Handicappers' Racing Form

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Keeneland Turf Pick 3
Thursday - October 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
EQD-1   10/17/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 KEE Purse ($130K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUALITY STAR Aug26 Jun20 May19 Apr20 Dec07 (lobo h)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00    
LUCKY SPEECH Aug29 Jul27 Jun15 May17 Apr05 (sharp joe)MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
JUSTIFIABLE BELLE Sep11 May19 Apr07 Aug19 Jun22 (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
LUCY'S CAKES FLY Dec15 Nov11 Oct15 Aug31 Aug19 (molloy thomas)TORRES A 122 50.00    
INSENSITIVE Aug05 Mar07 Feb11 Dec29 Oct28 (anderson do)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
BOLIVIE (IRE) Sep05 Aug04 Jul06 May29 Nov01 (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 122 12.00    
NANDA DEA         (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
VALENTINA DAY Sep11 Jul22 Jun13 Apr21 Mar08 (toye li)CORRALES GERARDO 122 30.00    
FOR FLYING (BRZ) Sep14 Aug17 Jun27     (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00 35% 1.80    
10  SELENAIA (IRE) May18 Apr04 Sep03 Aug04 Jun10 (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00    
11  JOIN THE DANCE Sep11 Jul06 Jun13 May03 Mar23 (stewart dal)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 15.00    
 
EQD-2   10/17/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 KEE Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PORTOFINO Sep07 Jul07 May24 Mar28 Jan28 (orseno joseph)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
B D VALESKI Sep11 Aug11 Jun22 May25 Apr05 (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 121 4.00 6% 14.50    
THE CONNECTOR Oct02 Sep11 Aug23 Jul15 Jul03 (hoffman mark)BAYS BROOKE 114 20.00    
DOUBLE CLUTCH Sep11 Aug03 Jun30 May31 Apr21 (arnold r)ORTIZ L 121 3.50 15% 5.70    
WILD WEST JUSTICE Aug29 Jul19 Jul03 May11 Aug05 (caramori ca)LEPAROUX R 120 20.00    
LINZER Aug31 Jul14 Jun16 Apr16 Mar06 (sharp joe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 3.00 45% 1.20    
FINSTER Sep18 Aug05 Aug08     (harty eoin)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
CRUZIN MAN Sep07 Aug11 Feb24 Jan20 Dec30 (crichton rohan)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00    
GILDED RULER Feb25 Jan04 Dec07 Oct26 Jul15 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  RUNNIN' ROCKET Aug11 Jul14 Jun13 May01 Mar23 (lynch a)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
 
EQD-3   10/17/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 KEE Purse ($130K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEQUILERA Aug29 Jul06 Jun08 May18 Dec30 (matz michae)LEPAROUX R 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
HEAVENLY APPOINTED Sep11 May25 Apr21 Feb25 Jan21 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 122 12.00    
MOHAWK TRAIL Mar24 Mar02 Sep02 Jul22 Jun25 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 6.00 10% 8.60    
SAFFRON MOON Nov23 Oct07 Aug17 Dec24 Apr27 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 16% 5.10    
BLISSFUL Aug14 Jul13 May18 Apr21 Mar21 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 122 10.00    
SAMAY (PER) Sep08 Aug07 Jul31 Jul21 Jul17 (arias alfonso)CHUAN MARTIN 122 20.00    
ELOUNDA QUEEN (IRE) Sep21 Aug16 Jul06 May26 Dec26 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 8.00    
WATCH THIS BIRDIE Sep11 Aug14 Apr21 Mar23 Feb17 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 10.00 8% 11.30    
BALI BELLE Jul06 May12 Feb24 Jan13 Dec09 (arnold geor)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 30.00    
10  TOWHEAD Sep18 Jul28 Jun20 May10 Apr14 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 124 20.00    
11  AUSSIE GIRL (IRE) Aug31         (walden william)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00    
12  SHE'S LOOKIN LUCKY Sep05 Aug04 Jul07 Jun02 Oct27 (shirer a)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 4.50 40% 1.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.