Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Turf Paradise
Monday - January 27, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TUP-5   WIN (3/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $8.80 $0.80 10%
    EXA (3/2/5/6)-(3/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-6 $33.80 $21.80 182%
TUP-7   WIN (7/5/2/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $15.00 $5.00 50%
    EXA (7/5/2/6/9)-(7/5/2/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00  6-7 $57.40 $37.40 187%
    TRI (7/5/2/6/9)-(7/5/2/6/9)-(7/5/2/6/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00  6-7-9 $138.80 $108.80 363%
TUP-8   DD (7/5/2/6/9)-(7/2/3/5/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00  6-7 $29.00 $4.00 16%

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-3   01/27/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($22K) 3 F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:223 :454 :574     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KITTY HOUSE 1 5 41 42   2½ 1½ (anderson gonzalo)MOJICA O 119 2.50 35% 1.90 0.30 W
I HAVE A DREAM 2 7 1½ 11   1½ 2½ (birdwell tena)LOPEZ KARLO 119 10.00 28% 2.60 9.00 P
BEACHLEY 5 1 2½ 21   34 3 (fuentes ru)GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 5.00 15.90  
SHESAYSHELLO 3 4 7 7   56 46 (birdwell )VALENZUELA A 119 3.50 13.40  
REVOCATA 4 6 6 6   46 5 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00 33.30  
REBEL GAL 6 2 31 32   6 6 (bullock steve)CRUZ M 119 4.00 5.80  
FREYA'S ARROW 7 3 52 5   79 7 (essex charles)REYES R 119 6.00 14% 6.30 6.00  
 
TUP-4   01/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:103     1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTH COAST ROUTE 4 3 63 6 3 1nk 1 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 6.00  
FURTHER EVIDENCE 7 2 52 4 2½ 3.2 2 (martine)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00 46% 1.20 0.80 P
TRIPLE PASS 2 5 2½ 2nk 1½ 2nk 3 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 2.00 3.80  
CANDY'S CHROME 5 7 77 7 66 5 4 (barraza ra)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 5.00 32% 2.10 4.90  
MANGIA PANE 1 4 4 5 56 4 5 (silva-)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 14.40  
MARSH CREEK 3 6 3½ 3 78 7 619½ (mcfarlane l)MOJICA O 122 8.00 5% 19.00 11.30  
KOBE W 6 1 1½ 1nk 4 6 730¾ (evans justin)REYES R 122 4.00 12.80  
 
TUP-5   01/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:212 :441 :564     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKY BAY RAE 3 4 5 35   1½ 12 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 3.50 31% 2.20 3.40 W
COASTLINE HOTTIE 6 3 26 4   43 22 (sepich ed)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00 5% 19.00 8.00 P
VERONICA'S DELIGHT 4 7 47 5   5 32 (rarick wade)MONTALVO C 122 4.00 2.10  
WON SASSY RIDE 5 6 711½ 7   3 4 (homer )ASENCIO MARIANO 122 10.00 22% 3.60 10.30  
CALEBS LADY 7 2 69 6   6 5 (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 122 6.00 8.50  
MUSICAL DIVA 2 1 16 1   2½ 610 (mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 122 2.50 22% 3.50 3.30  
MINEDANDREFINED 1 5 36 2   7 710¼ (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 5.00 4.30  
 
TUP-6   01/27/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:56
See original race card.
:221 :444 1:103     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSIC RUNNER 2 9 8 7   1 1 (hodgso)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 4.00 7.80  
PICKING IT UP 7 2 4 8   53 2 (morfin lian)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 2.00 20% 4.00 2.00 P
WOLFRAM 9 8 9 9   32 34 (leon alex)IRONEYES R 124 20.00 ######  
SIZE LORD 4 4 2½ 31   4 45 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 25% 2.90 1.10  
STREETLIGHT PEOPLE 3 3 1½ 2nk   2 5 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00 40.20  
CHIRAG 8 1 5 4   7 6 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 5.10  
WAR ON THE WEST 5 7 7 6   84 7 (barrio sergio)CRUZ M 124 15.00 38.90  
THIS IS A JOKE 6 5 3½ 5   96 812¼ (ortiz man)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 8% 11.20 18.70  
COLONEL PUNCH 1 6 6 1nk   63 916¼ (lavanway d)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 12.00 18% 4.60 12.10  
 
TUP-7   01/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:27
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:104 1:23   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PICAHOUSE 6 3 5 53 2nk 2nk 1hd (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 8.00 8% 11.20 6.50 W
CROSS THE CAUSEWAY 7 1 31 3 1nk 1nk 2hd (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 124 4.00 26% 2.80 7.40 P
CLUB MESQUITE 9 7 74 7 42 31 3 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 12.00 6% 15.50 11.30 S
HAPI HAPI 4 8 8 86 7 53 4 (uranga je)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 5.70  
DEFENSOR FORTIS 1 5 42 42 5 6 53 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 3.60  
BARE BACK JACK 2 6 64 6 8 7 66 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 9% 10.60 21.30  
PACO'S PICO 5 2 1½ 1½ 3½ 8 7 (fales matt)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 23% 3.40 6.70  
FLY NIGHTLY 8 9 9 97 9 9 8 (silva )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 6.00 32.70  
KOWBOYKABIN 3 4 2½ 2½ 6 4 9 (rarick wad)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 3.00 1.70  
 
TUP-8   01/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.7K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:22 :45 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EM N HOLL'S FIESTA 7 3 42 2   1nk 1¾ (barrio sergio)VERGARA P 122 4.00 26% 2.90 1.50 W
HAUGHTY KITTY 1 9 8 8   7 2¾ (simpson shannon)GARCIA F 122 20.00 67.00  
LIBBY'S GAMBIT 9 1 7 6   5 32 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 122 6.00 11.50  
SHE SAID MY WAY 4 7 913¼ 910¼   9 4 (salinas l)JENSEN P 122 20.00 5% 19.00 16.10  
CAN'T WANT THAT 2 5 1 1   2nk 5 (lavanway d)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 4.00 25% 3.00 9.40  
SHELBY SHORTSTOP 6 2 5 54   6 64 (silva-martinez a)MONTALVO C 122 8.00 31.00  
STARLET COLE 3 4 2 44   43 7 (kenney rya)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 5.00 18% 4.50 2.20  
DREWY 8 8 6 7   84 8 (birdwell )VALENZUELA A 122 3.00 4.30  
JESSICA BLAH BLAH 5 6 3 3   3 9 (vitali j)LOPEZ KARLO 122 12.00 5% 19.00 9.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.