Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Friday - February 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (3/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/2)-(3/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/2)-(3/6/5/2)-(3/6/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/5/2)-(1/6/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5/2)-(1/6/8/7)-(8/7/5/3/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-2   WIN (1/6/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/8/7)-(1/6/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/8/7)-(1/6/8/7)-(1/6/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/8/7)-(8/7/5/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/6/8/7)-(8/7/5/3/1)-(10/9/5/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-3   WIN (8/7/5/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/7/5/3/1)-(8/7/5/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/7/5/3/1)-(8/7/5/3/1)-(8/7/5/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/7/5/3/1)-(10/9/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/7/5/3/1)-(10/9/5/3)-(3/5/10/4/1) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-4   WIN (10/9/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/9/5/3)-(10/9/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/9/5/3)-(10/9/5/3)-(10/9/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/9/5/3)-(3/5/10/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/9/5/3)-(3/5/10/4/1)-(6/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-5   WIN (3/5/10/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/10/4/1)-(3/5/10/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/5/10/4/1)-(3/5/10/4/1)-(3/5/10/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/5/10/4/1)-(6/5/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/5/10/4/1)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2/10/4) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
FG-6   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/1/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/1/5/2)-(6/1/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(6/5/2/10/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(6/5/2/10/4)-(3/10/8/7/1) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
FG-7   WIN (6/5/2/10/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/2/10/4)-(6/5/2/10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/2/10/4)-(6/5/2/10/4)-(6/5/2/10/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/5/2/10/4)-(3/10/8/7/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
FG-8   WIN (3/10/8/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/10/8/7/1)-(3/10/8/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/10/8/7/1)-(3/10/8/7/1)-(3/10/8/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   02/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KINSMAN REDEEMER Jan31 Apr26 Mar15 Feb02 Jan05 (bourgeois ke)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 2.50    
2  METRONOME Jan31 Dec20 Nov29 Sep17 Sep04 (zeringue w)ROWLAND MADELINE 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  KNOCK'EM OUT JERRY Jan07 Jul24 May13 Mar23 Feb23 (duhon jos)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 4.50 50% 1.00    
4  C F CANTGOFORTHAT Apr06         (larrosa juan )MORALES EDGAR 125 12.00    
5  WHOLEHEARTEDLY Jan31 Jan05 May30 May11   (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 3.00 6% 15.20    
6  TAMASHI Nov29 Nov03 Oct12 Sep08   (hartman chris)CANNON DECLAN 125 5.00 14% 6.10    
7  RAGNOW Feb01 Jan11 Dec19 Sep20   (desormeaux j)TORRES A 117 3.50    
 
FG-2   02/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALL MY BANKER Jan31 Jan08 Dec06 Nov27 Oct30 (wong jonathan)MORALES EDGAR 124 2.00 59% 0.70    
SCR  PESO IN MY POCKET Jan19 Jan01 Dec05 Sep11 Aug14 (munoz yovan)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 15.00    
3  NOTION Jan24 Nov30 Aug31 Jul06 Jun14 (munoz yovani)TORRES A 120 4.00    
4  SCOOTERANDDABIGMAN Jan31 Dec06 Nov07 Aug15 Jul20 (romero ma)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00    
5  ONCOMING TRAIN Jan30 Jan10 Dec26 Nov14 Sep15 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 122 8.00    
6  GLOBAL PRIDE Jan31 Jan10 Dec16 Dec08 Oct13 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 10% 9.50    
7  CRYPTOZONIC Jan05 Nov05 Sep25 Sep09 Aug20 (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  TWIRLING ROSES Jan31 Jan10 Dec29 Dec13 Oct13 (ramirez-rodrigu)MCMAHON J 120 6.00 6% 14.80    
 
FG-3   02/21/2025 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAZILLION Jan25 Mar10 Feb18 Jan06 Dec21 (brinkman br)ASTUDILLO FELIX 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  CHEVAL B Jan31 Jan09 Dec15 Nov04 Sep08 (lopez eli)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 5.00    
3  STAR ANISE Jan04 Dec07 Oct10 Sep21 Sep04 (brinkman brett)CURTIS BEN 125 4.50 5% 19.00    
4  LYNNA Jan16 Dec26 Dec06 Aug23 Jul29 (cohn alice)ROWLAND MADELINE 125 20.00    
5  ASH WEDNESDAY Jan25 Nov28 Mar03     (mcgee pau)HERNANDEZ J 125 3.50 10% 9.40    
6  WAYZATA Jan20 Nov30 Oct27     (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 117 6.00    
7  DARING HOPE Jan27 Nov03       (tomlinson m)CONCEPCION AXEL 125 6.00 22% 3.50    
8  MISCHIEF LILY Jan17 Dec11 Nov05 Oct15 Sep24 (scherer eric )MORALES EDGAR 125 5.00 43% 1.30    
9  TRUST FUND BABY Jan25 Dec20 Sep26 Sep04 Aug12 (mickelson judy)RIQUELME J 125 20.00    
10  PROMDATEBONNIE Dec20 Nov16 Oct24 Sep15 Feb18 (handal raymo)GEROUX FLORENT 125 12.00    
 
FG-4   02/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAIRO CHARM Feb06 May24 Apr13 Mar01 Jan18 (bourgeois ke)GEROUX FLORENT 122 12.00    
SCR  WANNAWHOLELOTTALUV Dec29 Dec14 Aug31 Aug12   (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 114 5.00    
3  COPPER CRUSH Feb06 Jan01 Nov29 Oct16 Sep14 (schwandt e)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  ASPEN LINK Jan31 Jan10 Dec12 Sep09 Aug01 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 122 10.00    
5  HONOR HIS HALF Feb06 Jan16 Dec07     (rodriguez )WELLINGTON KYLIE 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  RUNTOLIVE Feb06 Jan12 Dec07 Oct30 Aug16 (larrosa juan )MORALES EDGAR 122 4.50    
SCR  DREAMY DEAL Feb12 Jan30 Dec13 Nov16 Oct25 (latour nicholas)MCMAHON J 114 15.00    
SCR  SASSY SPRY Jan16 Dec21 Dec04 Nov07 Jan27 (thomas lee)RIQUELME J 122 12.00    
9  MIKA ELLA PIKA Feb07 Jan17       (ney john)MURRAY M 125 8.00 31% 2.20    
10  RADIANT REBEL Feb06 Jan12 Dec26 Dec06 Sep24 (hamilton sa)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 4.00 41% 1.40    
11  MIA ANTONIA Jan12 Dec22 Jun17 May06 Mar08 (west patr)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 8.00    
 
FG-5   02/21/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST JIMMY Jan11 Nov27 Nov03 Sep22 Sep07 (forster grant)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BOURBON LIFE Jan19 Nov21 Oct10 Sep12 Aug22 (van t)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00    
3  BATTLE SCARS Jan30 Dec19 Oct13 Sep12 May25 (claire ale)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00 39% 1.60    
4  SIVAKO Jan30 Dec19 Nov24 Oct13 Aug25 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  OPTIMUS KAT Jan30 Jan09 Dec16 Aug22 Jul04 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 124 3.00 20% 3.90    
6  ROWDY JESS Jan15 Dec22 Nov24 Nov01 Oct04 (tillis jerr)ASTUDILLO FELIX 116 50.00    
7  SOUTH SIDE Jan17 Dec14 Nov24 Oct29 Aug02 (bourgeois ke)GEROUX FLORENT 121 6.00    
8  CLARESTOWN Nov30 Oct16 Oct03 Sep03 Jul16 (schwandt emile)MCMAHON J 121 20.00    
9  PROWLING TIGER Jan30 Jan09 Dec19 Nov08 Jul08 (govea cesar)TORRES A 121 10.00    
10  GENTLE SOUL Jan30 Jan09 Dec19 Nov28 Oct24 (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 2.50 15% 5.50    
 
FG-6   02/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HESPER Jan19 Dec19 Nov23     (foley gre)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 5.00 ★    
2  HAWIJA Dec19 Nov22 Oct10 Aug03 Jun23 (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 5% 19.00    
3  CLASSIC TIME Aug16 Jul12 May24     (casse w)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
4  GABBYS BLING Feb06 Jan24 Dec13 Nov23 Oct25 (cangemi da)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 20.00    
5  PAIR OF SOCKS Jan18 Dec01 Nov14     (stewart dalla)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.50 7% 14.10    
6  VOILA MAGIC Feb01 Dec29 Dec14 Nov22 Oct25 (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 119 1.80 56% 0.80    
7  DISTINCTLY GOLDEN Dec13 Nov02 Oct10 Aug03   (gelner j)MCMAHON J 119 5.00    
 
FG-7   02/21/2025 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAMPAGIUS Jan24 Dec21 Mar08 Jan31   (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 125 6.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of TEJIDA by RAHY)
2  KING ROSSO Jan24 Dec27 Oct27 Sep29 Sep02 (scherer gary)COHEN DAVID 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of CATCH THE FIRE by KITTEN'S JOY)
3  SEAVILLE Feb02 Jan24 Jul26 Jun28 May08 (ladner chad)GREEN AUBRIE 125 30.00    
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of HUMORISTICA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4  ELKO COUNTY Jan17 Nov14 Sep29 Sep02 Aug21 (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of STRONGER THAN EVER by CONGRATS)
5  EL MAGNIFICO Jan04 Oct31 Apr06 Feb17 Jan13 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 125 4.00 6% 15.60    
  (by STREET SENSE out of SECRET JEWEL by BERNARDINI)
6  ENGLISH CHUNNEL Jan24 Jul22 Jun16     (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 6.00 63% 0.60    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of INTERROGATION by KITTEN'S JOY)
7  HARD PAR Feb02 Dec27 Nov07 Aug30 Jul26 (handal ray)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 12.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MAID ON A MISSION by STRATEGIC MISSION)
8  FINN MCSORLEY Dec27 Nov24 Nov03 Oct10 Dec15 (pessin ne)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 10.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of GLORIOUS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
9  INITIALIZE Nov29 Oct24       (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 125 4.50    
  (by WAR FRONT out of SHURUQ by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
10  TICKLED QUIST Dec01 Sep14 Aug26     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of TICKLED PINK by SHACKLEFORD)
11  THE COMMACK KID         (stidham mich)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 12.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of TIFFANY'S GAL by LIAM'S MAP)
SCR  PRETTY CAPABLE Jan18 Dec21 Nov28     (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 117 3.50    
  (by TAPIT out of LOVE ON THE RUN by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  GLOBAL QUOTE Jan18 Nov16       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 117 6.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of LOVE QUOTE by TAPIT)
 
FG-8   02/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAZZ Jan25 Jan10 Dec07 Apr12 Feb23 (zenon charles)RIQUELME J 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  REBIND Feb07 Jan02 Dec14 Nov02 Aug31 (tillis jer)WELLINGTON KYLIE 114 20.00    
3  BOBBY TWO SHOT'S Jan27 Apr17 Mar23 Mar08 Feb09 (sanchez juan)BARBOSA JEIRON 125 3.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  PUPPETEER (GB) Jan25 Jan04 Dec07 Aug10 Jul20 (castille )PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 15.00    
5  ITS WILD AGAIN Jan17 Jan04 Dec07 Aug27 Jul27 (peterson j)ALBERT S 122 12.00    
6  COLT'S BRIM Jan25 Jan10 Dec20 Nov29 Sep24 (hargrave ke)ASTUDILLO FELIX 117 8.00    
7  SOPHIE'S PAINTER Jan30 Jan09 Dec06 Nov05 Aug15 (gelner sco)ROWLAND MADELINE 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  MAXIMUM GRACE Jan30 Jan02 Dec08 Nov05 Sep26 (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 114 4.00 12% 7.40    
9  LOST MY BAG Jan10 Dec12 Nov24 Sep16 Aug22 (ney john)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 5.00    
10  RIGHTEOUS FREEDOM Jan25 Dec07 Oct03 Aug04 Jun16 (mouton chadwick)MCMAHON J 122 3.50 24% 3.10    
11  JOSAN Jan25 Jan11 Jan02 Aug02 Jul12 (morrell cynthi)GREEN AUBRIE 122 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.