Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Downs Tb
Saturday - September 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTD-1   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CTD-2   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(1/3/2/6)-(5/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CTD-3   WIN (1/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/2/6)-(1/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/2/6)-(1/3/2/6)-(1/3/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/2/6)-(5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTD-4   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/4/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/4/6/3)-(5/4/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
CTD-5   WIN (7/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/9/8)-(7/9/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/9/8)-(7/9/8/5)-(7/9/8/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
CTD-6   WIN (7/6/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/4/3)-(7/6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/4/3)-(7/6/4/3)-(7/6/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/4/3)-(5/9/8/3)-(7/4/3/6/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CTD-7   WIN (5/9/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/8/3)-(5/9/8/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/9/8/3)-(5/9/8/7/3)-(5/9/8/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/9/8/3)-(7/4/3/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CTD-8   WIN (7/4/3/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/3/6/1)-(7/4/3/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/3/6/1)-(7/4/3/6/1)-(7/4/3/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTD-1   09/28/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLASHIN ACES Aug11 Jul28 Jun29 Jun14 Oct08 (brown r)BECKLES JARELLE 125 3.00    
2  UPO Aug31 Aug11 Jul28 Jul10 Jun29 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 125 1.00 44% 1.30    
3  BAKFIRE BABY Sep15 Aug24 Aug11 Jul27 Jul21 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 122 2.50    
SCR  HALLISAR Sep06 Aug16 Aug02 Jul26 Jul12 (cone ro)CHASE RICHARD 117 20.00    
5  SAMURAI CHALLENGE Aug31 Aug16 Jun22 May18 Nov24 (b)GRIFFITH DELANE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FORGOTTEN VOWS Aug10 Jul28 Jul14 Jun15 Jun01 (fantin caitlin)MARTIN ANDRE 125 20.00    
 
CTD-2   09/28/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WRONG SPOT Sep07 Aug24 Jul31 Jul12 Jun21 (anderso)CHASE RICHARD 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
2  RAILWAY Sep07 Aug09 Jul19 Jul05 May31 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 125 0.80 25% 3.10    
3  ALL RUN Sep21 Aug30 Aug10 Jul27 Jul12 (brown r)NELSON DANE 123 3.00    
4  H K RAPPER Sep14 Aug25 Aug18 Aug04 Jul21 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 123 6.00 14% 6.20    
5  DERZKII Sep06 Aug24 Jul12 Jun22 Jun01 (oberholtzer )PRESCOD N'RICO 125 10.00    
 
CTD-3   09/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRAMATIC FLAIR Sep13 Aug31 Aug09 Jul13 Oct08 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.50 36% 1.80    
2  GOLDIE SOCKS Aug30 Aug17 Jul13 Jun28 Jun14 (kingston rob)HUGHES RASHEED 125 5.00 18% 4.70    
3  KEEPMEINPOWER Sep13 Aug30 Aug17 Jul24 Jul10 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 125 3.00 23% 3.40    
4  PERPETUAL BLISS Sep13 Jul13 Jun07 Oct15 Sep01 (grieves ron)MUIR SHAMAREE 123 6.00    
5  CUVEE TEE Sep13 Jul24 Jun08 Oct15 Sep24 (ward an)CHASE RICHARD 118 20.00    
6  BEAUTIFUL BABE Aug30 Jul24 Jul13 Jun28 Jun15 (calhoun kimb)NATERA KEIHTON 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  BLAZING SUN Sep13 Aug31 Aug17 Oct15 Oct01 (kettleson alivi)NELSON DANE 125 2.50    
 
CTD-4   09/28/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLASHFORDANI Sep14 Aug24 Jul17 Jun28 Jun08 (kingston )ZENTENO JR 125 15.00    
2  SILENT RUNNER Sep13 Aug24 Jul31 Jul12 Jun21 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 4.00    
3  SMART PLAY Sep14 Aug24 Jul17 Jun28 May31 (robertson je)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  COOLWIND Sep14 Aug24 Jul19 Jul05 Jun22 (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 6.00 ★    
5  DECOY Sep13 Aug24 Jul12 Jun21 May31 (kettleson alivi)NELSON DANE 125 1.40 54% 0.90    
6  SIR BREGOVIC Sep13 Aug30 Aug09 Jul31 Jul10 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 3.50 10% 9.20    
7  RIVERSIDE Sep06 Aug24 Jul12 Jun21 Jun01 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 125 10.00    
 
CTD-5   09/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLIRTATION CARD Aug02         (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 122 20.00    
2  SASSY PIPER Sep13         (tingle ken)MUIR SHAMAREE 122 20.00    
3  RUN MYA RUN Sep13 Aug10 Jul26 Jul13 Jun29 (ward anderson)LUNAN RICHARD 125 15.00    
SCR  CHASUBLE Sep13 Aug30 Jul14 Jun14 May18 (fantin caitlin)MARTIN ANDRE 122 50.00    
5  CINNAMON SAINT Aug24 Aug10 Jul26 May17 Jun09 (marks l)CHASE RICHARD 120 4.50 ★    
6  SIRACHA Sep07 Aug16 Aug02 Jul12 Sep23 (pal)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 3.00    
7  OOPS (GB) Sep13 Aug24 Aug10 Jul26 Jul13 (o'hagan coll)HUGHES RASHEED 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
8  VIOLENT VIOLET Sep07 May04 Mar17 Feb19   (zielke mad)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00 19% 4.30    
9  MY KIND OF NITE Aug24 Aug02 Jun07 May04 Sep04 (kingston karlin)NELSON DANE 122 3.50 20% 4.10    
 
CTD-6   09/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  READYTOTAPNSING Sep21 Aug30 Aug09 Jul31 Jul10 (frey cars)ZENTENO JR 125 3.00    
2  WEDGE POND Sep13 Sep07 Aug24 Aug02 Jul19 (brown r)HUGHES RASHEED 125 10.00    
3  CREDIBILITY Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 Jul31 Jul05 (robertson je)NATERA KEIHTON 125 8.00 5% 18.90    
4  COMMON KNOWLEDGE Sep14 Aug23 Jul19 Jun29 Jun15 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 4.00 18% 4.60    
5  MUCHO MAGIC Aug24 Aug02 Jul19 Jun29 Oct15 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 8.00    
6  BARE BACK JACK Sep14 Aug24 Aug02 Jun22 Jun01 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 6.00 20% 4.00    
7  BON PRIX Aug10 Jul19 Jul06 Jun01 May18 (wyness james)NELSON DANE 125 3.50 36% 1.80    
8  ZICATELA Sep14 Aug24 Aug10 Jul13 Jun29 (palma milton)MARTIN ANDRE 125 12.00    
 
CTD-7   09/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY BOY CHRISTIAN Sep21 Sep06 Aug16 Oct22 Aug23 (ward anderson)LUNAN RICHARD 123 15.00    
2  SNAP COUNT Sep06 Oct21 Sep23 Aug25 Jul28 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 123 20.00    
3  AMEER Sep13 Sep06 Aug23 Aug09 Jul26 (biggs sey)ZENTENO JR 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  INDEPENDENCE NEIGH Sep22 Sep06 Aug16 Jul24 Jul10 (reid c)STEADMAN LEON 123 12.00    
5  MOHAMAD Sep06 Aug23 Aug16 Jul31 Jul10 (brown r)BECKLES JARELLE 123 3.00 33% 2.00    
6  BEAUGATTI Aug31 Aug16 Aug02 Jul10 Oct21 (tingle ken)MARTIN ANDRE 123 15.00    
7  ABOVE AND BEYOND Sep06 Aug16 Jul26 Jul05 Jun22 (a)GRIFFITH DELANE 123 8.00 ★    
8  H K MELODY Sep06 Aug23 Aug09 Jul12 Jun28 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 3.50 18% 4.60    
9  CHARLIE'S COPY Aug30 Jun28 Jun15 May17 Apr12 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 120 2.50 24% 3.10    
 
CTD-8   09/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO MORE JO KING Sep13 Aug30 Jul24 Jul13 Jun28 (robert)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 10.00 6% 16.90    
2  QUEEN RHONDA Sep13 Aug30 Aug17 Jul24 Jun21 (smith r)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 125 8.00    
3  ORANGE THEORY Sep07 Aug31 Aug03 Jul16 Jun25 (cone rodn)ZENTENO JR 125 4.00 8% 11.40    
4  STOLEN JEWEL Sep07 Aug23 Aug09 Jul13 Jun29 (rycroft tim)NELSON DANE 125 2.50 10% 9.20    
5  LITTLE HARPER Sep13 Aug30 Aug03 Jul27 Jul13 (rycroft tim)POON ANDREW 125 20.00    
6  HENRY'S GAMBLE Sep07 Aug04 Jul27 Jul13 Jun29 (coney jason)BRYAN D 125 15.00 7% 14.20    
7  LINAHASPECSHOES Sep06 Aug17 Aug03 Jul13 Jun29 (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 125 3.00 42% 1.40    
8  GO MAMA Sep06 Aug17 Jul27 May31 May19 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 5.00    
9  WHISKARITA Sep06 Aug17 Aug09 Jul24 Jul13 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.