Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Sunday - December 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(3/4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4)-(3/4/1/6)-(5/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-2   WIN (3/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/6)-(3/4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/6)-(3/4/1/6)-(3/4/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/1/6)-(5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1/6)-(5/3/6)-(4/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-3   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(4/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(4/2/7)-(7/10/3/8/9) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FG-4   WIN (4/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/7)-(4/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/7)-(4/2/7)-(4/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/7)-(7/10/3/8/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/2/7)-(7/10/3/8/9)-(7/5/8/4/3) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
FG-5   WIN (7/10/3/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/10/3/8/9)-(7/10/3/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/10/3/8/9)-(7/10/3/8/9)-(7/10/3/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/10/3/8/9)-(7/5/8/4/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/10/3/8/9)-(7/5/8/4/3)-(5/7/12/4/6) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
FG-6   WIN (7/5/8/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/8/4/3)-(7/5/8/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/8/4/3)-(7/5/8/4/3)-(7/5/8/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/5/8/4/3)-(5/7/12/4/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/5/8/4/3)-(5/7/12/4/6)-(8/9/6/3) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-7   WIN (5/7/12/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/12/4/6)-(5/7/12/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/12/4/6)-(5/7/12/4/6)-(5/7/12/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/7/12/4/6)-(8/9/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FG-8   WIN (8/9/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/6/3)-(8/9/6/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/9/6/3)-(8/9/6/3/7)-(8/9/6/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   12/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. COMMANDER Dec30 Oct21 Oct02 Sep22 Aug21 (king barry)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 12.00    
2  GLOBAL PRIDE Oct13 Sep16 Aug12 Jul16 Jun24 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 121 3.00 38% 1.60    
3  FINDAWAY Sep26 Sep14 Aug18     (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 2.00    
4  GREAT RUNNER Oct25 Aug17 Jul06 Jun06 Apr12 (ladner herman)GRAHAM J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  MANNY'S KAT Sep11 Jul24 May20 May07   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 3.00    
6  BACKFIRE Nov29 Nov05 Jan12     (degeyter randy )MCMAHON J 122 3.00 18% 4.70    
 
FG-2   12/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD PLUS Aug01 Jun29 Jan11 Nov30 Jul29 (bourgeois )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.50 11% 7.70    
2  SPECTACULAR FORCE Oct21 Oct14 Sep16 Sep05 Aug23 (carter ange)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 3.50    
3  SHARPER GAL Nov21 Jul17 Jun08 May10 Mar30 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 119 2.00 32% 2.20    
4  IM SINGLED UP Aug24 Jul27 Jul12 Jun14 May11 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 121 3.00 25% 3.00    
5  ESME May11 Mar30 Mar13 Feb23 Feb08 (king l)TORRES A 121 6.00    
6  CABO COWGIRL May29 Jan26 Dec29 Jun11   (duhon jose)WELLINGTON KYLIE 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  AZTEC EMPRESS Sep16 Jul22 Jun02 May17 Apr12 (duke steven)GRAHAM J 119 20.00    
 
FG-3   12/08/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THUNDER APPEAL Sep08         (ward a)ORTIZ L 122 2.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of DRAGIC by BROKEN VOW)
2  STEAMROLLER         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.50    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of CAUSEY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  CAFE RACER Sep20 Jun27 Jun05 Mar23 Jan11 (stall albe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of LAURA'S PLEASURE by CACTUS RIDGE)
4  U RASCAL U Nov24 Aug22 Apr26 Mar22   (ladner herman)GRAHAM J 122 20.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of LIMARI by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  PETCOFF Oct11 Aug31 Aug10 Feb11 Jan07 (russell br)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 31% 2.20    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MYLITTA by SKY MESA)
6  FLAME ROCK FIRE Oct31 Sep26 Aug10 Jul28   (camejo jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of MISSILETOE KISS by GOLDEN MISSILE)
SCR  BRUHN Nov04         (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 122 2.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of BALLET SLIPPERS by TAPIT)
SCR  GOOD LORD Oct31 Sep22 Aug10 Dec23 Nov24 (amoss thomas)TORRES A 122 1.80    
  (by LORD NELSON out of MALIBU PARTY by HARD SPUN)
 
FG-4   12/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COURAGEOUS CUPID Nov23 Mar20 Feb17 Jan20   (sanchez j)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 4.50    
2  CONCENTRATION Oct28 Oct18 Sep23 Sep06 Aug07 (camejo jose)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 3.50 17% 5.00    
SCR  AIR CAV Sep18 Aug05 Jun19 Apr26 Mar02 (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 119 4.00    
4  TOSCANO Aug16 Jul31 Jun06 May04   (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.00 53% 0.90    
5  SAINT PETER'S BAY Jun02 Apr27 Mar15 Jan26   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 4.50    
6  LAST ATTACK Oct12 Jul04 May25 May10 Mar22 (gelner j)MCMAHON J 119 5.00    
7  GAMBE FORTE Oct17 Oct04 Sep12 Aug17 Jul24 (rubley kelly)CURTIS BEN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-5   12/08/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO CAN DO Nov06 Aug23 Jul27 Jul06 Jun13 (zenon shelton)VARGAS P 124 12.00    
  (by MO TOM out of TRIPPI'S SAILOR by TRIPPI)
2  CHASTE ONE Sep09 Aug05 Jul23 Jun26 May29 (sharp marc)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 10.00    
  (by FIELD COMMISSION out of SHARP AND CRAFTY by CRAFTY FRIEND)
3  EMILY'S BOY May08 Apr05 Mar16 Feb13 Dec30 (claire alexis)GRAHAM J 122 4.50 13% 6.70    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of EMILY JO by TIAGO)
4  MISTERHOLYROLLER Nov14 May02 Apr17 Mar16 Feb24 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 15.00    
  (by TAPIZAR out of WILD RANGER by U S RANGER)
5  ARIES HONOR Aug26 Dec31       (zeringue w)ALBERT S 122 20.00    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of BEVERLY BELLE by FAR OUT WADLEIGH)
6  REGATTA BAY May02 Apr05 Mar16 Mar02 Feb13 (broussard jervo)MCMAHON J 122 12.00    
  (by DAAHER out of LITTLE BUTTERCUP by LABEEB (GB))
7  NAVARRIAN Jun20 May22 May02 Mar23   (felks jose)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.50 40% 1.50    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of TO COMMERCIAL by CAT THIEF)
8  STAR STAR STAR Aug28 Dec09       (duhon o)GREEN AUBRIE 122 4.50 9% 9.80    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of HAPPY CHOICE by BROKEN VOW)
9  WHO IS CHIEF Nov28 Jun20 May10 Apr17 Mar23 (mouton cha)MARQUEZ L 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DAAHER out of INDIAN WIND by EUGENE'S THIRD SON)
10  ICE'M UP BOYS Jun25         (felks r)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 16% 5.40    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of FEARLESS LEADER by SUAVE PROSPECT)
 
FG-6   12/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE LINE RULER Nov20 Aug16 Jul26 Jun27 Jun13 (henry eric)HERNANDEZ J 116 8.00    
2  PROBLEMATICA Oct17 Sep26 Aug15 Jul25 Jul06 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 119 6.00    
3  THE CALLING STONE Oct30 Sep10 Aug16 Jun01 May11 (woodley j)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  COUNTRY BELLE Sep10 Aug12 Jun11 May13 Mar15 (duke steven)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 4.50 7% 13.70    
5  JUNIORS JOANIE Aug05 Jul01 Jun12 May21 May08 (duhon jose)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 8.00 16% 5.40    
6  PRIZE DEBATE Oct24 Sep25 Sep05 Jul05 Jun04 (rubley kelly)CURTIS BEN 121 6.00    
7  STARSHIP JAMBALAYA Oct19 Sep04 Aug16 Jun21 May31 (gelner scott)MCMAHON J 118 4.00 39% 1.60    
8  PINK LADY LU SHA Jul07 Jun22 May05 Apr07 Mar08 (lopez elia)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 6.00 14% 6.00    
9  GUITAR WOMAN Sep04 Feb29 Feb08 Jan25 Dec30 (duhon jos)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 5.00    
 
FG-7   12/08/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($59K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLOEY ATTACK Oct29 Oct06 Sep01 Aug11 Jul07 (childers v)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00    
2  NOTABLE QUEEN Oct05 Aug10 Jul12 Jun21 May29 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00    
3  TOASTED ROLL Nov10 Oct10 Sep14 Aug24 Jul29 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00    
4  KICK A RHYME (IRE) Nov22 Mar16 Feb17 Jan13 Dec17 (maker michae)TORRES A 120 8.00 6% 15.80    
5  GARNET AND GOLD Oct17 Sep24       (rice adam)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 40% 1.50    
6  CLASSIC PERFORMER Jul25 Jun05 Apr27 Apr10 Mar03 (forster gr)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  NOTICE ME TOO Oct10 Aug11 May30 May15 Mar02 (stidham mich)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 5.00 15% 5.80    
8  FLEET FROST Mar20 Feb23 Dec29 Nov24 Oct18 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 118 8.00    
9  TENSAS LUCY Aug01 Jun15 May24 Mar24 Mar02 (alonzo howar)MURRAY M 115 12.00    
10  CAIRO DREAM Nov10 Sep12       (block chris)COHEN DAVID 118 4.50    
SCR  THE GREAT MAYBE Mar03 Dec31 Nov10 Sep21 Nov26 (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
12  OBSTREPEROUS Sep05 Jul25 Jul04 Mar27 Mar10 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 11% 8.00    
SCR  RUBIA Nov03 Sep16 Aug21 Jun30 Jun11 (asmussen s)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00    
 
FG-8   12/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COATTAILS Oct26 Aug15 Jul13     (castille )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00    
2  FINAL HALF Nov23         (david b)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 10.00    
3  RAYDEN AND REMI Nov23 Oct18 Aug10 Jul14 Jun29 (gelner scott)MCMAHON J 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
4  BIG MARV Sep26 Sep16       (foster m)COHEN DAVID 120 8.00    
5  RANDY DAYTONA Nov23         (claire ale)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 20.00    
6  MAXIMUM GRACE Nov05 Sep26 Sep16 Aug15   (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.50 7% 13.20    
7  HINT OF FAITH         (foster joseph)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00 ★    
8  DUBAIAN MONEY Nov09 Oct25 Aug10 Jul25   (leblanc richa)VARGAS P 120 4.50 40% 1.50    
9  MARDI GRAS MAMBO Nov09 Oct10 Aug31 Aug15 Jul29 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 5.00 26% 2.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.