Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Turf Paradise
Wednesday - January 08, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TUP-2   WIN (6/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $15.20 $7.20 90%
    EXA (6/5/3/1)-(6/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-5 $15.10 $3.10 26%
TUP-4   EXA (6/5/1/3)-(6/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-1 $20.50 $8.50 71%
TUP-6   EXA (3/7/8/5)-(3/7/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-7 $13.70 $1.70 14%

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-2   01/08/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3 F PT- 3:09
See original race card.
:213 :443       :57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRAVELIN WITCH 1 3 31 1nk   1 1 (eikleberry)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 8.00 5% 19.00 6.60 W
SQUEEZE THE DAY 5 5 52 4¾   2 2 (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 121 4.00 20% 4.10 0.20 P
AUDACITY OF FAITH 7 1 2nk 2nk   3 3 ( )ROJAS EDUARD 121 10.00 31.70  
I HAVE A DREAM 6 6 63 6   68 4 (birdwell tena)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00 42% 1.40 19.20  
GIMME MO MONEY 3 4 4 5   55 5 (martinez esteban)MOJICA O 121 3.50 16% 5.30 11.90  
CORACORACORA 2 2 1nk 3½   4 6 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 2.50 6.40  
SHE'S MY FLAME 4 7 710 7   711½ 710¾ (mendoza)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 6.00 13.60  
 
TUP-3   01/08/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:38
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:11 1:234   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENGLISH DANGER 1 3 5 32 3 21 12 (villamar candelari)MOJICA O 124 10.00 13.20  
SHE'S A BOSSY GIRL 3 2 2½ 2½ 2 31 22 (vitali ma)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50 12% 7.20 9.30 P
PACIFIC ZIP 2 1 1½ 1½ 1 11 3 (brown r)MUIR SHAMAREE 124 4.00 1.00  
PRANCE 7 6 7 6 7 56 4 (brown r)HUGHES RASHEED 124 10.00 5% 19.00 31.60  
BADGER KITTEN 4 7 3 42 4 4 5 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.50 13% 6.80 11.50  
THE COMRIE RULE 5 4 6 7 6 7 6 (brown allen)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 6.00 55.10  
AUSTIN CITY GIRL 6 5 4 5 5 6 7 (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 45% 1.20 1.00  
SCR  YODA GLITZ               (kereluk ed)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 8.00    
 
TUP-4   01/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:07
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:104 1:234   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SURPRSINGLYPERFECT 4 6 6 5 44 2 14 (evans )ASENCIO MARIANO 122 3.00 20% 4.00 0.70 W
RAILWAY 1 4 4 4 2½ 1 24 (anderso)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 12.00 5% 19.00 10.80 P
ITS KRAKEN TIME 2 3 33 3 1½ 3 34 (wisdom anne)REYES R 122 4.00 4.60  
QUARTERBACK DAK 6 7 7 7 6 56 4 (hodgson barry)CRUZ M 122 6.00 20.10  
STOP AND A TRES 3 2 5 6 3 4 5 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 122 8.00 5% 19.00 9.40  
WINTER FALCON 5 5 2nk 2nk 7 6 615 (silva jr)NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00 47% 1.10 3.80  
GOLD MAGIC 7 1 1nk 1nk 5 710 720¾ (kenney rya)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 5.00 10.40  
SCR  WEDGE POND               (brown r)MUIR SHAMAREE 122 8.00    
 
TUP-5   01/08/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:36
See original race card.
:214 :444       :564   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEER MONEY 2 5 3 3   1 1 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 3.00 1.00  
JUSTIN AZTECA 9 4 6 5   4 2 (lund valorie)CRUZ M 124 4.00 23% 3.40 2.80 P
LASMUIGH (GB) 5 9 8 8   7 3 (van debb)REYES R 124 12.00 22% 3.60 34.60 S
COLONEL PUNCH 4 7 7 7   5 4 (lavanway dayson)KRIGGER K 124 15.00 5% 19.00 67.80  
JACOB YEN 8 8 910¼ 99   8 5 (monteverde alva)CORBETT W 124 5.00 21.10  
CHIRAG 6 2 5 46   6 6 (woolley ben)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 10.70  
WAITINGATTHEBAR 7 1 2nk 1nk   3 711 (nunnally j)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 8.00 22.80  
SET POINT (IRE) 1 3 1nk 2nk   2 812½ (laufenber)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 32% 2.10 3.20  
ACES OVER DEUCES 3 6 44 6   9 914 (torres-casa)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 17.50  
 
TUP-6   01/08/2025 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:232     1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVEABOVEANDBEYOND 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 (buffalo marvin)CORBETT W 124 1.40 33% 2.00 2.50 W
JOY IN GRACE 7 4 43 34 3 2 2 (brown r)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 28% 2.50 2.20 P
FALL MOON 2 6 68 7 610 6 3 (woolley l)MOJICA O 124 4.00 2.00  
WILLING TO BURN 5 2 2 2 2 36 4 (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 8.00 7% 13.90 11.10  
MERINO WOOL 6 5 55 5 5 4 5 (homer jason)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 6.00 29.70  
LUCKY STEPPER 4 7 7 6 712 711¾ 611¼ (weaver go)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00 43.10  
BEE A BALI 1 3 3 44 47 5 711½ (kenney rya)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 6.00 3.80  
SCR  CAN'THELPFALLIN (IRE)               (perez s)REYES R 124 10.00 8% 11.60    
 
TUP-7   01/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:34
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:112 1:241   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAD LUTHER 2 4 44 4 1½ 1 1hd (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50 20% 4.00 2.10 W
SOCAL RED 1 7 6 6 5 6 2hd (gibson howard )REYES R 124 5.00 34% 1.90 10.10 P
CALIFORNIA SWING 6 9 914½ 910 7 2 31 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 8.60  
ELUSIVE LOVE 3 8 810½ 8 8 7 4 (ortiz manue)KHELAWAN KERRON 124 4.00 12% 7.50 10.00  
MEET JOE 5 2 33 32 4¾ 45 55 (kenney ryan)CORBETT W 124 5.00 3.20  
MARKSMAN ON TARGET 7 5 5 76 9 8 6 (bean a)CRUZ M 124 12.00 5% 19.00 10.10  
EMPEROR'S CHOICE 4 1 21 2½ 3½ 55 7 (leon alex)IRONEYES R 124 20.00 77.40  
PANZER PRIDE 8 6 77 54 6 9 812 (ortiz isai)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 15.00 29.60  
10  HANDSOME HARRY 9 3 11 1½ 2½ 3 912½ (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.00 9% 9.80 2.40  
SCR  CONNECTER               (gibson how)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 20.00    
SCR  MAHI MAHI               (garcia)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 20.00    
 
TUP-8   01/08/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:03
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:104     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALMOST GOT LUCKY 6 9 9 7   32 1nk (peery debbie)CRUZ M 124 10.00 31.80  
10  SENSIBLE LUTE 9 4 1½ 1nk   1½ 2nk (hernandez )GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 6.00 18% 4.40 4.70 P
CY'S SILKSTOCKING 2 8 31 2nk   2½ 3 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 4.00 6.10  
FRESNO CHILE 1 11 10 9   86 4 (peery debbie)LOPEZ KARLO 124 20.00 51.80  
11  TIA SUZI 10 2 6 54   7 5 (kemper kasey)REYES R 124 20.00 24.00  
INTRUSIVE 3 6 52 4   4 6 (perez hilario)KRIGGER K 124 15.00 10% 9.00 10.80  
LADY YELLOWSTONE 7 5 42 6   9 77 (rosales)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 46% 1.20 0.60  
PARKER'S FIFTEEN 5 7 8 8   6 8 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 6.00 12.20  
LEGAL MISCHIEF 8 3 2½ 3   5 98 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00 ######  
12  VANDULIE 11 1 7 10   109 10 (bullock ste)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 13.30  
IRISH SONG LEADER 4 10 11 1111¾   1113 1111¾ (christian)JENSEN P 124 20.00 5% 19.00 50.80  
SCR  STARRY BEACH               (silva-martinez a)MAWING A 124 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.