Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Monday - February 10, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-1   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(6/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(6/1/5)-(3/2/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-2   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(3/2/4)-(8/1/4/9/11) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-3   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(8/1/4/9/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(8/1/4/9/11)-(6/2/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-4   WIN (8/1/4/9/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/4/9/11)-(8/1/4/9/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/1/4/9/11)-(8/1/4/9/11)-(8/1/4/9/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/1/4/9/11)-(6/2/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/1/4/9/11)-(6/2/7/1)-(2/4/6/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-5   WIN (6/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/7/1)-(6/2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/7/1)-(6/2/7/1)-(6/2/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/7/1)-(2/4/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7/1)-(2/4/6/3)-(8/4/3/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-6   WIN (2/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/6/3)-(2/4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/6/3)-(2/4/6/3)-(2/4/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/6/3)-(8/4/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6/3)-(8/4/3/6)-(4/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-7   WIN (8/4/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/3/6)-(8/4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/3/6)-(8/4/3/6)-(8/4/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/3/6)-(4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/3/6)-(4/1/5)-(3/5/8/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-8   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(3/5/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-9   WIN (3/5/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/8/1)-(3/5/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/8/1)-(3/5/8/1)-(3/5/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   02/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAIL'S DANCER Jan15 Dec16 Oct26 Oct11 Sep30 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
CITY SIGNS Jan15 Dec18 Nov18 Oct30 Aug14 (castillo jabdiel)STOKES J 124 10.00    
NATIONAL DIAMOND Jan29 Dec16 Nov13 Oct28 Oct02 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 124 6.00    
CHLOES ANGEL Jan29 Jan15 Dec03 Nov18 Sep03 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 35% 1.80    
COWCHI Jan24 Sep02 Aug07 Jul17 Jun10 (johnso)RODRIGUEZ A 119 15.00    
VILLAGE CAT Jan15 Dec18 Nov18 Oct07 Sep17 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 126 0.60 43% 1.30    
 
MVR-2   02/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEEDY MOBILE Jan23 Oct08 Aug13 Jul25 Jan23 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 2.50 16% 5.50    
ZAKARIA Sep12 Aug20 Jul30 Jul10 Jun17 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 126 3.00    
RED HEAD KID Jan09 Dec23 Dec11 Nov18 Oct30 (ga)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 8.00    
HARTSTEIN Jan27 Jan13 Aug22 Aug01 Jul23 (urieta jo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 12.00    
ROLL ON BIG O Jan27 Dec17 Nov21 Oct29 Oct01 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
OKLAHOMA JOE Jan29 Nov25 Nov04 Sep26 Aug30 (radosevich justin)STOKES J 126 1.20 60% 0.70    
 
MVR-3   02/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRAC AMOUR Jan24 Dec23 Dec08 Nov17 Oct26 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00    
SPIRITED RIDE Jan08 Oct25 Oct07 Sep21   (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00 25% 2.90    
WINE AND WAVES Dec23 Dec03 Oct22 Oct10 Sep23 (radosevi)MARTINEZ A 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
SICILIAN STYLE TWO Jan24 Jul09 Jun13 May21 Apr25 (urieta johanna)STOKES J 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
MY SUZIE Q Jan29 Dec23 Nov27 Nov05 Sep11 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 124 1.60    
SCR  SPUNKY ONE Jan08 Dec18 Dec02 Nov19 Nov06 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00    
 
MVR-4   02/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANZA MAGIC Jan24 Dec18 Dec03 Nov12 Oct26 (faulkner c)STOKES J 124 5.00 21% 3.70    
SWEET EMPIRE Sep30 Sep18 May18 May04 Apr04 (rone penny)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00    
BISCAYNE BAY Jan15 Dec18 Nov12 Oct29 Jul09 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 20.00    
SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS Jan24 Dec28 Dec11 Nov13 Oct28 (skerre)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.50 11% 8.20    
SCR  TRULY INCLUSIVE Jan24 Dec18 Nov18 Sep09 Jul04 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 6.00    
CLIFTONS BALLERINA Jan13 Nov12 Oct29 Oct19 Sep30 (crumley jev)BLANCHE RISHAWN 121 12.00    
POWER BANKER Jan24 Dec18 Nov18 Jul25 Jul17 (cline rob)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 10.00    
EXACTITUDE Jan24 Dec28 Nov18 Oct29 Sep30 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 3.00 42% 1.40    
LADY ABRIL Jan15 Dec18 Nov18 Jun03 Mar07 (pappada julie)BRACHO A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  BAY MAGIC Jan15 Jul04 Jun18 Jun10 May18 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 124 20.00    
11  SPICE ICE Jan08 Nov06 Sep30 Sep03 Aug14 (farrior anth)HALDAR J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-5   02/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR. ZARNETT Jan23 Oct26 Oct11 Oct03 Sep18 (meyers shane)BRACHO A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH Jan13 Nov04 Oct10 Sep10 Aug20 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 124 2.50 15% 5.70    
RUMBLE STRIP RON Jan23 Dec11 Nov04 Jul04 Jun12 (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 124 20.00    
QUIET AMIGO Jan13 Nov18 Nov04 Oct10 Sep10 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 15.00    
IT'SGOODTOBESEEN Jan13 Nov18 Nov04 Oct03 Jul31 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 6.00    
SAMMY AND SHORTY Jan24 Jan09 Dec16 Nov25 Sep18 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 124 1.80 46% 1.20    
CORNER OFFICE Jan13 Dec18 Nov26 Oct26 Sep17 (ibarra marco)HALDAR J 126 3.00 12% 7.60    
 
MVR-6   02/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COUNTRY RUCKUS Dec17 Dec03 Oct17 Oct08 Sep25 (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00    
LIBERATE Jan13 Dec11 Oct06 Jun13 May15 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 126 2.50 44% 1.30    
GONE IN A FLASH Jan23 Dec05 Sep26 Sep10 Aug12 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
UPTOWN Jan23 Dec05 Nov04 Jul09 Jun07 (rone penny)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.00 16% 5.40    
THE PINK Z Jan25 Jan08 Dec18 Dec05 Nov02 (silva fernan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 20.00    
DARK VADER Dec11 Oct26 Oct10 Sep10 Jun07 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 126 3.00 15% 5.70    
PALACE TEMPTATION Jan27 Jan13 Dec17 Nov21 Oct26 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 124 20.00    
SCR  WILDCAT EXPRESS Dec18 Nov26 Oct30 Oct07 Sep17 (poole m)BRACHO A 126 6.00    
BISCUITS AND GRITS Dec18 Nov26 Nov18 Nov04 Oct07 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 126 10.00    
10  MIDNIGHT WARSHIP Dec11 Oct22 Sep26 Apr25 Jun02 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 126 8.00    
 
MVR-7   02/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONEY BELLA Feb03 Jan15 Dec27 Sep03 Aug18 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.00    
LADY WELLINGTON Jan25 Nov18 Oct21 Oct10 Aug30 (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50    
LADY LOTTIE Dec28 Dec11 Aug13 Jul24 Jul02 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 10.00 8% 10.80    
KINGDOM QUEEN Jan25 Dec28 Dec06 Nov04 Oct20 (sullivan elliott)AVILES YAN 124 3.00 12% 7.40    
HARTFUL HOPE Jan25 Dec28 Dec10 Sep04 Aug09 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 15.00    
SHARP AZ CAN BE Dec28 Nov18 Oct13 Sep16 Jul24 (urieta j)FERNANDEZ R 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SHEISTHEHERO Jan25 Dec28 Dec10 Nov25 Oct01 (loudin-smith lori)PEREZ A 124 20.00    
LOADED ONCE MORE Jan25 Dec27 Nov21 Oct28 Oct07 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.00 49% 1.00    
 
MVR-8   02/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KANT ELOPE Dec27 Feb23 Dec21     (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 124 2.00 9% 10.00    
BEAUTIFUL CHARADE Dec09 Nov21 Nov05 Sep17 Aug28 (hamm timothy)BRACHO A 124 12.00    
FOXY'S COUNTRY HIT Jan25 Dec27 Dec10 Nov13 Oct26 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 118 3.50    
RAPIDA Dec26 Oct14 Sep20 Aug03 Jul27 (skerrett je)NUNEZ Y 116 1.60 63% 0.60    
FLAME FOR REAL Dec27 Nov21 Oct21 Oct07 Sep17 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
LESOTHO Dec27 Sep23 Sep06 Aug21 Aug02 (cline rob)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 6.00    
 
MVR-9   02/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 F PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNT ON ME Oct23 Oct08 Sep24 Sep12   (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of MIDTOWN MISS by YES IT'S TRUE)
DESTINY'S TOT Jan15 Dec26 Dec09 Oct23   (rone penny)AVILES YAN 122 20.00    
  (by KENNEDY out of DESTINY OVER FATE by DRILL)
ROSETTA Jan15         (radosevich je)BRACHO A 122 1.60 44% 1.30    
  (by BIONDETTI out of CHANSON D'AMOUR by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
CATTY REMARK Sep24         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 4.50    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of HARD LESSON by DYNAFORMER)
VICKY'S GIFT         (sweeti)RODRIGUEZ A 117 8.00 14% 5.90    
  (by DRILL out of WICKED VICKY by TALE OF THE CAT)
MO SWIFT Jan15         (rone penny)RIVERA R 122 6.00    
  (by DRILL out of MO SMART by UNCLE MO)
ANGEL I'M NOT Jan15 Dec26 Jun14     (cline c)PEREZ E 122 2.50    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of ANGEL HERITAGE by SHACKLEFORD)
TAPIT VOLUME         (faulkner r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 122 15.00 14% 5.90    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SWEET LIL PUNKY by LIMIT OUT)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.