Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - April 27, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (5/2/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/7/6)-(5/2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/7/6)-(5/2/7/6)-(5/2/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/7/6)-(5/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7/6)-(5/3)-(5/3/2/7) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
AQU-2   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/3)-(5/3/2/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(5/3/2/7)-(5/6/8/4/7) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
AQU-3   WIN (5/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/7)-(5/3/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/7)-(5/3/2/7)-(5/3/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/2/7)-(5/6/8/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2/7)-(5/6/8/4/7)-(2/15/6/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-4   WIN (5/6/8/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/8/4/7)-(5/6/8/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/8/4/7)-(5/6/8/4/7)-(5/6/8/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/6/8/4/7)-(2/15/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/6/8/4/7)-(2/15/6/10)-(6/8/2/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
AQU-5   WIN (2/15/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/15/6/10)-(2/15/6/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/15/6/10)-(2/15/6/10)-(2/15/6/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/15/6/10)-(6/8/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/15/6/10)-(6/8/2/3)-(7/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
AQU-6   WIN (6/8/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/2/3)-(6/8/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/2/3)-(6/8/2/3)-(6/8/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/2/3)-(7/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/8/2/3)-(7/3)-(2/6/3/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
AQU-7   WIN (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/3)-(7/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/3)-(2/6/3/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/3)-(2/6/3/1)-(9/2/4/7/16) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
AQU-8   WIN (2/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/3/1)-(2/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/3/1)-(2/6/3/1)-(2/6/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/3/1)-(9/2/4/7/16) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
AQU-9   WIN (9/2/4/7/16) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/2/4/7/16)-(9/2/4/7/16/13) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    TRI (9/2/4/7/16)-(9/2/4/7/16/13)-(9/2/4/7/16/13) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   04/27/2025 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LORD CAPTAIN Apr12 Sep14 Aug21 Jul31 Jun21 (rice li)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 6.00    
2  O P FIRECRACKER Mar14 Feb27 Dec12 Nov15 Oct26 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.60 28% 2.50    
3  CENTAVO Apr13 Apr04 Mar15 Feb23 Feb15 (chatterp)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 4.00    
4  COMMANDPERFORMANCE Apr06 Mar08 Feb15 Jan19 Dec15 (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 5.00    
5  KHAFRE Apr06 Mar21 Mar02 Jan19 Dec14 (quick j)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.00 43% 1.40    
6  RETAIL MAN Mar08 Jan23 Dec15 Nov19 Oct30 (johnston rob)SILVERA RUBEN 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  ALLABOUTTHEMONEY Apr05 Mar16 Mar02 Feb07 Jan23 (bernardini)RIVERA R 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-2   04/27/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($82K) 3 F PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARMY GAL Mar08 Mar02 Jan23     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 ★    
2  FORTUNA MIA Mar28 Mar01 Dec07 Nov02 Aug18 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 4.50    
3  TWIRLING BEAUTY Mar15         (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 5.00 25% 3.00    
4  ALLENHURST Mar09 Feb05 Jan01 Dec13 Oct12 (sacco gregory)FRANCO MANUEL 120 20.00    
5  BRILAND Aug18         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.40 29% 2.50    
6  NILO'S ROSE Jan16 Oct31 Sep28     (falcone)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 5.00    
 
AQU-3   04/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($76K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MESSI THE MAGICIAN Apr10 Feb08 Jan26 Jan11 Nov29 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 20.00    
2  WARALO Mar15 Feb22 Jan30 Apr19 Feb24 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00 15% 5.70    
3  ON THE HILL Mar15 Feb08 Jan11 Nov20 Aug21 (bond harold )CASTELLANO J 123 6.00 22% 3.60    
4  RUNANDSCORE Apr06 Mar20 Feb26 Aug27 Jul31 (rodriguez mi)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 2.00    
5  SCHLOMO Mar16 Feb14 May18 Apr20 Mar24 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50 34% 2.00    
6  STEWIE Apr05 Mar14 Jan30 Nov05 Oct04 (begg ja)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 4.00    
7  THANK YOU JON Apr12 Mar16 Feb09 Jan12 Jan04 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-4   04/27/2025 5610ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($76K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M SOLO N IN LOVE Apr11 Mar16 Feb14 Jan26 Jan10 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00    
1A  SOLO EMPIRE Apr06 Mar15 Feb21 Jan25 Dec29 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 15.00    
2  NEW YORK PANTHER Jan18 Dec07 Nov10 Oct11 Sep21 (mcmahon )GOMEZ ANTONIO 127 20.00    
3  THE PADDOCK PASTOR Feb14 Jan17 Dec05 Oct17 Sep07 (green amelia )ORTIZ JR 125 5.00    
4  COURTLY BANKER Oct18 Sep21 Aug15 Jul18 Jun16 (tagg barclay)VELAZQUEZ R 125 6.00 6% 16.90    
5  SMOOTH BREEZE Mar01 Nov16 Sep28 Aug30   (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50 28% 2.60    
6  ROYAL BROWNE Nov16 Oct12 Jul26 Jun14 May18 (dutrow richard)LUZZI J 125 5.00 25% 3.00    
7  WILLINTORISKITALL Mar08 Feb15 Jan26 Dec14 Sep29 (ferraro james)OLVER MADISON 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  WAIT FOR ME Feb23         (walsh brendan)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 19% 4.30    
9  PAY THE JUICE Jan11 Oct27 Sep22 Aug16 Jul24 (mcgaughey claud)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00    
 
AQU-5   04/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLOY JOY         (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of BARREL OF JOY by DISCO RICO)
2  PERUGIA (IRE) Aug25         (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 30% 2.40    
  (by FROSTED out of BRIDGEHAMPTON by BERNARDINI)
SCR  PUREST PERFORMANCE Dec01 Nov17 Nov09 Oct24 Sep14 (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 125 30.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of PURE ONE by MACHO UNO)
SCR  WILD MISCHIEF Feb08 Dec28 Nov22 Oct26 Sep02 (maker j)CANCEL ERIC 118 4.00    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of WILD BILL'S GIRL by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  MEGA CHANGER Feb08         (synnefia)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
  (by NAME CHANGER out of MEGAHERTZ by PIVOTAL)
6  SUNSHINE LILY Mar29 Mar08       (diprima gregory)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00 19% 4.30    
  (by VEKOMA out of SILKEN LILY by GRAND SLAM)
SCR  MOMMY'S TURN Dec28         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of HARD TO STAY NOTGO by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  MISS UPROAR Mar23 Feb27 Jan16 Dec29 Nov17 (abreu )MARAGH RAMSAY 125 20.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of FOREST UPROAR by FOREST WILDCAT)
SCR  LADY DELILAH Nov02 Sep20 Sep02 Jul25   (ferraro w)DAVIS KATIE 118 15.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of MARIE ANTOINETTE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
10  JULITA Mar29 Jan10       (duggan dav)RIVERA R 118 8.00 7% 12.60    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of FIRST SALUTE by MIDSHIPMAN)
11  INAMORATA Mar29         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of INDY'S LADY by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
12  BODEGAS         (bond harold )CASTELLANO J 118 12.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of LIFT by IRISH OPEN)
13  BROKEN ZIPPER Mar23 Feb28 Feb01     (gidding)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 30.00    
  (by MR. MONOMOY out of IN THE JEANS by UNION RAGS)
SCR  JE T'ADORE Feb13 Nov16       (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of JE T'AIME by GOLD TOKEN)
15  LOLLIPOPS Mar29         (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 22% 3.50    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of WILDCAT BELLE by INTIDAB)
 
AQU-6   04/27/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISS TIRAMISU Dec14 Nov16       (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50    
  (by NAME CHANGER out of FASTENER by ROMAN RULER)
2  LADY LOOIE         (schettino domi)CEDENO CAROL 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of NOT NOW HILLARY by BLUEGRASS CAT)
3  GARDEN OF GRACE         (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of PEERESS by AMERICAIN)
4  TOP SPIN ACE         (mott william)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of TWIXT AND SHOUT by DISCREET CAT)
5  MUNNINGS EXPRESS         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of FREUDIE ANNE by FREUD)
6  KAY CUP Aug30         (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 59% 0.70    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of GYPSY JO by LEMON DROP KID)
7  APERITIF         (merryman elizab)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of BIG THRILL by BIG DRAMA)
8  DEAR MOON Mar29         (rice li)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 3.50 15% 5.70    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of DEARLY DECLARED by DECLARATION OF WAR)
 
AQU-7   04/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($82K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ICAN Mar15 Feb14 Jan04 Dec06 Oct15 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 120 20.00    
SCR  TOGA D'ORO Apr06 Mar01 Feb07     (dutrow richar)VELAZQUEZ R 122 30.00    
3  GARAMOND Mar01 Jan25       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  KEEWAYDIN Dec07 Oct12 Aug24     (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50    
SCR  SAND DEVIL Apr05 Mar01 Feb08 Jan02 Dec08 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00    
6  MY MITOLE Apr05 Mar01 Feb14 Nov07 Jun15 (martin )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 20.00    
7  CORNUCOPIAN Mar29 Feb23       (baffert bob)ORTIZ JR 122 0.60 43% 1.30    
SCR  NATIONAL LAW Dec03 Sep07 Jul28     (duarte)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 30.00    
 
AQU-8   04/27/2025 5280ft TURF RC11 GOOD Memories Of Silver Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICONA MAMA Mar15 Feb22 Nov27 Oct05 Sep14 (stites flint )SILVERA RUBEN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of CLASSE SIGNORA by BERNSTEIN)
2  LAURELIN (IRE) Nov17 Oct13       (motion graham)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.00 27% 2.70    
  (by ZARAK out of BARI by CAPE CROSS)
3  ITALIAN SOIREE Feb08 Oct04 Sep14 Aug04 Jul04 (terranova joh)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00 21% 3.90    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SOCIAL CALL by TOPSIDER)
SCR  SHESINAMOOD Apr13 Aug28       (giddings melan)LEZCANO JOSE 118 30.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of MOOD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  OPULENT RESTRAINT (IRE) Mar08 Oct20 Sep01 Jul28   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00    
  (by DUBAWI out of SIGNIFICANT FORM by CREATIVE CAUSE)
6  CANDY QUEST Mar29 Mar08 Feb05 Oct03   (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 24% 3.20    
  (by CONNECT out of CANDY CRUSH by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  LOVE CERVERE Mar29 Jan04 Nov01     (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of PANTHER STRIKE by BLACK MINNALOUSHE)
8  BURNER ACCOUNT Mar22 Mar04 Feb12 Nov07 Sep28 (rodriguez m)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 20.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of WIN MONEY MY HONEY by AWESOME AGAIN)
9  VIRGIN COLADA Nov01 Oct06 Aug28 Jul21   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of EPISCOPAL by CARPE DIEM (FR))
SCR  BERNIEANDTHEROSE Mar08 Feb08 Nov24 Nov03 Oct05 (schettino domin)DAVIS KATIE 120 1.60    
  (by ACCELERATE out of BERNING ROSE by FREUD)
 
AQU-9   04/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TANGO TANGO         (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of DIVADORA by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
2  MOTEL PATEL Mar29 Mar13 Feb13 Jan16 Dec14 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 15% 5.70    
  (by VOLATILE out of SCAT'S LASSIE by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  RHYTON         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50    
  (by KANTHAROS out of UNLIMITED RESOURCE by BROKEN VOW)
4  ROOFER Mar16 Mar01 Feb08 Jan04 Dec15 (friedman mitc)SILVERA RUBEN 118 10.00 14% 6.20    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of MEMORIES OF MOM by INCLUDE)
5  EIGHTY GOLD         (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of WEEKEND HOTTIE by SUN KING)
6  NOTHINGBUTNITRO         (davis g)DAVIS KATIE 118 30.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of SYDNEY'S LEXINGTON by OUTOFTHEBOX)
7  NO PROBLEM         (casse mark)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of G NOTE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
8  DISCO DERVISH Mar29 Mar01 Jan11     (lugovich lisa )LUZZI J 118 30.00    
  (by DISCO PARTNER out of MAD AS THE DEVIL by DEVIL HIS DUE)
9  LEON BLUE Nov03 Sep22 Jul24     (gidding)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 2.00 51% 1.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of ALANA'S ALLURE by SHACKLEFORD)
10  STORMY BIRTHDAY Oct27 Sep29 Aug16     (ribaud)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of BIRTHDAY GIFT by HAT TRICK)
SCR  COUSIN ED Mar09 Jan12 Dec14 Oct17 Sep13 (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 125 5.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of QUIET ENDING by LANGFUHR)
12  BLUE PILL         (ferra)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of STEEL SHED by THEATRICAL (IRE))
13  TOGA DAN Mar29 Mar01       (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 ★    
  (by SOLOMINI out of QUEEN KAHEN by PAYNTER)
14  ARCH'S ASSAULT Nov30 Nov03 Sep23     (baker charlton)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of ARCH'S SMILE by ARCH)
SCR  MOZAMBIQUE Nov02 Sep02       (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of YOUNG ANNA LEE by POSSE)
16  KINGS AND QUEENS Mar14         (sacco gregory)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of DEEP CONNECTION by SKY MESA)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.