Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - March 02, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(5/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(5/1/4)-(5/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(5/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(5/3/4)-(7/3/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-3   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(7/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(7/3/6)-(4/6/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/6)-(7/3/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/6)-(7/3/2/6)-(7/3/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/3/6)-(4/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/6)-(4/6/3/2)-(1/7/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-5   WIN (4/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/3/2)-(4/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/3/2)-(4/6/3/2)-(4/6/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/3/2)-(1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3/2)-(1/7/5)-(2/5/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-6   WIN (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/5)-(1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/5)-(2/5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5)-(2/5/4/3)-(5/8/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-7   WIN (2/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/3)-(2/5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/3)-(2/5/4/3)-(2/5/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/4/3)-(5/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4/3)-(5/8/4)-(1/8/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-8   WIN (5/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/4)-(5/8/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/8/4)-(5/8/4)-(5/8/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/8/4)-(1/8/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-9   WIN (1/8/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/4/3)-(1/8/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/4/3)-(1/8/4/3)-(1/8/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   03/02/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($54K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRZINA Jan10 Dec15 Dec06 Oct16 Sep21 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 123 3.00 34% 2.00    
2  SHETALKSTOMUCH Jan29 Dec02 Nov13 Oct08 Sep24 (padilla esteba)ADORNO ABNER 123 6.00 13% 6.50    
3  SHESALITTLE EDGY Feb01 Jan10 Dec12 Oct20 Sep29 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 1.60    
4  KITTEN'S APPEAL Dec06 Sep27 Aug24 Jul20 May26 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 121 6.00 21% 3.80    
5  COLLECT DATTT Jan25 Nov05 Sep26 Sep10 Sep02 (johnst)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 15.00    
6  WILLOW BEND Feb01 Dec29 Dec12 Nov10 Oct06 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50    
 
AQU-2   03/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Correction Purse ($125K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNDAY GIRL Feb01 Dec27 Nov23 Jul11 Jun09 (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 120 2.00 25% 3.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LADY DAPHNE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  DISCO EBO Feb06 Dec31 Nov25 Nov05 Jul26 (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 118 4.50    
  (by WEIGELIA out of KATARICA DISCO by DISCO RICO)
3  NEVERWALKALONE (BRZ) Jan24 Sep05 Aug04 Jun22   (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.50    
  (by AGNES GOLD out of ZAFIRA by REDATTORE (BRZ))
4  SHOP LIFTING Feb21 Jan31 Dec01 Oct31 Sep21 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MISS SHOP by DEPUTY MINISTER)
5  ST. BENEDICTS PREP Feb15 Jan25 Jan18 Jan02 Nov22 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.00 46% 1.20    
  (by FLATTER out of LINE by MR. PROSPECTOR)
 
AQU-3   03/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($76K) 3 F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARA'S DREAMWEAVER Feb01 Jan10 Dec01 Nov03 Sep13 (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 122 8.00    
2  D'S A ROCK Jan30 Dec14 Nov17 Oct06   (potts wayne)FRANCO MANUEL 115 2.00    
3  BAM'S BLISS KISS Dec14 Nov17 Oct05 Aug25   (duggan dav)RIVERA R 122 1.80 25% 3.00    
4  APRIL STORM Nov11 Oct28       (donk david)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00 11% 8.10    
5  ARMY GAL Jan23         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00 41% 1.50    
6  VALTELLINA Jan17 Nov17 Oct27 Sep22 Aug30 (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00    
 
AQU-4   03/02/2025 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M KIDDING Jan16 Dec29 May24     (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 125 4.00    
2  SHE'S WICKED SMART Feb13 Jan24 Dec15 Nov10 Aug02 (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 125 3.50 ★    
3  LONG LEGGED QUEEN Jan31 Nov16 Oct20 Aug17 Jun25 (lee jo)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 3.00 25% 3.10    
4  SOUNDS OF SUMMER         (baker charlton)DAVIS KATIE 125 12.00    
5  OTHERPEOPLESMONEY         (chich)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00    
6  CAJUNETTE Feb13 Dec19 Nov29 Sep22 Sep01 (barker r)CANCEL ERIC 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  MULKEY May11 Apr13       (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 125 1.60 46% 1.20    
 
AQU-5   03/02/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($74K) 3 ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISMEHOLDMETHRLME Feb21 Feb08       (arriaga antonio)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of MOOLAH SCHMOOLAH by UNION RAGS)
2  HOME INVASION         (lawrence james)ADORNO ABNER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of CLASS E HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
3  DR. BARRY Nov27 Nov18       (de hor)RIVERA R 120 8.00 18% 4.50    
  (by BLAME out of MINDY GOLD by A.P. INDY)
4  THE TIRE MAN Feb01 Dec03 Nov04 Oct07 Aug20 (linder jr)RUIZ ELISEO 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by FROSTED out of LITERATA by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
5  ROMEO VOID Jan26 Dec28 Nov15 Nov03 Sep22 (green a)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 3.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of TAPITINSILVER by TAPIT)
6  OUTSOURCE Feb01 Jan04 Nov23     (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80 22% 3.60    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of TRADE AGREEMENT by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
7  PISTOL HIP SAM         (terran)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of AS I PLEASE by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
 
AQU-6   03/02/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAYWING Jan30 Jan11 Dec15 Nov15 Oct04 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.60 56% 0.80    
2  J J'S JOKER Feb02 Jan24 Jan17 Dec13 Dec06 (potts wayne)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.50    
3  HONORARY DEGREE Feb14 Jan30 Jan19 Jan02 Dec14 (jones eduardo )CEDENO CAROL 121 12.00    
4  SCARAMANGA (IRE) Jan10 Dec08 Nov23 Oct11 Aug22 (shivman)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 15.00    
5  BEST BET Dec28 Nov09 May12 Apr04 Mar08 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  POPPY'S PRIDE Feb12 Jan30 Nov23 Nov01 Oct19 (catalano l)LUZZI J 121 5.00    
7  BORRACHO Feb12 Feb01 Dec31 Nov26 Oct17 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 123 3.00 16% 5.30    
 
AQU-7   03/02/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  HE'S GOT THIS Feb02 Jan10 Jan03 Nov08 Oct26 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 121 2.50    
SCR  SPLENDOR BEAUTY Feb16 Jan26 Dec29 Dec04 Nov25 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 2.50    
2  MAJESTIC FRONTIER Feb07 Jan18 Jan03 Nov27 Oct21 (d'alessandro r)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.50 29% 2.40    
3  GUN MAESTRO Feb14 Feb02 Aug04 Jun30 Jun16 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  KHAFRE Jan19 Dec14 Nov24 Oct10 Sep19 (quick p)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 6.00 14% 6.30    
5  HIGH TIDE Feb02 Jan19 Nov14 Oct13 Sep21 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.00 22% 3.60    
6  KAHALA Feb07 Jan24 Nov14 Oct17 Oct01 (kantarmaci ilka)VIVES SOFIA 123 6.00    
7  ALLABOUTTHEMONEY Feb07 Jan23 Dec14 Nov24 Nov14 (bernardini juan)CARMOUCHE K 121 5.00    
8  PRINCE OF JOY Feb15 Jan23 Jan02 Dec15 Dec06 (legall r)DAVIS A 121 15.00    
 
AQU-8   03/02/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($49K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M BUZZY Jan19 Dec12 Nov16 Sep22 Aug03 (baker charl)ROBLES O 118 2.50    
2  TONED UP Jan30 Jan12 Oct19 Aug01 Jul11 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00    
SCR  IRISH JACKSON Dec12 Nov09 Jun30 May24 Apr07 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 15.00    
4  FOXY CARA Feb09 Jan10 Nov21 Oct20 Sep26 (friedman mitch)LUZZI J 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  SAVE US MELANIA Dec27 Dec13 Nov16 Sep19 Aug11 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.40 66% 0.50    
SCR  ECHO IN ETERNITY Dec12 Nov07 Oct10 Sep13 Aug14 (levine bruce)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00    
7  AUTUMN GLORY Jan12 Dec14 Oct10 Sep13 Jul24 (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 123 20.00    
8  CHASING DAYLIGHT Jan24 Jan12 Dec15 Oct24 Sep27 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00 5% 18.30    
 
AQU-9   03/02/2025 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUE CONNECTION Feb06 Jan16 Nov29 Nov07 Jul06 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 126 1.00 ★    
1A  VERY SATISFACTORY Feb06 Dec14 Nov21 Oct05 Jul15 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 126 1.00 46% 1.20    
2  BELMONT UNION Feb02         (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 20.00    
3  BAD BOY BUTCH Feb06 Jan16 Nov21 Oct17 Aug04 (sacco g)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  LIMITS OF POWER Feb06 Jan05 Nov24 Oct01   (potts wayne)CEDENO CAROL 126 10.00 9% 9.60    
SCR  LCGOLUCKY Feb15 Jan26 Jan19 Jan05 Dec14 (ferraro jam)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 126 30.00    
6  NOBLE ONE Feb06 Jan05 Dec14 Nov21 May12 (pregman john)HARKIE K 126 30.00    
7  TIZ THE PRINCE Dec15 Nov30 Nov02 Oct04 Aug18 (duggan dav)RIVERA R 126 4.00    
8  FLUFF THE PILLOW Dec29 Feb11 Dec29 Nov24   (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 126 3.00 21% 3.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.