Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Century Downs Tb
Saturday - September 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTD-2   EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-4 $17.50 $5.50 46%
CTD-3   WIN (1/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $13.00 $5.00 63%
    EXA (1/3/2/6)-(1/3/2/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-3 $59.40 $35.40 148%
CTD-4   PK3 (2/1/4)-(1/3/2/6)-(5/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00  2-6-ALL $47.10 $11.10 31%
CTD-5   WIN (7/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $10.50 $4.50 75%
    EXA (7/9/8)-(7/9/8/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00  8-9 $53.70 $35.70 198%
    TRI (7/9/8)-(7/9/8/5)-(7/9/8/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00  8-9-7 $30.12 $21.12 235%
CTD-7   WIN (5/9/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $13.40 $5.40 68%
CTD-8   WIN (7/4/3/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $46.70 $36.70 367%
    EXA (7/4/3/6/1)-(7/4/3/6/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00  6-4 $239.80 $199.80 500%
    DD (5/9/8/3)-(7/4/3/6/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00  9-6 $270.10 $230.10 575%
    PK3 (7/6/4/3)-(5/9/8/3)-(7/4/3/6/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00  ALL-9-6 $117.00 $37.00 46%
Simulator Race results
 
CTD-1   09/28/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:141 1:393   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  UPO 2 3 42 42 31½ 11 16 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 125 1.00 44% 1.30 0.75 W
3  BAKFIRE BABY 3 1 1½ 1½ 11 21 26 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 122 2.50 4.60  
1  FLASHIN ACES 1 4 2½ 2½ 43 44½ 311 (brown r)BECKLES JARELLE 125 3.00 2.40  
5  SAMURAI CHALLENGE 4 2 31½ 3½ 21 34 412 ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 122 15.00 5% 19.00 6.40  
SCR  FORGOTTEN VOWS               (fantin caitlin)MARTIN ANDRE 125 20.00    
SCR  HALLISAR               (cone ro)CHASE RICHARD 117 20.00    
 
CTD-2   09/28/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:13 1:38   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RAILWAY 2 1 11 11 1½ 12 13 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 125 0.80 25% 3.10 1.70 W
4  H K RAPPER 4 2 21 21 2½ 22 23 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 123 6.00 14% 6.20 3.20 P
3  ALL RUN 3 4 31 31½ 31½ 34½ 34½ (brown r)NELSON DANE 123 3.00 6.60  
1  WRONG SPOT 1 5 56 57 56½ 47½ 48¼ (anderso)CHASE RICHARD 120 3.50 24% 3.20 2.15  
5  DERZKII 5 3 42½ 44 44 510 510¾ (oberholtzer )PRESCOD N'RICO 125 10.00 7.40  
 
CTD-3   09/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:13     1:263   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BEAUTIFUL BABE 6 3 11 11½   12 1¾ (calhoun kimb)NATERA KEIHTON 123 10.00 5% 19.00 5.50 W
3  KEEPMEINPOWER 3 6 54 35   32½ 2¾ (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 125 3.00 23% 3.40 3.50 P
7  BLAZING SUN 7 4 21 21½   22 32¼ (kettleson alivi)NELSON DANE 125 2.50 1.90  
2  GOLDIE SOCKS 2 2 43 46   45½ 47¼ (kingston rob)HUGHES RASHEED 125 5.00 18% 4.70 4.95  
4  PERPETUAL BLISS 4 7 65½ 57   58 59½ (grieves ron)MUIR SHAMAREE 123 6.00 13.65  
1  DRAMATIC FLAIR 1 1 75¾ 68   69½ 610½ (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.50 36% 1.80 4.45  
5  CUVEE TEE 5 5 33 79   715½ 721½ (ward an)CHASE RICHARD 118 20.00 23.30  
 
CTD-4   09/28/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:121 1:381   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLASHFORDANI 1 5 63 64 61½ 3.2 1¾ (kingston )ZENTENO JR 125 15.00 34.00  
7  RIVERSIDE 7 2 52 42½ 41¼ 1nk 2¾ (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 125 10.00 6.30  
5  DECOY 5 6 42 52½ 31 4¾ 32¾ (kettleson alivi)NELSON DANE 125 1.40 54% 0.90 0.50 S
4  COOLWIND 4 7 77½ 77 75 62¾ 42¾ (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 6.00 ★ 8.55  
6  SIR BREGOVIC 6 1 11 11 1nk 2nk 54¾ (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 3.50 10% 9.20 7.50  
2  SILENT RUNNER 2 3 31½ 32 51¼ 51¾ 65½ (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 4.00 13.15  
3  SMART PLAY 3 4 21 21 2nk 77¾ 713¼ (robertson je)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 8.00 5% 19.00 15.25  
 
CTD-5   09/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:231 :464 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  VIOLENT VIOLET 7 4 45½ 44½   22 13½ (zielke mad)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00 19% 4.30 4.25 W
9  MY KIND OF NITE 8 1 1nk 12½   12 23½ (kingston karlin)NELSON DANE 122 3.50 20% 4.10 4.55 P
7  OOPS (GB) 6 6 69¾ 510½   34 35 (o'hagan coll)HUGHES RASHEED 122 2.50 37% 1.70 3.20 S
6  SIRACHA 5 2 31½ 33½   55 49½ (pal)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 3.00 1.35  
1  FLIRTATION CARD 1 3 2nk 22½   44 510½ (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 122 20.00 22.20  
3  RUN MYA RUN 3 7 713¼ 717½   610 613¾ (ward anderson)LUNAN RICHARD 125 15.00 48.75  
2  SASSY PIPER 2 8 59½ 616½   716 722½ (tingle ken)MUIR SHAMAREE 122 20.00 54.95  
5  CINNAMON SAINT 4 5 819¼ 827½   820 827 (marks l)CHASE RICHARD 120 4.50 ★ 13.35  
SCR  CHASUBLE               (fantin caitlin)MARTIN ANDRE 122 50.00    
 
CTD-6   09/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:224 :453 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WEDGE POND 2 1 1nk 2nk   13 14¼ (brown r)HUGHES RASHEED 125 10.00 8.80  
7  BON PRIX 7 5 3.2 1nk   23 24¼ (wyness james)NELSON DANE 125 3.50 36% 1.80 4.90 P
3  CREDIBILITY 3 3 65¾ 55½   56 35½ (robertson je)NATERA KEIHTON 125 8.00 5% 18.90 6.45 S
1  READYTOTAPNSING 1 4 42¾ 42½   44½ 46 (frey cars)ZENTENO JR 125 3.00 2.95  
6  BARE BACK JACK 6 6 78¼ 79¾   66¼ 56¾ (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 6.00 20% 4.00 3.90  
4  COMMON KNOWLEDGE 4 2 2nk 31   34½ 67½ (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 4.00 18% 4.60 7.25  
8  ZICATELA 8 8 55¾ 69½   711¼ 714¾ (palma milton)MARTIN ANDRE 125 12.00 26.60  
5  MUCHO MAGIC 5 7 810¼ 810¾   814¼ 819 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 8.00 5.35  
 
CTD-7   09/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:232 :463 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  CHARLIE'S COPY 9 4 53 41½   3.2 1hd (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 120 2.50 24% 3.10 5.70 W
2  SNAP COUNT 2 1 21 1nk   1nk 2hd (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 123 20.00 14.95  
7  ABOVE AND BEYOND 7 3 32 31   2nk 31¼ ( )GRIFFITH DELANE 123 8.00 ★ 5.35 S
8  H K MELODY 8 6 64½ 54   53¾ 43¾ (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 3.50 18% 4.60 2.65  
1  MY BOY CHRISTIAN 1 5 11 2nk   42¾ 55¾ (ward anderson)LUNAN RICHARD 123 15.00 15.70  
3  AMEER 3 8 98 98   85¾ 65¾ (biggs sey)ZENTENO JR 123 10.00 5% 19.00 7.30  
6  BEAUGATTI 6 9 87 87   75¼ 76¾ (tingle ken)MARTIN ANDRE 123 15.00 7.55  
4  INDEPENDENCE NEIGH 4 2 43 65   65¼ 87¾ (reid c)STEADMAN LEON 123 12.00 26.90  
5  MOHAMAD 5 7 75½ 76   98¼ 98½ (brown r)BECKLES JARELLE 123 3.00 33% 2.00 4.00  
 
CTD-8   09/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:121     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HENRY'S GAMBLE 6 3 11 11   11 11½ (coney jason)BRYAN D 125 15.00 7% 14.20 22.35 W
4  STOLEN JEWEL 4 2 31½ 32   21 21½ (rycroft tim)NELSON DANE 125 2.50 10% 9.20 4.15 P
9  WHISKARITA 9 8 63½ 64   63½ 31½ (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 12.00 15.20  
2  QUEEN RHONDA 2 5 95¾ 75½   42 42 (smith r)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 125 8.00 38.40  
7  LINAHASPECSHOES 7 4 21 21   31½ 52¼ (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 125 3.00 42% 1.40 1.85  
8  GO MAMA 8 7 52 42   53 62¼ (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 5.00 6.80  
3  ORANGE THEORY 3 6 42 53   75½ 74¾ (cone rodn)ZENTENO JR 125 4.00 8% 11.40 2.45  
5  LITTLE HARPER 5 9 84¾ 87   911½ 811¼ (rycroft tim)POON ANDREW 125 20.00 29.55  
1  NO MORE JO KING 1 1 74½ 98   810½ 911¾ (robert)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 10.00 6% 16.90 17.75  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.