Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Thursday - January 02, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (1/2/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/7/4)-(1/2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/7/4)-(1/2/7/4)-(1/2/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/7/4)-(1/2/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/7/4)-(1/2/3/8)-(2/3/5/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-2   WIN (1/2/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/3/8)-(1/2/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/8)-(1/2/3/8)-(1/2/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/3/8)-(2/3/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3/8)-(2/3/5/7)-(4/2/3/10/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-3   WIN (2/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/7)-(2/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/7)-(2/3/5/7)-(2/3/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/5/7)-(4/2/3/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5/7)-(4/2/3/10/9)-(5/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-4   WIN (4/2/3/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/3/10/9)-(4/2/3/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/3/10/9)-(4/2/3/10/9)-(4/2/3/10/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/2/3/10/9)-(5/3/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3/10/9)-(5/3/1)-(1/3/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FG-5   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(1/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(1/3/7)-(2/8/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-6   WIN (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/7)-(1/6/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/7)-(1/6/3/7)-(1/6/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/7)-(2/8/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7)-(2/8/7/6)-(7/5/1/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-7   WIN (2/8/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/7/6)-(2/8/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/7/6)-(2/8/7/6)-(2/8/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/7/6)-(7/5/1/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/8/7/6)-(7/5/1/6/8)-(5/1/6/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-8   WIN (7/5/1/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/1/6/8)-(7/5/1/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/1/6/8)-(7/5/1/6/8)-(7/5/1/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/5/1/6/8)-(5/1/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FG-9   WIN (5/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/4)-(5/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/4)-(5/1/6/4)-(5/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   01/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUCKSKIN SUZIE Dec12         (ducoing s)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 2.00 34% 2.00    
2  BASILE Dec14         (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 28% 2.60    
3  TITTLE Dec12         (woodley j)GRAHAM J 120 12.00    
4  SIR SAWYER         (castille c)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 10.00 6% 14.50    
5  KISSES FOR COOPER Dec19         (faul jason)MCMAHON J 120 10.00    
6  BECKY'SGOTTAHAVEIT Dec12         (david sam)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
7  MASONETTA Nov22         (david b)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 2.50 11% 7.80    
 
FG-2   01/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAXIMUM GRACE Dec08 Nov05 Sep26 Sep16 Aug15 (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 2.50 56% 0.80    
2  FINAL HALF Dec08 Nov23       (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.00 11% 8.20    
3  DUBAIAN MONEY Dec08 Nov09 Oct25 Aug10 Jul25 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  HINT OF FAITH Dec08         (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00    
SCR  METALLIC MISCHIEF         (castille )HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
6  BEACH TRIPPIN Dec06 Nov02 Oct18 Aug15 Aug03 (fuselier jonah)MCMAHON J 120 4.00    
7  M L BRODY'S GEM Dec13 Nov23 Nov05     (lorefice matt)SINGH R 120 6.00    
8  ACESRAISEDTHE BAR         (jackson dar)ASTUDILLO FELIX 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-3   01/02/2025 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WABASH Dec13         (duhon jose)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 3.50    
2  B WAYNE Dec15 Nov29 Sep15 Aug13   (stall m)GRAHAM J 124 1.40 65% 0.50    
3  PUCKSTER Dec15 Sep22 Sep09 Jun23 May18 (troiani n)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 3.50 6% 17.20    
4  SHAKO Dec20 Oct25       (williamson)WELLINGTON KYLIE 119 15.00    
5  LA BOUCANE Dec20 Nov29 Mar22 Feb10 Jan20 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  RAYFIELD Dec15 Nov24 Nov02 Oct06 Aug25 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 124 8.00    
7  CONNOR TALKSTRASH Dec20 Nov29 Sep17 Jul29 Jul15 (hatcher nat)ASTUDILLO FELIX 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-4   01/02/2025 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CYPRESS GOLD Dec21 Nov23 Feb13 Jan19 Dec30 (bourgeois ke)TORRES A 122 8.00    
2  CHECK ME OUT Nov23 Jun29 Jun14 May30 May11 (cuccia j)GRAHAM J 122 3.00 14% 6.10    
3  GREAT COOLNESS Nov23 Oct10 Sep05 Jan13 Dec09 (simpson daniel)COHEN DAVID 122 5.00 14% 6.30    
4  TONTERIA Dec14 May21 May01 Feb29 Feb03 (jeansonne justin)CURTIS BEN 122 3.50 47% 1.10    
5  PARTY AT JAYS Dec20 Nov28 Nov06 Aug03 Jul24 (burkes bobby)MURRAY M 122 12.00    
6  JOSAN Aug02 Jul12 Jun28 May30 Apr27 (morrell cy)ALBERT S 122 20.00    
7  REBIND Dec14 Nov02 Aug31 Aug19 Aug10 (tillis)GUERRERO ANDRES 114 12.00    
8  SINGLE SHOT Dec14 Nov23 Aug22 Jun29 Jun14 (schwandt emile)MCMAHON J 122 10.00    
9  CAPTIVATING STAR Aug23 Jun13 May23 Mar10 Feb18 (wilson sha)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  GORDITO HERMOSO Nov24 Mar10 Feb24 Feb08 Dec31 (schwandt e)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PETITFOR Dec21 Nov28 Sep04     (meaux h)RIQUELME J 122 10.00    
 
FG-5   01/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAMARITA Oct09 Sep22 Aug25 Jul28 Jun21 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  ERVADEAN Nov14 Sep21 Apr24 Mar02 Dec31 (stewart dalla)MORALES EDGAR 120 2.50    
3  HUNTRESS FOR HIRE Oct31 Sep15 Aug10 Jun26 May18 (stall albe)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 10% 9.20    
4  VIOLA Jan06 Nov30 Sep20 Aug31 Aug13 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
5  JUSTIQUE Jul21 May27 Apr27 Mar03 Feb03 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 1.40 56% 0.80    
 
FG-6   01/02/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSIC CLAIRE Oct16 Sep03 Jul14 Jun06 Feb29 (foley gre)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 3.50 71% 0.40    
2  MS. LILIBET Nov28 Nov13 Oct16 Aug19 Jul29 (williamson bria)MCMAHON J 122 6.00    
3  MISS HARMONIC Dec12 May24 Apr21 Mar08 Feb09 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  MAIRSILS FIRST Dec12 Oct14 Jul20 May29 Apr28 (west henr)HERNANDEZ J 122 20.00    
SCR  TOASTED ROLL Dec08 Nov10 Oct10 Sep14 Aug24 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 122 2.50    
6  BEADS Dec12 Oct23 Oct01 Sep09 Jul24 (tracy tann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00 ★    
7  SPECTACULAR FORCE Dec21 Dec08 Oct21 Oct14 Sep16 (carter angelle)RIQUELME J 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LEAMETATRAINER Dec12 Oct10 Sep13 Jun28 Jun06 (pessin nei)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50    
9  TALKSALOT Dec05 Nov24 Nov02 Sep28 Aug29 (desormeaux )CONCEPCION AXEL 114 15.00    
 
FG-7   01/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($59K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY OCHO Dec06 Aug07 Jun18     (broussard jer)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00    
2  LORD I WONDER Nov21 Oct04 Aug14 Jul12   (stall m)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 48% 1.10    
3  BLUE HEAVENLY Dec06 Nov28 Sep27 Sep11 Jul13 (govea cesar)TORRES A 120 6.00    
4  ALDORA Dec06 Sep24 Aug29 Jul29 Jun25 (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 5.00    
5  JE SUIS RAPIDE Dec04 Nov16 Oct31 Sep25 Sep13 (king barry)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 15.00    
6  CANDY LOVER Nov27 Oct31 Sep18 Aug29 Jul27 (mcgee pau)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  OH MY MIA Nov26 Aug11 Jun26 Jun04 Apr20 (amoss thoma)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 4.00 14% 6.20    
8  EASY RED Nov27 Jan25 Sep29 Aug13 Jul02 (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 122 3.00 17% 5.00    
 
FG-8   01/02/2025 4950ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($58K) 3 ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A PASSIVE NOBODY         (gabriel terr)MURRAY M 120 10.00 10% 9.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of AQUALANE SHORES by FRIENDS LAKE)
2  WAYSIDE DRIVE Aug24         (duhon o)GRAHAM J 120 12.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of EMILY JO by TIAGO)
3  DOGWOOD CROSSING Oct07 Sep10 Aug07     (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 120 4.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of DOGWOOD TRAIL by AWESOME OF COURSE)
4  MARDI GRAS EMPIRE Nov23         (gelner ja)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of ACCOLADY by KITTEN'S JOY)
5  GOLD THIEF Dec13 Aug31 Aug10 Jul13   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 18% 4.70    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ALPACA FINA by BIG BROWN)
6  IWANNABEAMACHOMAN         (david b)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 12.00 10% 9.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of SPUN LACE by HARD SPUN)
7  TENSAS CAMP ROAD Dec06 Nov13 Sep23     (claire alexi)TORRES A 120 5.00 22% 3.60    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of HARBOR PRINCESS by BOSTON HARBOR)
8  BLONDATE Dec13 Nov23 Aug28     (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of BLONDE BULLET by RED BULLET)
SCR  RUNNING RAGGED Nov15 Oct10 Jul25 Jun29   (castille carrol)MCMAHON J 120 10.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of HILARIOUS BROWN by BIG BROWN)
10  UNINSPIRED Dec13 Nov05 Sep26 Sep14 Aug31 (rivera nes)ALBERT S 120 12.00    
  (by LONE SAILOR out of CONSPIRED by ZENSATIONAL)
SCR  SAME PLAY Dec13         (delhomme jerry)MCMAHON J 120 3.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of INCOMING WIRE by HALF OURS)
12  GEM OF A STORM         (west patric)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 6.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of GEM OF SOUL by CRIMSON TIDE)
SCR  SWEET TALKIN SLICK Nov22 Oct18 Sep26 Sep14 Jul22 (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of OUR SLICK CHICK by ESKENDEREYA)
 
FG-9   01/02/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAWN'S SOLVING Dec12 Aug28 Aug09 Jul13 Apr12 (ney john)TORRES A 121 4.00 30% 2.30    
2  STAR READY Sep18 Aug20 Aug07 Jun17 May07 (balderas alf)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 8.00    
3  MALADJUSTED MISFIT Aug10 Jul13 Jul04 May04 Apr25 (larrosa jua)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 6.00    
4  HARPES HILL Dec12 Nov20 Aug03 Jun29 May18 (patt r)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  APRIORITY AVENGER Dec20 Dec11 Nov16 Oct25 Aug22 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 121 3.00 34% 1.90    
6  OLDER AND WISER Dec12 Nov13 Jun28 May29 May10 (woodley j)GRAHAM J 121 3.50 13% 6.80    
7  TOP PRIORITY Dec12 Nov30 Aug03 May23 Apr20 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 121 6.00    
8  BYATHREAD Aug03 Jul11 Jun21 May29 Apr17 (zenon charl)LEDET THEODRICK 121 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.