2)-(1/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/2)-(1/6/3/2)-(1/6/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/3/2)-(5/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3/2)-(5/7/4)-(4/2/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
ELP-3   WIN (5/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/4)-(5/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/4)-(5/7/4)-(5/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/4)-(4/2/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4)-(4/2/1/7)-(4/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
ELP-4   WIN (4/2/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/1/7)-(4/2/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/1/7)-(4/2/1/7)-(4/2/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/1/7)-(4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1/7)-(4/2/5)-(6/4/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
ELP-5   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(6/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(6/4/5/7)-(1/12/8/4/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
ELP-6   WIN (6/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/7)-(6/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/7)-(6/4/5/7)-(6/4/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/5/7)-(1/12/8/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5/7)-(1/12/8/4/10)-(7/1/12/9/5) 100 $0.50 $300 
ELP-7   WIN (1/12/8/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/12/8/4/10)-(1/12/8/2/4/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    TRI (1/12/8/4/10)-(1/12/8/2/4/10)-(1/12/8/2/4/10) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
    DD (1/12/8/4/10)-(7/1/12/9/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/12/8/4/10)-(7/1/12/9/5)-(4/11/6/2/1) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
ELP-8   WIN (7/1/12/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/12/9/5)-(7/1/12/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/12/9/5)-(7/1/12/9/5)-(7/1/12/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/1/12/9/5)-(4/11/6/2/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
ELP-9   WIN (4/11/6/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/11/6/2/1)-(4/11/6/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/11/6/2/1)-(4/11/6/2/1)-(4/11/6/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ELP-1   07/06/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($31.25K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRES FRANCAIS Mar15 Feb27 Jan26 Dec06 Oct12 (hancock a)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00 15% 5.70    
2  OFF RAMP May24 Mar19 Feb06 Dec26 Nov30 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 0.50 50% 1.00    
3  CALTHA Jun21 Jun14 May25 Jul17 Jun29 (bahena ismael)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  ROCK STAR PARKING Jun07 May02 Mar15 Jan24 Jan03 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 3.00    
5  GOSHEN May29 Aug08 Jul13 May17 Apr30 (foster eric)BARBOSA CARLOS 122 10.00    
6  MABEE LUCKYNWILD Oct10 Aug08 Jul18 Jun18 May20 (wisner j)LANERIE J 122 10.00    
 
ELP-2   07/06/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HANDSOME HERB Jun04 Apr06 Mar02 Jan24 Jun30 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 123 3.50 35% 1.90    
2  MO HAIR SAM May18 Apr06 Mar22 Mar07 Feb21 (hancock a)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  FROSTY INDULGENCE Jun11 May17 Apr12 Feb15 Jun30 (davis chr)TORRES A 123 2.50 20% 4.10    
4  GENO'S MYTH Jun21 May30 May08 Apr10 Jan15 (esquivel jesus)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 10.00    
SCR  SHOW MASTER Jun12 May15 Aug01 Jun30   (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 123 8.00    
6  REMI'S MOON Jun04 Sep28       (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.50 23% 3.40    
7  IRON SHARPENS IRON May29 May02 Apr19 Mar14 Nov17 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00    
8  GOOGOL JOKE Jun04 May26 May01 Jan19 Dec14 (medina robert)LANERIE J 123 6.00    
 
ELP-3   07/06/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($104K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MARMALADE SKYE May24 Apr30 Mar20 Feb24 Feb12 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 124 3.00    
SCR  NORAH G Jun07 May02 Apr04 Mar23 Feb20 (west patr)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 10.00    
3  STILETTOS May02 Sep14 Aug11 Jun29   (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50    
4  SWEET ALYSSA May30 Apr12 Feb16 Jan09 Oct29 (pomier ch)LEPAROUX R 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  PRINCESS MADISON Sep15 Aug23 Jul19 Jun08 May03 (bauer philip)TORRES A 122 1.80 63% 0.60    
6  SING A LITTLE SONG May24 Apr13 Mar12 Feb08 Nov28 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 4.50    
7  SULTRY LASS Jun13 May18 Feb07 Dec27 Nov29 (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-4   07/06/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNBRIDLED'S MAP         (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of LOTS O' LEX by KITALPHA)
2  ZAKINTHOS         (lynch bri)TORRES A 119 3.00 33% 2.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of ZAVRINKA by RAJSAMAN)
3  SO SPECIAL         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of REMARKABLE REMY by HENNESSY)
4  BAYTOWN DREAMER Jun05 May23 Apr10     (mcentee paul)CANNON DECLAN 119 2.00 37% 1.70    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of COLERFUL BRIDE by MUNNINGS)
SCR  DIRTY RICH Jun22         (miller peter)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of LIVE AND LOVE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
6  TOO BIG TO RIG         (kenneally eddi)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00    
  (by BLAME out of SALSA DIAVOLA by MINESHAFT)
7  STILL SOBER         (caramori eduardo)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of CAIPIRINHA by TEMPLE CITY)
8  MYKONOS         (maker michael)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00    
  (by DESERT PARTY out of DISTINCTIVE VIEW by LOUIS QUATORZE)
9  NO HAY DOS         (danner kelsey)VIVES SOFIA 119 12.00    
  (by CONNECT out of ELLA BRILLA by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
ELP-5   07/06/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($42.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUANARE May29 Apr16 Feb12 Jan03 Dec07 (garcia gena)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00    
2  SANTOS DUMONT May16 Apr24 Apr06 Jun29 May18 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
3  DAZZLEMESILVER Jun12 May16 Mar21 Feb28 Feb08 (shirer ma)TORRES A 122 4.50    
4  SHAPE NOTE Jun18 May17 Apr12 Mar13 Feb21 (wiggins lon)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.00 49% 1.00    
5  ALEJANDRO Jun06 Jun17 Jun08 May27 May07 (cash l)BEJARANO R 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  BORN FLAWLESS Jun18 May29 May02 Apr19 Mar15 (vance d)LANERIE J 122 6.00    
SCR  GET HER NUMBER Jun06 May03 Apr24 Apr04 Sep02 (miller peter)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.00    
 
ELP-6   07/06/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($104K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURSUIT OF LIBERTY May10 Oct09 Aug29 Jul13 Mar09 (ramsey nol)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
2  GHOSTLY GAL Mar18 Feb15 Jan18 Dec14 Nov16 (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 122 6.00    
3  SANCTIFY Jun11 May11 Apr18 Mar26 Dec27 (holsapple hutc)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 5.00    
4  SUMMERINTAHOE May26 Oct30 Sep17 Aug26 Aug01 (ewing mic)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 4.50 32% 2.10    
5  HERE'S THE SPIDER Jun11 May23 Dec14 Oct26 Sep21 (fernandez edw)MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  BUTTERCREAM BABE Apr25 Oct25 Sep07 Aug02 Jul13 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.80 42% 1.40    
7  PRINCESS BETTINA Mar15 Feb15 Jan11 Dec20 Apr21 (lynch a)JUAREZ NIK 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  PAINT ME PERFECT Jun05 May11 Mar18 Feb16 Dec22 (lovell michelle)GRAHAM J 122 12.00    
 
ELP-7   07/06/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALIANT HUMOR Jun07 May18 Apr12 Feb15   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 50% 1.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of VALIANT EMILIA by PEGASUS WIND)
2  PLAYA DEL MAR Apr08 Mar08       (mott william)TORRES A 119 4.50 ★    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FLOR DE LA MAR by TIZNOW)
3  INTEGER         (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 15.00    
  (by COZZENE out of EASY NUMBER by EASY GOER)
4  STUDENY Jun12 May24 Apr26 Apr13 Mar16 (vance d)LANERIE J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FROSTED out of RACE HUNTER by DIXIE UNION)
5  SNOWDRIFT         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of SNOWBELL by SNOW CHIEF)
SCR  ZAP D'ETAT May26 Dec06 Nov09 Oct12 Sep19 (house gary)BARBOSA CARLOS 119 30.00    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of SHOVALLA by GHOSTZAPPER)
7  DAZZLE A. P. Feb27 Jan15 Dec08     (crichton ro)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 20.00    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of DAZZLE by SLEWACIDE)
8  GOOD MOJO Jun12         (forster gr)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 12% 7.50    
  (by MO TOWN out of CASTINETTE DANCER by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
9  JONATHAN'S SONG Jun07         (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MO'S SONG by UNCLE MO)
10  ROCKIN HIS SOX OFF Jun07         (diodoro r)TORRES A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of HONEY'S SOX APPEAL by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
11  SEMPER PRIMUS May11         (divito j)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of INAUGURATE by EMPIRE MAKER)
12  FAST TOWN Jun07         (brisset rodolp)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.50 14% 6.30    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of FAST SCENE by FAST ANNA)
 
ELP-8   07/06/2025 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Pea Patch Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLD YOUR BREATH Jun05 Mar16 Nov25     (servis c)CARMOUCHE K 118 5.00 19% 4.10    
  (by MCKINZIE out of ILLICIT AFFAIR by ROMANTICO)
SCR  MEZCALIFORNIA Jun04 May22 Apr07 Mar06 Feb14 (baker james)MONCADA IRVING 118 30.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of GLAMOUR LADY by MORE THAN READY)
3  ANAKARINA May10 Jan20 Dec22 Nov24 Sep12 (stewart d)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of TACIT APPROVAL by STOP THE MUSIC)
4  PONDERING Jun11 May15 Mar16 Feb17 Jan20 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ALWAYS THINKING by STREET SENSE)
5  LOVELY EMMA May10 Dec19 Oct20 Sep07 Aug10 (eurton peter)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SALSA DIAVOLA by MINESHAFT)
SCR  RICH CITY GIRL May10 Oct04 Aug29 Aug11 Jul06 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 8.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of HASSLER by WAR FRONT)
7  VODKA WITH A TWIST Jun08 Apr05 Dec07 Nov01 Sep07 (damato phili)TORRES A 118 3.00 35% 1.80    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of BOURBON AND A KISS by SKY MESA)
8  KIMCHI CAT May02 Mar22 Sep14 Aug18 Jul14 (amoss m)GRAHAM J 118 4.50    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of WINTER DAWN by SKY MESA)
9  BRINDI (IRE) May17 Apr26 Mar29 Feb08 Jan17 (danner kelsey)VIVES SOFIA 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of SALAMAH by SHAMARDAL)
SCR  MIGHTY ERIU (IRE) Jun08 May10 Apr11 Mar03   (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00    
  (by INNS OF COURT out of TEELINE by EXCEED AND EXCEL)
11  GRADE A Jun08 May02 Apr11 Mar01 Feb06 (o'dwyer jer)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of DOWNTOWN DRIFTER by DEVIL HIS DUE)
12  MAE TOWN Jun11 May09 Mar16 Feb15   (lynch brian )GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 19% 4.20    
  (by MO TOWN out of LATEST THINKING by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  LUNA LOUSKA Jul04 Jun08 May01 Apr10 Dec19 (delgado gustavo)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of JAMAICAN SMOKE by DOUBLE NINER)
 
ELP-9   07/06/2025 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($102K) 3 F PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLIP FLOPS May02 Mar08 Feb08 Jan10 Oct11 (casse mar)TORRES A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  HI BARBIE Jan26 Oct16 Sep01     (walsh brendan )SHEEHY DANNY 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  ADRIAN Jun19 May17 Apr12 Dec26 Nov20 (sweezey ke)MONCADA IRVING 115 30.00    
4  YES IT TIZ Apr13         (cox h)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.50 41% 1.40    
5  FIVE A SIDE Dec07 Nov02 Sep21 Aug19 Aug03 (servis c)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00    
6  GOLDEN SUNSHINE May31 Apr19 Mar22 Feb13 Dec18 (harty eoi)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 3.00 9% 10.10    
SCR  BILYANA May02 Mar29 Feb13 Aug10   (foster eric)LANERIE J 120 15.00    
8  DROP THE HAMMER May17 Apr11 Feb23 Jan19 Nov08 (maker mich)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00    
9  GOLDENAGEACTRESS May25 Apr17 Mar22 Feb27 Feb01 (block chris)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00    
10  RIDE THE BROOM Jun04 May01 Mar30 Feb08   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 15.00    
11  ESPECIALLY May31 Apr06 Feb20 Dec28   (devaux che)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 22% 3.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.