Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Sunday - June 22, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (7/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/6)-(7/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/6)-(7/2/5/6)-(7/2/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/5/6)-(2/1/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5/6)-(2/1/4/6)-(4/6/3/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CD-2   WIN (2/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/6)-(2/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/6)-(2/1/4/6)-(2/1/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/4/6)-(4/6/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4/6)-(4/6/3/5)-(2/1/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-3   WIN (4/6/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/3/5)-(4/6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/3/5)-(4/6/3/5)-(4/6/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/3/5)-(2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3/5)-(2/1/4)-(3/1/7/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-4   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(3/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(3/1/7/6)-(1/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-5   WIN (3/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/6)-(3/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/6)-(3/1/7/6)-(3/1/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/7/6)-(1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/7/6)-(1/3/5)-(6/3/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-6   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(6/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(6/3/1)-(10/1/11/12) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-7   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(10/1/11/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(10/1/11/12)-(4/7/6/3/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-8   WIN (10/1/11/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/1/11/12)-(10/1/11/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/1/11/12)-(10/1/11/12)-(10/1/11/12) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/1/11/12)-(4/7/6/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CD-9   WIN (4/7/6/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/3/2)-(4/7/6/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/3/2)-(4/7/6/3/2)-(4/7/6/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   06/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED HOT JEANIE May22 Mar13 Feb23 Dec18 Nov01 (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 123 2.00    
2  BALLADRY May15 Apr22 Mar14 Nov29 Nov13 (sweezey ken)MORALES EDGAR 123 3.00 16% 5.30    
3  SPIRIT RULES Apr25 Jan23 Nov30 Nov03 Oct14 (santamaria car)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 10.00    
4  COASTLINE HOTTIE Mar31 Mar06 Feb13 Jan27 Jan16 (hartman chri)RAMOS D 123 12.00    
5  ARGAN May08 Mar14 Jan15 Dec13 Dec06 (newton troy)MONCADA IRVING 118 8.00 10% 9.00    
6  DIVINE GAL Jun04 May01 Mar30 Mar09 Jan23 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  MY BOSSY LADY May17 Apr19 Feb27 Feb08 Jan10 (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 2.50 44% 1.30    
8  ITSABLINGTHING May15 Mar29 Mar22 Mar05 Jan31 (barret)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 123 20.00    
 
CD-2   06/22/2025 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAPA YO May18 Feb01 Dec29 Oct18 Sep13 (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 23% 3.30    
2  EMBER Jun05 Apr19 Mar29 Feb06 Jan10 (sharp joe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 3.00 28% 2.60    
3  ICARUS Jun06 May11 Mar29 Feb14 Nov20 (van tho)RAMOS D 118 3.50    
4  RIVALRY May25 Apr29 Mar28 Mar02 Mar14 (d'angelo jos)MONCADA IRVING 113 4.00 22% 3.60    
5  HOODLUM May18 Apr26 Feb17 Jan04 Nov16 (reavis mi)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 111 12.00    
6  OVIATT CLASS May29 Mar23 Oct27 May27 Apr11 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  THE THUNDERER May26 Apr13 Mar08 Feb07 Jan05 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00    
 
CD-3   06/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($67K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEADING ROLE May30 Jun23       (morey willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00    
2  HISTORIC Jul29         (moquett ronal)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
3  ARAUCANO         (d'angelo jos)TORRES A 118 8.00 5% 17.90    
4  SPORTS HERO May24 Apr19       (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 38% 1.60    
5  BLAZING         (girten tim)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 17.90    
6  BOB'S CARROT May18 Jun20 May16     (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 118 1.60 29% 2.40    
7  BIG ROG May30 Apr26       (king barr)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00    
 
CD-4   06/22/2025 4950ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($83K) 3 ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COALMOON May26 Mar22 Feb14 Jan24 Nov20 (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.50 21% 3.90    
2  ART FAIR May08 Apr06 Mar02 Dec15 Nov29 (casse mar)TORRES A 120 2.00 43% 1.30    
3  GRYPHON Feb15 Jan26 Jan04     (casse mark)ORTIZ L 120 4.00    
4  SPIRIT RAGS Jun07 Mar06 Feb22 Feb01 Jan18 (salas marceli)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  FORTY LOVE May08 Apr10 Mar13 Feb08   (eurton peter)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50    
6  ACKNOWLEDGE May29 May09 Mar22 Jan19 Dec13 (hess b)LANERIE J 120 5.00    
 
CD-5   06/22/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAKE AND RATTLE Jun01 May09       (desormeaux j)TORRES A 119 4.00 19% 4.40    
  (by ROCK YOUR WORLD out of JANE SAYS by TALE OF EKATI)
2  MY CARRINGTON         (maker michael)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of MAMA KNOWS BEST by SKY MESA)
3  BOBROVSKY         (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 3.00 40% 1.50    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of HAY FLO by CAIRO PRINCE)
4  SPUN LEGACY         (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 119 5.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of TIZ A LEGACY by TIZNOW)
SCR  DIFFERENT GRAVY         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of MISSOURIA by BELLAMY ROAD)
6  OUTLAW EMPIRE         (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of INDIAN CHARM by INDIAN CHARLIE)
7  QUARRY         (drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 114 4.50 9% 10.40    
  (by FORTY NINER out of BLACK DYNAMITE by MORE THAN READY)
8  TREVALLY (MEX) May09         (casse mar)TORRES A 119 12.00    
  (by SPECTACULAR PRINCE out of THREATENING LADY by WHAT A THREAT)
9  DIRTY RICH         (miller peter)GEROUX FLORENT 119 12.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of LIVE AND LOVE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  GNOME         (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of OVERTHEGARDENGATE by FOREFATHERS)
 
CD-6   06/22/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMPEL May18 Apr13 Aug24 Jul06 May03 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.00 49% 1.10    
2  FORESEEN Jun05 May11 Apr10 Feb15 Oct17 (arnold geo)HERNANDEZ J 123 4.00    
3  SUDDEN SWITCH May18 Apr10 Jan25     (mott riley)ORTIZ L 121 2.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  DESERT RHAPSODY May03 Mar29 Aug31 Aug04 Jun14 (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 121 10.00    
5  SECRET STATEMENT May30 May03 Jul22 Jun09 May19 (baker james)MONCADA IRVING 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  AMARTH May16 Apr07 Mar01 Dec21 Nov15 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 116 3.00    
 
CD-7   06/22/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN OF SALSA May16 Feb28 Feb02 Oct25 Oct05 (shorter aaro)TORRES A 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  STEAMPUNK Jun05 May22 Nov03 Sep15 Aug29 (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.50    
3  CARARRA May26 Mar15 Feb15 Jan05 Nov21 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  MAJESTIC DRIVE Apr03 Mar06 Feb08     (walsh brendan )ORTIZ L 118 3.00    
5  DOZEN DIAMONDS Apr25 Mar20 Feb15 Jul13 Apr06 (oliver victori)MACHADO LUAN 124 4.00    
6  CHA CHA CHUKKA Jun13 Apr23 Feb12 Jan15 Dec19 (maker michael)MORALES EDGAR 124 3.50 51% 1.00    
7  MOLLY'S ROSE Feb05 Jan16 Nov16 Oct30 Sep25 (riefenberg eri)ASHTON GAVIN 124 12.00    
 
CD-8   06/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARTISMA Jan05 Nov24       (baltas rich)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 6.00 24% 3.20    
2  LADY KATHRYN May24 Sep14 Aug25 Jul15 Jun21 (mott riley)TORRES A 118 15.00    
3  FOIE GRAS May02 Apr07 Jan31 Dec01   (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 118 3.50    
SCR  REPUTATION May24 Apr13 Dec22 Nov15   (delgado gu)HUSBANDS J 113 12.00    
5  PLANET CLARE Dec18 Nov17 Oct03 Sep14 Aug24 (antonucci je)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 30.00    
6  READY FOR TROUBLE May30 Apr30 Apr19 Mar08 Jan03 (casse w)LANERIE J 123 12.00    
SCR  GERLIN'S EMPIRE May08 Mar16 Feb17 Dec21 Nov28 (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 10.00    
SCR  OUTRAGEOUSLY Jun05 Mar08 Jan05 Dec01 Nov03 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 123 30.00    
SCR  PAHOEHOE D'ORO May02 Sep21       (damato philip)SAEZ LUIS 125 5.00    
10  UNWAVERING TRUST May24 Apr07 Feb15     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 47% 1.10    
11  ME AND MOLLY MCGEE May17 Apr24       (eurton peter)BEJARANO R 120 5.00 6% 15.60    
12  NO WHAT IFS May15 Apr25 Mar01 Jan20 Nov28 (forster gr)HERNANDEZ J 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-9   06/22/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JR'S GIFT Jun05 Apr24 Mar29 Feb15 Jan25 (wiggins lon)MORALES EDGAR 124 4.50    
2  WICKED MELODY May16 Apr27 Apr12 Mar16 Jan05 (atras rob)TORRES A 124 10.00 5% 18.40    
3  TANGO MIKE MIKE May29 May01 Feb15 Feb01 Jan17 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 8% 11.30    
4  SWEET FANTASY Apr24 Apr06 Feb16 Jan26 Aug31 (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  QUEBRANCHO Jun01 Apr29 Jan18 Dec19 Nov23 (sweezey kent)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 30.00    
6  STANDARD OF PROOF May22 Apr12 Mar22 Jan21 Nov05 (sweezey ke)MONCADA IRVING 119 6.00 16% 5.10    
7  RIVETAGE May22 Apr27 Mar28 Mar09 Mar01 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 8.00 17% 4.80    
8  GREATDAYFORHOCKEY May09 Nov24 Oct16 Sep12 Aug24 (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 6.00    
9  DIVINE (IRE) Apr18 Aug05 Apr04 Jan13 Nov05 (brisset rodolp)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00    
10  HIGH ENOUGH Jun05 May16 Apr24 Mar01 Jan25 (habeeb donald )ASHTON GAVIN 124 20.00    
11  SPOONIE May22 Apr29 Apr04 Mar15 Feb28 (shirer a)CEDILLO ABEL 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.