Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - January 08, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-2   WIN (6/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/3/1)-(6/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/3/1)-(6/5/3/1)-(6/5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/3/1)-(6/4/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3/1)-(6/4/3/7)-(6/5/1/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-3   WIN (6/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/3/7)-(6/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/3/7)-(6/4/3/7)-(6/4/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/3/7)-(6/5/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3/7)-(6/5/1/3)-(1/9/5/3/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-4   WIN (6/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/1/3)-(6/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/1/3)-(6/5/1/3)-(6/5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/1/3)-(1/9/5/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1/3)-(1/9/5/3/4)-(3/7/8/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-5   WIN (1/9/5/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/9/5/3/4)-(1/9/5/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/9/5/3/4)-(1/9/5/3/4)-(1/9/5/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/9/5/3/4)-(3/7/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/9/5/3/4)-(3/7/8/5)-(1/2/3/10/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-6   WIN (3/7/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/8/5)-(3/7/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/8/5)-(3/7/8/5)-(3/7/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/8/5)-(1/2/3/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/7/8/5)-(1/2/3/10/8)-(8/10/4/12/5) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TUP-7   WIN (1/2/3/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/2/3/10/8)-(1/2/3/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/10/8)-(1/2/3/10/8)-(1/2/3/10/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/2/3/10/8)-(8/10/4/12/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TUP-8   WIN (8/10/4/12/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/10/4/12/5)-(8/10/4/12/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/10/4/12/5)-(8/10/4/12/5)-(8/10/4/12/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   01/08/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3 F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRAVELIN WITCH Dec05 Aug25       (eikleberry)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  CORACORACORA Sep21 Jul07 Jun22     (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 2.50    
3  GIMME MO MONEY Dec23 Nov25 Nov13 Sep26 Sep12 (martinez esteban)MOJICA O 121 3.50 16% 5.30    
4  SHE'S MY FLAME Dec14 Nov29 Oct25 Oct14 Sep20 (mendoza)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 6.00    
5  SQUEEZE THE DAY Dec04 Jul27 May04 Apr11   (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 121 4.00 20% 4.10    
6  I HAVE A DREAM Dec18 Nov25 Jul06 Jun22   (birdwell tena)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00 42% 1.40    
7  AUDACITY OF FAITH Dec04 Aug11 Jul20 Jun29   (b)ROJAS EDUARD 121 10.00    
 
TUP-3   01/08/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENGLISH DANGER Dec23 Dec03 Nov19 Oct13 Sep06 (villamar candelari)MOJICA O 124 10.00    
2  PACIFIC ZIP Dec12 Nov25 Aug22 Aug03 Jul14 (brown r)MUIR SHAMAREE 124 4.00    
3  SHE'S A BOSSY GIRL Dec27 Dec03 Nov18 Oct02 Sep04 (vitali ma)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50 12% 7.20    
4  BADGER KITTEN Dec27 Nov30 Sep25 Sep01 Aug22 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.50 13% 6.80    
5  THE COMRIE RULE Dec04 Oct14 Sep29 Sep07 Aug24 (brown allen)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 6.00    
6  AUSTIN CITY GIRL Dec27 Dec18 Dec05 Nov18 Oct31 (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
7  PRANCE Nov30 Oct19 Oct06 Sep22 Aug31 (brown r)HUGHES RASHEED 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  YODA GLITZ Dec30 Dec03 Nov12 Sep25 Sep07 (kereluk ed)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 8.00    
 
TUP-4   01/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAILWAY Dec16 Oct27 Sep28 Sep07 Aug09 (anderso)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  ITS KRAKEN TIME Dec16 Dec02 Nov18 Sep15 Aug30 (wisdom anne)REYES R 122 4.00    
3  STOP AND A TRES Dec10 Nov25 Oct19 Sep08 Aug17 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WEDGE POND Dec10 Oct19 Oct13 Sep28 Sep13 (brown r)MUIR SHAMAREE 122 8.00    
5  SURPRSINGLYPERFECT Dec30 Dec16 Sep15 Aug11 Jul27 (evans )ASENCIO MARIANO 122 3.00 20% 4.00    
6  WINTER FALCON Dec28 Dec16 Dec02 Nov10 Oct20 (silva jr)NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00 47% 1.10    
7  QUARTERBACK DAK Nov01 Oct09 Sep13 Aug22 Jul12 (hodgson barry)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
8  GOLD MAGIC Dec10 Nov18 Oct20 Oct04 Sep26 (kenney rya)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 5.00    
 
TUP-5   01/08/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SET POINT (IRE) Dec16 Nov02 Oct19 May02   (laufenber)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 32% 2.10    
2  BEER MONEY Dec08 Nov29 Sep14 Aug24 Aug15 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 3.00    
3  ACES OVER DEUCES Nov30 Sep28 Sep13 Apr09 Mar19 (torres-casas al)NEGRON LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  COLONEL PUNCH Dec17 Nov30 Oct27 Oct19 Oct05 (lavanway dayson)KRIGGER K 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  LASMUIGH (GB) Nov24 Oct26 Oct05 Sep21 Nov18 (van debb)REYES R 124 12.00 22% 3.60    
6  CHIRAG Dec03 Nov14 Sep15 Aug16 Jul07 (woolley ben)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00    
7  WAITINGATTHEBAR Dec19 Nov18 Sep14 Sep07 Aug24 (nunnally j)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 8.00    
8  JACOB YEN Dec11 Nov18 Sep14 Sep06 Aug23 (monteverde alva)CORBETT W 124 5.00    
9  JUSTIN AZTECA Dec17 Nov26 Nov14 Sep28 Sep02 (lund valorie)CRUZ M 124 4.00 23% 3.40    
 
TUP-6   01/08/2025 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEE A BALI Nov25 Nov11 Oct18 Sep28 Sep14 (kenney rya)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 6.00    
2  FALL MOON Dec18 Nov25 Nov11 Sep14 Aug22 (woolley l)MOJICA O 124 4.00    
3  LOVEABOVEANDBEYOND Dec11 Nov21 Sep23 Jul30 Jul15 (buffalo marvin)CORBETT W 124 1.40 33% 2.00    
4  LUCKY STEPPER Dec18 Sep16 Sep04 Aug13 Jul23 (weaver go)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00    
5  WILLING TO BURN Dec11 Sep08 Aug25 Aug10 Jul20 (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 8.00 7% 13.90    
6  MERINO WOOL Dec12 Nov25 Jul28 Jul14 Jun07 (homer jason)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 6.00    
7  JOY IN GRACE Dec11 Nov25 Sep29 Sep22 Sep07 (brown r)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  CAN'THELPFALLIN (IRE) Sep11 Aug26 Aug03 Jul28 Jun18 (perez s)REYES R 124 10.00 8% 11.60    
 
TUP-7   01/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOCAL RED Dec19 Nov30 Oct13 Sep30 Sep16 (gibson howard )REYES R 124 5.00 34% 1.90    
2  MAD LUTHER Dec18 Nov30 Nov20 Aug03 Jul06 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50 20% 4.00    
3  ELUSIVE LOVE Dec19 Nov20 Apr30 Apr22 Apr03 (ortiz manue)KHELAWAN KERRON 124 4.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  MAHI MAHI Dec18 Nov25 Sep06 Aug25 Jul26 (garcia)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 20.00    
5  EMPEROR'S CHOICE Dec28 Dec05 Nov15 Oct26 Oct06 (leon alex)IRONEYES R 124 20.00    
6  MEET JOE Dec26 Dec09 Sep07 Aug25 Aug11 (kenney ryan)VERGARA P 124 5.00    
7  CALIFORNIA SWING Nov14 Sep25 Sep05 Aug10 Jul28 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00    
8  MARKSMAN ON TARGET Dec12 Nov30 Nov14 Oct11 Oct04 (bean a)CRUZ M 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  PANZER PRIDE Dec19 Oct31 Sep27 Aug11 Jul04 (ortiz isai)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 15.00    
10  HANDSOME HARRY Dec07 Sep26 Sep07 Aug10 Aug01 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.00 9% 9.80    
SCR  CONNECTER Dec27 Dec04 Nov20 Oct13 Oct06 (gibson how)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 20.00    
 
TUP-8   01/08/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRESNO CHILE Dec28 Nov24 Oct26 Sep14 Jun21 (peery debbie)LOPEZ KARLO 124 20.00    
2  CY'S SILKSTOCKING Dec12 Nov21 Aug01 Jul05 Jun22 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 4.00    
SCR  STARRY BEACH Dec19 Dec04 Nov19 Oct11 Sep09 (silva-martinez a)MAWING A 124 8.00    
4  INTRUSIVE Dec09 Nov26 Oct13 Oct07 Sep29 (perez hilario)KRIGGER K 124 15.00 10% 9.00    
5  IRISH SONG LEADER Nov30 Nov08 Sep07 Aug17 Apr15 (christian)JENSEN P 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  PARKER'S FIFTEEN Dec28 Sep15 Sep01 Aug16 Aug04 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 6.00    
7  ALMOST GOT LUCKY Dec28 Nov24 Nov10 Oct12 Jul14 (peery debbie)CRUZ M 124 10.00    
8  LADY YELLOWSTONE Dec19 Dec09 Nov09 Oct19 Oct12 (rosales)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 46% 1.20    
9  LEGAL MISCHIEF Dec19 May02 Apr16 Mar26 Apr22 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00    
10  SENSIBLE LUTE Dec28 Dec10 Nov29 Nov19 Sep13 (hernandez )GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 6.00 18% 4.40    
11  TIA SUZI Dec19 Nov12 Oct12 Sep15 Aug18 (kemper kasey)REYES R 124 20.00    
12  VANDULIE Dec28 Dec09 Sep08 Jul27 Jun29 (bullock steve)NEGRON LUIS 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.