Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Arapahoe Park
Sunday - November 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ARP-2   EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  ALL-6 $18.60 $6.60 55%
ARP-6   WIN (4/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $15.00 $7.00 88%
    EXA (4/7/6/2)-(4/7/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-2 $59.80 $35.80 149%
    TRI (4/7/6/2)-(4/7/6/2)-(4/7/6/2) 24 $2.00 $48.00  4-2-7 $214.60 $166.60 347%

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-2   11/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:222 :454 :584     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SABRIA 1 2 21 2½   11 1 (arceo salvador)RAMOS B 124 6.00 6.40  
NORA'S LEGACY 6 5 56 4   4 2 (hibdon ma)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00 8% 12.10 2.90 P
TAP THE HEART 5 1 11 1½   21 3 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.00 2.80  
HAUGHTY KITTY 4 4 46 5   5 4 (ortega jo)IRONEYES R 124 4.50 5.30  
COLD AS YOU 2 3 32 3   34 5 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 18% 4.50 2.20  
STOLEN HALO 3 6 6 6   6 6 (haar rober)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.50 38% 1.70 7.50  
 
ARP-3   11/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:13     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
T R'S FIRST 4 6 510 55   3 1½ (hibdon mark )AGUILAR DANIEL 124 3.00 2.30  
KID BIZ 2 4 33 32   22 2½ (arceo salvador)RAMOS B 124 4.50 7.60  
D'WILD MUFFIN 1 2 12 11   12 31 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.00 50% 1.00 1.00 S
OUR CLOVER GAL 6 3 22 21   4 49 (ibanez alberto)ARANA MINOR 124 10.00 7.10  
MAGIC IN A HAT 5 1 45 43   5 510¾ (schindler)IRONEYES R 124 8.00 14% 6.00 7.40  
FOXY TWIST 3 5 611 611   616½ 645¼ (chavez jose)CARDENAS JACOB 121 6.00 5% 19.00 8.60  
SCR  UNPLUCKED GEM               (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00    
 
ARP-4   11/03/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:222 :453       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTER CHAIRMAN 2 3 5 4   3½ 1 (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 52% 0.90 0.80 W
CRYSTAL BANDIT 6 5 4 53   4 2 (ortega joe)ARRONA MINOR 124 4.50 11.30  
MR. STANG 7 6 31 2nk   2½ 3 (moreno car)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 5.00 10% 9.40 3.70 S
HURTS SO GOOD 5 2 2nk 1nk   1½ 4 (ramaekers eri)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00 5.90  
POPS AWESOME 4 7 6 64   54 5 (williams dewey)RAMOS B 124 3.50 5.80  
LEAP DAY 1 1 1nk 31   66 610¼ (tsosie terri)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00 8% 11.50 19.60  
YATAHEY 3 4 7 76   710 714 (guadarrama )VORRATH VALENTE 121 6.00 15.50  
 
ARP-5   11/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:122     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONNA LIRICA 3 2 42 4   3½ 1 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 8.00 1.40  
CLAY'S RUBY LOVE 2 1 1nk 1½   1½ 2 (mckinney kyn)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 3.50 4.10  
MISS YOU NO MORE 4 3 2nk 2½   2½ 3 (rushton st)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 119 4.50 19% 4.40 1.80 S
DEVIL D' ORO 1 4 3 3½   410½ 454¾ (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 122 2.50 36% 1.80 2.50  
SCR  FLATTER ME ZEN               (childs ru)IRONEYES R 124 10.00    
SCR  JANIS               (hibdon ma)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00    
 
ARP-6   11/03/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST CTBA Spicy Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:244 :484 1:132     1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CELEE'S LAST TE 4 3 1 14 13 15 1 (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 124 6.00 31% 2.20 6.50 W
  (by TULSA TE out of CELEE by CONGAREE)
FLO TIME 2 5 3 37 38 37 2 (martinez a)CARDOSO DAVID 124 8.00 5% 18.50 3.50 P
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CATS LEGEND by GOLD LEGEND)
ROCKIN MARIE 7 1 2 24 23 25 311¾ (long vaughn)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 27% 2.70 3.30 S
  (by ROCKY BAR out of YELLOW CHUMARINE by CHUMAREE)
LONG MAY SHE RUN 3 4 44 410 512 514 418½ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 2.00 2.30  
  (by KLIMT out of RATE OF EXCHANGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
BEHOLD THAT WORD 6 2 66 610½ 49 411 518½ (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 124 5.00 14% 6.10 14.50  
  (by BEHOLD DE BUY out of FINAL WORD by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
LIL MISS DE BUY 1 7 78 711½ 613½ 618 625¾ (rushton te)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 10.00 6.50  
  (by BEHOLD DE BUY out of LIL MISS HOTTENTOT by PERFECT MANDATE)
BRING THE POSSE 5 6 5 510½ 714½ 720 729¼ (kemper ke)IRONEYES R 124 4.50 5.60  
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of LADY POSSE by POSSE)
 
ARP-7   11/03/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:221 :463 :591     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET SLEW 6 5 54 43   1nk 1½ (arceo sal)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 6.10  
RETRO RITA 1 2 11 12   2nk 2½ (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00 1.80  
NORTHERN GEM 7 8 7 6   33 3 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 3.80  
MISS GRAND SLAM 2 6 8 8   5 4 (tsosie terri)CARDENAS JACOB 124 8.00 14% 6.00 12.00  
SPECIAL TWIST 3 3 4 3   4 5 (hall monk)RAMOS B 121 4.50 34% 2.00 6.00  
PRINCESSOFCHITOWN 8 1 31 22   6 613½ (ramaekers er)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 3.50 17% 4.70 8.00  
CAJUN TRINITY 5 4 21 53   7 715½ (vargas conde)LARSEN S 124 10.00 5% 19.00 13.70  
DESERT PEPPER 4 7 6 7   812¼ 821 (marquez jos)VORRATH VALENTE 124 15.00 5.80  
SCR  MIRAGE CODE               (childs ru)IRONEYES R 122 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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