Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Sunday - November 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-2   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ARP-3   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(2/7/1)-(2/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
ARP-4   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/7/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/1)-(2/7/1/5)-(2/7/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1)-(2/6)-(4/7/6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
ARP-5   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(4/7/6/2)-(4/9/3/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
ARP-6   WIN (4/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/2)-(4/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/2)-(4/7/6/2)-(4/7/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/6/2)-(4/9/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ARP-7   WIN (4/9/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/3/6)-(4/9/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/3/6)-(4/9/3/6)-(4/9/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-2   11/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SABRIA Oct27 Sep22 Sep07 Aug18 Jul21 (arceo salvador)RAMOS B 124 6.00    
2  COLD AS YOU Oct13 Sep27 Sep01 Aug04 Jun29 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 18% 4.50    
3  STOLEN HALO Oct25 Oct13 Sep29 Sep07 Aug24 (haar rober)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.50 38% 1.70    
4  HAUGHTY KITTY Oct12 Sep29 Sep21 Aug11 Jul21 (ortega jo)IRONEYES R 124 4.50    
5  TAP THE HEART Oct26 Oct13 Sep15 Sep01 Jul27 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.00    
6  NORA'S LEGACY Oct13 Sep29 Sep11 May14 Apr12 (hibdon ma)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00 8% 12.10    
 
ARP-3   11/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  D'WILD MUFFIN Sep27 Sep22 Aug05 May07 Apr21 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.00 50% 1.00    
2  KID BIZ Oct26 Oct12 Sep20 Sep09 Aug19 (arceo salvador)RAMOS B 124 4.50    
SCR  UNPLUCKED GEM Oct06 Sep27 Aug31 Aug01 Jun30 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00    
4  FOXY TWIST Oct13         (chavez jose)CARDENAS JACOB 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  T R'S FIRST Oct27 Oct06 Sep27 Sep07 Jun25 (hibdon mark )AGUILAR DANIEL 124 3.00    
6  MAGIC IN A HAT Oct13 Sep27 Sep07 Aug24 Aug18 (schindler)IRONEYES R 124 8.00 14% 6.00    
7  OUR CLOVER GAL Oct26 Oct11 Sep29 Sep15 Sep08 (ibanez alberto)ARANA MINOR 124 10.00    
 
ARP-4   11/03/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEAP DAY Oct06 Sep22 Sep08 Sep01 Aug18 (tsosie terri)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00 8% 11.50    
2  MISTER CHAIRMAN Oct06 Sep21 Sep02 Aug17 Aug01 (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 52% 0.90    
3  YATAHEY Oct06 Aug31 Aug17 Jul20 Jun15 (guadarrama )VORRATH VALENTE 121 6.00    
4  POPS AWESOME Oct20 Oct06 Aug25 Aug03 Apr16 (williams dewey)RAMOS B 124 3.50    
5  HURTS SO GOOD Oct20 Sep21 Aug29 Aug10 Jul24 (ramaekers eri)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00 ★    
6  CRYSTAL BANDIT Oct27 Sep08 Aug04 Jul13 Jun08 (ortega joe)RODRIGUEZ JOSE 124 4.50    
7  MR. STANG Oct06 Aug20 Jul16 Jun26 Jun05 (moreno car)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 5.00 10% 9.40    
 
ARP-5   11/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JANIS Nov01 Oct20 Oct05 Sep21 Sep08 (hibdon ma)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00    
2  DEVIL D' ORO Oct04 Aug10 Jul21 Jul13 May31 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  FLATTER ME ZEN Oct11 Sep29 Sep13 Aug04 May04 (childs ru)IRONEYES R 124 10.00    
4  CLAY'S RUBY LOVE Oct20 Aug16 Jul11 Apr27 Apr06 (mckinney kyn)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 3.50    
5  DONNA LIRICA Oct12 Sep29 Sep20 Sep08 Sep01 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 8.00    
6  MISS YOU NO MORE Oct13 Sep20 Aug25 Jul24 Jul14 (rushton st)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 119 4.50 19% 4.40    
 
ARP-6   11/03/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST CTBA Spicy Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL MISS DE BUY Oct25 Oct04 Sep27 Sep07 Sep01 (rushton te)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 10.00    
  (by BEHOLD DE BUY out of LIL MISS HOTTENTOT by PERFECT MANDATE)
2  FLO TIME Oct13 Sep20 Jul21 Jun23 Apr11 (martinez a)CARDOSO DAVID 124 8.00 5% 18.50    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CATS LEGEND by GOLD LEGEND)
3  LONG MAY SHE RUN Oct13 Sep21 Aug18 Aug03 Jun02 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 2.00    
  (by KLIMT out of RATE OF EXCHANGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
4  CELEE'S LAST TE Oct05 Sep21 Sep08 Jul14 Jun15 (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 124 6.00 31% 2.20    
  (by TULSA TE out of CELEE by CONGAREE)
5  BRING THE POSSE Oct20 Oct04 Sep21 Sep09 Aug14 (kemper ke)IRONEYES R 124 4.50    
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of LADY POSSE by POSSE)
6  BEHOLD THAT WORD Oct19 Oct06 Sep21 Jul18 Oct03 (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 124 5.00 14% 6.10    
  (by BEHOLD DE BUY out of FINAL WORD by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
7  ROCKIN MARIE Oct11 Sep21 Jul14 Jun30 Jun02 (long vaughn)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 27% 2.70    
  (by ROCKY BAR out of YELLOW CHUMARINE by CHUMAREE)
 
ARP-7   11/03/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MIRAGE CODE Oct12 Sep29 Aug04 Jul14 Jun15 (childs ru)IRONEYES R 122 12.00    
2  RETRO RITA Oct26 Oct13 May27 Apr27 Apr12 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00    
3  MISS GRAND SLAM Oct25 Oct05 Sep28 Sep21 Sep01 (tsosie terri)CARDENAS JACOB 124 8.00 14% 6.00    
4  SPECIAL TWIST Oct26 Sep27 Sep09 Aug27 Aug14 (hall monk)RAMOS B 121 4.50 34% 2.00    
5  DESERT PEPPER Oct20 Sep11 Sep02 Aug26 Aug19 (marquez jos)VORRATH VALENTE 124 15.00    
6  CAJUN TRINITY Oct26 Oct13 Jul08 Jun24 Jun18 (vargas jose)BACHICHA ELIJAH 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  SWEET SLEW Oct26 Oct12 Sep01 Aug23 Jun19 (arceo sal)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50    
8  NORTHERN GEM Oct25 Sep22 Sep07 Aug23 Jul12 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00    
9  PRINCESSOFCHITOWN Oct26 Oct04 Sep20 Sep07 Sep01 (ramaekers er)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 3.50 17% 4.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.