Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Thursday - April 10, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(1/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(1/2/3)-(5/4/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(5/4/3)-(4/5/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-3   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(4/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(4/5/3)-(2/4/3/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(2/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(2/4/3/1)-(1/2/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-5   WIN (2/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/1)-(2/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/1)-(2/4/3/1)-(2/4/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/3/1)-(1/2/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3/1)-(1/2/4/5)-(1/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-6   WIN (1/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/4/5)-(1/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/5)-(1/2/4/5)-(1/2/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/4/5)-(1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4/5)-(1/5/3)-(5/1/8/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-7   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(5/1/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-8   WIN (5/1/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/8/3)-(5/1/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/8/3)-(5/1/8/3)-(5/1/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   04/10/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDCREST Mar28 Feb21 Feb07 Aug29 Jul28 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.00 24% 3.10    
2  JACKIE THE JOKER Mar28 Mar16 Feb15 Jan25 Jan03 (ferraro james )LUZZI J 121 12.00    
3  R FUNNY BIZNESS Mar29 Feb15 Feb01 Jan03 Dec08 (romero jes)RIVERA R 123 8.00 7% 12.80    
4  MAGGIE T Mar16 Feb15 Jan30 Jan01 Dec14 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 2.50    
5  COLLECT DATTT Apr03 Mar16 Mar02 Jan25 Nov05 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 1.60 47% 1.10    
6  SHEZANARCTICQUEEN Mar28 Mar07 Feb15 Jan19 Dec15 (jones eduardo)OLVER MADISON 123 12.00    
 
AQU-2   04/10/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROMAN GODDESS Mar21 Feb15 Dec29 Nov14 Oct20 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 125 1.60 28% 2.50    
2  MAD FOR MADDY Mar02 Feb09 Dec13 Nov15 Oct16 (allard edward )CEDENO CAROL 118 4.50 26% 2.90    
3  LA GROTTE Mar28 Feb27 Feb02 Jan18 Dec27 (johnston rob)SILVERA RUBEN 125 8.00 16% 5.40    
4  FAST KIMMIE Aug10 Apr27 Apr19 Mar15 Jan24 (serpe ph)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 5.00    
5  HARLAN'S BOND Mar15 Feb06 Dec12 Nov21 Jun15 (rodriguez gu)CASTELLANO J 125 2.00    
6  TROUBLED LUCK Mar28 Mar14 Feb27 Feb02 Jan16 (delaur)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 10.00    
 
AQU-3   04/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  BOBBY BOB Mar21 Jan24 Dec27 Nov22   (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
SCR  CARLIN CONTENTION         (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 8.00    
2  PARTY WITH SMARTY Mar23 Jan01 Nov08 Oct18 Oct05 (gutier)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 12.00    
3  PANDEMIC HERO Sep14 Jul24       (jimenez jose)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  DARK DEVIL Mar07 Jan16 Dec13 Nov08 Oct03 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 125 3.00 30% 2.40    
5  FRANTIC Mar15 Feb16       (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.80 46% 1.20    
6  TEARS IN RAIN Nov16         (dutrow richard)LUZZI J 118 2.00    
 
AQU-4   04/10/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOR SOME REASON Jan05 Nov14 Oct24 Sep15 Aug22 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 3.50    
2  TETSU Feb21 Apr19 Mar30 Feb19 Feb09 (dutrow richard)LUZZI J 121 2.50    
3  BREW PUB Mar09 Feb09 Dec13 Nov22 Oct23 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  AMUNDSON Mar14 Feb21 Jul27 Jul06 May05 (kantarmaci ilka)DAVIS DYLAN 121 2.00 54% 0.90    
5  HE'SMYHONEYBADGER Mar09 Feb09 Aug01 Jun29 May09 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 18% 4.50    
6  BAD LARRY Mar29 Mar15 Mar08 Feb02 Jan18 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 20.00    
 
AQU-5   04/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRACEFUL ROSE Mar09 Feb21 Jan23 Dec29 Dec13 (gorham michael )CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 13% 6.80    
2  QUIET CONFIDENCE Mar09 Jan16 Dec18 Nov15 Oct11 (ryerson t)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.00 27% 2.70    
3  I'M KIDDING Mar02 Jan16 Dec29 May24   (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 121 10.00 13% 6.50    
4  SCARBOROUGH FAIR Mar23 Mar09 Feb13 Dec27 Sep07 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00 15% 5.60    
5  HANDLE ON YOU Apr14 Mar14 Feb29 Jan19 Dec28 (rodriguez r)GONZALEZ MELVIS 114 15.00    
6  ARTEMIS SOUND Feb09 Oct18 Sep14 Aug17 Jul20 (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00    
7  DANGEROUS AFFAIR Jan25 Dec15 Nov16 Oct25 Aug02 (antonucci je)CASTELLANO J 123 3.50    
 
AQU-6   04/10/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  BLOWN COVER Feb02 Jul14 Apr14 Feb24 Jan07 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 0.80 41% 1.40    
SCR  B FIFTY TWO Mar21 Jul04 May09 Mar21 Jan21 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 0.80    
2  TORPEDO RUN Mar12 Nov21 Oct17 Sep14 Aug03 (catalano l)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 28% 2.60    
3  FIRST TRUMPET Mar29 Feb28 Jan30 Jan17 Jan05 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 10.00    
4  MESSI THE MAGICIAN Feb08 Jan26 Jan11 Nov29 Nov15 (shivman)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 5.00 8% 11.40    
5  NOBLE HUNTSMAN Feb13 Jan19 Jan03 Nov29 Nov03 (friedman mitch)LUZZI J 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  TWIRLING VINE Mar08 Feb14 Jul27 Apr26 Mar21 (lugovi)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 20.00    
7  MAJESTIC ARC Mar21 Mar09 Jan11 Dec28 Dec01 (shivmangal loli)DAVIS KATIE 123 20.00    
 
AQU-7   04/10/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($76K) 3 F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POCKET QUEENS Mar15 Jan19 Dec13 Nov02   (clement christo)CANCEL ERIC 122 3.00 33% 2.10    
2  CARMEN'S CANDY JAR Mar21 Jan17 Dec07 Oct27 Sep22 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50    
3  CARA'S DREAMWEAVER Mar21 Mar02 Feb01 Jan10 Dec01 (friedman mitc)SILVERA RUBEN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  PRETTY MAGICAL Feb28 Jan05 Dec14 Nov16 Aug22 (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 122 3.50    
5  LADY RAINICORN Mar16 Feb22       (morey william )LUZZI J 122 4.50 24% 3.20    
6  VALTELLINA Mar02 Jan17 Nov17 Oct27 Sep22 (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 4.00    
SCR  ROYAL BOBBIE Mar23 Jan10       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
 
AQU-8   04/10/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JERRY'S OUT Feb28 Jan17 Dec14 Oct17 Aug17 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 1.60 29% 2.50    
SCR  I'M SOLO N IN LOVE Mar16 Feb14 Jan26 Jan10 Nov29 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60    
2  STEEL VENGEANCE Mar09 Feb28 Jan24 Dec28 Nov22 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
3  E Z BOURBON Mar21 Feb14 Jan11     (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  UNBROKEN CHAIN Mar01 Feb08       (martin )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 15.00    
5  LOU Mar16 Feb01 Nov30 Nov09 Oct19 (green )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
6  MILES AND MILES Mar16 Feb22 Nov15 Sep22 Sep02 (englehart chri)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00    
7  JUST LICORICE Mar16 Feb08 Jan17 Jan05 Nov15 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00    
8  BERNIE GOES BOOM Mar09 Feb02 Dec27 Dec08 Nov14 (miceli micha)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.