Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Monday - January 27, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (1/2/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/7/4)-(1/2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/7/4)-(1/2/7/4)-(1/2/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/7/4)-(7/5/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/7/4)-(7/5/3/1)-(3/2/5/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-4   WIN (7/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/3/1)-(3/2/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3/1)-(3/2/5/6)-(4/7/1/6/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-5   WIN (3/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/5/6)-(3/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/5/6)-(3/2/5/6)-(3/2/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/5/6)-(4/7/1/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5/6)-(4/7/1/6/3)-(7/5/2/6/9) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-6   WIN (4/7/1/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/6/3)-(4/7/1/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/6/3)-(4/7/1/6/3)-(4/7/1/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/7/1/6/3)-(7/5/2/6/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1/6/3)-(7/5/2/6/9)-(7/2/3/5/4) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
TUP-7   WIN (7/5/2/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/6/9)-(7/5/2/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/6/9)-(7/5/2/6/9)-(7/5/2/6/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/5/2/6/9)-(7/2/3/5/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TUP-8   WIN (7/2/3/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/5/4)-(7/2/3/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/3/5/4)-(7/2/3/5/4)-(7/2/3/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   01/27/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($22K) 3 F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KITTY HOUSE Dec26 Dec05 Oct26 Oct12 Sep13 (anderson gonzalo)MOJICA O 119 2.50 35% 1.90    
2  I HAVE A DREAM Jan08 Dec18 Nov25 Jul06 Jun22 (birdwell tena)LOPEZ KARLO 119 10.00 28% 2.60    
3  SHESAYSHELLO Sep15 Aug09 Jul14 Jun22 Apr25 (birdwell )VALENZUELA A 119 3.50    
4  REVOCATA Nov18 Nov05 Oct23 Oct13 Sep30 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  BEACHLEY Aug18 Jul28 Jun22     (fuentes ru)GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 5.00    
6  REBEL GAL Dec23 Dec05 Aug18 Aug10 Jul14 (bullock steve)CRUZ M 119 4.00    
7  FREYA'S ARROW Nov18 Aug31       (essex charles)REYES R 119 6.00 14% 6.30    
 
TUP-4   01/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANGIA PANE Dec26 Sep15 Aug30 Aug04 Jul03 (silva-)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  TRIPLE PASS Dec06 Nov03 Sep08 Aug15 Jul21 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 2.00    
3  MARSH CREEK Jan09 Sep21 Jul04 May05   (mcfarlane l)MOJICA O 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SOUTH COAST ROUTE Jan15 Dec31 Dec17 Apr22 Apr15 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00    
5  CANDY'S CHROME Dec17 Nov27 Nov11 Oct02 Sep13 (barraza ra)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 5.00 32% 2.10    
6  KOBE W Jan03 Dec08 Nov29 Oct19 Sep06 (evans justin)REYES R 122 4.00    
7  FURTHER EVIDENCE Jan07 Dec26 Dec11 Nov20 Nov11 (martine)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
 
TUP-5   01/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINEDANDREFINED Dec26 Dec04 Nov19 Sep07 Aug03 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 5.00    
2  MUSICAL DIVA Dec28 Dec05 Sep09 Aug26 Jul27 (mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
3  ROCKY BAY RAE Dec28 Aug11 Jul14 Jun15 Apr18 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
4  VERONICA'S DELIGHT Dec04 Aug11 Jul14 Jun23 Jun02 (rarick wade)MONTALVO C 122 4.00    
5  WON SASSY RIDE Oct13 Sep22 Jun16 May26 Apr27 (homer )ASENCIO MARIANO 122 10.00 22% 3.60    
6  COASTLINE HOTTIE Jan16 Apr24 Apr03 Feb27 Feb01 (sepich ed)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  CALEBS LADY Dec05 Nov13 Sep08 Jul28 Jul07 (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 122 6.00    
 
TUP-6   01/27/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLONEL PUNCH Jan08 Dec17 Nov30 Oct27 Oct19 (lavanway d)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 12.00 18% 4.60    
2  CLASSIC RUNNER Jan02 Nov15 Oct25 Oct03 Sep21 (hodgso)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 4.00    
3  STREETLIGHT PEOPLE Jan09 Dec28 Dec19 Nov29 Oct07 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  SIZE LORD Jan02 Dec23 Nov30 Aug03 Jul04 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 25% 2.90    
5  WAR ON THE WEST Jan09 Jan01 Dec19 Dec03 Nov14 (barrio sergio)CRUZ M 124 15.00    
6  THIS IS A JOKE Jan09 Dec27 Dec03 Nov14 Sep14 (ortiz man)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 8% 11.20    
7  PICKING IT UP Jan05 Nov16 Oct05 Sep06 Aug10 (morfin lian)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 2.00 20% 4.00    
8  CHIRAG Jan08 Dec03 Nov14 Sep15 Aug16 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00    
9  WOLFRAM Jan09 Nov17 Oct27 Oct05 Sep07 (leon alex)IRONEYES R 124 20.00    
 
TUP-7   01/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEFENSOR FORTIS Dec28 Dec10 Nov18 Aug17 Aug03 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50    
2  BARE BACK JACK Jan14 Dec26 Nov02 Oct12 Sep28 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 9% 10.60    
3  KOWBOYKABIN Oct26 Sep20 Jul04 May04 Apr21 (rarick wad)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 3.00    
4  HAPI HAPI Jan09 Dec03 Oct20 Sep13 Sep01 (uranga je)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00    
5  PACO'S PICO Dec30 Dec17 Mar01 Feb02 Jan21 (fales matt)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 23% 3.40    
6  PICAHOUSE Jan15 Jan07 Dec28 Dec12 Nov27 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 8.00 8% 11.20    
7  CROSS THE CAUSEWAY Jan09 Dec23 Nov27 Nov19 Sep25 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 124 4.00 26% 2.80    
8  FLY NIGHTLY Dec28 Dec11 Nov30 Oct26 Oct11 (silva )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 6.00    
9  CLUB MESQUITE Dec28 Dec03 Sep01 Aug09 Jul26 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 12.00 6% 15.50    
 
TUP-8   01/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.7K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAUGHTY KITTY Jan09 Dec05 Nov15 Nov03 Oct12 (simpson shannon)GARCIA F 122 20.00    
2  CAN'T WANT THAT Jan02 Dec11 Nov27 Sep20 Aug18 (lavanway d)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 4.00 25% 3.00    
3  STARLET COLE Dec27 Nov29 Nov12 Sep28 Sep07 (kenney rya)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 5.00 18% 4.50    
4  SHE SAID MY WAY Jan14 Nov26 Aug24 Jul21 Jun09 (salinas l)JENSEN P 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  JESSICA BLAH BLAH Dec27 Jul10 Jun26 May04 Apr10 (vitali j)LOPEZ KARLO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  SHELBY SHORTSTOP Jan02 Dec10 Nov12 Sep08 Aug30 (silva-martinez a)MONTALVO C 122 8.00    
7  EM N HOLL'S FIESTA Dec27 Dec11 Nov29 Nov12 Oct12 (barrio sergio)VERGARA P 122 4.00 26% 2.90    
8  DREWY Jan02 Dec05 Nov14 Sep08 Aug04 (birdwell )VALENZUELA A 122 3.00    
9  LIBBY'S GAMBIT Nov29 Nov12 Sep06 Aug23 Aug16 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.